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Categorized: Oscar Predictions

YOU VOTE: Road to Oscar Noms – The Supporting Categories

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It's time we heard from you...

Brad Brevet
By:
Published: Sunday, January 18th 2009 at 1:52 PM

Since September 1, 2008 I have been tracking this year's crop of Oscar contenders in "The Contenders" section, and since that time many people have followed along, added their opinions and we have managed to have some great discussions about last year's films and performances. On Wednesday I will be publishing my last list of Oscar nomination predictions before the nominees are announced on Thursday, January 22 and until that time I felt we should take a final look — together — at the acting, directing and picture categories and get your opinion on just who you think will be nominated in each category.

Today we begin with Best Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress and over the next couple of days we will look at Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Director and Best Picture, each time allowing you to vote on who you think (not who you want) will be nominated for each category. RopeofSilicon users didn't do too bad predicting the Golden Globe winners getting 10 out of 14 correct, I can only assume you will be just as good at predicting the Oscars.

My first predictions, posted on November 20, looked like this for the Supporting Categories:

Supporting ActorSupporting Actress
  1. Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
  2. Josh Brolin (Milk)
  3. Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
  4. Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire)
  5. Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
  1. Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
  2. Viola Davis (Doubt)
  3. Elsa Zylberstein (I’ve Love You So Long)
  4. Rosemarie Dewitt (Rachel Getting Married)
  5. Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)

My most recent predictions look like this:

Supporting ActorSupporting Actress
  1. Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
  2. Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
  3. Josh Brolin (Milk)
  4. Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
  5. Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)
  1. Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
  2. Kate Winslet (The Reader)
  3. Viola Davis (Doubt)
  4. Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
  5. Amy Adams (Doubt)

There hasn't been a whole lot of movement in either category with only three new names added to the two lists in total. Of the names included on the lists above I believe only Eddie Marson (Happy-Go-Lucky) and Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) stand a chance at actually getting an Oscar nomination even though Tom Cruise (Tropic Thunder) and Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess) were nominated for Golden Globes. I think many will agree with me when I say Crusie stands no chance at an Oscar nom and if Fiennes were to be considered for any of his 2008 performances it would be as a supporting actor in In Bruges. Therefore I think we have our list of possible nominees and it is up to us to figure out who the final five will be.

Now… It's your turn…

PREDICT THE OSCAR NOMINEES!
PLEASE SELECT FIVE NAMES IN EACH POLL

Supporting Actor

  • Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight) (1,281 Votes)
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt) (1,014 Votes)
  • Josh Brolin (Milk) (929 Votes)
  • Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder) (828 Votes)
  • Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire) (657 Votes)
  • Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road) (422 Votes)
  • Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess) (256 Votes)
  • Tom Cruise (Tropic Thunder) (122 Votes)
  • Eddie Marson (Happy-Go-Lucky) (90 Votes)
  • Other (Explain in the comments below) (52 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,340

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Supporting Actress

  • Kate Winslet (The Reader) (1,088 Votes)
  • Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona) (980 Votes)
  • Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler) (898 Votes)
  • Viola Davis (Doubt) (794 Votes)
  • Amy Adams (Doubt) (699 Votes)
  • Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) (580 Votes)
  • Rosemarie Dewitt (Rachel Getting Married) (210 Votes)
  • Elsa Zylberstein (I've Love You So Long) (68 Votes)
  • Other (Explain in the comments below) (18 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,239

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REMEMBER: This is for who you THINK will be nominated and NOT who you want to be nominated.

If you vote "Other" please add your comments below as doing so really does nothing for the poll
unless we know who you are thinking about.

The voting ends on January 22 at 2 AM, the nominees are announced shortly thereafter. You can vote on the other topline categories using the links below:

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Join the conversation!

There are 20 comments so far. Scroll down to share your thoughts.

