Final 2010 Oscar Predictions for All 24 Categories
24 categories and 24 predictions... How will it turn out?
Last year I went 16 for 21 in my Oscar predictions. I nailed all the top categories (which pretty much everyone always does) and missed Best Makeup, Score, Sound Editing and Mixing and Foreign Language Film. However, looking back, I would have gotten both Score and Makeup correctly if I had gone more with what I thought the Academy would do based on knowledge of how they work and not due to what I thought to be the logical choice. This year, I am throwing logic out the window, reading the tea leaves and checking the Oscar winds. Outside of a few categories it looks like the majority of these races are all sewn up and while some last minute dirty tactics were employed to derail the current Best Picture front-runner, I still see it sticking it out.
What I have done below is listed my #1 pick in the top eight categories followed by the runners-up. On top of that I took a look at the current reader polling going on and as of right now there are four differences between reader predictions and my predictions. I have listed any time your picks differed from mine. And remember, polling is open until midnight on March 6, so if you haven't added your opinion yet, do so right here.
Let's get to it…
Best Picture
- The Hurt Locker
- Inglourious Basterds
- Avatar
- Precious
- Up in the Air
- An Education
- Up
- The Blind Side
- District 9
- A Serious Man
Best Actor
- Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
- Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
- George Clooney (Up In the Air)
- Colin Firth (A Single Man)
- Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
Best Actress
- Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)
- Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)
- Carey Mulligan (An Education)
- Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
- Helen Mirren (The Last Station)
Best Supporting Actor
- Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
- Woody Harrelson (The Messenger)
- Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
- Matt Damon (Invictus)
- Christopher Plummer (The Last Station)
Best Supporting Actress
- Mo'Nique (Precious)
- Anna Kendrick (Up In the Air)
- Vera Farmiga (Up In the Air)
- Penelope Cruz (Nine)
- Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart)
Best Director
- Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
- James Cameron (Avatar)
- Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)
- Jason Reitman (Up In the Air)
- Lee Daniels (Precious)
Best Adapted Screenplay
- Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner (Up In the Air)
- Geoffrey Fletcher (Precious)
- Nick Hornby (An Education)
- Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell (District 9)
- Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche (In the Loop)
Best Original Screenplay
Reader Polling currently has Quentin Tarantino's Inglourious Basterds taking this by a large margin.
- Mark Boal (The Hurt Locker)
- Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)
- Joel and Ethan Coen (A Serious Man)
- Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy (Up)
- Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman (The Messenger)
As for the rest of the categories here how I see things turning out, with readers currently disagreeing with me in five categories.
- Best Animated Feature Film: Up
- Best Art Direction: Avatar
- Best Cinematography: Avatar
- Best Costumes: The Young Victoria
- Best Documentary (feature): The Cove
- Best Documentary (short subject): The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant
- Best Film Editing: Avatar
Reader Polling: The Hurt Locker - Best Foreign Language Film: El Secreto De Sus Ojos (The Secret in Their Eyes)
Reader Polling: The White Ribbon - Best Makeup: Star Trek
- Best Music (Original Score): Up
- Best Music (Original Song): "The Weary Kind" from Crazy Heart
- Best Sound Editing: Avatar
- Best Sound Mixing: The Hurt Locker
Reader Polling: Avatar - Best Visual Effects: Avatar
- Best Short Film (Live-Action): The Door
Reader Polling: Miracle Fish and The Door are tied - Best Short Film (Animated): A Matter of Loaf and Death
Based on everything above my winner counts look like this:
- Avatar – 5 Oscars
- The Hurt Locker – 4 Oscars
- Crazy Heart – 2 Oscars
- Up – 2 Oscars
- The Blind Side – 1 Oscar
- The Cove – 1 Oscar
- The Door – 1 Oscar
- Inglourious Basterds – 1 Oscar
- The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant – 1 Oscar
- A Matter of Loaf and Death – 1 Oscar
- Precious – 1 Oscar
- El Secreto De Sus Ojos – 1 Oscar
- Star Trek – 1 Oscar
- Up in the Air – 1 Oscar
- The Young Victoria – 1 Oscar
Remember to come back on Sunday night, March 7, as I will be here live-blogging the entire show as well as have updated and live winner results. I will also be tweeting the results at the RopeofSilicon account on Twitter.
