It's the 2013 Oscar prediction edition of the RopeofSilicon podcast as we prepare for this weekend's Oscar ceremony and live blog. Laremy and I compare predictions and talk a lot of Oscars before reviewing Snitch, taking several of your questions and voicemails and playing a lot of games.
I want to remind you that you can call in and leave us your comments, thoughts, questions, etc. directly on our Google Voice account, which you can call and leave a message for us at (925) 526-5763, which may be even easier to remember at (925) 5-BNL-POD. Just call, leave us a voice mail and we'll add those to the show and respond directly.
An alternative to that option is a new way of leaving us a voicemail directly from your computer. Just click here and no matter where you live in the world, all you need is a microphone and Internet connection and you can leave us a voicemail. Look forward to hearing from you!
As always, I have broken down this episode on a minute-by-minute basis if you would like to skip ahead and below I have featured the information on how to download the podcast, find us on iTunes or merely just listen in your browser.
- 00:00-00:31 - Introduction
- 00:32-4:25 - Random bits
- 4:26-5:54 - [Listener Voicemail] William Shatner - Star Trek Movies
- 5:55-10:12 - More random bits and box-office challenge update
- 10:13-11:32 - The Ted remix (via)
- 11:33-15:03 - [Listener Voicemail] Justin - Planes, Trains and Automobiles
- 15:04-19:57 - [Listener Voicemail] Jordan - Physical Comedy
- 19:58-41:19 - Oscar Predictions (including a voicemail from Steven)
- 41:20-45:44 - [Listener Voicemail] Matt - Backlash
- 45:45-46:49 - [Listener Question] Do you think that the Best Director Oscar is somehow "lessened" this year due to the fact that Affleck is not in the race and would have surely been the winner if he had been? By "lessened" I mean that there will always be talk about Affleck's snub even when discussing this year's winner 5, 10, or even 15 years down the line. [John D.]
- 46:50-51:20 - [Listener Question] The reason I'm hoping for a Jessica Chastain win at the Oscars is because I feel like she was able to convey so much with a role that was more subtle in its complexities, whereas Jennifer Lawrence had a role that was loud and in your face (not saying that's a bad thing, just different from Chastain's role). Do you think it's easier to win an Oscar with a role that's more outgoing or does it not matter? [Jennifer]
- 51:21-52:36 - [Listener Question] What happened to The Impossible stateside? The movie has been a big hit overseas, particularly Spain and the UK. Was it an uninterested audience or a poorly plotted release schedule, based too much on getting Oscar love it barely garnered? [Susan]
- 52:37-1:01:23 - [Listener Question] Over at Grantland, they are doing a tournament for the biggest Oscar travesties. They include Kubrick never winning Best Director, Scorsese not winning until The Departed, Crash winning Best Picture, Goodfellas losing Best Picture and many others. Right now, they have Kubrick vs Scorsese in the finals. What do you think the biggest Oscar travesty is? [Steve Stager]
- 1:01:24-1:08:46 - Snitch Movie Review (read Brad's here)
- 1:08:47-1:12:01 - [Listener Voicemail] Wahoo - Television reviews wanted
- 1:12:02-1:14:01 - Over / Under
- 1.5 months until a film gets a better grade then Side Effects by you guys [JN Films]
- 3.5 more Best Picture Oscar nominated films by Spielberg [JN Films]
- 2 Oscar wins for Amour [Bruce]
- 200 uses of the word "Smaug" by the time the film is released [Zack]
- 1:14:02-1:15:01 - Buy or Sell: The winner of the Best Director Oscar at this Sunday's ceremony mentions Ben Affleck somewhere in his speech, either as a joke or not. [John D.]
- 1:15:02-1:17:19 - Playing the Percentages:
- % chance this years Oscar winner for best picture follows the trend since No Country of being a film rarely discussed of referred to again after winning. [Shloggs]
- % chance Argo wins Best Picture [Bruce]
- % chance in 2020 that Inception would be the best sci-fi film that has come out in the last 10 years [JN Films]
- % chance that Obama could own Romney at a game of Basketball [JN Films]
- 1:17:20-1:21:28 - Guess the Film from Its Foreign Language Title:
- Silent Martyr
- The Ruthless
- The Magnificent Rogues
- Scoop
- Bangs
- 1:21:29-1:24:18 - Guess the Film from Its Tagline:
- "Some memories are best forgotten"
- "The eye of the enemy is moving."
- "...look closer"
- "The movie too HOT for words!"
- "I already forget how I used to feel about you."
- 1:24:1-1:26:16 - Which Would be Better?
