Weekend Box-Office: 'Twilight: Breaking Dawn – Part 1' is the Fifth Best Opening of All-Time
COMMENTS
While Happy Feet Two stumbles all over the floor
No surprise at the top as the fans turned out early and often to support their favorite human and vampire and werewolf love triangle. Let's quickly break down this weekend as I am obviously late to get these numbers up due to my morning screening of Arthur Christmas.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 1 Weeks In A Row
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1
Let's see, the second best midnight opening ever with $30.3 million, the third-best opening day ever and now the fifth best opening weekend of all-time. I think it's safe to say the Twilight franchise is a continued success and the fans are happy to support it.
On top of the domestic success, the film garnered an additional $144 million overseas, giving it a franchise best $283.5 million worldwide opening.
As far as predictions go, it wasn't able to hit Laremy's lofty $150 million call, but Stiggy's $139 million call was almost on the button and Topyxyz's $140 million prediction captures the other side of the $500,000 divide.
Weekend: $139.5 million
RottenTomatoes Score: 27%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $150.25 million was $10.75m off for a percentage error of 7.71%.
RottenTomatoes Score: 27%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $150.25 million was $10.75m off for a percentage error of 7.71%.
So, Twilight is the weekend's big success story while Happy Feet Two is the weekend's sob story. The original opened to $41.5 million on the same weekend and then went on to win the Best Animated Feature Oscar. The sequel won't enjoy the same result and its fate may be decided sooner rather than later as it faces Arthur Christmas, The Muppets and Hugo in only three days. Yikes!
Laremy was well off in his prediction, but John PT wasn't fooled with a $25.67 million prediction that was the best on the board.
Weekend: $22 million / RottenTomatoes: 43%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $43.27 million, which is $21.27m off for a 96.68% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $43.27 million, which is $21.27m off for a 96.68% error.
3. Immortals
Egh, a nearly 62% drop from last weekend's #1 isn't too good and a sign that word of mouth wasn't as good as the B+ CinemaScore led me to believe. Doesn't change the fact I had a lot of fun with this film and look forward to seeing it again.
Weekend: $12.2 million (-61.9% drop) / Cume: $52.9 million / RottenTomatoes: 36%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $17.71 million, which is $5.51m off for a 45.16% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $17.71 million, which is $5.51m off for a 45.16% error.
A 53.8% drop and it looks like this will be the first Adam Sandler-starring film to not hit $100 million in 11 years. Have the mighty fallen or does Sandler simply need a bigger co-star than Katie Holmes and himself in drag to bring in the patrons?
Weekend: $12 million (-53.8% drop) / Cume: $41 million / RottenTomatoes: 4%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $13 million, which is $1m off for a 8.33% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $13 million, which is $1m off for a 8.33% error.
It's over $100 million and looks to be a solid contender for an animated Oscar nomination.
Weekend: $10.7 million (-58% drop) / Cume: $122.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 82%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $17.29 million, which is $6.59m off for a 61.59% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $17.29 million, which is $6.59m off for a 61.59% error.
6. Tower Heist
I have nothing to say about this one.
Weekend: $7 million (-47% drop) / Cume: $53.4 million / RottenTomatoes: 69%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $6.38 million, which is $0.62m off for a 8.86% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $6.38 million, which is $0.62m off for a 8.86% error.
7. J. Edgar
A 48% drop is okay I guess, but when you don't make much money in the first place it still doesn't bode well for your cume. Does this film stand much of a chance overseas? Will anyone care? Because that $35 million production budget still looms.
Weekend: $5.9 million (-48.2% drop) / Cume: $20.6 million / RottenTomatoes: 40%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.38 million, which is $0.52m off for a 8.81% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.38 million, which is $0.52m off for a 8.81% error.
A 72% RottenTomatoes rating is quite good, but after three weeks this film is still $2 million behind its predecessor even with inflated 3D ticket prices. So clearly fewer people have gone to see it and it also tells me people are tired of paying 3D ticket prices. Understandable.
Weekend: $2.9 million (-50.8% drop) / Cume: $28.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 72%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $3.13 million, which is $0.23m off for a 7.93% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $3.13 million, which is $0.23m off for a 7.93% error.
9. In Time
Timberlake doesn't have anything officially lined up after this film outside of a rumored involvement in the Coen brothers' Inside Llewyn Davis. Amanda Seyfried will next be seen in Gone, which, if comments on the first trailer are any indication, maybe Seyfried should have avoided.
Weekend: $1.6 million (-61% drop) / Cume: $33.4 million / RottenTomatoes: 38%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $1.71 million, which is $0.11m off for a 6.87% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $1.71 million, which is $0.11m off for a 6.87% error.
