2016 Oscar Predictions

Best Director

Last Updated: August 10th at 10:24 AM

Steve Jobs
  1. Danny Boyle
    Steve Jobs
  2. Alejandro González Iñárritu
    The Revenant
  3. Tom Hooper
    The Danish Girl
  4. Quentin Tarantino
    The Hateful Eight
  5. John Crowley
Click here for the full field & commentary

Adapted Screenplay

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Original Screenplay

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Animated Feature Film

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Documentary (feature)

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Film Editing

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Original Score

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Original Song

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Sound Mixing

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Sound Editing

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Visual Effects

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Costume Design

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Production Design

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Makeup & Hairstyling

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Foreign Language Film

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  • Alex Bauman

    Nothing for Only God Forgives? What about Vithaya Pansringarm or Kristin Scott Thomas? It might be too atypical for the Oscars but it's worth mentioning.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Bri/ Bri

    Hey Brad when are you gonna have an updated predictions...it's already JUNE!

  • jessied44

    Loving the rankings for Prisoners. If that remarkable cast and technical crew have delivered on that script, it may be the "under the radar" film of the year. That kind of thriller can be really dicey until you actually see it on a screen.

  • Jacob Ford
  • Mirko Billi

    I am to agree for Saving Mr Banks: best picture, best actress, best actor in a supporting role and original screenplay. My predictions in others categories: art direction, costume design and original score.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/LouricR1999/ Louric Rankine

    I will have Lee Daniels' the Butler in
    Best Picture
    Best Director
    Best Original Screenplay
    Best Actor in a leading role
    Best Actress in a Supporting role
    Best Makeup
    Best Costume Desighn
    Best Film Editing

    • http://hauntedbyhumans.wordpress.com J.R.Meehl

      Wow. It will be lucky to get any of those.

  • Mirko Billi

    In original score goes in nomination Thomas Newman for Saving Mr Banks. I think her victory this years.

  • Aidan Khan

    U did an update right?

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/BetteDavisFan/ Milos Perisic

    American Hustle? No way! Just another cheap and dull dramedy of greedy but repetitive director.

  • Bill

    Oh, so I guess you're unaware that Gravity is winning Best Score.

  • Stan Robinson

    Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters has some of the best makeup work of the year. It came out early and was not a "popular" film but the prosthetic work on the witches and Edward the Troll deserve consideration if not the makeup award.

  • Liya Waran

    It would be a huge travesty if Adele Exarchopoulos does not receive a nomination for Best Actress. I'd also like to see nominations for Lea Seydoux and Abdellatif Kechiche. It'll never happen because Hollywood is so intent on mainstream and bestowing awards and nominations on dramatic and safe performances from the likes of Julia Roberts and Meryl Streep or even Tom Hanks. *yawn*. Wake me up when actors and films are recognised for being challenging.

  • Gil Thibault

    I just saw Inside Llewyn Lewis last night. I don't understand putting Llewyn... in the top ten best movies and not Butler. Butler in many respects is a better film. You should reconsider your position.

  • http://hauntedbyhumans.wordpress.com J.R.Meehl
  • Peter Bandrowsky

    I think American Hustle will receive more love in the acting field

  • http://burt-oscars.blogspot.com Burt Mizaki

    People, you can't forget that these are 'predictions', that has nothing to do with personal taste of movies.


  • http://burt-oscars.blogspot.com Burt Mizaki

    People, you can't forget that these are 'predictions'.
    It has nothing to do with personal taste of movies.


  • MSDisqus

    There's no way Chiwetel Ejiofor will win after not winning at the Golden Globes. For 9 of the last 10 years, the winner of the Academy Award for Best Actor had also won a Golden Globe for the same movie. The lone exception was Sean Penn and he did a great job in Milk, unlike Ejiofor who was just standing around looking into the camera for 2 hours of the movie...guy barely talked. All of the Best Actor Oscar winners have some kind of vibe with their speech and mannerisms, something a viewer remembers forever; Chiwetel didn't have that at all, but Matthew did and he will win. Even Denzel Washington didn't win a Golden Globe but won an Oscar because he had a charismatic vibe throughout the whole Training Day. The point is this: 9/10 of the past Best Actor Academy Award winners had won a Golden Globe for the same role. The only one who hadn't was Sean Penn for Milk and his performance was outstanding to the point that you don't think of that movie without thinking about him. I can think of three other characters in 12 Years a Slave before thinking of Solomon: Patsy, Epps, and Tibeats. As a matter of fact, look at any movie that has won Best Actor at the Academy Awards; tell me you can think of another character, other than the lead man whose actor won the Oscar? I sure can't. If you think Ejiofor is going to win, you probably haven't seen many Best Actor winning movies. I recommend There Will Be Blood, The Artist, and Ray.

  • http://stevelincolnmovieblog.blogspot.com/ Steven Lincoln

    Looking at your updated predictions based on the nominations that came out yesterday, I can't really fault you on any one category. However, looking at it in total, it just doesn't seem right that 12 Years A Slave is picked for Best Picture with 4 additional wins, Gravity has 6 total wins and American Hustle has none.