- The Dark Knight as a Bond film or Skyfall as a Batman film. [Nav]
- Jame Cameron directed The Hobbit 2 & 3 or Peter Jackson directed Avatar 2 & 3. [Nav]
- Daniel Craig as Ethan Hunt or Tom Cruise as James Bond [Nav]
- 1:26:17-1:28:08 - Guess the MPAA rating based on its reason
- some explicit sexuality
- crude and sexual content throughout, nudity, drugs, drinking, pervasive language, reckless behavior and mayhem - all involving teens
- disaster related peril and violence, nudity, sensuality and brief language
- 1:28:09-1:30:13 - #GoodTweets
- 1:30:14-1:31:37 - [Listener Question] With a bunch of the ceremony being dedicated to "celebrating" musicals, I feel like Hollywood may be full of artsy drama club types who'd love nothing more than to sing and dance in extravagant productions, but are not allowed by the more pragmatic producers and studio execs. As such, they must be ecstatic that Les Mis have them an excuse to go all out with the showmanship this year. What do you think? Is this fair? Am I just being prejudiced? Are there more examples of movie genres most artists would like to see and make, but that are just not that profitable? [Oyid]
- 1:31:38-1:34:00 - Closing
Finally, I do have one quick request. If you could give us a review on iTunes it would be greatly appreciated.
You can listen below, on Stitcher, download the audio in .mp3, iTunes format by right-clicking here and saving it to your computer or subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. It's up to you.
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You can find Laremy's writing here on RopeofSilicon.com and also at Film.com and on Twitter at @Laremy.
Winter 2013 Movie Box-Office Draft
Brad vs. Laremy
| Laremy's Picks | ||||
| Movie | Date | Budget | Box-Office | Current Total |
| Promised Land | Jan 4 | $15m | $7.5m | -$29.9m |
| The Last Stand | Jan 18 | $45m | $27.6m | -$84.8m |
| Movie 43 | Jan 25 | $6m | $23m | $8m |
| Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters | Jan 25 | $50m | $152.2m | $27.2m |
| Stand Up Guys | Feb 1 | $15m | $3.2m | -$34.2m |
| Side Effects | Feb 8 | $30m | $21.2m | -$53.7m |
| Beautiful Creatures | Feb 13 | $60m | $17.9m | -$132m |
| Escape from Planet Earth | Feb 14 | $40m | $23.2m | -$76.7m |
| A Good Day To Die Hard | Feb 14 | $92m | $120m | -$109.9m |
| Dark Skies | Feb 22 | $0 | ||
| $396.2m | -$486.2m | |||
| Brad's Picks | ||||
| Movie | Date | Budget | Box-Office | Current Total |
| Texas Chainsaw 3D | Jan 4 | $20m | $34.3m | -$15.6m |
| Gangster Squad | Jan 11 | $60m | $91.8m | -$58.1m |
| Broken City | Jan 18 | $35m | $19.5m | -$67.9m |
| Mama | Jan 18 | $15m | $89.3m | $51.8m |
| Parker | Jan 25 | $30m | $17.1m | -$57.8m |
| Warm Bodies | Feb 1 | $30m | $70.6m | -$4.3m |
| Bullet to the Head | Feb 1 | $55m | $9.3m | -$128.1m |
| Identity Thief | Feb 8 | $35m | $78.8m | -$8.6m |
| Safe Haven | Feb 14 | $28m | $36.2m | -$33.7m |
| Snitch | Feb 22 | $0 | ||
| $447.2m | -$322.7m | |||
The Winter 2013 Movie Box-Office Draft competition involved both Brad and Laremy "drafting" ten films each in hopes of scoring the largest net total by taking a film's worldwide gross subtracting two-and-a-half-times the reported budget. The film must be released in January and February of 2013. The draft took place on December 21, 2012 during the RopeofSilicon Podcast which you can listen to right here.
Listed above is all the most recent data as of this post. Budgetary information is not necessarily accurate and will most likely not be accurate until closer to or after each film's release.
Interactive Map: Tour the 2013 Cannes Film Festival
'Before Midnight' (2013) Movie Review
'All is Lost' (2013) Movie Review - Cannes Film Festival
'Ain't Them Bodies Saints' Trailer, Clip and Poster
Entertainment One Grabs Distribution Rights for 'Diana' Starring Naomi Watts
Tom Cruise Drops Out of 'The Man from U.N.C.L.E.'
'The Immigrant' (2013) Movie Review - Cannes Film Festival
'Michael Kohlhaas' (2013) Movie Review - Cannes Film Festival
DVD Deal: Now is the Time To Pick up 'The West Wing' Complete Collection
'Fast & Furious 6' and 'Hangover 3' Target Biggest Box-Office Weekend in History
I was thinking about holding an Oscar game among the commentors her on Rope. Here are the rules: Reply to this comment with your Oscar Predictions with each category ranked from 1-5 (1-9 for Picture and 1-3 for Makeup) with 1 being what you believe will be the winner and 5 the one you believe has the least chance of winning. From there, I've assigned a point system. if your 1st pick wins then you get 5 points,
2nd pick wins - 4 points, 3rd pick wins - 3 wins, 4th pick wins - 2 points, 5th pick wins - 1 point. So the maximum amount of points is 120 and minimum is 24.
