This Sunday, January 27, the 2013 Screen Actors Guild Awards will be held and we will once again be live-blogging the event with up-to-the-minute commentary and winners, but before we get to all that, let's see if we can predict the winners.
Of course, I didn't really do all that well predicting the Golden Globes a couple weeks back, where I went six-for-14 and in the top six categories I only got three right. The reader polls didn't do much better, though they bested me, with four out of six... Let's see if we can all do a little better this time around.
Below I have included my predictions in the five motion picture categories along with a few comments and a poll for you to vote on the winner. I believe we will all get at least two right as Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) and Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) are essentially locks for a victory, but the other three categories aren't so easy.
Argo seems to be the film that's surging at the moment, while Dreamworks is continuing to push the Lincoln vote hard and you know the Weinstein Co. is hoping to come away with an ensemble victory for Silver Linings Playbook and a win for Jennifer Lawrence in Best Actress over Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty). They don't have Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) to push in Best Supporting Actor, which really opens that field up, but I'll talk more on that down below.
Let's have a look at the five motion picture categories and also get your votes on each.
I will leave the polls open until midday Sunday, when I will close all five and post the results of each on the site before the start of our live-blogging event of the 2012 SAG Awards starting sometime around 3:30 PST.
MY PICK: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
This is a lay-up, we all know how this one is going to turn out unless someone hacked the results.
Total Voters: 829
MY PICK: Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
I am still confidently predicting Jennifer Lawrence is going to beat Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) at the Oscars and that confidence comes from an expectation that Lawrence will also be taking home the SAG Award. The two actresses were both awarded at the Globes and the last time they went head-to-head, at the Critics' Choice Awards, Chastain came out on top. That said, I see the critics going one way and the actors going another. How about you?
Total Voters: 845
MY PICK: Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Probably the hardest prediction on the board to make. I'm going wth Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master), largely because the love for Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) doesn't really seem to be there and I don't think Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook) has enough juice just yet. Crstoph Waltz (Django Unchained) won the Golden Globe, but he isn't eligible here and Hoffman won the Critics' Choice Award, which I don't really think gives him too much of an edge, but the fact he's won something and Jones has so far won nothing (outside of the Las Vegas Critics Award), I have to go with Hoffman here.
Best Supporting Actor
Total Voters: 803
MY PICK: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Okay, every bit as much as Daniel Day-Lewis is a sure-thing, so is Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) and I'm sure we'll all be treated to some sort of "Oh my, I never expected it speech" as she preps for her Oscar crowning, but that's the price of admission folks.
Best Supporting Actress
Total Voters: 774
MY PICK: Silver Linings Playbook
The year Shakespeare in Love beat Saving Private Ryan at the Oscars for Best Picture, Shakespeare also won the SAG Award for Best Ensemble as well as Best Actress (Gwyneth Paltrow), which means at this point you have to either decide history is going to repeat itself or the times they are a changin'. My prediction is in.
Total Voters: 782
And that does it for my predictions, but on top of the voting above be sure to add your thoughts in the comments below.
I will see you here this Sunday for the 2013 Screen Actors Guild Awards. The show begins at 6 p.m. (ET)/ 3 p.m. (PT) and the live blog wll probably begin 30 minutes or so before the show starts. I will be blogging with my podcast partner in crime Laremy Legel, and we will be using a new format that should make following the action much, much easier. We can't wait!