Oscar Predictions

Meryl Streep to Campaign for Best Supporting Actress for 'August: Osage County'

Battle lines drawn between Streep, Adams and Winfrey

Julianne Nicholson, Meryl Streep and Julia Roberts in August: Osage County
Julianne Nicholson, Meryl Streep and Julia Roberts in August: Osage County
Photo: The Weinstein Co.

People have been questioning my predictions all along, wondering where Meryl Streep and Julia Roberts would campaign for their roles in August: Osage County. Well, the question is now over as Gold Derby reports Streep will campaign in the Best Supporting Actress category despite the fact the role she plays as Violet won the Tony for Best Actress in 2008.

As a result, it would be easy to move Streep to the top line in the category, but I'm sticking with Amy Adams (American Hustle) for the time being and I haven't shifted much in the Best Actress category either.

I can only assume the reason to shift Streep from lead to supporting is The Weinstein Co. sees the supporting field as the weaker field and the best chance for Streep to score a nod as a result whereas in the Best Actress field Roberts is already staring down a barrel loaded with Cate Blanchett's performance from Blue Jasmine and Emma Thompson in Saving Mr. Banks, a performance I continue to hear great things about.

When it comes to Best Supporting Actress, however, Gold Derby's Tom O'Neil seems to believe the race will come down to Streep and Oprah Winfrey for Lee Daniels' The Butler, which many have seen and I am finally seeing in just a matter of hours and will be able to report on more accurately once I've seen it.

With Streep having won as recently as 2012 and both Adams and Winfrey having been nominated before but not won, that may play heavily on voters. I also wonder if Streep has it in her to campaign as much as she did for her win for The Iron Lady. If so, this could be a very interesting race.

For my full predictions for Best Actress click here and for Best Supporting Actress click here.

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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Jack/ Jack Tyler

    Amy Adams is going LEAD in American Hustle according to Kris Tapley

    • Bertram J. Krogh

      This could be interesting.

  • http://www.cinemaconfessions.com/ Gautam Anand

    Ha. I am smiling no end. I called it first, 6 months back on this forum. I was sure that Harvey won't risk Streep in the Lead and win nothing. She won Lead two years, and there was no way, she was going to win again, however strong her performance might be. In supporting she will have much better shot. Though not guaranteed but much more likelihood of winning.

  • http://www.cinemaconfessions.com/ Gautam Anand

    I am also wondering if this will allow Sony Pictures to place Amy Adams comfortably into lead. And yes, Jack is right, as per Kris Tapley Amy Adams is going lead. And now with Streep out of the way, I am sure Sony Pictures will find the decision making easy. If Adams is placed lead, with Streep out of her way, I tip her to win [ if Diana turns out to be surprisingly good, then I give it to Watts]

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/kevinb/ kevinb

    I don't believe there is or was any question whether Streep would receive a nomination. No matter how good her performance (and I have heard it is one of her best), NO ONE is going to beat Cate Blanchett this year. Placing Streep in a much weaker Best Supporting Actress category gives "August" it's best shot at claiming an Oscar win.

  • http://www.cinemaconfessions.com/ Gautam Anand

    Another piece of news coming in Dave Karger. It's been confirmed that Oprah will go supporting for The Butler and NOT the lead as some speculations were. So suddenly, a weak supporting race, has turned into a high-profile showdown - Meryl vs Oprah. I can't wait for this Oscar season to begin.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Jacob/ Jacob

    Interesting turn, but I don't see it as a good idea. Having won her long overdue 2nd best actress oscar (and the 3rd one overall), everyone started seeing Streep entering in Katharine's Hepburn territory and kinda "wished" that if she gave another worthy performance, she would be rewarded with a 3rd leading trophy. I don't see Streep in supporting having a chance. But never forget that the final decision of whether a performance is supporting or lead is taken by academy voters, not the studios or the campaign efforts. The most recent example: Kate Winslet in The Reader. If Academy members consider Streep's performance as a leading one, she'll go leading no matter what Harvey says.