10. The Descendants
No one on Laremy's Thursday Oracle article predicted The Descendants would land a spot in the top ten, but, along with Twilight, it is definitely the success story of the weekend. Alexander Payne's latest film opened in only 29 theaters on Wednesday and scored a massive $41,379 per theater over the weekend. That will definitely further the film's Oscar chances where people are already calling it a Best Picture front-runner and George Clooney is eying that Best Actor Oscar.
Weekend: $1.2 million / Cume: $1.3 million / RottenTomatoes: 90%
Laremy's rank: Not Ranked
Laremy's rank: Not Ranked
Now we look forward only a few days as a whole slew of wide and limited releases make their way to theaters just ahead of Thanksgiving.
As I already mentioned, Arthur Christmas, The Muppets and Hugo fit the family demo while My Week with Marilyn hits limited theaters.
And if you're in New York and Los Angeles you can catch The Artist and A Dangerous Method and Rampart will also be making its way to a couple of select theaters, though only for a week as it will get a wider release in late January.
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Yes! Yes! Yes! OMG, Breaking Dawn – Part 1 is absolutely incredible! I can’t wait for Part 2! MORE MORE MORE!!!! Don't ever stop making Twilight movies! They've never been better…never! Never better! Woooo! :)
hmmmm….i c…Doctor, we have a screamer …
this just convinces me more that women are from Venus and we are from mars…. coz i found it absolutely atrocious!!
Great. Hope that Muppets top next weekend or Arthur Christmas but have a feeling Twilight will repeat the win
Unless Happy Feet 2 somehow gets a huge bump.
I predict that Arthur Christmas will start slow but keeps holding well in the build up to Christmas itself.
Disney's A Christmas Carol, another christmas film that was bizzarely released in Niovember, fully took advantage of that.
No surprise seeing what the top movie was this weekend. And, the first comment causes me great pain both physically and mentally. I need to lie down.
I don't really have much to say – the weekend was such a foregone conclusion and there's so little else apart from The Descendants worth talking about in the Top Ten.
Silly boys, you know men when it comes to Twilight, they become such little babies!
I love the Twilight series! Breaking Dawn – Part 1 was amazing!
Oh, God, the only thing that’s going through my head to describe this movie, it’s like sex with an orgasm at the end of it!
No, men don't go crazy over a film just because it has 2 semi-attractive people in the lead and it's currently the 'in' thing to like. Especially when the leads give a performance that has little warmth or personality.
Not all men hate romance films, that's a fallacy.
We just like the ones that are actually GOOD.
No … but the Internet does seem to exert an obsessive amount of energy worrying about and trashing fans of Twilight. I saw the first movie, and I thought it was bad. I moved on. What do I care if someone else enjoys it? C'est la vie.
Next week is going to be difficult. Anything could happen. The three new releases are all family films, but The Muppets has the most buzz. One of them could be number one, or they could cancel each other out and Twilight can pull out a repeat. Honestly, I don't know what will happen.
I got the impression that Arthur Christmas had more buzz simply due to it's Christmas setting.
Glad to see Immortals drop. One of the absolute worst films I have seen in years. I was so close on my Twilight IV prediction ($138.6 Million). We will see when the final numbers come out. Maybe I will end up being more on the nose than it now appears.
But I can't believe I predicted over $50 million for happy Feet II. I think they really needed to have this out in theaters 2 years ago.
As for next Week i predict Hugo to Bomb big-time and for Twilight to easily Re-win the weekend with over $55 Million. dont think kids care for Muppets either. How absurd is it to be releasing 3 (!!!) films geared toward children on the same day.
SO Next weekeend (4 day)
Twlight= 67 Million
Arthur Christmas = 31 Million
The Muppets = 18 Million
Hugo = 11.2 Millon
More likely that Breaking Dawn will plummet a little more than that.
1. Happy Feet 2 $32 milion (will get a bump due to the family market being available on Friday)
2. Breaking Dawn part 1 $30 million (This will be the biggest drop for the franchise yet prooving once again that the midnight takings of $30 million was nothing but a one shot thing)
3. The Muppets $28 million (The appearences on WWE Raw and Saturday Night Live may help or hinder it)
4. Arthur Christmas $24 million (Starts slow but holds well in following weekends as a result of the build up to Christmas itself)
5. A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas (another film that could still benefit from the Christmas build up
6. Immortals
7. Hugo (not enough screens)
8. Tower Heist
9. Puss in Boots
10. Jack & Jill
You really thing a movie that made 21 Million last weekend will end up beating a movie that made 138 Million this weekend?
Really?
Breaking Dawn will be frontloaded as hell. New Moon made around $142 million on it's first weekend. On it's second, it made $41 million. The franchise has essentially given the term frontloading a new definition. There's no way it will make $67 million this weekend.
Well its lookin like a bit over $61 million for the 5 days for Twilight… And about 18 million for Happy feet 2. Muppets ended up doing quite a bit better than i thought.