If you're interested, then post your predictions here. If not, then that's fine.
Picture
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Southern WIld
6. Amour
7. Zero Dark Thrity
8. Django Unchained
9. Les Miserables
Director
1. Steven Spielberg
2. David O. Russell
3. Ang Lee
4. Michael Haneke
5. Ben Zhelit
Actor
1. Daniel Day Lewis
2. Joaquin Phoenix
3. Denzel Washington
4. Bradley Cooper
5. Hugh Jackman
Actress
1. Jennifer Lawrence
2. Jessica Chastain
3. Emanuella Riva
4. Naomi Watts
5. Quvenshane Wallis
Supporting Actor
1. Tommy Lee Jones
2. Christoph Waltz
3. Robert DeNiro
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman
5. Alan Arkin
Supportng Actress
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Sally Field
3. Helen Hunt
4. Jacki Weaver
5. Amy Adams
Original Screenplay
1. Amour
2. Django Unchained
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Moonrise Kingdom
5. Flight
Adapted Screenplay
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Sothern Wild
Best Animated Feature
1. Wreck-It-Ralph
2. Brave
3. Frankenweenie
4. ParaNorman
5. Pirates! Band of Misfits
Best Foreign Language Film
1. Amour
2. No
3. A Royal Affair
4. Kon-Tiki
5. War Witch
Best Documentary – Feature
1. Searching For Sugar Man
2. How to Survive a Plague
3. The Invisible War
4. The Gatekeepers
5. 5 Broken Cameras
Best Documentary – Short Subject
1. Inocente
2. Kings Point
3. Mondays at Racine
4. Open Heart
5. Redemption
Best Live Action Short Film
1. Curfew
2. Asad
3. Buzkashi Boys
4. Death of a Shadow
5. Henry
Best Animated Short Film
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. Head over Heels
4. The Longest Daycare
5. Fresh Guacamole
Best Original Score
1. Life of Pi
2. Lincoln
3. Argo
4. Skyfall
5. Anna Karenina
Best Original Song
1. Skyfall
2. Life of Pi
3. Chasing Ice
4. Ted
5. Les Miserables
Best Sound Editing
1. Skyfall
2. Argo
3. Life of Pi
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Django Unchained
Best Sound Mixing
1. Skyfall
2. Argo
3. Les Miserables
4. Life of Pi
5. Lincoln
Best Production Design
1. Anna Karenina
2. Lincoln
3. Les Miserables
4. The Hobbit
5. Life of Pi
Best Cinematography
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Lincoln
4. Django Unchained
5. Anna Karenina
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. Les Miserables
2. The Hobbit
3. Hitchcock
Best Costume Design
1. Anna Karenina
2. Mirror Mirror
3. Lincoln
4. Les Miserables
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Best Film Editing
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Silver Linings Playbook
5. Life of Pi
Best Visual Effects
1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit
3. The Avengers
4. Snow White and the Huntsman
5. Prometheus
Best Picture:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Silver Linings Playbook
5. Les Misérables
6. Django Unchained
7. Zero Dark Thirty
8. Amour
9. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Best Director:
1. Ang Lee
2. Steven Spielberg
3. Michael Haneke
4. David O. Russell
5. Benh Zeitlin
Best Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis
2. Hugh Jackman
3. Bradley Cooper
4. Denzel Washington
5. Joaquin Phoneix
Best Actress:
1. Emmanuella Riva
2. Jennifer Lawrence
3. Jessica Chastain
4. Naomi Watts
5. Quvenshane Wallis
Best Supporting Actor:
1. Robert DeNiro
2. Tommy Lee Jones
4. Christoph Waltz
4. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
5. Alan Arkin
Best Supporting Actress:
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Sally Field
3. Amy Adams
4. Helen Hunt
5. Jackie Weaver
Best Original Screenplay:
1. Amour
2. Django Unchained
3. Moonrise Kingdom
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Flight
Best Adapted Screenplay:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Silver Linings Playbook
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Best Animated Feature:
1. Brave
2. Wreck-it Ralph
3. Frankenweenie
4. Pirates! Band of Msfits
5. Paranorman
Best Foreign Language Film:
1. Amour
2. No
3. A Royal Affair
4. Kon-Tiki
5. War Witch
Best Documentary-Feature:
1. Searching for Sugarman
2. How to Survive a Plague
3. The Invisible War
4. The Gatekeepers
5. 5 Broken Cameras
Best Documentary-Short Subject:
1. Inocente
2. Kings Point
3. Mondays at Racine
4. Open Heart
5. Redemption
Best Live Action Short Film:
1. Curfew
2. Asad
3. Buzkashi Boys
4. Death of a Shadow
5. Henry
Best Animated Short Film:
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. The Longest Daycare
4. Head Over Heels
5. Fresh Guacamole
Best Original Score:
1. Life of Pi
2. Lincoln
3. Skyfall
4. Argo
5. Anna Karenina
Best Original Song:
1. Skyfall
2. Life of Pi - Pi's Lullaby
3. Les Misérables - Suddenly
4. Ted - Everybody Needs a Best Friend
5. Chasing Ice - Before My Time
Best Sound Editing:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Argo
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Django Unchained
Best Sound Mixing:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Les Misérables
4. Argo
5. Lincoln
Best Production Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Life of Pi
3. Lincoln
4. Les Misérables
5. The Hobbit
Best Cinematography:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Lincoln
4. Django Unchained
5. Anna Karenina
Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
1. Les Misérables
2. The Hobbit
3. Hitchcock
Best Costume Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Misérables
3. Lincoln
4. Mirror Mirror
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Best Film Editing:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Silver Linings Playbook
Best Visual Effects:
1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit
3. The Avengers
4. Snow White and the Huntsman
