Weekend Box Office

Weekend Box Office: 'The Wolverine' Opens #1, 'Conjuring' Strong and Allen's 'Jasmine' is Huge

Wolverine's results may mean big things for next X-Men film

The Wolverine box office resultsThe weekend box office estimates are in and The Wolverine is #1 as was expected, but we aren't talking about any measure of domination here. Opening at just $55 million the result is $30 million less than 2009's X-Men Origins: Wolverine and pretty much exactly the same number as 2011's X-Men: First Class, but with inflated 3-D ticket prices we're still seeing a downward trend.

There is a silver lining, however, as opening weekend audiences gave the film an "A-" CinemaScore so the legs on this one could be long and Fox has to look at this as a solid response that could help next year's X-Men: Days of Future Past put the franchise on an upward trend.

In its second weekend in release, James Wan's highly successful The Conjuring fell only 47% and added another $22.1 million to its total, bringing its cume up to $83 million. On a budget of only $20 million it will be interesting to see how many sequels this new franchise spawns as this one is looking to bring home at least $125 million domestically if not more.

In its second weekend Turbo dropped only 37.5% for $13.3 million, but its small opening and the fact Despicable Me 2 is still dominating means this one will never rise too high at the domestic box.

I think it's important to mention that Adam Sandler's Grown Ups 2 just became his 14th domestic release to top $100 million in its third week in release so expect more where that came from and don't blame me, you supported it... or at least some of you. Yeah, you know who you are.

The excellent Fruitvale Station expanded into 1,064 theaters this weekend and managed $4.6 million for a $4,377 average and while that isn't all that great, hopefully word of mouth will begin to build and keep this one alive for a little while. After all, it's a fantastic film.

Finally, in limited release Woody Allen's Blue Jasmine starring Cate Blanchett opened in only six theaters in New York and Los Angeles and brought in $612,000 for a $102,128 per theater average, which is the best PTA of 2013 and of Allen's career. Is it possible he may have a bigger hit on his hands with this one than he did with Midnight in Paris? I know this, people are going to want to see Blanchett's performance because it is sure to be an Oscar nominee if not the winner. You can read my review of the film here.

Next week sees the release of The Smurfs 2 on Wednesday and the Denzel Washington and Mark Wahlberg actioner 2 Guns as well as limited releases such as The Spectacular Now and Lindsay Lohan's The Canyons in New York.

The weekend top ten is directly below followed by the current results in the reader box office prediction challenge, which will become official with actual box office results on Monday afternoon.

Weekend Box-Office Top Ten for July 26 - July 28, 2013

  1. The Wolverine was #1 at the box-office
  2. The Conjuring () - $22.2 million ($83.9m cume)
    From 3,022 theaters ($7,346 avg.) / $20 million budget / 86%
  3. Despicable Me 2 () - $16.4 million ($306.8m cume)
    From 3,476 theaters ($4,718 avg.) / $76 million budget / 75%
  4. Turbo () - $13.7 million ($56.1m cume)
    From 3,809 theaters ($3,597 avg.) / $135 million budget / 64%
  5. Grown Ups 2 () - $11.6 million ($101.7m cume)
    From 3,258 theaters ($3,560 avg.) / $80 million budget / 8%
  6. Red 2 () - $9.3 million ($35m cume)
    From 3,016 theaters ($3,084 avg.) / $84 million budget / 41%
  7. Pacific Rim () - $7.7 million ($84.1m cume)
    From 3,602 theaters ($2,138 avg.) / $190 million budget / 72%
  8. The Heat () - $6.9 million ($141.3m cume)
    From 2,384 theaters ($2,894 avg.) / $43 million budget / 65%
  9. R.I.P.D. () - $6 million ($24.5m cume)
    From 2,850 theaters ($2,105 avg.) / $130 million budget / 12%
  10. Fruitvale Station () - $4.5 million ($6.2m cume)
    From 1,064 theaters ($4,229 avg.) / 94%
Click here to browse our box-office charts and compare Laremy's predictions

READER PREDICTION RESULTS

These are the actual weekend results and the weekend's winners are now final.
The reader prediction leaderboard has been updated and can be seen here.