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Showing 20 Comments

  1. Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    Josh Brolin (Milk)
    Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
    Other -> Brad Pitt (Burn After Reading) or Ralph Fiennes (In Bruges) or Brandon Gleeson (In Bruges)

    Kate Winslet (The Reader)
    Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
    Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
    Amy Adams (Doubt)
    Viola Davis (Doubt)

  2. John

    Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    Josh Brolin (Milk)
    Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
    Other -> Brad Pitt (Burn After Reading)

    Kate Winslet (The Reader)
    Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
    Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
    Amy Adams (Doubt)
    Viola Davis (Doubt)

  3. joker47

    Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    Josh Brolin (Milk)
    Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
    Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire)

    Kate Winslet (The Reader)
    Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
    Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
    Viola Davis (Doubt)
    Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)

  4. William

    Josh Brolin (Milk)
    Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
    Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire)
    Alt.- Eddie Marson (Happy-Go-Lucky)

    Penelope Cruz (Vicky/Christina/Barcelona)
    Viola Davis (Doubt)
    Rosemarie Dewitt (Rachel Getting Married)
    Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
    Kate Winslet (The Reader)
    Alt. Amy Adams (Doubt)

    Naming my Alternatives to much of a safety net haha?

  5. SR

    Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
    Josh Brolin (Milk)
    Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

    Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
    Kate Winslet (The Reader)
    Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
    Viola Davis (Doubt)
    Amy Adams (Doubt)

  6. Scott

    I chose other for supporting actor because I think Ralph Fiennes will get a nomination for The Reader.

  7. Tim H

    I chose OTHER twice for supporting actor. I agree with Scott in that Ralph Fiennes will be nominated for The Reader instead of The Duchess. Also, call me crazy, but I wouldn't count out James Franco as a strong contender for his work in MILK.

  8. lucho

    I chose for the last James Franco for Milk. He used quite a subtle energy his performance.

  9. Dan Tralder

    I chose "other" twice for supporting actor, brad pitt and russell crowe

  10. ashutosh

    My nominations would be

    # Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    # Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    #Josh Brolin (Milk)
    #Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess)
    #Any one of the child actors in Slumdog millionaire (well the academy always has a child actor in its nominations, maybe this time too since the field is wide open )

  11. Daniel

    In my opinion Beyonce Knowles gave an Oscar worthy performance as Etta James in Cadillac Records. Truly Excellent!

  12. Alex

    My nominations for Best Supporting actor would be:

    # Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
    # Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
    #Josh Brolin (Milk)
    #Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess)
    #Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)

    My nominations for Best Supporting Actress would be:

    Kate Winslet (The Reader)
    Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
    Beyonce Knowles (Cadillac Records)
    Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
    Viola Davis (Doubt)

  13. Michelle

    Evan Rachel Wood should be nominated for The Wrestler

  14. Michelle

    Debra Winger should be nominated for Rachel Getting Married!!! Sooo good!!!

  15. Michael B

    Debra Winger – Rachel Getting Married. Not much time on screen, but her performance was fierce. She still has "it".

  16. filmfrek

    Heath Ledger should and will win best supporting actor. Phillip Seymor Hoffmann was also incredible. I don't know who Dev Patel was supporting, but he was also good.

  17. Tim

    I can guarantee that if heath ledger hadn't done the joker, Michael Shannon would be winning that Oscar for his spectacular performance in Revolutionary Road. Hands down. And please, get your tropic thunder oscar noms out of here. Lets be realistic for a moment. Robert Downey gave a hilarious performance in that movie, but oscar worthy?! Give me a damn break people!

  18. alluhrey

    how could you still perpetrate the fraud that winslet is supporting in "the reader"? how can the other actresses more deserving to be in that slot have any fair chance at all?

  19. Elizabeth Spicer

    Think Dev Patel will make the cut in the supporting actor category.

  20. Elizabeth Spicer

    Dev Patel will get a supporting actor nod.

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