5. Prometheus
Just for the record, here are my predictions
Picture
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Silver Linings Playbook
5. Les Miserables
6. Amour
7. Zero Dark Thirty
8. Beasts of the Southern Wild
9. Django Unchained
Best Director
1. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
2. Ang Lee, Life of Pi
3. Michael Haneke, Amour
4. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
5. Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Best Actor
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
2. Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
3. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
4. Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
5. Denzel Washington, Flight
Best Actress
1. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
2. Emmanuele Riva, Amour
3. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
4. Quvenzhaine Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Best Supporting Actor
1. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
2. Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
3. Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
4. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
5. Alan Arkin, Argo
Best Original Screenplay
1. Amour
2. Django Unchained
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Moonrise Kingdom
5. Flight
Best adapted Screenplay
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Silver Linings Playbook
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Best Animated Film
1. Wreck-It Ralph
2. Brave
3. Frankenweenie
4. The Pirates! Band of Misfits
5. ParaNorman
Best Foreign Language Film
1. Amour
2. Kon-Tiki
3. A Royal Affair
4. No
5. War Witch
Best Documentary
1. Searching For Sugar Man
2. The Gatekeepers
3. How to Survive a Plague
4. The Invisible War
5. 5 Broken Cameras
Best Film Editing
1. Argo
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Life of Pi
4. Lincoln
5. Silver Linings Playbook
Best Cinematography
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Lincoln
4. Anna Karenina
5. Django Unchained
Best Production Design
1. Lincoln
2. Anna Karenina
3. Les Miserables
4. Life of Pi
5. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Best Costume Design
1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Lincoln
4. Mirror Mirror
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Best Original Score
1. Life of Pi
2. Lincoln
3. Argo
4. Anna Karenina
5. Skyfall
Best Original Song
1. "Skyfall" from Skyfall
2. "Suddenly" from Les Miserables
3. "Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi
4. "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from Ted
5. "Before My Time" from Chasing Ice
Best Sound Editing
1. Skyfall
2. Life of Pi
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Argo
5. Django Unchained
Best Sound Mixing
1. Les Miserables
2. Life of Pi
3. Skyfall
4. Argo
5. Lincoln
Best Visual Effects
1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
3. The Avengers
4. Prometheus
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Best Animated Short
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. Head Over Heels
4. Fresh Guacamole
5. The Longest Daycare
Best Lie action Short
1. Curfew
2. Henry
3. Death of a Shadow
4. Asad
5. Buzkhashi Boys
Best Documentary Short
1. Open Heart
2. Inocente
3. Mondays at Racine
4. Kings Point
5. Redemption
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. Les Miserables
2. The Hobbit
3. Hitchcock
Can't believe I forgot this one
Best Supporting Actress
1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2. Sally Field, Lincoln
3. Helen Hunt, The Sessions
4. Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
5. Amy Adams, The Master
Best Picture:
1. Argo
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Lincoln
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
6. Les Miserables
7. Zero Dark Thirty
8. Django Unchained
9. Amour
Director:
1. David O. Russell
2. Ang Lee
3. Steven Spielberg
4. Benh Zeitlin
6. Michael Haneke
Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis
2. Bradley Cooper
3. Hugh Jackman
4. Joaquin Phoenix
5. Denzel Washington
Actress:
1. Jennifer Lawrence
2. Emmanuelle Riva
3. Quvenzhane Wallis
4. Jessica Chastain
5. Naomi Watts
Supporting Actor:
1. Robert De Niro
2. Tommy Lee Jones
3. Christoph Waltz
4. Alan Arkin
5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Supporting Actress:
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Sally Field
3. Helen Hunt
4. Jacki Weaver
5. Amy Adams
Original Screenplay:
1. Django Unchained
2. Amour
3. Moonrise Kingdom
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Flight
Adapted Screenplay:
1. Argo
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Lincoln
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Best Sound Editing:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Django Unchained
Best Sound Mixing:
1. Les Miserables
2. Life of Pi
3. Skyfall
4. Argo
5. Lincoln
Best Production Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Life of Pi
3. Les Miserables
4. Lincoln
5. The Hobbit
Cinematography:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Anna Karenina
4. Lincoln
5. Django Unchained
Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
1. Les Miserables
2. The Hobbit
3. Hitchcock
Best Costume Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Lincoln
4. Mirror Mirror
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Best Film Editing
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Silver Linings Playbook
Best Visual Effects:
1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit
3. The Avengers
4. Snow White and the Huntsman
5. Prometheus
I need Animated Film, foreign language film, documentary feature, and shorts
Oh, right. Silly me.
