Final Oscar Predictions and You Vote for the 2009 Winners!
You know who's going to win, so why not tell us?
RESULTS ARE LISTED ON THE NEXT TWO PAGES
Well, here we are folks… the home stretch and I have been talking about the Oscar race since last September when I opened up The Contenders section and began with my first Oscar predictions on November 20 (get those here). It's been a long road and a lot of you have followed me along the way and I thank you for reading and for your input — every word was heard.
Now we come to the moment for you to make your predictions on 21 categories from this Sunday's 2009 Oscars. Before the big show on Sunday when I will be live blogging and updating the winners as they are announced I will announce the results of the voting and see just how close RopeofSilicon readers got to predicting the 2009 Oscar winners.
I have placed all the major categories on the first page of this post along with my thoughts and prediction with the below-the-line categories on page two. Remember, pick who you think will win, not who you want to win and ENJOY!
 Man, what a lackluster group of Best Picture nominees eh? And I am speaking as a person that had two of them in his top ten of 2008 (Button and The Reader), but with AMC Theatres prepped to show the Best Picture Marathon this coming Saturday I couldn't imagine sitting through all five of these in one sitting. People have said 2008 was a bad year for movies and I would just say it is a bad year for Best Picture nominees. On top of that it isn't all that hard to predict as Slumdog Millionaire is pretty much locked and betting against it would be unwise and as you will see going down the line this won't be my last time picking it.MY PICK: Slumdog Millionaire | Best Picture
Total Voters: 1,301  Loading ... |
 After Sean Penn's win at the Screen Actors Guild Awards he became the front-runner for Oscar's Best Actor, but Mickey Rourke gave a fabulously entertaining and touching speech at the BAFTA Awards (watch it here) to rival Penn's SAG speech and the race once again tightened up. I believe you will find more prognosticators around the Net predicting Rourke for a win here, but I am sticking with Penn. In terms of performance I think Rourke's was more of Mickey being Mickey while Penn really created a whole new character. Both performances are worthy of recognition, but I believe the Oscars will give Penn the edge.MY PICK: Sean Penn, Milk | Best Actor
Total Voters: 1,299 Loading ... |
 The Best Actress race has had an interesting up-and-down way of keeping us enthralled. The Oscars threw the final wrench in the works by nominating Winslet's Reader performance in the lead category over her work in Revolutionary Road, which not only opened the Supporting category, but now meant Meryl Streep was talking the second spot due to Winslet's award season roll as she racked up wins for her Reader performance at the BAFTAs, Critics Choice Awards, Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. Streep also won at the SAGs, but it is hard to compete with a perfect storm.MY PICK: Kate Winslet, The Reader | Best Actress
Total Voters: 1,298 Loading ... |
 This is really the only category where I am 100% sure of the winner. Even Slumdog Millionaire has a better chance of losing in the Best Picture category than Ledger has of not having his name called as he will join Peter Finch as actors to win a posthumous Best Actor Oscar. And once his name is called Ledger's daughter, 3-year-old Matilda Rose Ledger, will become the owner of the Oscar statuette. Academy tradition calls for a posthumous statuette to go to the spouse, or, if there is no living spouse, to the oldest child. Ledger wasn't married, and Matilda is his only child. Strangely enough, the Academy had to deal with the fact Matilda is only 3 and therefore unable to sign the winner's agreement. So, Matlida's mother, actress Michelle Williams, will hold the statuette in trust until Matilda turns 18. You can get the complete story here.MY PICK: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight | Best Supporting Actor
Total Voters: 1,258 Loading ... |
 As I said, Winslet is out as her performance in The Reader was deemed leading by Academy members, which once again opened this category up and early season front-runner, Penelope Cruz, once again became the likely winner. While I have her picked to win there are arguments for each actress in this category with Viola Davis as the name most likely to dethrone Winslet. Anne Thompson at Variety seems quite confident of Davis in fact. However, I can easily see Amy Adams getting her name announced or even the most unlikeliest candidate Taraji P. Henson whom many have already counted out, but just such doubt could be enough to catapult her to the top and I see this as the one major category most likely to offer up an upset.MY PICK: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona | Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment. |
 Danny Boyle is taking this one home even though many think David Fincher still has a chance. If I were to think of a close runner-up it would have to be Gus Van Sant. I don't see any chance for Stephen Daldry or Ron Howard, especially since Frost/Nixon seems to be the biggest waste of a nominee in every single category it's competing in considering no one appears to be pulling for it or predicting it to win.MY PICK: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire | Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment. |
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I'm wondering if TDK might take more awards than you're predicting, as the Academy's way of "making up" for it not being nominated for Best Picture. Last year "The Bourne Ultimatum" won Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, and Editing, despite being up against Ratatouille for the sound categories and the BP favorite for editing. I think the same might happen again this year.
