Box-Office Wrap-Up: Mar. 26 – Mar. 28, 2010
COMMENTS
'How to Train Your Dragon' wins, but it doesn't even sniff $50m.
The streak continues, but it was tough sledding at the top. Mr. Dan Tralder had the nicest call with $41.8m — the range in the comments was an astounding $24m to $74m. We clearly didn't know what to do with this one. Regardless, let's break it down!
#1 movie predicted correctly: 4 Weeks In A Row
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| Why didn't this hit $59m a la Monsters vs. Aliens? I'm flummoxed. They didn't skimp on advertising, Dragon owned the Olympics on NBC. Could it have been March Madness keeping people home? Fear of Dragons? Rising 3-D prices? Not enough 3-D screens to go around? Whatever the case, this didn't connect with audiences the way I expected it to. More bad news: a production budget of $165m and a massive marketing outlay means this one will really have to perform in the coming weeks to have any prayer of profit. Result: $43.3 million My rank: I picked it to finish #1 and my prediction of $54.74 million was $11.44m off for a percentage error of 26.42%. | |
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Under ten percent variance, very BINGO-ish. A sparkling $656m in worldwide cume, Disney has to be looking hard at the rest of the Alice mythology. If you have any Alice fan fiction this might be the time to strike.
Result: $17.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $16.09 million, which is $1.21m off for a 6.99% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #3 with $16.09 million, which is $1.21m off for a 6.99% variance.
Whoa. What happened? The wheels fell off. People must just not like cute titles.
Result: $13.6 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $24.78 million, which is $11.18m off for a 82.21% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #2 with $24.78 million, which is $11.18m off for a 82.21% variance.
Bounty Hunter only fell 40 percent? Dios Mios, that is the opposite of what we needed. Still, bright side, they are currently around $50m short of dipping into the black.
Result: $12.4 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $9.93 million, which is $2.47m off for a 19.92% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #5 with $9.93 million, which is $2.47m off for a 19.92% variance.
The production budget was only $15m. Paramount (Dreamworks) is looking enviously in Fox's direction right about now.
Result: $10 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $12.19 million, which is $2.19m off for a 21.9% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #4 with $12.19 million, which is $2.19m off for a 21.9% variance.
Clearly this title didn't hurt Hot Tub Time Machine. In other news: Jay Baruchel is fronting the #1 and #6 films on the board. Not many actors have pulled that off, eh? Then again, Gerard Butler has the #1 and #4 film so I guess at least one actor has pulled that off… and bested him no less.
Result: $3.5 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $3.77 million, which is $0.27m off for a 7.71% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #6 with $3.77 million, which is $0.27m off for a 7.71% variance.
7. Green Zone
I just wonder where they spent the $100m. It wasn't on the page, that's for certain.
Result: $3.3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.52 million, which is $0.78m off for a 23.64% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #9 with $2.52 million, which is $0.78m off for a 23.64% variance.
And BINGO was his name-o. Am I eligible for that Finke money now?
Result: $3.1 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.17 million, which is $0.07m off for a 2.26% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #7 with $3.17 million, which is $0.07m off for a 2.26% variance.
9. Repo Men
Only two films fell 50 percent. This was one of them… and Wimpy Kid was the other.
Result: $3 million
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.75 million, which is $0.25m off for a 8.33% variance.
My rank: I picked it to finish #8 with $2.75 million, which is $0.25m off for a 8.33% variance.
Where is Avatar?? What a cliffhanger, here's hoping the Monday actuals bail us out! And for those interested, Chloe took in $1 million from 350 theaters.
Result: $2.2 million
My rank: Not Ranked
My rank: Not Ranked
Each and every weekend in March hit over $100m (for the top twelve), the first time since 2007 that's happened. Remember '07? It was the year of 300, a simpler and gentler time.
How say you? Did you see any of the new releases? Was Dragon just not good enough? Are people done paying $15 a ticket? Comment away, help me learn.
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I think the problem with Hot Tub Time Machine was that it was the kind of movie that everyone talked about, but no one saw.
I know I went around saying "oh we gotta go see Hot Tub Time Machine", with no intention of actually going to it. It's the type of movie that'll make the lion's share of it's profit in DVD rentals.