    • Harvardforever

      Additional wins mean nothing...the academy votes for who they believe is the best picture.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/navaneethks/ navaneethks

    I wish and hope the Production Design win will go to The Great Gatsby. I don't walk out of 12YAS slave thinking 'wow, memorable production design.'

    I vote Ordinary Love for best song but a Let it Go win will not be surprising.

    I would be very happy if The Hunt wins Best Foreign Language Film, but a win for The Great Beauty will be fine as well.

    In an ideal world, Dirty Wars would win Best Documentary as it does what a documentary is supposed to do, expose the truth by showing the other half of the story you never hear, and Dirty Wars did a phenomenal job at a that. I hope you watch it one day Brad, I will be interested on your thoughts.

    And Zero win for American Hustle like the predictions here would be great.

    • MSDisqus

      They'll find a way to give them (AH) at least one.

  • Jeff Beck

    At this juncture, I only disagree with five of your picks.

    Best Picture - It could indeed still be 12 Years a Slave, but it's more likely to be Gravity given that it's won the PGA and DGA. Plus it's already expected to win many more Oscars than its closest competitors.

    Best Foreign Language Film - I would think that The Great Beauty has a much better chance of winning this than the other nominees. It's gotten rave reviews and took the Golden Globe (the last three have matched), so that's the best bet at the moment.

    Best Documentary - It would be pretty surprising if anything else besides The Act of Killing won. It's been the most awarded doc throughout awards season by far, so again, it's a best bet.

    Best Production Design and Best Costume Design - It's highly expected that both of these will go to The Great Gatsby, BUT if the Academy feels like giving American Hustle a pity award, it could very well be one of these two. At least, I hope that if they feel the need to do that that they would do it in one of these categories as opposed to giving it an undeserved Best Original Screenplay Oscar.

  • Paul

    I highly doubt that "The Hunt" will take best foreign film. It will go to "The Great Beauty" or "The Broken Circle Breakdown"

  • MSDisqus

    Rest in Peace Philip Seymour Hoffman.

  • Harvardforever

    Hands down, the winner of Best Picture will be 12 Years a Slave. What a powerful, truthful film.

  • http://koalakia.blogspot.gr/ kostas

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  • jhairo cordova

    i think amy Adams won't win the oscar

  • Gil Thibault

    Please eliminate Boyhood from your best picture category. Very interesting concept and endurance but too long and lackluster acting performance.

    • Aristo Kratte

      I know this is an old comment, but just seeing it today. Boyhood will win Best Picture

      • GetSmarty

        It was a big snore fest.

    • GetSmarty

      Simply put--it was boring!

  • Gil Thibault

    You should give more attention to 100 foot Journey. Very well done drama and romantic comedy.

    • Ken

      Maybe so, but is it really conceivable that the Academy will honor it in a notable enough way?

  • Sammi Luester

    Don't forget to add the other three categories for the Awards since there are 24 all together. Documentary Short, Live-Action Short, and Animated Short. :-P

  • Sammi Luester

    I wish more female filmmakers/directors were recognized. :-(

    • Aristo Kratte

      Which ones? Which movies deserved to get nominated JUST BECAUSE their director was female.

    • Travis Starr

      Can you even name 10 female directors in Hollywood? So....just because someone is a woman or someone is black or someone is deformed, they should automatically get a nomination?

  • jd

    how about Nightcrawler for lead actor,supporting actress,screenplay,cinematography and make up

  • G A Buckman

    I believe that the response to "Interstellar" has been, to put it mildly, lukewarm and that it does not merit to be atop many of your leading contender lists. Also, I am not convinced that "the powers that be" will continue to leave Meryl Streep's "Into the Woods" performance in the supporting category particularly since Blunt's performance does not seem to be among the leading contenders for a Best Actress nomination.

    • GetSmarty

      Interstellar, like Boyhood and Budapest Hotel, was highly overrated.

  • Criddic

    If Clint Eastwood gets in for best director, I doubt his movie will miss for best picture. Why bet against the Academy giving him both nods?

  • John Benutty

    How does A Most Violent Year make it into your top 9 Best Picture nominees without a single other nomination? It's rare enough for a film to be in BP with TWO total nominations, but only ONE? Give me a break.

    • xxxgreta

      There's no A Most Violent Year in the list.

      • Alex Bauman

        That comment was from a month ago. Brad updates this list pretty regularly.

  • BobbyZim

    At this point - while there are still a few weeks to know for sure - I have to say I think "Unbroken" is being seriously over-rated in these predictions. I don't doubt it will get some nominations, but the critical consensus is, "Yes, it's the obvious Oscar bait movie, but it's just a little TOO obvious." The Academy tends not to appreciate being pandered to, and "Unbroken" - as well crafted as it may be - reeks of pandering. I mean, even the Coen Brothers are so obviously writers-for-hire. To me, it seems there are two probabilities: Either they reject the blatancy of the Oscar bait and split the awards between more daring films like "Birdman," "Boyhood" and "Foxcatcher," or they reject the obviousness of "Unbroken" and instead look to conventional but still more dazzling films like "The Theory of Everything," "Selma" and "The Imitation Game."