Best Animated Feature
1. Brave
2. Wreck-It Ralph
3. Frankenweenie
4. ParaNorman
5. Pirates! Band of Misfits
Best Foreign Language Film
1. Amour
2. No
3. A Royal Affair
4. Kon-Tiki
5. War Witch
Best Documentary – Feature
1. Searching For Sugar Man
2. How to Survive a Plague
3. The Invisible War
4. The Gatekeepers
5. 5 Broken Cameras
Best Documentary – Short Subject
1. Inocente
2. Open Heart
3. Mondays at Racine
4. Kings Point
5. Redemption
Best Live Action Short Film
1. Curfew
2. Death of A Shadow
3. Buzkashi Boys
4. Asad
5. Henry
Best Animated Short Film
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. Head over Heels
4. The Longest Daycare
5. Fresh Guacamole
Best Original Score
1. Life of Pi
2. Anna Karenina
3. Lincoln
4. Skyfall
5. Argo
Best Original Song
1. Skyfall
2. Life of Pi
3. Chasing Ice
4. Ted
5. Les Miserables
Picture:
1. Argo
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Lincoln
4. Life of Pi
5. Amour
6. Beasts of the Southern Wild
7. Les Miserables
8. Django Unchained
9. Zero Dark Thirty
Director
1. David O. Russell
2. Steven Spielberg
3. Ang Lee
4. Michael Haneke
5. Benh Zietlen
Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis
2. Hugh Jackman
3. Bradley Cooper
4. Joaquin Phoenix
5. Denzel Washington
Actress:
1. Jennifer Lawrence
2. Emanuelle Riva
3. Jessica Chastain
4. Quvenzhaine Wallis
5. Naomi Watts
Supporting Actor:
1. Robert De Niro
2. Tommy Lee Jones
3. Christoph Waltz
4. Alan Arkin
5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Supporting Actress:
1. Anne Hathaway
2. Jacki Weaver
3. Sally Field
4. Amy Adams
5. Helen Hunt
Original Screenplay:
1. Django Unchained
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Amour
4. Moonrise Kingdom
5. Flight
Adapted Screenplay:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Life of Pi
Foreign Language:
1. Amour
2. A Royal Affair
3. Kon-Tiki
4. No
5. War Witch
Documentary Feature:
1. Searching for Sugar Man
2. The Gatekeepers
3. The Invisible War
4. 5 Broken Cameras
5. How to Survive a Plague
Animated Feature:
1. Wreck-it Ralph
2. Brave
3. Frankenweenie
4. Paranorman
5. The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Cinematography:
1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Lincoln
4. Anna Karenina
5. Django Unchained
Costumes:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Mirror Mirror
3. Snow White and the Huntsman
4. Lincoln
5. Les Miserables
Editing:
1. Argo
2. Life of Pi
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. Lincoln
Makeup:
1. Les Miserables
2. The Hobbit
3. Hitchcock
Score:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Life of Pi
4. Anna Karenina
5. Skyfall
Song:
1. Skyfall
2. Everybody Needs a Best Friend
3. Pi's Lullaby
4. Suddenly
5. Before my Time
Production Design:
1. Anna Karenina
2. Lincoln
3. Les Miserables
4. Life of Pi
5. The Hobbit
Sound Editing:
1. Skyfall
2. Life of Pi
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Argo
5. Django Unchained
Sound Mixing:
1. Skyfall
2. Les Miserables
3. Life of Pi
4. Argo
5. Lincoln
Visual Effects:
1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit
3. The Avengers
4. Prometheus
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Animated Short:
1. Paperman
2. Adam and Dog
3. Head Over Heels
4. The Longest Daycare
5. Fresh Guacamole
Live Action Short:
1. Curfew
2. Buzkashi Boys
3. Henri
4. Asad
5. Death of a Shadow
Documentary Short:
1. Inocente
2. Open Heart
3. Redemption
4. King's Point
5. Mondays at Racine
BEST PICTURE -
1. Lincoln
Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers.
2. Argo
Grant Heslov, Ben Affleck and George Clooney, Producers.
3. Life of Pi
Gil Netter, Ang Lee and David Womark, Producers.
4. Zero Da rk Thirty
Mark Boal, Kathryn Bigelow and Megan Ellison, Producers.
5.Silver Linings Playbook
Donna Gigliotti, Bruce Cohen and Jonathan Gordon, Producers.
6. Amour
Margaret Ménégoz, Stefan Arndt, Veit Heiduschka, Michael Katz, ProducerS.
