Oscar Contenders

Producers Guild Offers 'Skyfall' Surprise in Their 2013 Movie and Television Nominees

Paul Thomas Anderson's 'The Master' may have just said its final farewell

Skyfall posterThe Producers Guild offered up their 2013 theatrical motion picture, animated motion picture and long-form television nominations a day earlier than expected. Among the nominees for the 2013 Producers Guild Awards only one real surprise catches my eye, which is the nomination for Skyfall, which may in fact serve as the final nail in the coffin that now holds Paul Thomas Anderson's The Master. Otherwise, the other nine are the same films I have listed in the top ten of my Best Picture predictions.

Originally the PGA noms were expected to be announced tomorrow, but with Oscar nomination voting extended to Friday, perhaps the producers felt they would take the opportunity to add a little influence where they felt it was needed most as the nomination for both Beasts of the Southern Wild and Moonrise Kingdom are good to see and helpful for the cause. I am, however, now thinking we are looking at nine nominees with The Master no longer part of the equation.

I have to wonder, could have Joaquin Phoenix's comments hurt not only his chances at an Oscar, but the film overall?

Looking at the animated contenders, Brave, Frankenweenie, Wreck-It Ralph and Rise of the Guardians are four of the films I have predicted for Best Animated Feature with ParaNorman taking the place of Le Tableau and, to that point, I have to assume Le Tableau may not have even been considered along with other GKIDs acquisitions.

I have listed the film and television nominations below. The 2013 Producers Guild Awards will be handed out on Saturday, January 26.

Movies

  • Argo (Warner Bros.)
  • Beasts of the Southern Wild (Fox Searchlight)
  • Django Unchained (The Weinstein Company)
  • Life of Pi (20th Century Fox)
  • Lincoln (DreamWorks)
  • Les Misérables (Universal)
  • Moonrise Kingdom (Focus Features)
  • Silver Linings Playbook (The Weinstein Company)
  • Skyfall (Sony Pictures)
  • Zero Dark Thirty (Sony Pictures)

Animated Movies

  • Brave (Disney•Pixar)
  • Frankenweenie (Walt Disney Studios)
  • ParaNorman (LAIKA/Focus Features)
  • Rise of the Guardians (DreamWorks Animation)
  • Wreck-It Ralph (Walt Disney Animation Studios)

Television (Drama)

  • "Breaking Bad" (AMC)
  • "Downton Abbey" (PBS)
  • "Game of Thrones" (HBO)
  • "Homeland" (Showtime)
  • "Mad Men" (AMC)

Television (Comedy)

  • "30 Rock" (NBC)
  • "The Big Bang Theory" (CBS)
  • "Curb Your Enthusiasm" (HBO)
  • "Louie" (FX)
  • "Modern Family" (ABC)
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  • http://www.criterion.com/my_criterion/27913-criterion10 Criterion10

    And there goes The Master... Very happy to see Zero Dark Thirty here. As long as that gets its due, I'll have no complaints.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

      Don't count it out yet. Don't forget, last year the Producers Guild nominated Dragon Tattoo & Bridesmaids for Best Picture. This list only confirms what we already know:

      Argo
      ZDT
      Lincoln
      Beasts
      Les Mis
      Silver Linings
      Life of Pi

      are all frontrunners. There are still 3 slots that are still up in the air. It COULD be Django and Moonrise, but it could also be The Master, Amour, Flight or Best Exotic Marigold Hotel. The important thing to remember is the Academy demographic: 60 year old white men. Just think in terms of what you think 60 year old white men would like. I think The Master has a pretty solid shot. And if the audience I saw Moonrise Kingdom with (they were mostly all over 60 and they all loved it) is any indication, I'd say Kingdom is a pretty safe bet as well. Ultimately I'd count Django out.

      • http://www.criterion.com/my_criterion/27913-criterion10 Criterion10

        Hmm, that's a good point about Tattoo and Bridesmaids. I'd personally love to see Amour get in. And while I did have conflicting opinions about The Master and Django, I'd also like to see those get nominated as well.

  • http://timeforafilm.com Alex Thomas

    I was annoyed to see Skyfall get in, however upon reflection I liked it more than The Master so I guess I'm happy with the decision.

    Honestly feel Moonrise Kingdom is looking very good for a Best Picture nom, I would even rate it a better chance than Beasts so as long as there are at least 8 noms it should be fine!

    • DavidG

      I hope both Beasts and Moonrise get it to be honest. That would be great. I appreciated what the Master was doing, and Skyfall was entertaining but didn't really do much for me in the longrun.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

    Lovin that Skyfall nomination! Would've liked to see Killer Joe get in but ya know....

