'True Grit' Takes Friday Box-Office Lead Over 'Fockers'
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Happy New Year!
First off… Happy New Year and thank you for making 2010 a great year! Secondly, please excuse me if I take one last weekend off examining Friday box-office numbers.
However, I will supply them and open the floor for you to tell me what to look for in my Sunday morning box-office wrap-up tomorrow and I will also pose the question, can True Grit maintain the #1 spot over Little Fockers for the weekend? Also, will Black Swan be able to sneak into the top ten or will The Tourist hold it off?
See you here tomorrow to discuss. Here are Friday's estimates:
- True Grit – $8.1 million
- Little Fockers – $7.7 million
- TRON: Legacy – $5 million
- Yogi Bear – $4 million
- The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader – $3.4 million
- Tangled – $3.3 million
- Gulliver's Travels – $2.9 million
- The Fighter – $2.6 million
- The King's Speech – $2.4 million
- The Tourist – $1.97 million
- Black Swan – $1.93 million
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 – $1.34 million
- How Do You Know – $1.31 million
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If I had to guess I'd say that True Grit won't hold the number one spot. Though the fact that it's remaining fairly flat, if not increasing from it's position last weekend shows that it will keep making money for a while. Hell it might even eclipse Fockers and surge past the 200 million mark. Enough to make it one the top grossers of 2010.
Pretty great numbers all over the board.
I don't think True Grit will have a problem holding off Fockers. Its WOM is clearly a lot more positive. And I'm enormously happy for the movie, I mean I always thought it had a good chance to make $100m domestically, but it's just looking to be absolutely huge. $150 million easily, I mean wow.
Yes, The King's Speech! Finally!
If there is any justice in the box office world, True Grit will indeed be #1 and Black Swan will rob The Tourist of the #10 spot.
I don't think True Grit is getting close to 150. Maybe 130 max. I expect around 115.
I hope Black Swan takes The Tourist out, but I think The Tourist will eclipse it.
It's going to be at least at 87 by the end of this weekend. After a $25m weekend, let's say $7m dailies and $15m third weekend, that's almost 110 by January 9. In all honesty, I think I might be underestimating its potential with my $150 million prediction.
I saw True Grit at noon on friday and it was pretty full. Saw a few kids under 10, not sure about that, but it is PG-13. Love a movie that appeals to all ages.
Finally, a wonderful film take the lead over a piece of crap film! I hated when Marley & Me was number 1 two weeks in a row in 2008/2009. Marley & Me was known as the Coal of the theives! So was Little Fockers right now! Sorry, I was just upset about tasteless comedies become box office hits during the Christmas & New Years time.
Some might say the same thing about Benjamin Button or Bedtime Stories in regards to "Coal of the thieves".
*UPDATE* Little Fockers stoled the lead again! Making $103,191,000 in the box office! This film needs to get a Razzie award for WORST PICTURE for being a box office robber and having tasteless comedy!!
I think somewhere between $125 and $150 million final gross for True Grit seems a safe bet at the moment.
At any rate, with a budget of just $38 million that's a great return even if the international wouldn't equal that.
Also, what a great performance over the weekend so far for The King's Speech (which is still in just 700 theatres) to be pulling.