7. Django Unchained
Stacey Sher, Reginald Hudlin and Pilar Savone, Producers.
8. Les Misérables
Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Debra Hayward andCameron Mackintosh, Producers
9. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Dan Janvey, Josh Penn and Michael Gottwald, Producers.
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE -
1. Robert De Niro
Silver Linings Playbook
2. Tommy Lee Jones
Lincoln
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman
The Master
4. Christoph Waltz
Django Unchained
5. Alan Arkin
Argo
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE -
1. Anne Hathaway
Les Misérables
2. Amy Adams
The Master
3. Sally Field
Lincoln
4. Helen Hunt
The Sessions
5. Jacki Weaver
Silver Linings Playbook
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE -
1. Daniel Day-Lewis
Lincoln
2. Joaquin Phoenix
The Master
3. Hugh Jackman
Les Misérables
4. Bradley Cooper
Silver Linings Playbook
5. Denzel Washington
Flight
ACTRESS IN LEADING ROLE -
1. Emmanuelle Riva
Amour
2. Jessica Chastain
Zero Dark Thirty
3. Jennifer Lawrence
Silver Linings Playbook
4. Naomi Watts
The Impossible
5. Quvenzhané Wallis
Beasts of the Southern Wild
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM -
1. Wreck-It Ralph
Rich Moore
2. Frankenweenie
Tim Burton
3. Brave
Mark Andrews and Brenda Chapman
4. ParaNorman
Sam Fell and Chris Butler
5. The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Peter Lord
CINEMATOGRAPHY -
1. Skyfall
Roger Deakins
2. Life of Pi
Claudio Miranda
3. Django Unchained
Robert Richardson
4. Lincoln
Janusz Kaminski
5. Anna Karenina
Seamus McGarvey
COSTUME DESIGN -
1. Anna Karenina
Jacqueline Durran
2. Lincoln
Joanna Johnston
3. Les Misérables
Paco Delgado
4. Mirror Mirror
Eiko Ishioka
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Colleen Atwood
DIRECTING -
1. Lincoln
Steven Spielberg
2. Life of Pi
Ang Lee
3. Amour
Michael Haneke
4. Silver Linings Playbook
David O. Russell
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Benh Zeitlin
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE -
1. Searching for Sugar Man
Malik Bendjelloul
2. The Gatekeepers
Dror Moreh
3. How to Survive a Plague
David France
4. The Invisible War
Kirby Dick
5. Broken Cameras
Emad Burnat and Guy Davidi
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT -
1. Open Heart
Kief Davidson and Cori Shepherd Stern
2. Inocente
Sean Fine and Andrea Nix Fine
3. Kings Point
Sari Gilman and Jedd Wider
4. Mondays at Racine
Cynthia Wade and Robin Honan
5. Redemption
Jon Alpert and Matthew O’Neill
FILM EDITING -
1. Zero Da rk Thirty
Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg
2. Argo
William Goldenberg
3. Lincoln
Michael Kahn
4. Life of Pi
Tim Squyres
5. Silver Linings Playbook
Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM -
1. Amour
Austria
2. No
Chile
3. Kon-Tiki
Norway
4. A Royal Affair
Denmark
5. War Witch
Canada
MAKEUP and HAIRSTYLING-
1. Les Misérables
Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell
2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Peter Swords King, Rick Findlater and Tami Lane
3. Hitchcock
Howard Berger, Peter Montagna and Martin
Samuel
MUSIC (Original Score) -
1. Life of Pi
Mychael Danna
2. Skyfall
Thomas Newman
3. Lincoln
John Williams
4. Argo
Alexandre Desplat
5. Anna Karenina
Dario Marianelli
MUSIC (Original Song) -
1. Skyfall
Skyfall
Music and Lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
2. Pi’s Lullaby
Life of Pi
Music by Mychael Danna
Lyric by Bombay Jayashri
3. Suddenly
Les Misérables
Music by Claude-Michel Schönberg
Lyric by Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil
4. Before My Time
Chasing Ice
Music and Lyric by J. Ralph
5. Everybody Needs A Best Friend
Ted
Music by Walter Murphy
Lyric by Seth MacFarlane
PRODUCTION DESIGN -
1. Life of Pi
Production Design: David Gropman
Set Decoration: Anna Pinnock
2. Anna Karenina
Production Design: Sarah Greenwood
Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
3. Les Misérables
Production Design: Eve Stewart
Set Decoration: Anna Lynch-Robinson
4. Lincoln
Production Design: Rick Carter
Set Decoration: Jim Erickson
5. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Production Design: Dan Hennah
Set Decoration: Ra Vincent and Simon Bright
SHORT FILM (Animated)
1. Paperman
John Kahrs
2. Adam and Dog
Minkyu Lee
3. Fresh Guacamole
PES
4. Head over Heels
Timothy Reckart and Fodhla Cronin O’Reilly
5. Maggie Simpson in “The Longest Da ycare”
David Silverman
SHORT FILM (Live Action) -
1. Curfew
Shawn Christensen
2. Death of a Shadow (Dood van een
Schaduw)
Tom Van Avermaet and Ellen De Waele
3. Asad
Bryan Buckley and Mino Jarjoura
4. Buzkashi Boys
Sam French and Ariel Nasr
5. Henry
Yan England
SOUND EDITING -
1. Skyfall
Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers
2. Zero Dark Thirty
Paul N.J. Ottosson
3. Life of Pi
Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton
4. Argo
Erik Aadahl and Ethan Van der Ryn
5. Django Unchained
Wylie Stateman
SOUND MIXING -
1. Les Misérables
Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes
2. Life of Pi
Ron Bartlett, D.M. Hemphill and Drew Kunin
3. Lincoln
Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Ronald Judkins
4. Skyfall
Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell and Stuart Wilson
5. Argo
John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and Jose Antonio
Garcia
VISUAL EFFECTS -
1. Life of Pi
Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron,
Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott
2. Marvel’s The Avengers
Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams and
Dan Sudick
3. Prometheus
Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley
and Martin Hill
4. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton and
R. Christopher White
5. Snow White and the Huntsman
Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Philip Brennan,
Neil Corbould and Michael Dawson
WRITING (Adapted Screenplay) -
1. Lincoln
Screenplay by Tony Kushner
2. Argo
Screenplay by Chris Terrio
3. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Screenplay by Lucy Alibar & Benh Zeitlin
4. Silver Linings Playbook
Screenplay by David O. Russell
5. Life of Pi
Screenplay by David Magee
WRITING (Original Screenplay ) -
1. Amour
Written by Michael Haneke
2. Zero Dark Thirty
Written by Mark Boal
3. Django Unchained
Written by Quentin Tarantino
4. Moonrise Kingdom
Written by Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
5. Flight
Written by John Gatins
Listener Question
Which, out of all the major sci-fi films (for example Star Trek, Gravity, Snowpeirecer ect.) will be good? And which one do think has the best chance at the awards season next year? [Grasshopper]
Over/Under:
2 more Oscar nominations for Bradley Cooper
Even if Affleck was nominated, do you really think he deserves it more than Ang Lee purely on direction basis? I think Ang Lee had a much harder, challenging task to pull of Life of Pi as a director. A movie being called unfilmable, attempted by other before and Ang Lee finally stepping up. Even if Affleck was nominated, I don't think its Best Director win worthy. And even if he was nominated and won, its probably because they dont want a director-picture split. There is noting special in Argo that makes Affleck a winner over Ang Lee or Spielberg.
*nothing
Laremy, though you made some brave predictions, I have to say you are going to lose this.
I am going to make prediction on predictions. I predict Brad will score 18-20 and Laremy will dangle somewhere around 15-17.
Guess the MPAA rating based on its reason :
Disturbing and graphic depiction of violent anti-social behavior, sexuality and language
I did #AGoodResearch on the Sound Editing/Mixing Oscar and here's what I've got:
Since 1990:
The same film has won both awards 11 times (that's 11/22 - 50%).
Musicals (when nominated for Sound Mixing) have won 3/5 times (60%)
Boom.
[Listener Question]
What is the reason why good Art House films such as 'Drive' and 'Moonrise Kingdom' don't receive major award recognition? [Xarnis]
Over/Under
3 Oscar nominations for 'Snowpiercer' [Xarnis]
4 2014 Oscar Best Picture Nominees that are on Brad's 2013 Top 10 [Xarnis]
10 years before a Bond film gets major award recognition at the Oscars (I.e. Picture, Director, Screenplay) [Xarnis]
Please don't do Disqus. It sucks.
My thoughts exactly
Best exchange of the podcast:
Laremy: "I'm going with Phillip Seymour Hoffman"
Brad: "So you've decided not to win this..."
Winner!
There goes #ClassicAngryBrad bashing on my beloved Taylor Swift.
There's only one way to go once you've reached the top!! That's no reflection of what I think of her so much as how once you are the most "whatever" people start trying to look for ways to see you fail.
I wasn't a huge fan of the live action shorts this year either, but they were a whole lot better than the lot last year. The consensus seems to be Curfew is the best, and I'd have to agree, with Death of a Shadow being a close second. I'm slowly becoming a fan of Matthias Schoenearts and the concept of the film I thought was really interesting. Of the five, I think it has the greatest potential to actually be expanded into feature length. My least favorite was Buzkashi Boys: well intentioned but so overwrought with messages and felt way too long.
Do you think that because there were several Oscar nomination surprises and snubs this year we will see a more predictable batch of nominees and winners for next years Oscars?
I really enjoyed todays podcast. Thanks B & L. Keep up the good work. Im looking forward to sundays special edition. I have a new approach this year after listening to a ton of "experts" spout off their predictions and the variety of logic they use to make conclusions. Now i have a better idea of how the game is played. I still have my fabs that I refuse to bet against for fear of ruining any good juju. So I can go into the show informed and watch the results unfold. Im playing it more like a game. A sick game! But oh the fun!!!