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

    Considering my top two films of the year right now are The Master and Skyfall, I'm very pleased to see Bond getting some recognition but I'd be rather annoyed to only see Skyfall get a nod instead of The Master...or, better yet, both.

  • http://hypethemovies.wordpress.com Jordan B.

    Solid, glad to see some recognition for Skyfall, though I doubt that same surprise repeats itself next week when the Oscar noms are announced. One can dream, though!

  • Jack

    The Master will still be nominated for Picture at Oscars.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

      Probably. There always seems to be one film that gets nominated which no one expects (last year it was Tree of Life).

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

        Last year I'd say it was Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

          Those two films for sure.

        • Hatter

          I would alo think "The Master" may be this year's "The Tree of Life", while "The Impossible" be "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close".

  • Jack

    I really think The Master has a better chance than Django, Moonrise, Beasts, or Skyfall. At the moment, I'm thinking 6 films will get in with The Master at that 7th spot.

    1. Argo
    2. Lincoln
    3. Les Miserables
    4. Zero Dark Thirty
    5. Silver Linings Playbook
    6. Life of Pi
    BUBBLE LINE
    7. The Master
    8. Django Unchained
    9. Beasts of the Southern Wild
    10. Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

      I think you're way overestimating Argo and really underestimating ZDT. As of now, this is how I think it'll go:

      1. Lincoln
      2. Zero Dark Thirty
      3. Les Misérables
      4. Argo
      5. Silver Linings Playbook
      6. Moonrise Kingdom
      7. Life of Pi
      8. Beasts of the Southern Wild
      9. The Master

      It could only be 8, so it's tricky. Either Beasts and Master both get in, or they both battle it out. It all depends.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ian/ Ian

        Take The Master out (just barely) and I agree with your order completely.

      • Jack

        Argo is a movie that will strike well with the Academy. It's a Hollywood based thriller about how movies and Hollywood saved the day. They won't pass it up, they're so far up themselves. It's The Artist, but with a political spin.

        Zero Dark Thirty is too cold a film to win the Best Picture. Plus I think the torture aspect will really hurt it.

        Lincoln just doesn't seem like a Best Picture winner to me. Sure, Obama is president and it's directed by Spielberg, but it just doesn't seem like a winner.

        Silver Linings Playbook is the dramedy-Little Miss Sunshine, As Good as it Gets etc. It has a bit of an edge to it dealing with mental illness. Doesn't get as dark as American Beauty, and without a director or editing nod, it'll just end up picking Picture, screenplay, acting.

        Life of Pi seems to me like 127 Hours, but more religious oriented. Hasn't received the love that Hugo and Avatar got with the Guilds and Critics.

        I think the Academy will favor Best Exotic Marigold hotel over Moonrise kingdom. Wes Anderson's quirky style may still alienate some members while otherswill appreciate Hotel's low-key demeanor. Plus it's loaded with tons of verteran actors and wasa moderate box office success. Also, I think the majority of the dramedy vote will go to Silver Linings.

        Django is tricky. Slavery movies usually don't bode well-Spielberg wasn't nominated for directing with Color Purple, but won DGA. Will they go nuts for an explosive bloody slave movie? Basterds was a WWII film in a way, so I'm not sure how it'll play.

        The Master will probably strike chords with the voters who supported Malick last year, etc. PTA has a lot of peers voting that respect him like Michael Mann, Christopher Nolan, Judd Apatow, and usually an auteur gets in. It's a period piece and an actor's showcase. The new 5% rule should work in its favor like it did for Serious Man.

        Beasts of the Southern Wild has a lot of love and could be this year's indie movie like Precious or Winter's Bone. Question is, does it have enough? Is it too small? In a year of 5, there is no chance, but with 10, and if The Master doesn't get that extra support, could sneak in.

        I don't think Skyfall will get in. If Harry Potter didn't and if no Bond film over the course of 50 years has, I doubt the billion dollar milestone will mean much. I won't predict Amour because it's not even a lock to win best foreign! The Intouchables could easily ovetake the serious and somber Amour.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

          Argo feels like it has lost serious ground and momentum.

          No Country for Old Men is about as cold as it gets so... Also, Hurt Locker was hardly warm.

          Lincoln is exactly the kind of film Oscar loves to love. Plus, it's directed by Spielberg and stars D-Day Lewis... It has everything going for it.

          I talked about Moonrise above. It played very well with the Oscar demo.