i am sick and tired of TDK fans..Stop!It didn't deserve Best Picture and it didn't get it..Frost/Nixon deserves atleast 1 award but it looks that it's going to go home empty-handed..Really happy for Kate though she deserves that Oscar..
In reality Bruce Springsteen would've won that oscar hands down, no questions asked. I think it's completely stupid to exclude it just because it's in the credits. Very stupid
I wanted MILK to win but I guess they failed in campaigning! I will stick to my original prediction: SLUMDOG, Penn, Streep, Legder, Davis, Boyle! See you at the Oscars! It's one hell of a year for the movies! Hope it will be as interesting or more next year! In enjoyed all the performances and the movies!
I have a bet with a couple of colleagues that Wall-E will win more Oscars than Button-A Ruth Chris' steakhouse dinner is on the line. I see Wall-E winning at least 2 and upwards of 5. I think TDK will take some awards from Button in the categories wherein they are head to head.
I am not convinced with the best actor category Benicio del Toro had to be in there. His potrayal of Ernesto Guevara is much better than all of the nomenies Del Toro deserves the oscar.
I've gone to the Best Picture Showcase every year AMC has done it, and it's always a lot of fun. Last year, though, had to be one of the best lineups ever, IMO.
The win that would make me happiest is Rourke taking it home in lead actor.
I will be extremely disappointed, on the other hand, if Streep steals the lead actress statuette. No disrespect to her, as I think she's a wonderful actress, but all four of the other women are more deserving this year.
Traditionally the category that has had the most upsets is the best supporting actress category. I believe Cruz will win it but wouldn't it be great if Taraji P. Henson won it for Benjamin Button? No? Well, that's just because you don't stand to win about $1000 if she does.
Kate Winslet and Mickey Rourke (Sean Penn close 2nd).
Slumdog Millionaire best picture (outsider is MILK).
Heath Ledger and Viola Davis (great actress with less prices dan la Streep).
Best Supporting Actress usually goes to an actress that played a small part of the film 10 minutes max and makes that time work for her.
Viola Davis is going to get the Oscar.
i don't want penelope cruz to win. i think she's awful and it would be really underserving. I prefer Amy Adams, cute and great in doubt.
I think The Dark Knight has a good chance at winning a sound category or two, and the editing category. I'd love for it to win cinematography, especially after experiencing it on IMAX. Heath Ledger winning Best Supporting Actor is all that really matters, though. It's a shame the Academy didn't nominate the movie for it's writing, direction, and Best Picture.
I love the movies no matter what. I wish they could all win. I saw The Wrestler and Mickey Rourke should win because he is the best. Marisa is really good.Real life…..
BP:
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Milk
Dark Horse: Milk
BD:
Will Win: Danny Boyle
Should Win: Danny Boyle
Dark Horse: Gus Van Sant or David Fincher
Best Actor:
Will Win: Sean Penn, Milk
Should win: Sean Penn, Milk
Dark Horse: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Best Actress:
Will Win: Kate Winslet, The Reader
Should Win: Meryl Streep, Doubt
Dark Horse: Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Best Supp. Actor:
Will Win: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Should Win: Josh Brolin, Milk
Dark Horse: Josh Brolin, Milk
Best Supp. Actress:
Will Win: Penelope Crúz, Vicky Christina Barcelona
Should Win: Amy Adams, Doubt
Dark Horse: Viola Davis, Doubt
Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Dustin Lance Black, Milk
Should Win: Dustin Lance Black, Milk
Dark Horse: Andrew Stanton and Jim Reardon, WALL-E
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
Dark Horse: David Hare, The Reader
Best Foreign Language Film:
Will Win: Waltz With Bashir
Should Win: The Class
Dark Horse: Departures
Best Documentary:
Will Win: Man On Wire
Should Win: Man On Wire
Dark Horse: Trouble The Water
Best Animated Feauture:
Will Win: WALL-E
Should Win: WALL-E
Dark Horse: Kung Fu Panda