Really unsure why people are going DeNiro, as Laremy said, you will both be getting it wrong as it's TLJ or Waltz ;) Happy to apologize and give credit where it's due if DeNiro or Hoffman win. I don't think Amour is no chance for Original Screenplay, but it's definitely behind Django and ZDT for mine. You guys are continuously surprising me with your picks, Searching for Sugar Man is going to win Doco Laremy ;). Sound Editing = Zero Dark Thirty, Prod Design I think Les Mis just gets up over Anna.
Brad, are you going to tally all the votes from people posting in the comments section? See if anyone can out-tip you!
Also, interested to know if you guy's watch Archer? Seems like a show you two would like.
Respect Bradley, I seem to be the only one amongst friends that hates that Taylor Swift song... so... painful.
If I were you, I'd seriously reconsider that Production Design pick. There's very little love for Les Mis, so if Anna doesn't win it, it will surely be Life of Pi.
Life of Pi is no chance in my opinion but I found it hard to split Les Mis and Anna. I went safe as the betting odds have Les Mis just ahead. Definitely one of the categories I have less of an idea on, maybe the bookies have it wrong :)
And there ya go, neither LES MIS, ANNA or LIFE OF PI.
Though I love Eternal Sunshine, I must say I'm not a huge fan of his (though I've only seen three of his films, including the lackluster Human Nature, but Laremy you forgot to list seemingly your favorite documentary which Gondry directed, Dave Chapelle's Block Party.
It makes me sad any time you guys talk about Brave and severely underrate it.
It isn't vintage Pixar by any means but it's a good movie with a strong central relationship between mother and daughter. I liked Wreck-It Ralph too but once you get past the novelty factor of the video game setting and classic character cameos, it feels a lot more like a generic kid's movie, especially once it gets settled in Sugar Rush.
Brave is the more visually beautiful film with a more complex and engaging central relationship. I hope it wins the Oscar tonight and thing it will.
Laremy must be loving that Dark Skies budget. Only $3.5 million!
Over/Under:
- C+, Brad's grade for Jack the Giant Slayer [the colleague]
Playing the Percentages:
- % chance whoever loses the winter draft will try and make the other one forget about the bet [the colleague]
Buy/Sell:
- the name of the director who showed his voting process will get revealed within the next month [the colleague]
- Razzies will eventually go away [the colleague]
Would You Rather:
- continue being a critic in the US, knowing full well you'll have to at some point review drek such as Movie 43 or live as a critic abroad where sometimes crap like that isn't released, but the downside is you'd have to wait longer than your US peers to see most movies [the colleague]
Watch This or Watch That (Digital Backlot):
- Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow or Sin City
- Sucker Punch or The Spirit
- 300 or Avatar
- Speed Racer or Alice in Wonderland
- Oz the Great and Powerful or Sin City: A Dame to Kill For
Listener Question: If you could fix ONE thing from the Oscars telecast (host, an announcer, musical number, a particular winner), what would it be?
What do you guys think about using movies like Lincoln to teach history in schools? Could it be a great initial event to get kids interested in history? Or should it be re-thought as a lot of Hollywood films change historical events for the benefit of the greater story...
*This was sparked by this story: http://movies.yahoo.com/blogs/movie-talk/steven-speilberg-lincoln-coming-soon-school-near-013753394.html
Was Daniel Day-Lewis' humorous Oscar speech a hint that he may be considering comedic roles now that he has won 3 Best Actor awards?
Given how closely tied directing and the quality of a movie are, do you think the Academy will expand the director nominees to more than 5? (especially given the Argo backlash)
What are your guys' thoughts of Joaquin Phoenix blatantly disrespecting the Oscars at their own show?
Over / Under:
3.5 - Years before Jessica Chastain wins an Oscar
Over/ under -
1. 1.5 times, Seth MacFarlane returns as Oscar host.
2. 4.5 years, Roger Deakins finally wins his first Oscar Best Cinematography.
Buy/ sell -
1. Ang Lee wins another Best director Oscar for a Best Picture win in foreseeable future.
2. Seth MacFarlane as Oscar host. Bought or sold.
Playing them percents -
1. % chance, Christoph Waltz grabs a major role in the next Tarantino film as well, if he ever makes one, possibly the aforementioned closure to the revenge trilogy.
2. % factor, bad Wienstein's marketing cost the Master its technical awards' snubs.
Over/Under
2.5 years till Christian Bale wins another Oscar [JN Films]
55% RT Score for Jack the Giant Slayer [JN Films]
45% RT Score for Oz: I don't Care [JN Films]
For the record, it was Inception, not The Social Network, which won both the sound categories in 2011 along with Visual Effects and Cinematography.
Sorry.
Thank You.
This comment is an episode late :P but thank you for answering, and I guess it's a fair point.