Oscar Predictions

Early 2014 Oscar Predictions: First Best Supporting Actress Line-Up

Only one of my top five contenders is not a former nominee

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

Tired of early 2014 Oscar predictions yet? If so, all I can suggest is consider these extended 2014 previews. If not, good, because today we take a look at the Best Supporting Actress field where I have 21 early contenders and I've left a few off for a variety of reasons that will surely be sorted out as the year moves along.

To begin, I haven't included any of the ladies from Lee Daniels' The Butler as I have no idea how big or small their roles may be and I haven't added Jodie Foster to this list or my Best Actress list as I have no idea what kind of role she's playing in Neill Blomkamp's Elysium. This is what happens when you put these lists together this early, but, again, all we're looking for here is a baseline starting position and I think with these 21 contenders that's exactly what we have.

So who is on the list? Well, that's run down my starting five...

1.) Amy Adams (Untitled David O. Russell Abscam Project) - When will Amy Adams get her first Oscar? Four nominations so far without a win and this time she plays the mistress/partner of a con artist played by Christian Bale, which is to say she ditched Micky for Dicky... maybe this is the relationship that will get her the hardware.

2.) Cameron Diaz (The Counselor) - Personally I'm not the biggest fan of Cameron Diaz, but word is this just might be the role that shows she has some sort of real talent.

3.) Catherine Keener (Captain Phillips) - I can only assume that while Tom Hanks is out at see battling Somali pirates, Catherine Keener will be playing his wife and serving as the audience's emotional connection to his character. Keener's a terrific actress who's been nominated twice before and looking at the early field I don't think three is out of the question.

4.) Julia Roberts (August: Osage County) - A teaming of Meryl Streep and Julia Roberts in August: Osage County simply seems like a pair of nominations is in order. Like I said with my first Best Actress predictions, I've never seen the play and have no idea what to expect, so I'll let history be my guide.

5.) Vanessa Redgrave (Foxcatcher) - The fifth spot was a tough one. At one point I had Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale) in at #5. I considered Melissa Leo (Prisoners) and I've heard Lupita Nyong'o is a stand-out in Steve McQueen's Twelve Years a Slave, but I'm going with the safe veteran to start. Many believed Redgrave deserved a nomination for Coriolanus a couple years back, perhaps that will help her along this year.


There are 16 more contenders to consider in my full field so click here for the full rankings and contenders.

Again I'll note, if you don't have a free RopeofSilicon account you may want to register for one. Later this year, all contenders below the Bubble Line and not among my projected nominees will only be visible to logged in and registered members of the site. In addition to that, beginning April 1, 2013 you will need to be a registered and logged-in member of the site to comment.

So if you haven't registered yet, you may as well do so now. It only takes a second.

More Early Predictions

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  • Jack

    1. Julia Roberts- August
    2. Amy Adams- Abscam
    3. Margo Martindale- August
    4. Cameron Diaz- The Counselor
    5. Cate Blanchett- Monuments Men

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Corbin/ Corbin

    1. Amy Adams- Abscam
    2. Cate Blanchette- Monuments Men
    3. Cameron Diaz- The Counselor
    4. Oprah Winfrey- The Butler
    5. Octavia Spencer- Fruitvale

  • connor mundy

    I can only assume that while Tom Hanks is out at *SEA*

  • Capriz

    'Cameron Diaz (The Counselor) - Personally I'm not the biggest fan of Cameron Diaz, but word is this just might be the role that shows she has some sort of real talent'

    She showed some potential in VanillaSky

  • Andy

    I would absolutely love to see Diaz and Keener make the lineup, just because of the "Being John Malkovich" link between the two (and for the record, I thought Diaz showed a lot of ability in that film)

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      Very good callback, completely slipped my mind.

  • Dale

    Add Jacki Weaver (Parkland)

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      Will add, should have caught that. Thanks!

  • Casey

    It's so funny how everyone is hating on Cameron Diaz. The girl is very talented. She can do comedy like no one else and is quite good at drama too. She should have already been nominated before couple of times. I hope the word is true and she's actually great in "The Counselor" to finally shut up all the naysayers. Oh, and if Julia Roberts is really campaigned in supporting it's gonna be the biggest category fraud of all time.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Travis/ Travis

    As promised, all of my predictions:

    Best Picture:
    Abscam
    August: Osage County
    Foxcatcher
    Fruitvale
    Inside Llewyn Davis
    Lowlife
    Monuments Men
    Nebraska
    The Wolf of Wall Street

    Best Actor:
    Christian Bale-Abscam
    Steve Carrell-Foxcatcher
    Benedict Cumberbatch-The Fifth Estate
    Bruce Dern-Nebraska
    Leonardo DiCaprio-The Wolf of Wall Street

    Best Actress:
    Sandra Bullock-Gravity
    Marion Cotillard-Lowlife
    Meryl Streep-August: Osage County
    Emma Thompson-Saving Mr. Banks
    Naomi Watts-Diana

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Bradley Cooper-Abscam
    Michael Fassbender-Twelve Years a Slave
    Will Forte-Nebraska
    Jeremy Renner-Abscam
    Mark Ruffalo-Foxcatcher

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Amy Adams-Abscam
    Cameron Diaz-The Counselor
    Margo Martindale-August: Osage County
    Julia Roberts: August: Osage County
    Octavia Spencer-Fruitvale

    Best Director:
    George Clooney-Monuments Men
    Alfonso Cuaron-Gravity
    Bennett Miller-Foxcatcher
    David O. Russell-Abscam
    Martin Scorsese-The Wolf of Wall Street

  • BennY

    Brad, I'm pretty much convinced Blanchett gets in for "The Monuments Men" in either Leading or Supporting and I'm assuming this confusion is the only reason why she's not in your top 5.