The Wolverine
  1. The Wolverine
  2. ACTUAL: $53.1 million
  3. G-Man
    $54.0 million prediction / $0.9 million off
  4. Jack Tyler
    $54 million prediction / $0.9 million off
  5. Disco Paco
    $52 million prediction / $1.1 million off
  6. Shaun Heenan
    $54.3 million prediction / $1.2 million off
  7. Dave AD
    $55.5 million prediction / $2.4 million off
Fruitvale Station
  1. Fruitvale Station
  2. ACTUAL: $4.5 million
  3. Ryguy815
    $4.5 million prediction / Exactly Right!
  4. Michael Harrison
    $4.5 million prediction / Exactly Right!
  5. tomsen
    $4.5 million prediction / Exactly Right!
  6. The Movie Guru
    $4.6 million prediction / $0.1 million off
  7. eric hirschi
    $4.4 million prediction / $0.1 million off
The Conjuring
  1. The Conjuring
  2. ACTUAL: $22.2 million
  3. Christian
    $22.1 million prediction / $0.1 million off
  4. YeeHaa
    $22.3 million prediction / $0.1 million off
  5. tomsen
    $22.1 million prediction / $0.1 million off
  6. Vibhor Panda
    $22.4 million prediction / $0.2 million off
  7. Rob
    $22.5 million prediction / $0.3 million off
Turbo
  1. Turbo
  2. ACTUAL: $13.7 million
  3. cineJAB
    $13.6 million prediction / $0.1 million off
  4. Ryan Jayden
    $13.9 million prediction / $0.2 million off
  5. Baca
    $13.5 million prediction / $0.2 million off
  6. Daniel Prinn
    $13.5 million prediction / $0.2 million off
  7. MM
    $14 million prediction / $0.3 million off

SCORING: A total number of five (5) readers win for each movie. The reader with the closest prediction on a movie wins five (5) points, second closest wins four (4) points and so on. In the event of a tie, the winner is determined by the reader that posted his/her prediction first.

For a complete look at the rules and regulations on how to compete click the "Rules & Regulations" tab at the top of the page right here.

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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Winchester/ Winchester

    At the very least I succeeded in my ambition to get nil points!

    Personally, although I went way too high on The Wolverine itself I don't think this is a disastrous opening in and of itself. X-Men Origins: Wolverine was pretty much hated by the majority and it also isn't an apples to apples comparison because it also was one of the opening salvo's of the 2009 Summer movie season opening in May vs late July. It probably 'should' have done a bit better and topped $60 million but if it gets t a 2.5 multiple it'll do around $120-130 million. The foreign will be much better I think thanks to the expansion of that market so it should be able to go past $300 million which it needs to do on a reported $120 million budget. With a good cinemascore it may even do a bit better than that although probably matching even the $179 million of the 2009 film will not be possible.

    However, given that I believe 'Days of Future Past' is having in excess of $200 million thrown at it budget wise and none of the last three X-Men films have passed $400 million global I think Fox needs to look carefully at whether or not the X-Franchise has an earning's ceiling and look at budgets which are appropriate to that if they want to keep it viable.

    Obviously an excellent start for Allen and you have to then hope that the Oscar buzz doesn't start (and thus peak) too early if it's that likely a contender. However, strong limited openings do not always translate to good grosses in wide release (as The Master learned) so whether it can go the distance is yet an open question.

    Next weekend I think Denzel and Wahlberg can drive their film to top spot as I think that Smurfs will burn off demand with the midweek opening. Denzel is reliable at the box office and has been on a bit of a streak lately.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/andyluvsfilms/ andyluvsfilms

    In glad the smaller movies have had a good week, as for The Wolverine I'm likely to watch it at some point as I like Jackman but perhaps he should consider hanging up his claws, after all what else can you do with this character?

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/phil5150/ Phillip Stolts

    Given the "collectibles" room in The Conjuring, this franchise can go in so many directions.

  • http://www.digitalkebab.com Shaun Heenan

    Crushed it lowballing Wolverine.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/JNFilms/ JN Films

    I think I might stop predicting, zero points again.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      Yet, you're #33 on the accuracy charts. Remember, points aren't everything.

  • http://www.rabidpictures.com Yaz

    I'm pleased to see The Wolverine didn't make more. It was a poor film in my opinion and Fox needs to wake up and realize their Marvel franchises need to be improved upon.

    • http://themoviegurusblog.blogspot.com The Movie Guru

      My thoughts exactly. The old franchise is dead (the trilogy that ran from 2000-2006 and the two Wolverine spin-offs), focus on the new one (First Class), which produced the best X-Men film of all.

      Here's hoping that Days of Future Past will deliver.