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Categorized: Box-Office Wrap-Up

Weekend Box-Office: 'Twilight: Breaking Dawn' Threepeats, but 'Shame,' 'Descendants' and 'Artist' are the Real Story

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If only everyone would go see the good films

Brad Brevet
By:
Published: Sunday, December 4th 2011 at 9:49 AM
Sony Pictures Classics, Fox Searchlight and The Weinstein Co.
In a weekend that was down approximately 7% from last year, the biggest story are the limited independent releases as The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 becomes the first in the franchise to threepeat, The Muppets proves to be front-loaded and The Descendants, Shame, The Artist and A Dangerous Method are the real story.

Let's get to it…

Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 0 Weeks In A Row

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1
As I said on Friday, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 is now the first film in the Twilight franchise to win three weekends in a row. As Gitesh Pandya notes on Twitter, the franchise has now grossed $2.4 billion worldwide and after Part 2 next November may be looking at $3.2 billion total for all five films.

Weekend: $16.9 million (59.4% drop)
Cummulative Total: $247.3 million
RottenTomatoes Score: 26%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 and his prediction of $15.34 million was $1.56m off for a percentage error of 9.23%.
Laremy hoped it would come in #1, but unfortunately the near-62% drop is a signal The Muppets were front-loaded last weekend and now the only positive way to look at this is to say the film was budgeted at a mere $45 million and has now pulled in $56.1 million. Unfortunately that is a positive only if you don't think about how much money Disney likely spent on marketing for this film. Does this most likely mean no more Muppets on the big screen?
Weekend: $11.2 million (-61.6% drop) / Cume: $56.1 million / RottenTomatoes: 97%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 with $16.75 million, which is $5.55m off for a 49.55% error.
3. Hugo
It didn't hit the $10 million mark I thought it might after Friday numbers, but Martin Scorsese's Hugo still performed rather well pulling in $4,144 per theater as it played in 1,840 theaters this weekend for a small 32% drop.
Weekend: $7.6 million (-32.7% drop) / Cume: $25.1 million / RottenTomatoes: 94%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $6.012 million, which is $1.588m off for a 20.89% error.
Arthur Christmas is keeping pace with Hugo, only difference is Arthur is in 1,536 more theaters.
Weekend: $7.3 million (-39.2% drop) / Cume: $25.2 million / RottenTomatoes: 92%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $6.39 million, which is $0.91m off for a 12.47% error.
I'm thinking of changing formats for these Box-Office Wrap-Up pieces, primarily because so many of the films I have nothing worth writing about. Case in point right here…
Weekend: $6 million (-54.9% drop) / Cume: $51.7 million / RottenTomatoes: 41%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $6.82 million, which is $0.82m off for a 13.67% error.
…and here, though I guess I could say we are looking at the first live-action Adam Sandler film, starring Adam Sandler that won't hit $100 million since Little Nicky in 2000.
Weekend: $5.5 million (-45% drop) / Cume: $64.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 4%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.83 million, which is $0.33m off for a 6% error.
Now here is something to talk about. The Descendants expanded to 574 theaters this weekend and managed a whopping $5.2 million, that's $9,059 per and Fox Searchlight is definitely going to be excited in its continued Oscar prospects, but I can't help but feel it might not have enough juice… Your thoughts?
Weekend: $5.2 million (-28.8% drop) / Cume: $18 million / RottenTomatoes: 91%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $7.65 million, which is $2.45m off for a 47.12% error.
As Teddy KGB would say, "Immortals continues hanging around."
Weekend: $4.3 million (-51.1% drop) / Cume: $75.5 million / RottenTomatoes: 36%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.82 million, which is $0.52m off for a 12.09% error.
Did you see this movie? Would you recommend someone actually spend money on it?
Weekend: $4.1 million (-42.3% drop) / Cume: $70.7 million / RottenTomatoes: 69%
Laremy's rank: Not Ranked
I just received a screener copy of this and am anxious to watch it again. However, of all the screeners I recently received Rango, The Muppets and Moneyball were played first. I enjoyed all three all over again.
Weekend: $3 million (-60% drop) / Cume: $139.5 million / RottenTomatoes: 82%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $4.12 million, which is $1.12m off for a 37.33% error.

