Weekend Box-Office: 'Immortals' Takes #1 Convincingly, Best 'Jack and Jill' and 'Puss in Boots'
Next week we see 'Twilight' return to the stage
Immortals
Well, most critics did try and drag their film down, but it didn't seem to have much of an effect as Tarsem Singh's war of the Gods takes home #1 with a $32 million weekend domestically and another $36 million overseas. For a film that was tracking around $25 million, that's quite impressive. Word of mouth may end up good as well as it managed a B CinemaScore from audiences.
Unfortunately for Laremy, his predictions for the top three were a bit off, but looking over reader predictions from Thursday, no one else did much better with "chriscarmichael" being the only one to predict Immortals would win with a $25.9 million prediction. There was even a prediction as low as $8 million… Glad that didn't come true.
RottenTomatoes Score: 37%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 and his prediction of $23.1 million was $8.9m off for a percentage error of 27.81%.
No Adam Sandler film has opened to less than $27.4 million and gone on to end its theatrical run with more than $100 million. Will Jack and Jill set a new Sandler standard? It did earn B CinemaScores from audiences as well, but the 3% RottenTomatoes rating is the lowest for a film Sandler has starred in ever.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $18.4 million, which is $7.6m off for a 29.23% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 with $23.14 million, which is $2.36m off for a 9.25% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $13.7 million, which is $0.5m off for a 3.79% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $12.35 million, which is $0.95m off for a 8.33% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $5.7 million, which is $0.2m off for a 3.39% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.34 million, which is $0.24m off for a 5.85% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.33 million, which is $0.73m off for a 20.28% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $2.58 million, which is $0.12m off for a 4.44% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $2.03 million, which is $0.03m off for a 1.5% error.
In limited action Werner Herzog's death row documentary Into the Abyss opened in 12 theaters and brought in $50,800 while Brazil's Foreign language Oscar submission, Elite Squad: The Enemy Within opened in one theater and brought home $9,500. I'm seeing Elite Squad this coming week and really looking forward to it as buzz has been great.
As for next weekend we all know The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 is going to take home the #1 spot, but do you care to wager an early guess on how much it will make? If you would like a little help, both Twilight and The Twilight Saga: New Moon opened in November, the first bringing in $69.6 million and the second bringing in $142.8 million. Eclipse was a June opener and only managed $64 million last year.
Next weekend's other new release is Happy Feet Two, which should also enjoy a big opening weekend considering it's following it's Oscar-winning predecessor which opened to $41.5 in 2006.
Weigh in on this weekend and next below.
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Relativity hides something about budget for Immortals. A couple of months ago it was about $120mil and few weeks before its release it's suddenly $75mil.
Twilight around 72.5
Yeah, Deadline has a few things to say about the $75 million claim and since I had always been under the impression that it's budget was well over $100 million at minimum. I confess to not knowing exactly what level of tax credits you can get, but shaving $45 million off via them seems pretty generous.
It's a better opening than maybe would have been expected, although that Saturday drop should be noted. Guess we'll see how it holds next weekend but since Breaking Dawn will massacre everything………..
It's surely going to go over $100 million (yes, Eclipse only made $64 million on it's official three day weekend but that was after a $68 million first day and subsequent franchise burnout over an actual five day start of $157 million) based on a return to the New Moon three day start. They are getting reasonably predictable. I would suspect something in excess of $140 million again since the fanbase is pretty much about the same as it was then and while there may be no more 'new' viewers the existing ones will be enough to provide the box office with an Earthquake.
Happy Feet 2 I think will probably do about the same as the first one. Maybe a little more adjusted.
I'd look for PA4 on 10/19 next year, as 2012 is a leap year and that will be the Friday. I think it's telling that even with Texas Chainsaw Massacre and Halloween both featuring 3D adaptations next October, both have steered clear of that third weekend…they know, like everyone else, that PA will be there.
I said a month or so ago that I thought Breaking Dawn probably had a potential OW range of $125-150 million, and I really don't have any better idea now. It's obviously not as popular a franchise as Harry Potter, though it's close domestically. But from what I gather, all the good stuff that people are excited about happens in Part 1, with the end of the book being a huge letdown. So maybe it will skew higher than Deathly Hallows 1's $125 million. The OW record is in no danger. And I don't see Happy Feet improving much, if at all, on its predecessor. I get the feeling it may be in Kung Fu Panda 2's and Cars 2's situations of just being another iteration of the brand without much new to actually offer. It's also stuck between the highly successful Puss in Boots and the more high profile Muppets.
I wouldn't consider Muppets as high profile when there's also Arthur Christmas and Hugo entering the market.
Next Weekend
Breaking Dawn Part 1: 116 million
Happy Feet 2: 38 million
Happy Feet 2 might reach the $50 million OW mark.
Family films often do gangbusters and the first Happy Feet was beloved by many.
Another thing Happy Feet 2 has going for it is the new Daffy Duck short titled Daffy's Rhapsody. Some people might flock to Happy Feet 2 just to see Daffy Duck in theatres.
I plan to see Immortals next week. Most of my friends say it is great, so i belive it deserves better than 37% on RT.
I'll say something about Footloose. It's not doing too well overseas. It will still be profitable, but this result could reinforce the thinking that you need stars to sell your movie worldwide.
…or at least street cred like Step Up. Step Up had lots of dancers who already did dance competitions/exhibitions for real.
Interesting to note that although Jack & Jill has a 3% from critics on Rottentomatoes, for the audience, it has a 54%. I think this is the standard for a lot of comedies these days, where critics hate, but audiences generally enjoy (other notable recent mentions include: The Change Up (24%C vs. 57%A), Hangover 2 (36%C vs. 59%A), Grown Ups (10%C vs. 59%A).
Can't wait for Sherlock Holmes & Tintin
Yaaay!!
Finally got a mention!