    As of Adams, not a good idea to push her in leading too. Best Actress we all see will be terribly crowded with outstanding performances (as opposed to last year where great female leading characters lacked) with Cate Blanchett, Judi Dench, Kate Winslet, Emma Thompson, and maybe best friends Naomi and Nicole playing the glamourous 20th century princesses, and among them I don't see her having a very good shot, not when you consider that AH is not centered in her character.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ian/ Ian

    I can't see Streep winning no matter which category she's in...she just won two years ago and it's awfully hard to win twice in that close of proximity, unless the second role is a complete blow everyone away performance. Also the whole Oprah thing seems ridiculous, but she's basically God to lots of people in showbusiness. So yeah, she's guaranteed a nomination and if she's even remotely decent will probably win.

  • P.

    Adams will go lead. We have DOR saying she narrates the movie and it's from her POV and a lot of evidence that her role has been significantly buffed up since the first draft of the script. Plus I really think Sony would want to try for the 4/4 nominations that SLP managed to get. Most of the discussion about Adams as supporting comes from the people who read the first draft of the script, and Russell has changed it significantly - Jennifer Lawrence just confirmed it and said that he re-wrote her part for her. He very likely did the same for Adams. The original draft is no indication anymore about who will go where.

    As for Streep... look, I appreciate her like anyone else, really I do, she is by far one of the greatest actors ever, not just with the 'of her generation' disclaimer. But she's won her third Oscar two years ago. I'm not saying she won't be nominated, but c'mon, Streep can't win every time she's nominated. In fact, with 17 nominations, most of the times she's been nominated she hasn't won. I'm also not sure the questions is over - the studio pushes for which nomination, sure, but in the end it's the members of AMPAS who decide. She could still be nominated lead even if she campaigns supporting. Sure, sometimes they're happy to go with category fraud, but isn't this usually the case when it helps someone get the nomination themselves which they wouldn't be able to get in their correct category? Streep can get the nomination in either category, moving her to supporting is meant to help Roberts. I'm not sure AMPAS would play along.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/utahprime/ Mark Depew

    Oprah winning a competitive Oscar is bullshit. She already has
    an honorary one for being such a good talk show host. Please
    spare me!

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Torryz/ Torryz

      Thank you!

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/andyluvsfilms/ andyluvsfilms

    Waltz won two Oscars just a few years apart with roles that were fairly similar in style so never say never but looking at Streep's 17 nominations and 3 wins the probability is it'll go that way again

    • Davey

      I certainly hope you're right! Now, I would love to see a movie made on the life of the" legendary" Bette Davis being played by "guess who"???? That would make her 4th Oscar to tie Katherine who often spoke ill of Meryl!

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/eoindaly2k11/ Eoin Daly

    News has also come out Josh Brolin is going lead for Lador Day and is said to be the standout

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/wuggles/ B. Smith

    I don't think either Oprah or Meryl Streep will win. I definitely don't think Oprah will win, I just don't see it happening unless her performance blows everyone's minds. Also, as others have said, Meryl Streep just won so it's unlikely she'll get it that close together. I honestly don't see Meryl Streep winning another Oscar in her life, unless she goes into directing or something.

  • Robert Rittenhouse

    As a new member and long-time lurker, I'm glad to finally post here! My opinion is that Meryl Streep will get a nomination but I won't say that she has it locked. If Oprah's peformance in The Butler is as great as people are saying, she might very well get a "lifetime achievement" boost. Of course, Weinstein wins either way but Meryl will have another shot at an Oscar win for Into the Woods

  • Sadman

    Why is it that pretty much every year that Meryl Streep a has movie, they talk about how inevitable it is that she's going to be nominated - which has become a fact - and how likely it is that she's going to win? Pretty much every year she begins the Oscar race as the leading contender for whatever category she contests.

    I understand that she is great at what she does, but part of the nomination process should be basing it on the character right? And she definitely isn't among the best of the year for every role that she portrays (in my opinion, she overacted for a lot of The Iron Lady). Can't they give her a lifetime achievement like Oscar and then stop nominating her when ever she's eligible? Or, like many Bollywood legends, can't she just step down and take her name out of the race in order to promote newer - possibly more deserving - talent?

  • Guest

    Yes, now it would be easier for Adams to take Streep's spot now because it would've been very tough to for her to get in.