Elsewhere, My Week with Marilyn is in its second weekend and managed $1.18 million from 244 theaters, which is a $4,836 average and the return of Moneyball and The Ides of March (playing as a double feature in some cities), garnered $585,000 and $570,000 respectively.

The release of the NC-17 rated Shame in 10 theaters in five cities managed an impressive $361,000 for a $36,100 per theater average and the Weinstein's The Artist did well also, pulling in $206,000 from six theaters for a $34,333 average.

Rounding out the limited releases, David Cronenberg's A Dangerous Method is in its second weekend and is only playing in four theaters where it brought home $123,000.

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Showing 15 Comments

  1. Sven

    Just a brief thought on these BO Wrap-Ups: I actually really like the format and would prefer it if you didn't change them up too much, mainly because it makes them stand out from the ones on other sites in that you don't just put up the numbers but make yourself come up with something to say about each movie. It's quite fun to read some quick and sometimes fairly scattered random thoughts.

    • Steffen

      I agree. I like the format very much. Brad, if nothing else comes to mind, a sarcastic comment on a bland movie is always highly appreciated. :-)

      Posted On December 5th, 2011 at 8:24 am in reply to Sven.
  2. Casper

    Next weekend New Year's Eve takes the top spot

    • Stiggy

      Unless NYE "underperforms" due to it's holiday name not coresponding with it's release date wekend. In other words if Hugo expands even further, Hugo could win the weekend.

      • Casper

        Don't think so. NYE has so much star power although I'd like to see Hugo win weekend. NYE has so much more theater counts. I'm betting NYE on top but we'll see

        Posted On December 4th, 2011 at 1:48 pm in reply to Stiggy.
  3. goavs

    Crap = $ apparently

  4. I just received The Ides of March, The Tree of Life, Warrior, Beginners, Friends with Benefits, Midnight in Paris, The Whistleblower, The Guard, The Help and Our Idiot Brother.

    I haven't seen any of them so I have a lot of catching up to do. Especially because I'm soon going to be receiving The Descendants, A Dangerous Method, We Bought a Zoo, The Artist, Albert Knobbs, Shame, Hugo and My Week with Marilyn.

    AND I haven't seen The Muppets or Rango either! You can see that I am WAY behind!

    • Caroline

      just out of curiosity do you have a self imposed deadline to get all this done?

      • For the last years, I did. In 2009, my deadline was to watch two-hundred 2009 movies before the 2010 Oscars. Last year, my deadline was to watch 250 2010 movies before the Oscars. I completed my goal, but I had to watch so much crappy films that I said "screw it" this year, and now I'm only going to try to watch good movies. So far I've only seen about 30 or 40 and a lot of them sucked.

        I'll hope to see all of these before the 2012 awards season starts, but watching it before the Oscars is fine for me.

  5. Rocketman

    The Muppets…I believe their problems are linked to their awful marketing campaign. The spoofs of Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Twilight and other 'adult' films would not have been relevant to children. Sure, the film has multi-generation appeal, but primarily you have to make the children want to see the film – there is only so much cash to make out of Gen X keen for some nostalgia. Plus, the posters had Jason Segel front and centre, rather than the title characters. As muc as I love The Muppets, there is no way I can tolerate Jason Segel in a motion picture. I think the final blow was when the media ran stories about the former muppet performers not being happy with the film. I really think the producers needed their support to push this over the edge.

  6. Ian

    Impressive numbers continue from the limited releases. I'm taking a trip to D.C. to catch Martha Marcy May Marlene, My Week With Marilyn, and Shame tomorrow; unfortunately I don't have access to The Artist or A Dangerous Method yet so those will have to wait.

    As far as The Descendents's Oscar chances, I think it's best hope is Best Actor and Best Adapted Screenplay. It'll be nominated for Best Picture and Payne will likely be nominated for Director, but it's too quirky and realistic for the Academy with much more traditional fare like The Artist (traditional here meaning in terms of Academy tastes), War Horse, and even Hugo, out there.

    Next weekend New Year's Eve will win, though I wouldn't look for it to hit Valentine's Day numbers. Around $35 million sounds about right, with The Sitter in the high teens. Focus looks like they're about to butcher the release of Tinker Tailor as any chance for anything approaching nationwide expansion will likely be pushed to January now.

  7. Tom

    Why the hate on Tower Heist? It wasn't a perfect or great film, no, but it was funny and an entertaining experience overall.

  8. Casper

    Can't wait for Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows

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