    By the way, the people who were placing Streep in Supporting can eat their words and get pregnant, because the first screening of "August: Osage County" occurred and she's all front and center and people praise her, Julia, while earning positive comments, is not getting the same praise.

  • http://nktkomarov.livejournal.com/ Nick

    Are we sure Adams is supporting in Abscam? From the plot description it could go either way, but potentially she could be the second or third (after Bale and Cooper) main character. Plus, considering Jennifer Lawrence is in the movie and she is most definitely supporting, if they both deliver, the studio likely won't campaign them both in supporting unless Adams has way too little screen time to qualify as lead.

    • Sikri06

      JenLaw want be nominated for Abscam. If she is nominated for anything it is gonna be Serena. If she campaigns for both she will get neither, because of vote-splitting, so no reason not to push Amy Adams in supporting.

  • Matt

    Julia Roberts is playing a leading role in August Osage County...

    • BennY

      of course she is, but it's Meryl Streep that's already stealing the crowd and it's her that Harvey will campaign in Lead, shamelessly again; in fact he has now officially started doing it, 10 months in advance.

  • Matt

    Also, If anyone is getting nominated from AOC besides Streep, I'd put money on Julianne Nicholson. She is great in Boardwalk Empire and perfect for Ivy, who really has to manage the next largest emotional roller coaster outside of Barbara and Violet.

  • http://www.leadermotorsmaroc.com/ leader motors maroc

    We will be sure after the globes

  • MajorFilmFan

    Amy Adams- Abscam*
    Shailene Woodley- The Spectacular Now
    Emma Thompson- Saving Mr. Banks
    Cate Blanchet- The Monuments Men
    Cameron Diaz- The Counselor

  • jessied44

    I would move Melissa Leo up. The whole cast needs to be watched. Every role is Oscar bait if they deliver and while I know I will spend most of the movie with my eyes closed, it will be worth it.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/eoindaly2k11/ Eoin Daly

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
    Amy Adams, Untitled David O. Russell/Abscam Project
    Cate Blanchett, The Monuments Men
    Cameron Diaz, The Counselor
    Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
    Shailene Woodley, The Spectacular Now

    I agree with your choices of Adams (my early winner), Diaz and Roberts (If she goes lead I will replace her with Winfrey). Redgrave should have been nominated for Coriolanus but her role in Foxcatcher is about two scenes and she doesn't make much of an impression. Captian Phillips does not feel like an actors film to me and I am not predicting Keener or Hanks. Blanchett will be everywhere in 2013 and supporting will be her nomination (She could be the Maya of Monuments Men going lead at the end). Woodley was wrongfully snubbed for The Descendants and with this new film she could finally get nominated. She is also turning into a star (Spider Man 2, new young adult movie) and she has so many interesting projects coming up so I think she will get the nomination this time round.

  • Movie Fan

    Best supporting actress predictions
    - Amy Adams: ABSCAM Project
    - Cameron Diaz: The Counselor
    - Cate Blanchett: The Monuments Men
    - Jennifer Garner: The Dallas Buyers Club
    - Carey Mulligan: The Great Gatsby/ Inside Llewyn Davis

  • tombeet

    I was cracking up when I saw the picture of Amy Adams. Again. In this very category.

  • Dan

    Adams is one of the most versatile actresses around today, how many years does she go without winning in this category? Unbelievable.

  • Cory

    There is no way Julia Roberts can be nominated for Best Supporting. She will get a Lead Actress nom or nothing. The role of Barbara is a MAIN character. Do your research. Meryl Streep and Julia Roberts will both very much be sharing the spotlight, even competing for it likely, as their characters Violet and Barbara do in nearly every scene of the script.

  • Toby Bartle-Bee

    Best Picture
    August : Osage Country
    The Wolf Of Wall St.
    Foxcatcher
    Inside Llewyn Davis
    Dallas Buyers Club
    Twelve Years A Slave
    Nebraska
    Saving Mr. Banks
    The Butler
    The Monuments Men

    Best Director
    Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
    Joel & Ethan Coen - Inside Llewyn Davis
    Alexander Payne - Nebraska
    Steve McQueen - Twelve Years A Slave
    Martin Scorsese - The Wolf Of Wall St.

    Best Leading Actor
    Bruce Dern - Nebraska
    Chiwetel Ejiofor - Twelve Years A Slave
    Forest Whitaker - The Bulter
    Leonardo DiCaprio - The Wolf Of Wall St.
    Tom Hanks - Saving Mr. Banks

    Best Leading Actress
    Emma Thompson - Saving Mr. Banks
    Jessica Chastain - The Disappearance Of Eleanor Rigby
    Marion Cotillard - Lowlife
    Meryl Streep - August : Osage Country
    Rooney Mara - Side Effects

    Best Supporting Actor
    Dane DeHaan - Devils Knot
    Joaquin Pheonix - Lowlife
    Josh Brolin - Labor Day
    Mark Ruffalo - Foxcatcher
    Will Forte - Nebraska

    Best Supporting Actress
    Jennifer Garner - Dallas Buyers Club
    Margo Martindale - August : Osage Country
    Oprah Winfrey - The Butler
    Toni Collette - The Way, Way Back
    Cate Blanchett - The Monuments Men

    New Star (Own Breakthrough Category) :)
    Misty Upham - August : Osage Country
    Minka Kelly - The Butler
    AnnaSophia Robb - The Way, Way Back
    Olivia Wilde - Her
    Rami Malek - Aint Them Bodies Saints

  • Toby Bartle-Bee

    Apologies... i made these predictions months ago

    i guess "Lowlife" is now called "The Immigrant"