Also I'm calling Clash of the Titans next weekend at $45 million.
1.Clash of the Titans-$25.7 (N/A)
2.How to Train Your Dragon-$25* (-42%)
3.The Last Song-$17.3 (N/A)
4.Why Did I Get Married Too?-$10.1 (N/A)
5.Hot Tub Time Machine-$10 (-26%)
6.Alice in Wonderland-$9.9 (-43%)
7.Diary of a Wimpy Kid-$8.8 (-18%)
8.The Bounty Hunter-$7.1 (-43%)
9.She's Out of My League-$2.1 (-40%)
10.Shutter Island-$1.9 (-39%)
m1, are you ok? Clash of the Titans will beat that number on is opening day. You should revise your numbers.
m1 is always like that
Yes, I'm fine. There are 3 3D movies in the top 10 starting next Sunday, and COTT will face massive competition, even from TLS, which is getting less theaters. There is no way it'll debut w/$70 million.
Yes, there is a way. You know what way there isn't? The way heavily advertised 3-D historical action epic with lots of bankable names makes $26 million in 3600 theaters. $60 million is a minimum here.
believe me the $60M are locked for CotT, and the $70M are very likely. Even the $100M are on the table for now.
I think you may be too locked up on the 3-D theaters thing. The film is playing in 2-D as well, and I think there is enough interest in this film that Clash of the Titans will still do well even without the 3-D theaters. Whereas Dragon's weekend had 68% of its revenue from 3-D, I think Clash will post an even lesser percentage and see at a minimum $45 million over the weekend.
Crashed about HTTYD, loved the film and I really want to see it do better with word of mouth.
*crushed
My best guess for Dragon is that it just didn't have the same appeal as MVA. Dragons just don't seems as fun to kids than monsters or aliens, but still the last big animated movie was ACC and that didn't exactly appeal to kids. Also someone brought up another interesting point that Dragon wasn't being sold as a action/adventure comedy like most of DW other movies and that could have had some affect in the movies appeal. As for HTTM I guess the title really played a role in it's performance. Looks like it was all internet hype and no bite which is dissapointing since I hear alot of good things about the movie.
:Predictions For Next Week:
1.Clash – $58M
2.HTTYD – $28.5M
3.TPWDIGM2 – $25.3M
4.TLS – $14.4M
5.AIW – $10.2M
I talked to some college kids, and HTTM wasn't on their radar enough to even recognize the name without them saying something like, "oh, is that the film with John Cusak?" Apparantly, it's all about the movie "Kick Ass" with them.
"…someone brought up another interesting point that Dragon wasn't being sold as a action/adventure comedy like most of DW other movies"
That was me, yo!
Yeah, that is a bad omen for the rest of Dreamworks Animation line-up this year. I think "Shrek" won't do all that well (It'll make less money than "Third" did, I feel), and "Mastermind" looks terrible, not to mention it's coming out a few months after another "animated comedy about a supervillain", "Despicable Me".
"Hot Tub Time Machine" was never going to break out guys. Me and my friends wanted to see it because it sounded so obvious and the title was just so dumbass ridiculous. That's why (I'm assuming) the masses stayed away from the film. I hear it's pretty funny though, so I'll check it out soon.
"Clash" next week baybee! Then…don't care, but then after that is "KICK ASS"!!!!
When you see at the weekend numbers and Shutter Island, with its 33% drop and $121 million cume is the only film you're happy for, you know things are bad.
I just hope Dragon and Machine both have great legs, 'cause they need 'em like hell. Dragon especially. Such a great movie, underperformed so badly. I pretty much hate Alice now. As far as Clash goes, I can see it hitting $65 million easily.
This is a reply to your comment to me. The critics need to save COTT for it to go anywhere near $70, $80, or even $90 million. This year's Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen incident will only occur if Iron Man 2 disappoints, which I highly doubt. But people still will obey critics in the beginning of a year, as shown in opposition w/Ninja Assassin and Old Dogs last year.
Someone also mentioned that it COULD be up for Razzie contention, so let's wait for the reviews.