Also remember, reader polling to predict the Oscar winners will be open until midnight on March 6. If you haven't voted yet click here and let your voice be heard.
Links from Other Sites You May Like
Showing 22 Comments
~ PLEASE NOTE ~
If, in any way, your comment is an attack on the author of this post or a previous commenter, your comment will be deleted without question.
Add a New Comment |
Click to Read Our Commenting Rules & Guidelines
I hope that El Secreto De Sus Ojos wins Best Foreign Lenguage Film, the movie is excellent and it would make us here in Argentina very proud…
i'm sorry, The White Ribbon is just magnificent for me.
I agree with everything even if I think The Hurt Locker doesn't deserve it because it seems the only logical choice, I hope Mark Boal loses though, that desperate guy needs to learn a lesson.
I think you're confusing Mark Boal for Nicolas Chartier, the producer who sent out the e-mails.
i don't want Sandra Bullock wins !
i don't want Avatar win best movie 's award and FX's awards!
i don't want Meryl Streep wins!
Brad, I actually picked all the same predictions as you did with only one exception – makeup I believe will go to young victoria.
I too think that Hurt Locker is locked in for best screenplay ahead of IB and nice to see you are going for secret in their eyes ahead of White ribbon and prophet
The Foreign Language Film category is usually the most surprising. Who'd have known that the dreadful "Departures" would win over "Entre Les Murs" (sorry, I forgot the name in English) and "Waltz with Bashir"? That's why I also think "El Secreto de Sus Ojos" will win – at least I've been reading amazing things about this one. And I usually like movies from Argentina (Nueve Reinas and Kamchatka come to my mind now).
I think it's going to be a screenplay upset in both categories- Precious for adapted and Inglorious Basterds for Original…otherwise if Avatar loses the Special effects oscar it will truly be an upset
Actually, I don't think Basterds winning would be an upset in screenplay. It looks to be the favorite based on most predictions based on tracking at Awards Daily.
Glad you listed Sandra Bullock as your potential pick for an Oscar win. She deserves it. I'm also happy Academy voting is over, so no matter how nasty people get about Sandra (or anyone else they don't like) winning it makes no difference and has no influence on outcomes. I hope Sandra wins. If she does the naysaysers can cry on Monday. If she does not, I won't cry "injustice." I will still be watching the Oscars for decades to come.
What would be great is if "Avatar" won Best Picture and Kathryn Bigelow won Best Director. Even those Cameron deserves both awards, I think it'd be great for the first woman director to win. I wasn't all that impressed with "The Hurt Locker" when I saw this past July.
Also, I'd love for "Inglorious Basterds" to win Best Original Screenplay.
And it looks like I'll be seeing "The White Ribbon" and "A Single Man" over the course of this week! (It's spring break, so I have more time for movies AND I have my mom's car to get to the theater).
Oh, and the reason why Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick don't have a chance at pulling an upset is because people who favor "Up in the Air" (no longer a front runner anyway) will be splitting their #1 votes between them, and they'll cancel each other out. Mo'Nique is a lock.
Unless Harvey Weinstein has bribed voters to go for Penelope Cruz.
Cinematography is giving me fits.
I agree on everything except for Best Actress: Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia! That's all!
Alright I agree with you on some of these.. However
Best Foreign Film: The White Ribbon
I have seen both the White Ribbon and El Secreto De Sus Ojos.
Sound Mixing: Avatar (Hurt Locker may upset)
Makeup: Star Trek
Best Short Film (Live-Action): Miracle Fish or the Door, Miracle Fish being the front runner.
Best Animated Short Film: I do agree that A Matter of Loaf and Death was good, this category may have an upset…… French Roast or Logorama could upset.
Best Original Screenplay: Basterds
Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air should win, however District 9 has a slim chance at winning. Possible upset.
I think they may do a double winner for Best Actress, like they did in an earlier award show. It would go to both Sandra Bullock and Meryl Streep.
If only 1 person wins the award, definatly Sandra will win.
Food Inc. could win against The Cove. Only because it was widely shown. It also had more publicity.
