Your Box Office Predictions

Your Box Office Predictions for 'Lone Ranger' and 'Despicable Me 2'

Some close predictions this week

Lone Ranger and Despicable Me 2 box office predictionsYour box office predictions for the weekend (118 in total) are in and only the tiniest of margins separates the average of the reader predictions from Laremy's predictions for Despicable Me 2 and a bit of a wider margin separating predictions on The Lone Ranger.

For Despicable 2, Laremy went with $91.9 million while the readers is just slightly under at $91.6 million. The animated sequel got off to a great start on Wednesday, bringing in $34.3 million and after two days has already made more than the original film's $56 million opening weekend. Question is, can it maintain such momentum over the Friday-Sunday frame? Based on these predictions it would seem so.

As for The Lone Ranger, things don't look so pretty. Budgeted anywhere from $215-250+ million depending on who you believe, the film opened to a paltry $9.6 million on Wednesday and put up similar numbers a day later. Laremy predicted an eventual $45.9 million for the three-day weekend while the readers went a little lower at $39.1 million. At this point I'm going to have to lean more to the readers, but either way, it's not the opening Disney was hoping for.

Looking over the two holdovers, both Laremy and the readers think a 46.9% drop for Monsters University is about right as both predict a $24.2 million weekend. There's a small disparity in The Heat predictions with readers predicting a 42.9% drop from its opening weekend and Laremy expecting a slightly larger fall at 47.8%.

I also wanted to reiterate what was posted in yesterday's Box Office Oracle article. I am putting together a second leaderboard for the Box Office Challenge that will track overall prediction accuracy. So, there will be one leaderboard that continues to track your point totals and after about five to six weeks I will launch the second leaderboard and you'll have two places to see your name in lights.

The requirements to be on the second leaderboard will be that you will have to have posted predictions for at least five weeks to be on it, which is why I may even wait six to seven weeks before launching it as this is a brand new feature and people are still getting used to posting.

That said, here are your predictions compared to Laremy for this weekend, I'll see you on Sunday with the early results.

Your Predictions

  • Despicable Me 2 - $91.6 million
  • The Lone Ranger - $39.1 million
  • Monsters University - $24.2 million (46.9% drop)
  • The Heat - $22.3 million (42.9% drop)

Laremy's Predictions

  • Despicable Me 2 - $91.9 million
  • The Lone Ranger - $45.9 million
  • Monsters University - $24.2 million (46.9% drop)
  • The Heat - $20.4 million (47.8% drop)
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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/jess/ jess antiquina

    brad, how many have posted predictions for this weekend?

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      118 this weekend, just added it to the post.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/jess/ jess antiquina

        okay. cool. thanks

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Hudsucker/ Hudsucker

    Cool Laremy and the listeners had the exact same answer. How often does that happen?

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/TheJackal/ The Jackal

    Variety is reporting that Despicable Me 2 has completely crushed The Lone Ranger at the box office today. The minions stole $35 million on Friday, while Tonto was only able to conjure up just under $10 million. Looks like the House of Mouse has another John Carter on their hands.

    It's no wonder film studios are more inclined to spend big bucks on sequels to hit films instead of spending huge on new ideas. When $200+ million films crash is it any wonder Disney is investing so much time on Marvel and Star Wars films? Guaranteed bank.

    Gore Verbinski should have stuck with the BioShock film instead of this western flop. Also, Armie Hammer needs a big hit, otherwise he may suffer the fate of Taylor Kitch - remember that guy?

    Thems the fact

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ian/ Ian

      Those are Wednesday numbers, but I agree with the rest of your points. Hammer probably has more leeway because he has a couple "prestige" projects under his belt, which Kitsch can't say at this point.

    • http://www.twitter.com/GregDinskisk GregDinskisk

      I'm hoping this doesn't effect what Hammer does for the rest of his time acting... I always enjoy what he does, even if the film itself isn't any good...

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/andyluvsfilms/ andyluvsfilms

    Aside from a similar environment The Lone Ranger reminds me so much of Wild Wild West, big budget, one big star and plus one familiar name, big set pieces which were shown in the trailer and both a huge propensity to deflect money

    ps no sure if propensity is the correct word here but it kinda just roles of the tongue

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/jess/ jess antiquina

    i believe I'm maybe wrong with my 3 day forecast for the Lone Ranger. It could hit as low as 32 M.