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Categorized: Friday Estimates

'Fast Five' Blisters Friday Box-Office On Way to Potential $80 Million Opening

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Looks like Universal has a new #1

Brad Brevet
By:
Published: Saturday, April 30th 2011 at 10:17 AM
Fast Five poster

Everyone knew Universal's Fast Five was going to win the weekend. The question was how much exactly would it bring in?

The last installment, Fast and Furious, opened with $70.9 million and audiences seemed excited over this fifth film, which meant that number was going up. Laremy predicted an even $77 million and after an estimated $33.2 million on Friday, which includes a $3.7 million midnight opening, he may be really close. However, what's most surprising about this number is that should Fast Five hit this mark it will become Universal's largest opening ever, besting the previous record holder, Steven Spielberg's Lost World: Jurassic Park, which brought in $72.1 million back in 1997. For some reason, that blew me away.

One interesting factor is Universal really bumped up the budget on this one to a reported $125-$150 million over the $85 million they paid for Fast and Furious. However, on top of the massive domestic opening, Universal expects the film to top $80 million in worldwide receipts by Sunday, which would give the film approximately $160 million to date worldwide.

As far as the weekend's other newcomers are concerned, Disney's Prom stumbled out of the gates to a $1.9 million weekend, likely to cap around $6 million and Weinstein's Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil didn't really have much of a chance as Fox's Rio juggernaut will pass the $100 million mark domestically this weekend and is the current animated toast of the town.

Rio topped the last two weekends, but this weekend will fall to second after $3.6 million on Friday and a likely $12-13 million weekend. Right behind it is Tyler Perry's Madea's Big Happy Family with $3.1 million and will likely finish around $9-10 million.

I've included the complete Friday breakdown below and will be back on Sunday morning with a complete weekend wrap-up.

  1. Fast Five – $33.2 million
  2. Rio – $3.6 million
  3. Tyler Perry's Madea's Big Happy Family – $3.1 million
  4. Water for Elephants – $2.9 million
  5. Prom – $1.85 million
  6. Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil – $1.1 million
  7. Soul Surfer – $1.02 million
  8. Insidious – $1 million
  9. African Cats – $961,000
  10. Source Code – $810,000
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Showing 16 Comments

  1. Vince (Not Vance)

    Crazy that Lost World's record has stood so long. You'd think Universal would've had a film that opened significantly higher than $72 million these days, but I guess not.

  2. John PT

    Insane drops for everything.

    New openers are tanking.

    The only good thing about this weekend is Fast Five.

  3. Winchester

    According to Deadline, Universal seem to also be predicting that the film could ultimately come close to $500 million once it gets done.

    That would depend on how it holds of course, but the international seems to be starting strongly so far. I'm kinda surprised that that would be the largest ever Universal opening as well, but then I had never looked it up before.

    That actually makes me feel relatively good about my $80 million call on the Chris Morgan satire thread. It shouldn't end up that far off it, which is better than I did with Scream 4!!

  4. Ryan4

    After Sunday the question will be how hard will it fall the second weekend, and will Thor be able to be #1 next weekend. But very impressive opening.

    • Stiggy

      I think Thor will definetly be #1 next weekend since Thor is coming out a week after Fast Five in every country(except of course Australia).

      Posted On April 30th, 2011 at 11:28 am in reply to Ryan4.
    • Winchester

      @Ryan.

      Thor will definitely beat it next weekend I think………….although I'm not convinced it will open as big. I'm thinking somewhere between $50 – $60 million OW just now.

      Which one will do better in the longer term will be interesting as well.

      Posted On April 30th, 2011 at 12:07 pm in reply to Ryan4.
      • Steve J

        I am not so sure. I liked "Iron Man" and have no interest in "Thor". Robert Downey can carry a movie, not sure about Chris Hemswoth yet. It looks like "Clash of the Titans" to me. It was interesting that CNBC was talking about "superhero fatigue" in 2011. How many superhero movies can you see in one summer?

      • Winchester

        To be honest I don't have much interest in Thor myself (the RT score isn't making me change my mind yet) but that doesn't mean it can't open well.

        I can't see Thor or Captain America doing Iron Man/Iron Man 2 business, but I'm going on the basis they can do similarly to The Incredible Hulk (2008) and it managed to open to $50+ million then.

        Thor is at least the first one released this year, so it should be the later releases that might fall victim to 2011 fatigue, if that comes to pass.

        I could be wrong though.

  5. Just Myself

    Impressive numbers for Fast Five. I can't wait to see it. Disney must be counting down the days until Jack Sparrow and Lightning McQueen save an otherwise pathetic year for them….

  6. Rashad

    It deserves it

  7. MKing

    What did Peter jackson's King Kong open with?

  8. Josh

    Scream 4 didn't even crack the top ten?? :(

  9. Well there's a shocker! Pretty much a given that Fast Five would be a success. It's not a secret that its just repeating what was in the previous films, which were all pretty successful. It's just got formula for success written allover it.

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