Last I checked, Fast and Furious, DaVinci Code, Wolverine and 2012 didn't need critical acclaim to rock the box-office. Critics' opinion about Clash doesn't interest 99% of its demographic. F&F did $71 million at the same timeframe a year ago, without any critical love, just because it was a part of a popular franchise. Clash is a huge, loud, epic, action-packed, testosterone-filled 3-D blockbuster with lots of big names, and it's being properly marketed as such. Also, the whole Ancient Greece thing has been popular since 300; in addition, it's the first big PG-13 blockbuster in 3 months, since Avatar/Sherlock. It's quite simply not going to flop. It's going to bank, critical acclaim or not.
For heaven's SAKES, look at All About Steve. If it gets major Razzie contention, it will suffer massive drop-offs or limited appeal/cume if there is little target audience in the 1st place.
Well, HTTYD is not a failure. Its domestic numbers will be huge, spring break officially starts tomorrow, and the weekday numbers will help it skyrocket to $200 quickly.
DreamWorks has got to be disappointed with the result for Dragon, as does MGM with Hot Tub. I think the fact that Dragon wasn't sold as a comedy (and didn't have Pixar's name in front of it) hurt its numbers. Word of mouth could keep it going strong, but it won't get anywhere near $200 million I don't think. I saw Hot Tub and thought it had some really funny moments, but overall I thought it was kind of blah. It also felt really sloppily edited, as though they were going through slicing out huge chunks to get it down to 100 minutes. I almost nailed Alice (off by $300,000, perhaps the actuals will vindicate me), and inexplicably the well received kid movie (Wimpy Kid) fell more than 50% (okay, that was likely due to demo competition), while the horribly reviewed action comedy Bounty Hunter) had a sub-50% drop. When does that ever happen?
For next week, I think the question is whether Clash of the Titans can hit $100 million. They've marketed the balls out of it and Dragon's lackluster numbers may mean it could get a greater share of 3D screens (I had originally thought just 50%, but now it could get closer to three quarters). They're pretty much selling it as a PG-13 300; is there any reason to think the lighter rating and event film marketing can't make up for the fanboy effect 300 had? Why Did I Get Married Too performs like a Tyler Perry film (interestingly though, the trailers have sold it as drama while the TV spots sell it as comedy…which is it and which audience will show up?), and The Last Song does somewhat better than the Hannah Montana movie, but its weekend numbers will be diluted by the Wednesday opening, when all the Miley fanatics will see it.
Since my repliers seem to know what they're talking about, bump my COTT prediction by $20 million.
I don't know, I kind of liked your first pick. Easter is not necessarily a movie-going holiday (unless your title is Passion of Christ). Didn't Grindhouse bomb over Easter weekend? Plus there is already negative buzz on the 3d conversion for Clash from the ShoWest preview: http://www.slashfilm.com/2010/03/18/peters-thoughts-on-the-post-converted-clash-of-the-titans-3d-footage/
Okay, maybe $25m was too low, but $60, 70, 100m ? No way.
Matt
Interesting. So the 3D quality NEARLY sucks. I was actually looking for the quality of the MOVIE, but that article was the next best thing. Thank you!
Clash' 3-D may be bad, but public wouldn't know that until they've paid for the ticket, and by then it will have been too late. As far as Easter not being a movie-going holiday, everything changes. April was always a "dead month" for box-office too, that is, until F&F banked hugely last year.
We'll see who's right when Friday estimates are out, anyway.
It doesn't seem Easter will be an obstacle for Clash, as neither The Matrix or Grindhouse had a holiday type dropoff on Easter Sunday. Only kid's movies seem to be affected.
Okay, I already have an addendum to my thoughts on next weekend. Basically I see two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Clash of the Titans dominates the marketplace due to massive event film marketing and hype (a la Alice and 300), in which case it puts up something in the $100-120 million range, similar to Alice.
Scenario 2: The variety of films combined with the holiday weekend turns it into a "something for everyone" type of weekend (like the record-breaking Christmas weekend of a few months ago), pulling Clash of the Titans's numbers down to the $60-70 million range. But families with kids who skipped Dragon seeing it due to great word of mouth, tweeners and possibly the larger romance crown seeing The Last Song (I'm not sure Miley can carry a film to Dear John-type numbers at this point in her career, but I could be wrong…I'm sure mfan thinks I am), and the Tyler Perry audience showing up for Married could lead to each of those films performing in the high $20 to low $30 million range, making for an overall dynamite weekend at the box office and a likely Easter weekend record.
