It's the 2013 Oscar prediction edition of the RopeofSilicon podcast as we prepare for this weekend's Oscar ceremony and live blog. Laremy and I compare predictions and talk a lot of Oscars before reviewing Snitch, taking several of your questions and voicemails and playing a lot of games.
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As always, I have broken down this episode on a minute-by-minute basis if you would like to skip ahead and below I have featured the information on how to download the podcast, find us on iTunes or merely just listen in your browser.
- 00:00-00:31 - Introduction
- 00:32-4:25 - Random bits
- 4:26-5:54 - [Listener Voicemail] William Shatner - Star Trek Movies
- 5:55-10:12 - More random bits and box-office challenge update
- 10:13-11:32 - The Ted remix (via)
- 11:33-15:03 - [Listener Voicemail] Justin - Planes, Trains and Automobiles
- 15:04-19:57 - [Listener Voicemail] Jordan - Physical Comedy
- 19:58-41:19 - Oscar Predictions (including a voicemail from Steven)
- 41:20-45:44 - [Listener Voicemail] Matt - Backlash
- 45:45-46:49 - [Listener Question] Do you think that the Best Director Oscar is somehow "lessened" this year due to the fact that Affleck is not in the race and would have surely been the winner if he had been? By "lessened" I mean that there will always be talk about Affleck's snub even when discussing this year's winner 5, 10, or even 15 years down the line. [John D.]
- 46:50-51:20 - [Listener Question] The reason I'm hoping for a Jessica Chastain win at the Oscars is because I feel like she was able to convey so much with a role that was more subtle in its complexities, whereas Jennifer Lawrence had a role that was loud and in your face (not saying that's a bad thing, just different from Chastain's role). Do you think it's easier to win an Oscar with a role that's more outgoing or does it not matter? [Jennifer]
- 51:21-52:36 - [Listener Question] What happened to The Impossible stateside? The movie has been a big hit overseas, particularly Spain and the UK. Was it an uninterested audience or a poorly plotted release schedule, based too much on getting Oscar love it barely garnered? [Susan]
- 52:37-1:01:23 - [Listener Question] Over at Grantland, they are doing a tournament for the biggest Oscar travesties. They include Kubrick never winning Best Director, Scorsese not winning until The Departed, Crash winning Best Picture, Goodfellas losing Best Picture and many others. Right now, they have Kubrick vs Scorsese in the finals. What do you think the biggest Oscar travesty is? [Steve Stager]
- 1:01:24-1:08:46 - Snitch Movie Review (read Brad's here)
- 1:08:47-1:12:01 - [Listener Voicemail] Wahoo - Television reviews wanted
- 1:12:02-1:14:01 - Over / Under
- 1.5 months until a film gets a better grade then Side Effects by you guys [JN Films]
- 3.5 more Best Picture Oscar nominated films by Spielberg [JN Films]
- 2 Oscar wins for Amour [Bruce]
- 200 uses of the word "Smaug" by the time the film is released [Zack]
- 1:14:02-1:15:01 - Buy or Sell: The winner of the Best Director Oscar at this Sunday's ceremony mentions Ben Affleck somewhere in his speech, either as a joke or not. [John D.]
- 1:15:02-1:17:19 - Playing the Percentages:
- % chance this years Oscar winner for best picture follows the trend since No Country of being a film rarely discussed of referred to again after winning. [Shloggs]
- % chance Argo wins Best Picture [Bruce]
- % chance in 2020 that Inception would be the best sci-fi film that has come out in the last 10 years [JN Films]
- % chance that Obama could own Romney at a game of Basketball [JN Films]
- 1:17:20-1:21:28 - Guess the Film from Its Foreign Language Title:
- Silent Martyr
- The Ruthless
- The Magnificent Rogues
- 1:21:29-1:24:18 - Guess the Film from Its Tagline:
- "Some memories are best forgotten"
- "The eye of the enemy is moving."
- "...look closer"
- "The movie too HOT for words!"
- "I already forget how I used to feel about you."
- 1:24:1-1:26:16 - Which Would be Better?
- The Dark Knight as a Bond film or Skyfall as a Batman film. [Nav]
- Jame Cameron directed The Hobbit 2 & 3 or Peter Jackson directed Avatar 2 & 3. [Nav]
- Daniel Craig as Ethan Hunt or Tom Cruise as James Bond [Nav]
- 1:26:17-1:28:08 - Guess the MPAA rating based on its reason
- some explicit sexuality
- crude and sexual content throughout, nudity, drugs, drinking, pervasive language, reckless behavior and mayhem - all involving teens
- disaster related peril and violence, nudity, sensuality and brief language
- 1:28:09-1:30:13 - #GoodTweets
- 1:30:14-1:31:37 - [Listener Question] With a bunch of the ceremony being dedicated to "celebrating" musicals, I feel like Hollywood may be full of artsy drama club types who'd love nothing more than to sing and dance in extravagant productions, but are not allowed by the more pragmatic producers and studio execs. As such, they must be ecstatic that Les Mis have them an excuse to go all out with the showmanship this year. What do you think? Is this fair? Am I just being prejudiced? Are there more examples of movie genres most artists would like to see and make, but that are just not that profitable? [Oyid]
- 1:31:38-1:34:00 - Closing
Finally, I do have one quick request. If you could give us a review on iTunes it would be greatly appreciated.
NOTE: Apple's iTunes randomly checks for updated episodes, so sometimes the latest episode may not be immediately available in iTunes.
Winter 2013 Movie Box-Office Draft
Brad vs. Laremy
|Promised Land||Jan 4||$15m||$7.5m||-$29.9m|
|The Last Stand||Jan 18||$45m||$27.6m||-$84.8m|
|Movie 43||Jan 25||$6m||$23m||$8m|
|Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters||Jan 25||$50m||$152.2m||$27.2m|
|Stand Up Guys||Feb 1||$15m||$3.2m||-$34.2m|
|Side Effects||Feb 8||$30m||$21.2m||-$53.7m|
|Beautiful Creatures||Feb 13||$60m||$17.9m||-$132m|
|Escape from Planet Earth||Feb 14||$40m||$23.2m||-$76.7m|
|A Good Day To Die Hard||Feb 14||$92m||$120m||-$109.9m|
|Dark Skies||Feb 22||$0|
|Texas Chainsaw 3D||Jan 4||$20m||$34.3m||-$15.6m|
|Gangster Squad||Jan 11||$60m||$91.8m||-$58.1m|
|Broken City||Jan 18||$35m||$19.5m||-$67.9m|
|Warm Bodies||Feb 1||$30m||$70.6m||-$4.3m|
|Bullet to the Head||Feb 1||$55m||$9.3m||-$128.1m|
|Identity Thief||Feb 8||$35m||$78.8m||-$8.6m|
|Safe Haven||Feb 14||$28m||$36.2m||-$33.7m|
The Winter 2013 Movie Box-Office Draft competition involved both Brad and Laremy "drafting" ten films each in hopes of scoring the largest net total by taking a film's worldwide gross subtracting two-and-a-half-times the reported budget. The film must be released in January and February of 2013. The draft took place on December 21, 2012 during the RopeofSilicon Podcast which you can listen to right here.
Listed above is all the most recent data as of this post. Budgetary information is not necessarily accurate and will most likely not be accurate until closer to or after each film's release.