          Django is pretty much out. QT doesn't make Academy fare. You could easily make excuses for why Pulp and Basterds got nominated.

          Beasts plays HUGE with the critics, but will it play well with the Academy? That's the question!

          Skyfall will get nominated when Hell freezes over.

          • Jack

            Valid points. Though I'd argue The Hurt Locker had lot going for it including Bigelow. 2007-2008 was the begining of a dark time in America. Coen Brothers were respected auteurs that fared extremely well with the critics too.

            As for Lincoln, a few tweets I've read from Poland and Tapley seem that nobody is really cheering for a Lincoln victory. It will score tons of noms, but will it win?

            Argo needs to win a few more awards and the momentum is right back in its favor. The golden Globes will tell a lot. The last couple Drama winners have not won Oscar including the directors.

            As for everything else you've said, I'm right with your mindset.

            • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

              I think you've both got solid points here...right now I'd put the Picture list as follows:

              Sure Bets:

              1. Lincoln
              2. Zero Dark Thirty
              3. Les Miserables
              4. Argo
              5. Silver Linings Playbook
              6. Life of Pi

              Bubble:
              7. Moonrise Kingdom
              8. Django Unchained
              9. The Master
              ------------------
              First Films Out:

              10. Beasts of the Southern Wild
              11. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
              12. The Impossible
              13. Skyfall
              14. Amour

              Lincoln is, for all of the reasons listed above and more, a decided favorite. People may not be particularly "excited" for it, but I think this is a year that enough films will get 1st place votes the winner won't have a solid majority. A Spielberg political drama that makes the voters feel good about race and stars Best Actor lock Daniel Day-Lewis seems a very solid contender to squeeze ahead of the field.

              Zero Dark Thirty has the Bigelow/Boal combination going for it, and was building momentum at exactly the right time. However, this is an older voting base, and if they're going to pick a movie with war as the backdrop, I'm wagering it's going to be the CIVIL War. I also don't think the voters will be racing to give that duo their second Oscars in four years, that's basically unprecedented and it's not getting that kind of universal, unbridled passion. Meanwhile, Spielberg hasn't won in over a decade. Advantage, Lincoln.

              While I agree that Argo is a strong contender, I still think Les Miserables is slightly more likely to win, even with the less-than-stellar reviews. Remember, it's not ranked voting, it's just 1st place votes, and Les Miz is an emotional assault. That heartstring tugging can't be forgotten...sure, some didn't like it but there will be a sizeable group that bawled by the ending and felt deeply affected...that will help Les Miz, and I still think it's got a decent shot at taking home the big prize.

              Meanwhile, Argo will have its fans, and yes it's the kind of movie that gives Hollywood a pat on the back. But I think the above three movies just have more to make them stand out. Argo doesn't really have a favorite or even a huge contender in any of the top-line categories (I think Affleck is distinctly behind Spielberg and Bigelow for Director, doesn't stand a chance in Actor, and Arkin isn't winning Supporting Actor). Ultimately, it's a solid contender, but it's not winning unless that aforementioned split is almost mathematically even.

              Silver Linings would be the "We're just happy to be nominated" film if it was still 5 nominees. Everyone liked the film and some loved it, but similar to Argo I don't think it'll have enough to knock off the films above. Lawrence might not even take Actress due to Chastain's performance, and David O. Russell films have always split voters.

              While I personally wouldn't have Life of Pi in my Top 10, it's getting a nod for the achievement if nothing else. It's a beautiful film with a big-name director and a foreign feel, and I think it'll garner enough votes to get in.

              I'm still not really sold on Moonrise Kingdom's chances here, but everyone else seems to be and it's getting the earlier nominations necessary. I wouldn't be particularly surprised if it got pushed out, though.

              Tarantino has his fans and while it wouldn't surprise me to see it left out, I think it squeaks by because it'll manage enough first place votes...and second place ones from ZDT surplus.

              And finally, The Master will get in the same way The Tree of Life did...it has zero chance at winning but is a film that a few people absolutely love (myself included, it's my #1 film of 2012 right now) and I think those voters will help it cross the 5% threshold.

              Beasts is just too...off. It's starring a kid, it's a very black film in a year that already has Lincoln and Django, it's from a first-time director, it's a very small movie, and I don't see it getting a ton of first place votes. It'll be on people's ballots, but ultimately I think it just barely misses out on the top nomination.

              Similarly, I think Best Exotic and The Impossible will have support, but not enough. Would not be at all surprised, though, if they jumped Beasts and replaced one of my bottom three movies.