I agree with a lot of this. My predictions are:
Best Picture: The Hurt Locker
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges
Best Actress: Sandra Bullock (Possible upset by Meryl Streep or Carey Mulligan. While I like Sandra, I don't think she should win, and I think she probably shouldn't have been nominated either, along with Helen Mirren, as more deserving actresses were snubbed in this category.)
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
Best Supporting Actress: Mo'Nique
Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air (I think In the Loop deserves it, the writing is fantastic and absolutely hilarious.)
Best Original Screenplay: Inglourious Basterds or The Hurt Locker, not sure which.
Best Animated Feature: Up
Best Art Direction: Avatar
Best Cinematography: The White Ribbon (Possible upset by Avatar.)
Best Costumes: The Young Victoria
Best Documentary: The Cove
Best Editing: The Hurt Locker (Possible upset by Avatar.)
Best Foreign Film: The White Ribbon (This seems to be the favorite and is helped by it's big win at Cannes, however it might be upset by A Prophet, which has had a lot of acclaim with glowing reviews.)
Best Original Score: Up
Best Makeup: Star Trek
Best Original Song: "The Weary Kind" from Crazy Heart
Best Sound Editing: The Hurt Locker (Possible upset by Avatar.)
Best Sound Mixing: Avatar (Possible upset by The Hurt Locker.)
Best Visual Effects: Avatar
I haven't seen any of the short film nominees and don't know much about them so I have no idea who will win.
I think "Avatar" will win Best Picture, and James Cameron will win Best Director.
The film may not have the greatest plot ever, but several past winners have proven that a great plot is not absolutely crucial for a Best Picture win. "An American in Paris", "Gigi", "Ben-Hur", "The Sting", "Around the World in 80 Days", "The Sound of Music", "Chicago", and "The Greatest Show on Earth" did not win the Best Picture Oscar because of their plotlines or their dialogue. For the matter, "The Return of the King" (pace, "Lord of the Rings" fans) did not really win because of its plot or dialogue. It won because of its technological achievement, and because it was a monumental undertaking carried out perfectly – as is "Avatar". Its technological breakthrough will overshadow everything, as "Titanic"s did.
Chicago did win Best Picture for the plot. Musicals revolve around the plot…
At least if Quentin Tarantino loses, you guys can't blame Robert Zemeckis.
Oscar Snub: Best Director
Jason Reitman over Robert Zemeckis? That's a joke in it's own right
I think Hurt Locker is the safe call for this year for Best Picture, but a win for Avatar would not be surprising. I think Inglorious is the only movie in the BP category to have a chance to upset. Bigelow will get the first woman to get the Best Director Oscar. Bridges, Waltz, and Mo'Nique need to make room on their shelves for Mr. Oscar. I think that after Marion Cottiard (the foreigner in the not-US movie) won the Best Actress against America's sweetheart (Ellen Page) and the already a winner highly respected veteran actress (Julie Christie)in 08, this year's race could follow the same suit. America's sweetheart (Sandra Bullock) and the already a winner veteran actress (Meryl Streep) will both fall to Carey Mulligan. (The Cottiard of 2010). After all, history repeats itself. Tarantino will have to settle for a nomination due to the fact that it's Locker season. Up in the Air will get its sole win for its adapted screenplay, but don't be surprised if Geoffery Flecher takes home the gold for Precious. And Up is gonna win Best Animated Feature and Original Score, which will make it the largest winning Pixar movie of all time at the Oscars! (Monsters Inc lost to Shrek in 01 although it got best song.) There's this joker's Oscar predicts.
I think Gabby Sidibe will upset the 2. Her role as Precious is more powerful than Carry Mulligan's role in An Education.
I want Carey Mulligan to win Best Actress with all my heart…
I think Lee Daniels or Kathyrn Bigelow would be fine choices for director.
Just look at the performances mr. daniels got out of the likes of Mo'Nique (a below-average comedian, in my opinion at least…) a newbie Gabourey Sidibe, and a musician in a surprisingly good Mariah Carey.
Cinematography? no idea. Even harry potter was amazing…but they all were so different. im only adament avatar doesnt win, because well…where do we draw the line?
screenplay should be in the loop and an education.
best picture, i wish was an education, but im happy with hurt locker.
Actor i think should be jeremy renner, powerful stuff there…
That's enough for me!…
Up for best picture, Tarantino for director. Hurt Locker not worthy of Best picture