Oscar Predictions

Updated 2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress

Two races that may be too close to call up until the very end

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor and Actress

With the lead actors taken care of (for now) we move to Best Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress, two races that are likely to be the most competitive this season as neither can claim they are locked in.

While Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) remains my #1 in the Supporting Actor category any number of contenders could move into that slot should someone enjoy a good run in the precursors or end up snubbed at the upcoming SAG or Golden Globe nominations.

In the Supporting Actress category for the longest time it was a race between Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave) and Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels' The Butler), but things have changed a bit over recent weeks and it's becoming increasingly difficult to call anyone a frontrunner in this category.

I still have my Screenplay predictions to update today and they are coming shortly, but if you missed my Best Picture and Director predictions earlier you can find those here and my updated Best Actor and Actress predictions here. As for the Supporting categories you can find those detailed below along with links to browse my complete, ranked field of contenders.

Also, be sure to stay up-to-date with my Awards Calendar as the Los Angeles Film Critics will hand out their awards this Sunday, December 8 and next week on December 11 and 12 we'll have the Screen Actors Guild and Golden Globe nominations.

Supporting Actor

jared-leto-dallas-buyers-club-featIt pains me to do it, but I had to bump Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips) from the top five and replace him with Will Forte (Nebraska). Such is the way of things when you're predicting the Oscars, you have to put your personal preferences aside, wet your finger and put it to the wind.

As for the rest of the top five, I'm sticking with Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) with strong competition from Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks) and Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave).

  1. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
  2. Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
  3. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
  4. Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
  5. Will Forte (Nebraska)

Find my complete, ranked list of 20 contenders right here.

Supporting Actress

lupitaEven though Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave) lost out to Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) with the New York critics and Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station) with the National Board of Review, I'm sticking with her at #1 here. Lawrence is definitely pushing hard following her win last year for Silver Linings Playbook and Spencer is all but guaranteed a nom at this point, but I still think Nyong'o has enough support.

The more interesting aspect of the story may be to wonder where Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels' The Butler) will land in all of this. Once considered by many to be the frontrunner, her name isn't mentioned much any longer, could she slip even further?

  1. Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
  2. Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
  3. Oprah Winfrey (Lee Daniels' The Butler)
  4. Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)
  5. June Squibb (Nebraska)

Find my complete, ranked list of 20 contenders right here.

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  • Jack Tylers

    1. Leto
    2. Hanks
    3. Fassbender
    4. Hill
    5. Gandolfini

    1. Squibb
    2. Oprah
    3. Lupita
    4. Julia Roberts
    5. Lawrence

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ian/ Ian

    For Supporting Actress I'm sticking with Roberts over Squibb:
    1. Oprah Winfrey
    2. Lupita Nyong'o
    3. Jennifer Lawrence
    4. Octavia Spencer
    5. Julia Roberts

    Having now seen Dallas Buyers Club I'm on board with Leto since Fassbender isn't winning. This still seems like the most wide open category, but for now:
    1. Jared Leto
    2. Tom Hanks
    3. Will Forte
    4. Michael Fassbender

    And for the last slot I have absolutely no idea.

  • Mike Askari

    You can remove alot of performances on the best supporting actress list .. like atleast 5/6.

  • PJ Edwards

    How can Nyongo'o win Oscar when she cant even win a critic award?

    • Sabrina

      Last year Jennifer didn't win the critic award too, Rachel Weisz did. But still Jennifer won the Oscar and Rachel didn't even get a nomination for it.

  • Guest

    My Best Supporting Actor Oscar Nominee Predictions:

    1. Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club (2013)

    2. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave (2013)

    3. Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks (2013)

    4. Daniel Bruhl, Rush (2013)

    5. Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street (2013)

    My Best Supporting Actress Oscar Nominee Predictions:

    1. Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave (2013)

    2. Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler (2013)

    3. Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle (2013)

    4. Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station (2013)
    5. Julia Roberts, August: Osage County (2013)

  • Michael Norris

    Leto
    Fassbender
    Hill
    Hanks
    Abdi

    Winfrey
    Lawrence
    Nyong'o
    Spencer
    Roberts

  • GobleGableOneOfUs

    I will never care about the Oscars again if Bruhl doesn't get nominated for Rush.

  • Aleeza

    Um...what evidence do you have that Jennifer Lawrence is "pushing hard" for the Oscar? She hasn't said one word about it, and she seems to genuinely dislike Awards season (she has social anxiety and consistently gets sick from the stress.) Do you mean her performance is award-worthy?

    • michaeldal65

      Yes that's why she did the Vanity Fair cover in February for Silver Linings Playbook.

    • Sabrina

      If Jennifer dislikes awards seasons and has "social anxiety" then she should stay in her home and end her career. But I don't think she will do that. Honestly, do you even believe in her? "¬¬

      • Aleeza

        Yes, I do. I met her, and she was sweet, and shy, and ridiculously funny, and everything else she seems. Watch her interviews, like the Letterman one after the first HG came out. She was so stressed she was in tears on national television. Whether or not people like her acting, I just hate that she's the object of so much hatred and basically cyber bullying. She's still a person. Same with Anne Hathaway, and everyone else who has to deal with this. But yes, I believe her.

        • Sabrina

          Shy? She said that she can't stand shy people in one of her interviews. She is a hypocrite then? "I just hate that she's the object of so much hatred" WHAT? She's the hollywood it girl right now. And It's being totally loved by critics. Has thousands of fans. This is not 'hatred' for me. And I don't think that she cares about the internet, since she didn't even have a social network to talk to her fans and thanks them for their support. And this is not cyber bullying, people are just saying that she don't deserve to win the oscar for such a solid performance in American Hustle. They are not calling her bitch or something like that. Everyone respects her work in Winter's Bone.
          And I know that you believe in her. I'm not surprised that you do.

  • Pop Ninjas

    I wish Sam Rockwell was a stronger candidate for The Way Way Back. He was great.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/kevinb/ kevinb

    Lupita Nyong won with the first vote of NY Film Critics, but due to the outdated balloting rules, it took several more votes (with second and third place votes eventually counting to determine Jennifer Lawrence the eventual winner). It should be noted that Nyong did when the NY Online Film Critics Award. I agree, Oprah Winfrey is fading to the back of the pack, where in my opinion is exactly where she belongs. I have a feeling that the eventual Best Supporting Actress winner will be an upset or surprise (as it has so many years in the past), and maybe "Nebraska" will get the Oscar attention it deserves with a win by June Squibb.

  • Guest

    My prediction
    Supporting Actor:

    1.Jared Leto in Dallas Byers Club
    2.Michael Fassbender in 12 Years A Slave
    3.Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Bank
    4.Daniel Bruhl in Rush
    5.Bradley Cooper in American Hustle

    Supporting actress
    1.Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
    2.Lupita Nyong'o in 12 Years A Slave

    3.Oprah Winfrey in The Butler
    4.June Squibb in Nebraska
    5.Julia Robert in August: Osage County

  • Lionel Fox

    Supporting Actor:
    1.Jared Leto in Dallas Byers Club
    2.Michael Fassbender in 12 Years A Slave
    3.Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Bank
    4.Daniel Bruhl in Rush
    5.Bradley Cooper in American Hustle

    Supporting actress
    1.Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
    2.Lupita Nyong'o in 12 Years A Slave
    3.Oprah Winfrey in The Butler
    4.June Squibb in Nebraska
    5.Julia Robert in August: Osage County