I'm already starting to think Scenario 2 is more likely, but these are the things to ponder between now and Thursday.
Interesting note: BOM currently has The Last Song only getting 2,500 theatres (this seems very low for a Disney film, I expect the actual count to be around the more Disney-like 3,000) and Tyler Perry only getting 2,000, while Clash of the Titans is listed at 3,800 currently I believe, and will likely end up with 4,000. I guess Scenario 3 could be overwhelming screen counts leading to a big triumph for Clash, but possibly sub-$100 million.
Also can't forget that next Friday is good Friday which means no school. The biggest Easter opening weekend was Scary Movie 3 back in 2006 with $40mill and last year The HMTM even did 17M opening day before it fell like a rock. Clash should have no problem being the biggest opening Easter weekend movie ever, but I hope it doesn't drop off as hard as the last two.
When did Good Friday become a school holiday? I wasn't when I grew up and I don't believe it is now in NJ or PA.
Her Vorpal Blade will snicker snack
She has always had success,
Her spirit still as big as cake
She hasn't lost her muchness,
The Frabjous Day is wednesday next
Her Last Song will impress…
We have our champion.
Yeah! Our champion is Sam Worthington in Clash of the Titans.
I knew someone was going to say that! Good for you! But where is the Clash of the Titans poetry? What rhymes with titans? :)
I mean, $43mil really isn't that bad. "Monsters vs. Aliens" hit $59mil because its premise was so simple and easy to handle. "How to Train Your Dragon" is more of a cute sort of premise that doesn't necessarily attract as many people on the OW. The good news is that "Dragon" is likely going to hold a whole lot better than Mvs.A; I won't be surprised to see a -15-20% drop like with "Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs." It's Easter weekend next weekend, after all; that'll give all the movies a big Friday kick.
As for "Clash of the Titans," I can't see another $100+mil opening like with "Alice." I'm thinking more along the lines of $60-80mil. And I won't be surprised if CotT gets a greater percentage of its money from traditional 2D theaters, partly because there's greater competition on 3D screens now and partly because the last-minute conversion probably means pretty crappy 3D, and many people may choose to watch it in 2D and save the money (I know if I watch it in theaters, which I likely won't, I won't go anywhere near a 3D screen).
Personally, I'm looking forward to "Kick-Ass" on the 16th.
To Matt B. – good Friday has always been a school holiday atleast as far as I know. I don't know where you live, but where I live there's no school anywhere.
Depends where you live. Some places in the country are more religious then others.
Just a week ago, didn't you say you over-estimate comedies you like? "Hot Tub" fit the profile.
What is up with "Dragon"? I did not see one bad review on it. This film has been cursed since they announced "Titans" was suddenly in 3D.
"Titans" does not excite me at all.
Maybe Dragons (the mythical creatures) just get bad press. Maybe this was an attempt at a "Free Willy" type movie to make them warm and fuzzy. But they forgot you need a name change, too (killer whales to Orcas). Dragons also have Superman's problem before they invented kryptonite. They are too powerful. In movies where they are vanquished, it often feels like Sandra Bullock's movie, The Net, where she takes out a big, male, professional killer with luck and spunk. Gag me. We need a movie where kryptonite works on Dragons, too. Even vampires have weaknesses.
Hot Tub Time Machine, althoug not doing well in theatres this weekend, still has DVD sales to look forward to. Similar titles have done "poorly" in theatres and actually made more on DVD sales, or close to their theatre numbers.
Examples are as follows:
1.) Old School – made $75 million in theatres, but made $83 million in DVD sales.
2.) Nat'l Lampoon's Van Wilder – made $21 million in theatres, but made $32 million in DVD sales.
3.) Jay and Silent Bob Strike Back – made $36 million in theatrea and $30 million in DVD sales
4.) the biggest of them all, Napolean Dynamite made $50 million in theatres, and an astonishing $120 million in DVD sales.
HTTM should be worried about their domestic theatre numbers, but the DVD sales could save the name.
