Friday Estimates

Friday Box-Office: 'Hunger Games,' 'Stooges' and 'Cabin' Battle for Weekend #1

The fourpeat is in sight

Friday Box-Office estimates The Hunger GamesLast night all the talk was about how The Three Stooges was over-performing and looking at a potential $20+ million weekend. As it turns out, it wasn't quite that impressive, but the Stooges are still in the running for the top spot ahead of The Cabin in the Woods as both newcomers are looking up at The Hunger Games, which holds the current lead and hopes to become the first film since Avatar to win four weekends in a row.

The Hunger Games took in an estimated $6.4 million on Friday and is looking at what could be a $20 million weekend (39% drop from last weekend) and I don't see Stooges or Cabin catching it.

Stooges and Cabin in the Woods were neck-and-neck on Friday with $5.5 million and $5.6 million respectively, and considering their ratings I think Cabin's chance for a #1 finish is gone. With an R-rating, Cabin would have needed a big Friday with horror auds as it is certainly less likely to bring 'em in over the weekend where the PG-rated Stooges are more likely to succeed.

My guess would have the Stooges ending somewhere around $17 or $18 million for the weekend with Cabin topping out around $14.3 million if it's lucky, it could be even worse considering the weekend's CinemaScores.

Audiences weren't particularly impressed with any of the weekend's new offerings giving The Three Stooges a B- and Cabin in the Woods a lowly C, which may as well be an F as far as I'm concerned considering audiences are more likely to inflate their grade for something they paid good money for.

The weekend's other new release was Lockout, which earned a B- from audiences and brought in $2.2 million from 2,308 theaters. The PG-13 film is likely to remain consistent throughout the weekend and end somewhere in the $6.5 million range.

I have included Friday's estimated top ten directly below and will be back on Sunday morning with a complete weekend wrap-up. Tell me, any of you willing to bet against The Hunger Games and its fourpeat at this point?

  1. The Hunger Games - $6.4 million
  2. The Three Stooges - $5.6 million
  3. The Cabin in the Woods - $5.5 million
  4. American Reunion - $3.4 million
  5. Titanic 3D - $3.3 million
  6. Lockout - $2.2 million
  7. 21 Jump Street - $2.05 million
  8. Mirror Mirror - $2.03 million
  9. Wrath of the Titans - $1.9 million
  10. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax - $887,000
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  • Rich

    Hunger games has got it, but I'm amazed we're even having this debate. I thought the stooges would be well out of it by now. If nothing else I thought it would be cabin in the woods trying to wrestle no.1 from hunger games but surprise, surprise.

  • Josh

    Cabin in the Woods really deserves to take the number one spot, and SERIOUSLY? A C Cinemascore? I was expecting an A-...

    • Bianca

      Agreed. Stooges over Cabin? I really don't understand film taste nowadays.

  • Big G

    Haven't seen it yet, but what happened to all that talk about Cabin being so awesome that no one would even think about making another horror film for a long time because the gauntlet had been thrown down by Whedon and Goddard?

  • Hank

    I thought this weekend belonged to Cabin In the Woods. Sad to see that Stooges might beat it.

  • Winchester

    Cabin is too quirky and fan directed to break out big. Now that I've seen it I can understand a genre breakout is not to be had. If you're even remotely familiar with Whedon-verse it is totally in their mould.

    But it's not straightforward enough as a horror film to be that big beyond genre fans. I don't mean that to criticise regular cinemagoers, but it's too off beat.

    I can see exactly where the cinemascore is coming from. Although I enjoyed it a lot.

  • Stephen

    I agree with Winchester. When I saw Cabin, it seemed the audience didn't know what to make of it.

  • Tyler Cole

    Literally, words cannot explain how amazing Cabin really is.
    I don't know how any critic can review it poorly; they are always asking for non-conventional, unforgettable horror movies, and they seriously got it.