Oscar Predictions: Take Four, All Top Eight Categories
COMMENTS
Some ups and downs remain, but the real contenders are shaping up...
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS | |||
| RANK | NOMINEE | LAST WEEK | UP/DOWN |
| 1 | Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona) | 1 | n/c |
| 2 | Viola Davis (Doubt) | 2 | n/c |
| 3 | Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) | 3 | n/c |
| 4 | Rosemarie Dewitt (Rachel Getting Married) | 4 | n/c |
| 5 | Elsa Zylberstein (I've Love You So Long) | 5 | n/c |
| BUBBLE LINE | |||
| 6 | Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler) | 6 | n/c |
| 7 | Amy Adams (Doubt) | 7 | n/c |
| 8 | Evan Rachel Wood (The Wrestler) | 8 | n/c |
| 9 | Kate Winslet (The Reader) | 9 | n/c |
| 10 | Hiam Abbas (The Visitor) | 10 | n/c |
| BEST DIRECTOR | |||
| RANK | NOMINEE | LAST WEEK | UP/DOWN |
| 1 | David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) | 1 | n/c |
| 2 | Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire) | 2 | n/c |
| 3 | Jonathan Demme (Rachel Getting Married) | 3 | n/c |
| 4 | Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight) | 4 | n/c |
| 5 | Sam Mendes (Revolutionary Road) | 5 | n/c |
| BUBBLE LINE | |||
| 6 | Darren Aronofsky (The Wrestler) | 6 | n/c |
| 7 | Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon) | 7 | n/c |
| 8 | Gus Van Sant (Milk) | 8 | n/c |
| 9 | Stephen Daldry (The Reader) | 9 | n/c |
| 10 | Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino) | 10 | n/c |
| BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | |||
| RANK | NOMINEE | LAST WEEK | UP/DOWN |
| 1 | Jenny Lumet (Rachel Getting Married) | 1 | n/c |
| 2 | Robert Siegel (The Wrestler) | 2 | n/c |
| 3 | Dustin Lance Black (Milk) | 5 |  |
| 4 | Woody Allen (Vicky Cristina Barcelona) | 4 | n/c |
| 5 | Charlie Kaufman (Synecdoche, New York) | 3 |  |
| BUBBLE LINE | |||
| 6 | Thomas McCarthy (The Visitor) | 6 | n/c |
| 7 | Andrew Stanton and Jim Reardon (WALL-E) | 7 | n/c |
| 8 | J. Michael Stranczynski (Changeling) | 8 | n/c |
| 9 | Gran Torino (Nick Schenk) | 9 | n/c |
| 10 | Grant Nieporte (Seven Pounds) | 10 | n/c |
| BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | |||
| RANK | NOMINEE | LAST WEEK | UP/DOWN |
| 1 | Eric Roth (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) | 1 | n/c |
| 2 | Simon Beaufoy (Slumdog Millionaire) | 2 | n/c |
| 3 | Doubt (John Patrick Shanley) | 3 | n/c |
| 4 | Peter Morgan (Frost/Nixon) | 5 | |
| 5 | Justin Haythe (Revolutionary Road) | 4 | |
| BUBBLE LINE | |||
| 6 | Jonathan and Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight) | 6 | n/c |
| 7 | David Hare (The Reader) | 7 | n/c |
| 8 | François Bégaudeau, Robin Campillo and Laurent Cantet (The Class) | 8 | n/c |
| 9 | Clay Frohman and Edward Zwick (Defiance) | 9 | n/c |
| 10 | Maurizio Braucci, Ugo Chiti, Gianni Di Gregorio, Matteo Garrone, Massimo Gaudiso, Roberto Saviano (Gomorrah) | 10 | n/c |
Remember, you can keep track of all my Oscar coverage on my "The Contenders" section right here.
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Best Actor – I really hope Leonardo DiCaprio makes the cut. The BFCA snub was actually shocking, I hope it doesn't mean he is out of the race. Maybe it's true that many of the voters didn't see it in time. I just can't imagine any other excuse for why DiCaprio and Shannon would be left off. They need Golden Globe and SAG come backs, bad.
When can we expect the review for Valkyrie? You have seen it Brad. right?
i love how the supporting actor & actress categories have no changes. it should stay that way all the way to the Oscars.
except, the way it seems to be going, it looks like josh brolin & heath ledger will be battling it out head-to-head till then. all the others seem to be overshadowed.
& i just had a thought: you think the Academy will pull a 'brokeback mountain/crash' at the last minute & give the supporting actor award to someone BESIDES ledger? would they really be that biased?
I've had worries about Ledger not winning at last minute, especially to Josh Brolin in Milk or something. I'd be furious.
@adu: Yup, gonna have to hold it due to embargo at the moment. Saw it last night…
@Chris: Well, be prepared to be furious. I don't think the academy give Ledger an oscar for batman. Even with all the hype.
Josh Brolin or Shannon will probably get it, and it will be well deserved.
Have you seen Gomorrah? It is not in your list.
@Peter Cat: Not yet, but I just received it yesterday and will hopefully have a review of it up soon as well as a review of Che.