Also, w/ IMAX and 3D numbers, Clash of the Titans could easily make $100 million this weekend. Maybe family will go see the movie together after church and lunch and the Easter egg hunt. Although I would have preferred an "R" rating for CotT, I think the pg-13 rating will help it rake in alot more family numbers.
Clash will NOT be playing in IMAX. It's not listed on imax.com and I believe IMAX is being a little selective in what titles show on it's screens. Plus with the last couple of months spent on 3d conversion, there was no time left for proper IMAX DMR conversion.
Clash will be in as many 3d screens as it can, bumping out Alice and HTTYD if theater management allows it. Yeah PG13 will get more family crowds.
sry thought I saw a commercial for IMAX.
The reason both Dragon and Hot Tub* underperformed is because of the ridiculously unjustified ticket price hikes in many theaters around the country. I went to my theater Friday night, and many opted to go rent a DVD and watch it in their homes when they saw how much ticket prices had gone up. This was especially true in Dragon's case.
Early predicts for next weekend:
1. Clash of the Titans: $67.5 million. In my opinion, the roof on this thing could be as high as $120. The floor is at $40.
2. How to Train Your Dragon: $29 million. Word of mouth's been pretty good, I loved it myself.
3. Why Did I Get Married Too?: $19 million. Never underestimate Tyler Perry.
4. The Last Song: $15 million. Once people realize that Miley's playing second banana to Greg Kinnear, it'll tank.
5. Hot Tub Time Machine: $10 million. Hope word of mouth can save this one….
*I refuse to type any lame abbreviated initials. It took me 5 minutes to figure out what TPWDIGM2 was, and HMTM still has me flustered.
You KNOW I can't let that go. Miley has never in her career played second banana to anyone. Since you obviously can't be talking screen time, you must be talking talent. I'm sure millions of people are going to show up for The Last Song to stare in wonder at Greg's talent. He does give the film added credibility for non-Miley fans, but remember who he's working for, and who hired him. Miley's MOM hired him. He's working for the Cyrus family.
I'm glad Tyler Perry has your respect. If not this year, then soon, you will be writing, never underestimate Miley Cyrus.
1. CALM DOWN.
2. When I said played second-banana to Greg Kinnear, I meant screentime exactly. From what I understand, he's the main star, and this is another case of misleading advertising.
3. Tyler Perry's proven to have a large fanbase moreso than Miley has.
Thanks for the explanitory comment. You are right that Miley fans would be upset if what you said is true, but take it from a Miley fan who has read the book, and knows all the major plot elements that the movie is basically all Miley all the time. Gregg Kinnear will have some scenes with Kelly Preston, and Bobby Coleman without Miley, though.
I suppose I believed more people knew how The Last Song came to be made. Miley got tons of offers to do films; she says "you wouldn't believe how many musicals" came her way. In the end She and her Mom hand crafted this movie from the ground up. Miley liked The Notebook; Nicholas Sparks was contacted. He wrote the book, and the screenplay simulteneously with plot elements, and characterizations suggested by Miley. The name of her character, "Ronnie", is a shoutout to her paternal grandfather who died of cancer. Nicholas Sparks wanted a project the romantic leads could work on together, and Miley likes animals, so…sea turtles. Etc, etc. Her mom executive produced, with three others, in an active role including casting. This is Miley's movie from start to finish.
What are "TPWDIGM2" and "HMTM?"
TPWDIGM2 has to be Tyler Perry's new one, as for HMTM that's a misspelled acronym for Hot Tub Time Machine.
HMTM is Hanna Montana The Movie
Ouch.
Looks like next week we're moving into the blockbuester season. Fun fun fun. I'm saying CotT. Though it has some unpredictable competition.
Last year Cyrus pulled 32 million exploiting the Hanna Montana thing, this year she's in an original movie (a producers worst fear!) and she's Miley Cyrus, not Hanna Montana. Anyway, isn't that Miley Cyrus phase starting to end now, like Digimon. Coupled with CotT's much bigger theatre count, it's CotT for the weekend.
Still, Tyler Perry beat Disney last year on his films second weekend, and his film is a relativily uncrowded genre. But theatre count looks way too low.