              And while, as a Bond fanatic it would make me so very happy to see Skyfall on the Best Picture list, even knowing it's not going to win, I just don't see it. Then again, this whole expansion to 10 nominees seems tailor-made for a film like Skyfall...unlike the Pixar movies or Batman, Bond has history, respect, doesn't seem kiddie or teen-aimed, and the main voting demographic demographic has grown old with 007. Harry Potter resonates with my generation, the Millenials, and (maybe) with our parents. James Bond started in the 60s, in the 50s with the books...these voters could've been teens dreaming of becoming/bedding Bond when it debuted. Plus, Bardem and Dench both have received acclaim, and I think Adele is going to carry the theme song to a win. If there was ever a time a pure popcorn movie made the list (and I think it's better than that)...if there was ever a time James Bond - in his 50th anniversary no less - cracked the Oscar glass ceiling...it's now. Still, I don't see it...but I think it's going to be very close, and Skyfall could surprise us yet.

              And the last film I think has any legit shot, Amour, as said above, might not even take Foreign Language. It's also, from what I've heard, extremely depressing. There's too much against it, especially in as tough a year as this. Last year, I'd have thought it was a cinch. This year? Not much of a shot.

              • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

                One other point with Batman...I know he has "history", but Nolan's Batman is his own beast and largely being judged independent of said history, I feel.

  • JN Films

    Skyfall over TDKR? Come on! TDKR was more EPIC, better acting, etc. Skyfall stole a lot of elements from Nolan's trilogy. I'm sad that there is no consideration for TDKR

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

      I might (repeat, might) take the "epic" part, though that word gets thrown around a bit much and "more epic" doesn't automatically mean "better" - I'd say The Hobbit is an "epic" movie, for example. But better acting, seriously? Did you see Javier Bardem? Or Judi Dench?

      Everyone re-uses elements, but it's who does it better that counts. While we're talking about "stealing", Nolan is an avowed James Bond fan and that series has been around 50 years, so who's "stealing" from who, exactly?

      And though I enjoyed The Dark Knight Rises and it'd be in my personal top ten this year as of today (though not by much), it wasn't at all as good as Skyfall and might not have even been the best superhero film this year (The Avengers). TDKR is also hurt by simply not being as good as Dark Knight, while Skyfall is probably the best Bond film in series history. Also, Roger Deakins' cinematography in Skyfall is downright spectacular, while TDKR's isn't as dynamic as either Inception or Dark Knight, both earlier efforts from Pfister,

      In the end, I actually think both films deserve to be in the discussion for a nomination. But as far as I'm concerned, Skyfall should be in the discussion for a WIN....for Nolan's Batman, his best shot was 4 years ago.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

        Nolan on Bond: he called The Spy Who Loved Me his "jumping off point cinematically...a great example of scope and scale in large action films.".

        Bond's influences on Nolan's Batman films: http://www.cultbox.co.uk/features/countdowns/4543-top-5-influences-of-james-bond-on-christopher-nolan

        • Cory

          Skyfall looses points simply by being a remake of the Dark Knight. I like the film a lot but when Mendes name checks the Dark Knight as a major influence on him figuring out how to do Bond his way, I didn't realize it meant actually remaking the film.

          Yes, there's a shit ton of Bond in Nolan's Batman and Inception but it doesn't outright remake one of those films like Mendes did with Skyfall.

          From a story perspective, it's actually the worse of Daniel Craig's outings, considering Bond fails through out the picture and the regressive nature of the treatment of women in the film, which is odd considering Royale and Solace went to great pains to reverse that Bond cliche.

          The forced third act sequence going back to Bond's childhood home is not necessary to the narrative before it. It feels very, very tacked on.

          Yes, the film is ultimately about Bond accepting/realizing that he actually likes this job (a notion that was questioned in Royale and Solace) but to get to that revelation, Mendes didn't construct the best narrative to get there.

          Again, Skyfall's a good picture but it's not the best Bond ever and it's definitely not as good as The Dark Knight Rises....

  • Stiggy

    I actually think Skyfall will get that token blockbuster nomination many predicted that The Hobbit had sewn up. This whole expanding to up to 10 nominations was created with the intention of nominatng popcorn enertainment like Avatar, Inception, Toy Story 3, Up, The Blind Side, District 9, The Help, True Grit and Inglorious Basterds.

    Speaking of IB, Django Unchained might get in because of Harvey Weinstien. He could ditch Silver Linings Playbook in favour of Django Unchained. Remember when he stopped all campaigning for Nine when it bombed and focused all campaigning on Inglorious Basterds?