If 80% of Breaking Dawn viewers were female and they gave it an A- Cinemascore, does the overall B+ Cinemascore mean guys gave this film a C ?
Booyah! I got 'ma name in your article!
I guess it's clear at this point that Twilight's audience is established, and it's not changing much. And a year from now, it will (mercifully) be over. Happy Feet looks to have fallen victim to the animated sequel bug that's bitten Kung Fu Panda and Cars. On a positive note, what a great opening for The Descendents. It should expand pretty rapidly now…based on some of the theatres around me that are picking it up on Wednesday I'd say it could be looking at as many as 500 locations next weekend.
Next weekend Breaking Dawn will likely repeat with around $40 million, simply due to family film attrition. I honestly have no idea what to expect out of the new releases…perhaps mid $20s for Arthur Christmas and The Muppets, and maybe $10 million or less for Hugo, which is only getting around 1,200 locations.
Next weekend
1. Breaking Dawn $40 million
2. The Muppets $29 million
3. Arthur Christmas 16 million
Hugo will make around 6-8 million. Not enough theatres and too much competition.
First Adam Sandler movie not to reach $100mil in 11 years? Are you forgetting "Funny People"? That one didn't even reach $100mil worldwide, let alone domestically.
I think he was referring to the cornball bullshit LCD stuff like Click and You Don't Mess with the Zohan. You know, the movies with posters that have REALLY BIG FONTS.
This is why we can't have nice things. The Twilight makers know that their fans will watch any old tripe, so why even bother making a decent film?
At least it's all almost over – one more year!
I think people are being way too harsh on Happy Feet 2. Some critics refused to look deeper because this is not your usual type of kiddie animation film. I am actually shocked at reading some of the scathing reviews. Also, I think people are being too hypercritical because the first Happy Feet won the Oscar. I loved this movie. I found it far superior to Rango, Gnomeo & Juliet, and Cars 2. The animation was amazing. I think it has the best production values and cinematography of any animated film of 2011, I have seen so far. It has wonderful music. The story is in-depth, layered, complex, and much more meaningful than the first Happy Feet. Mumble and Erik are great characters. The voice acting was incredible. Pitt and Damon were standouts. There are important themes and messages about community, teamwork, bravery, overcoming obstacles, environmentalism, and how all walks of life connect to teach other. The movie was ambitious, it has a few flaws in that the plotline can be tedious and the dialogue could have been better, but the overall effect was great. I laughed, cried, and felt such empathy for these penguins. This movie has a lot of soul and heart. Erik, Atticus, and Bo are just adorable. There were so many twists and turns. The movie avoids some standard cliches. I just felt the amount of effort and hard work the entire cast and crew put into this movie. It is shame it has bombed at the box office and some critics are being too cold to it.
I thought the first three Twilight movies were absolute garbage. I watched it on DVD. I do not understand why this franchise is so successful. I will be very upset if Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn ends up beating Harry Potter & the Deathly Hallows Part 2 for highest grossing movie of 2011. It just seems that Twilight is just viewed as the event movie for the masses and the media gives it so much publicity. I am just embarrased for my gender for giving this franchise so much power.
My friends have seen Arthur Christmas, The Muppets, and Hugo at screenings. They said all three movies were worth watching in the theaters. One friend said Hugo was a masterpiece and Scorsese shows his skill in a different genre. Another friend said that The Muppets had good writing and was entertaining. The other pal said Arthur Christmas was original and a true delight. I loved Happy Feet 2 and would recommend it to families. On a different note, I thought Harold & Kumar's 3D Christmas was hysterical in a very crude way but it actually had some heart with good use of the 3D footage.
I think it was a risky movie by the studios to release 3 major family movies at the same time. I hope they perform well and I hope Happy Feet Two manages to have a decent holdover because it did not deserve to be crucified by Twilight. It could have been better but I still found it more memorable, heart-warming, and better than some of the other animated movies this year.
This weekend is a wildcard but these are my predictions:
1. The Muppets ( $50mil range)
2. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn ( $40 range)
3. Hugo ( $30 range)
4. Arthur Christmas ( $20 range)
5. Happy Feet Two ( I hope it has a decent holdover with $10-18 range)
It is kind of unpredictable but The Muppets and Hugo are getting more PR & buzz than the other movies.
Hugo has over 1000 screens less than Muppets and Arthur Christmas.
Don't worry about BD, Breaking Dawn part 2 will be slayed by Skyfall next year.
Edit: I think it was a risky move by the studios to release 3 major family films at the same time. Bizarre timing. It will be interesting to see what comes out on top this upcoming weekend. I am telling all of my friends to not watch Twilight. It sends a bad message for junk like this to make so much money and I do not want it to break any more records.
Unless the record in question is the biggest second weekend drop.
FInal Numbers show Twilight =138,122,261.
My prediction=$138.6
Did anyone get closer?