Box Office Predictions

Box Office: 'Oz' Goes for a Repeat at #1 Over 'The Call' and 'The Incredible Burt Wonderstone'

Halle Berry and Steve Carrell won't have the power this weekend

Weekend Box-Office Predictions

Oz the Great and PowerfulOz the Great and Powerful has all its ducks in a row for the repeat victory. I've got it coming in at $38 million even with a 53 percent drop. That dip represents something around Alice in Wonderland mixed with a healthy dose of The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey. If you've got a better line of reasoning, I'd love to hear it.

The film stands at $167 million worldwide on a hefty $215 million budget so there's still plenty of work left to do for James Franco and company. Trivia: With a win this weekend, Oz the Great and Powerful will become the first two-time winner of 2013.

The first newcomer of the weekend to consider is The Incredible Burt Wondersone, placed tentatively at $20.5 million. Steve Carrell should have broad-based appeal, or at least broad enough to move 3 million tickets. It also has the helpful PG-13 rating to enter the arena with, unlike the movie we're about to break down.

The Call is, of course, not very good. I can only put it at $13.8 million based on the pedigree of R-rated thrillers in March. Thankfully, the initial reports seem to indicate this was made on the cheap, which means they could be better off than Burt Wonderstone even though they are spotting that title just under $7 million this weekend. However, if the budget comes in anywhere above $30 million they are likely doomed.

Jack the Giant Slayer will continue to face withering drops, likely because I was silly enough to draft it in my box office challenge against Brad. I've got it as the biggest dipper this weekend, 55 percent or bust.

How say you? Be a hero, make a call on The Call or The Incredible Burt Wonderstone!

Current Streak: Six weekends in a row.
Chances of Streak Being Broken: Twenty five percent.
Reason: Could The Call or The Incredible Burt Wonderstone over-perform? Like Kevin Garnett said, "Anything is possible!"

Major Theater Chain (MTC) Tracking
The Call: not available
The Incredible Burt Wonderstone: not available

SIDE NOTE: Some of the theater numbers below are estimates. We'll have the actual counts in Sunday's wrap-up article.

Laremy's Box-Office Predictions for March 15 - March 17, 2013

  1. Oz the Great and Powerful was #1 at the box-office
  2. The Incredible Burt Wonderstone () - $20.5 million
    Playing in 3,150 theaters ($6,508 avg.) / 37%
  3. The Call () - $13.8 million
    Playing in 2,500 theaters ($5,520 avg.) / 41%
  4. The Call () - $13.8 million
    Playing in 2,500 theaters ($5,520 avg.) / 41%
  5. Jack the Giant Slayer () - $4.4 million
    Playing in 3,525 theaters ($1,248 avg.) / $195 million budget / 52%
  6. Identity Thief () - $3.6 million
    Playing in 2,700 theaters ($1,333 avg.) / $35 million budget / 20%
  7. Snitch () - $2.6 million
    Playing in 2,000 theaters ($1,300 avg.) / 57%
  8. 21 and Over () - $2.5 million
    Playing in 2,500 theaters ($1,000 avg.) / $13 million budget / 29%
  9. Dead Man Down () - $2.4 million
    Playing in 2,188 theaters ($1,097 avg.) / 38%
  10. Silver Linings Playbook () - $2 million
    Playing in 1,350 theaters ($1,481 avg.) / $21 million budget / 92%
Click here to browse our box-office charts and compare Laremy's predictions
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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/MovieFan/ Movie Fan

    - Oz the Great and Powerful: $35.1 million
    - The Incredible Burt Wonderstone: $19.7 million
    - The Call: $11.4 million

  • gripmonster

    Identity Thief won two weekends. Oz wouldn't be the first.

    • Josh Z

      I think he means two in a row. Identity Thief won it's first and third.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

    1. Oz: The Great and Powerful - $41 million
    2. The Incredible Burt Wonderstone - $23.4 Million
    3. The Call - 9.8 million
    4. Jack the Giant Slayer - 5.1 million
    5. Identity Thief - 3.2 million

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Corbin/ Corbin

    1. Oz: the Great and Powerful-$39.8 million
    2. Incredible Burt Wonderstone- $27.4 million
    3. The Call- $12.6 million
    4. Jack the Giant Slayer- $5.8 million
    5. Identity Thief- $4.6 million

  • AZ

    1. Oz: the Great and Powerful: $44.2 million
    2. Burt Wonderstone: $20 million
    3. Jack The Giant Slayer: $6 million
    4. The Call: $4 million
    5. Identity Thief: $3.2 million

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Rach/ Rach

    Burt Wonderstone-10 mil
    The Call-8 million

  • Chris Etrata

    Oz: 46.5 million
    Burt Wonderstone: 11.2 million
    The Call: 5.3 million

  • Austin G.

    Oz - $37.1 million
    Burt Wonderstone - $17.8 million
    The Call - $8.5 million

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/coltonhaynes22/ coltonhaynes22

    1. Oz : the Great and Powerful- $36.6 million
    2. Incredible Burt Wonderstone- $16.9 million
    3. The Call- $13.4 million
    4. Jack the Giant Slayer- $5.8 million
    5. Identity Thief- $3.3 million
    6. 21 and Over- $3.1 million
    7. Snitch- $2.7 million
    8. Dead Man Down- $2.4 million
    9. Silver Linings Playbook- $2.2 million
    10. Safe Haven- $1.7 million

  • John Debono

    1. Oz The Great and Powerful: $37.3 million
    2. Incredible Burt Wonderstone: $25.4 million
    3. The Call: $11.8 million
    4. Jack The Giant Slayer: $6.1 million
    5. Identity Thief: $3.5 million

  • Dennis

    The Call 6.7
    Burt Wonderstone 13.3 mil

  • gerberzy

    Oz- 42.2 million
    Burt- 16.5 million
    Call- 8.7 million

  • Jaylav3205

    Oz - 37.6
    Burt Wonderstone - 22.3
    The Call - 11.3

  • Bustray

    Oz- $39.2 MILLION
    Burt Wonderstone- $17.3 million
    The Call- $12 million

  • Jake

    The theater count for silver linings is off, it will be at least 1600

  • Athar

    1. Oz the Great and Powerful - $ 47 million
    2. The Incredible Burt Wonderstone - $ 27.5 million
    3. The Call - $ 11.2 million

  • Mykael

    1. Oz The Great and Powerful - $37.2 million
    2. The Incredible Burt Wonderstone - $15.8 million
    3. The Call - $11.1 million
    4. Jack the Giant Slayer - $5.5 million
    5. Identity Thief - $3.8 million

  • http://usbopredictions2013.blogspot.com/ Mario

    The Call -- 17,05 mln (2750 theaters, $6200 per theater)
    The Incredible Burt Wonderstone -- 21 mln (3000 theaters, $7000 per theater)

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      Sorry, you have to get the predictions in before Friday.

  • Yaz

    The Incredible Burt Wonderstone tops Oz.

  • chriscarmichael

    Oz - 42.6
    Burt Wonderstone - 17.3
    The Call - 4.3

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/lawhs89/ lawhs89

    "The Call" is killing "Wonderstone" after Fridays numbers. Nobody here called that.

    • http://usbopredictions2013.blogspot.com/ Mario

      It could mean audiences of TIBW and Oz are the same, despite the first one is rated PG-13 and the second one is rated PG. So as they go to see Oz, they don't go see TIBW. Interesting...