To give you credit, you are close. But it's Hannah Montana that's starting to end. Not the Miley who just got a standing ovation on American Idol. Or the Miley who won Favorite Breakout Movie Actress at the last Peoples Choice awards. Or the Miley who just won Favorite Movie Actress at the Kid's Choice Awards. or the Miley who won six (!) Teen Choice Awards (more than any individual). Are you from England? Didn't you notice Miley sold out five dates at the O2 arena in ten minutes, and added another date to help keep the resale prices to just twice face value in London, but alas five to ten times face value in the rest of the country. Did the Queen of England think she was slowing down when Miley performed for her? That Miley?
And we like to joke that the reason the attendance records previously set by artists such as Beyonce, Coldplay, and Jon Bon Jovi were eclipsed by Miley in her debut at the 02 Arena in London, is that you can squeeze her younger fans in more closely. But she still has the record. Is that the Miley you think is slowing down???
I'm being most sincere here. Thank you for ragging on Miley. I especially like your attempt to link her to little kids re your Digimon crack. I'm happier now, because I've been worrying about all the things that could possibly go wrong for her films release, and my defense of her has made me feel better, and remember who I'm dealing with. It's Miley.
First rule of late night interneting, don't comment on difficult topics you have little clue on when you're awake, let alone sleep deprived and on the verge of bed.
Yeah sorry, it was midnight when I made that comment and I was very tired, I just like Sam Worthington. It might have seemed agressive. I honestly have no clue about Cyrus outside of what my younger family say about her, so I'll take your word for the above three comments as you do appear to be the expert. I just assumed as she hadn't made an appearance on Glee and my cousins had stopped talking about her she wasn't the in thing anymore. Oh, though I did see her at the Queen thing, and I though that she was far to young to dress in leather and poll dance, song was pretty though.
Thinking in a less sleep deprived way, I'm still all for Clash as it has nearly 1000 more theatres, and looking at the average opening weekends of Cyrus is about 30 million, while your standard period actioneer pulls between 35 to 50 million and that was without the theatre count or advertising this is getting. I'd like to compare it to 300 but that seems a little OTT.
I think we all agree that Clash will win the Box Office this weekend. The only question is how high it will go since it's buzz seems to have peaked about a month ago. Will the people who were enthusiastic a month ago all go to see it, or will the buzz have worn off somewhat. I think $62 million is a good call, but there's quite a bit of uncertainty both ways due to a lot of issues. Still, it has greater upside potential, then downside potential, I think.
the reason hot tub time machine did bad was everyone who wanted to see it already did at one of the 300+ FREE screenings they had all over the country before the thing even came out… hell i saw 2 free screenings and almost went to a 3rd…..
Let me sum this up in one word:
WHAT??????????!!!!!!!!!!!!
um they teamed up with eventful.com to do about 300 free screenings across the country for like the last month, they over did it and ended up losing profits
1.) Clash Of The Titans – $94M
2.) How To Train Your Dragon – $32
3.) Why Did I Get Married Too – $30
4.) The Last Song – $25
5.) Alice In Wonderland – $10
Overall big Weekend, maybe going for $200M
I agree about a relatively big weekend as there seems to be something out for everyone. Sometimes I think the amount of comments on this site can be somewhat correlated to the weekend's box office results. Notice last weeks Results, and Oracle comment numbers, when added together, were lower than previous weeks. And the movies dissapointed. Does that mean the large amount of comments this week mean a box office bonanza? We'll see.
God, You Talk Alot
Thanks. Like Trekkies who had been waiting a long time for their movie, Miley fans have been waiting, for what seems forever, for her movie to come out, and some of us are a little excited. Y E A H !!!
I expect Titans to be #1 next week but not more than 55 m. because that day is Good Friday and then comes Easter.
1.Clash of the Titans-53 m.
2.Dragon-34 m.
3.The Last Song- 23.6 m.
4.Why Did I Get Married Too?-18 m.
5.Hot Tub Time Machine-15 m.
6.Alice in Wonderland-12 m.
7.Wimpy Kid-10.9 m.
8.The Bounty Hunter-8 m.
9.She's Out Of My League-5 m.
10.Shutter Island-2.5 m.
Argh…… you've got it right for the #1 movie, but not the rest:
it's error, not variance. argh. thanks for the shout-out, though. this was a good week for me
Roger Ebert gives Miley Cyrus a good review, but is critical of Nicholas Sparks.