    • BobbyZim

      By the way, my predictions for Best Documentary Feature:

      1.) "Life Itself"*
      2.) "Citizenfour"
      3.) "The Overnighters"

      Those are the obvious, with * indicating which one will probably win.

      4.) "Jodorowsky's Dune"

      Almost certainly.

      5.) is pretty open with "The Evolution of a Criminal," "Finding Vivian Maier," "Glen Campbell: I'll Be Me," "The Green Prince," "Happy Valley," "Keep on Keepin' On," "Last Days in Vietnam," "Manakamana," "The Salt of the Earth" and "Virunga."

      My guess would be, of those, "Last Days in Vietnam," although I could certainly see "Finding Vivian Maier" or "Virunga" taking it, with "The Green Prince" and "The Salt of the Earth" being interesting dark horses.

      • http://hauntedbyhumans.wordpress.com J.R.Meehl

        My doc pics are the same as yours for first 4. I have Virunga taking the 5th spot.

    • GetSmarty

      Regardless of the Academy's opinion, Unbroken was the best movie of the year!

  • The Dude

    Lol "Jennifer Lawrence but she is definitely not gonna win."

  • Paulo Egidio

    Julianne Moore. This is her year!

  • xxxgreta

    I'm just hoping TANGERINES be nominated in Best Foreign Language category. I prefer it to IDA and FORCE MAJEURE. I can't comment on Wild Tales, Leviathan and Timbuktu. I haven't seen them yet.

  • Brooklyn Boy

    The Immigrant should be on this list in several categories. Best Actress, Best Cinematography, and Best Art Direction.

  • Donovan

    Just saw Unbroken. It's sad that Unbroken it's left out now, although I admit that there really is an enormous collection of unique and brilliant movies this year. But, Unbroken is a great movie. If were shown last year, 12 Years a Slave could have had a tight competition. This year's list is far superior to last year. In consolation, that is the reason why Unbroken may not land an Oscar nomination, but I hope it will.

  • Spark87

    Is great to see Carell on the 5th spot, he made a fantastic and surprising performance in "Foxcatcher". Eddie Redmayne deserves the Oscar above the rest of the actors in the list. As much as Keaton is the favorite... Redmayne has given the best performance of the year BY FAR. I can picture Redmayne giving the same performance of Keaton in "Birdman" with his eyes closed, still I can't imagine Keaton giving the same quality performance of Redmayne's in "The Theory of Everything".

  • Dennis Grousosky

    I don't understand the continued support for Unbroken as an awards contender.
    It seems very "dead in the water" to me. BAFTA just ignored it completely.

  • Hawkeye

    The only four here that seem a little off are Film Editing (it would be surprising if Boyhood didn't take this with Birdman mistakenly left out), Original Score (Theory of Everything appears to have the better chance), and Sound Editing & Mixing (Interstellar probably has these).

    • Alex Feinstein

      I disagree, i really think whiplash deserves to win film editing. The movie is close to a masterpiece technically. I also believe whiplash will win sound mixing and American Sniper will take sound editing. This year is different, they're not going to throw all of the technical awards to the sci-fi movie like last year.

      • Hawkeye

        Well, in the case of film editing, Birdman is easily the one that deserves it. The way the film is seamlessly put together is brilliant, making it incredibly sad that the editor's branch failed so badly when they didn't even nominate it (this was the biggest surprise snub of all). Unfortunately, as in many cases, we're not talking about what "deserves" to win, but what has the best chance of doing so, which, in this case, is Boyhood, not only because of its prior wins in the category from critics, but because they'll be looking for other awards to pile on it besides the three it has locked down.

        The sound awards are a little more flexible, but it would be rather shocking if Interstellar didn't take at least one of them. As we've seen many times in the last few years, they like to pile these on the same film, which is why Interstellar seems like the most obvious option, especially given its amazing technical accomplishments. We'll just have to see what the CAS and the MPSE say to give us a hint. (It's interesting to note that Whiplash wasn't even nominated by the CAS for Sound Mixing.).

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/lightofwadowice/ Ignatius Albert

          I totally agree that the biggest snub this year is Birdman's film editing. And the fact that the nominations are determined by the branches makes it all the more amazing that the film editors fail to see the seamless editing that goes into Birdman.

          Plus the original score by Antonio Sanchez that got disqualified for using too much pre-existing classical music. Birdman should have gotten 11 nominations, not 9.

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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/garb0815/ garb0815

    I like that this year is really up in the air. It makes me want to watch it that much more.

  • Jeff Beck

    Wow, the only thing we disagree on is Sound Editing (I'm predicting Sniper to take both Sound categories after its big MPSE win for FX/Foley). Other than that, we are simpatico.

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