Box-Office Wrap-Up: Jan. 28 – Jan. 30, 2011
Not much to talk about outside of 'The King's Speech' big bump
 |  |
| I don't really have anything to talk about here. There doesn't seem to be much of a story and this is a very uninteresting film to win the weekend. Perhaps that's the angle I should be taking, but in fact I have nothing. The Rite was made on a $37 million budget and won't be seeing any profit until it hits DVD and Blu-ray so there's no story there. I have a hard time imagining it will be able to make much more than $7 million next weekend, if that. On the user prediction side of things, we were a bit late on Thursday getting the Oracle article online so there weren't a ton of predictions, but nevertheless, John PT took the top prize with a $14.6 million prediction. Good on yah. Result: $15 million Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $19.1 million was $4.1m off for a percentage error of 27.33%. | |
 |
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $11.61 million, which is $1.99m off for a 14.63% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $10.42 million, which is $1.08m off for a 9.39% error.
John PT predicted $12.2 million and Ian predicted $10.8 million, which leaves us with a tie. However, if this were Price is Right the win would go to Ian due to John's overbid… you can argue amongst yourselves for bragging rights.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $10.81 million, which is $0.69m off for a 6% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $8.95 million, which is $2.15m off for a 19.37% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $4.95 million, which is $2.65m off for a 34.87% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.85 million, which is $0.55m off for a 10.19% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.23 million, which is $0.87m off for a 17.06% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $2.66 million, which is $1.34m off for a 33.5% error.
Laremy's rank: Not Ranked
For those of you wondering about 127 Hours, which added 847 theaters this weekend for a grand total of 916, it ended up making just over $2 million. So there you have it… hash out your thoughts in the comments and perhaps take a stab at what will win next weekend, although I have a feeling all of you will be picking Sanctum over The Roommate.
Links from Other Sites You May Like
Showing 23 Comments
~ PLEASE NOTE ~
If, in any way, your comment is an attack on the author of this post or a previous commenter, your comment will be deleted without question.
Add a New Comment |
Click to Read Our Commenting Rules & Guidelines
I did some pretty good predictions for this weekend.
As for next weekend, The Roommate will win over Sanctum, but it will be another boring weekend.
There's no way that The Roommate will win next weekend. Sanctum has more theaters + 3d. And it's marketed as James Cameron presents or something like that.
Right! Let's all go out and pay and extra $3 for a movie that has no actors we've ever heard of, and a director we've never heard of. All for the sake of watching some 3D effects which we've already seen. Not!
The roommate has people you've actually seen before on the screen, and a more relatable storyline.
Actually I would probably go and see Sanctum first if made to choose between the two, because the cast of The Roommate aren't exactly acting knockouts any more than the Sanctum cast are. And the premise of the film has been done to death already. I can tell I've already seen this film about twenty times.
(Although I actually have also heard of several of the listed actors of Sanctum so I'm not operating at the same of unawareness as others in that department.)
In other news, Henry Cavill cast as superman in the Zach Snyder Reboot.
The Roomate has a lot more buzz than Sanctum. I'm sure it will win even with a smaller theater count.
Very possible. Plus, ScreenGems has a great record of successful PG-13 thrillers that opened to #1 on Superbowl weekend (The Messengers, When a Stranger Calls and Boogeyman, each did between $15m and $21m). But Sanctum could well surprise us.
There is no hype for Sanctum, and you said it all: horror dominates Superbowl. The Roommate is tracking at 20M. I believe it will win with about 17M.
I really want to see the tv spots of Superbowl. It is the only thing I care about next weekend…
Nothing will enjoy an increase next weekend. It's Superbowl and besides, why the hell should general public care about SAG awards.
John PT predictions were awesome. Overall, not really much to cheer about this weekend at the box office, I agree…
I think The Roommate has a huge chance at being #1 next weekend. That being said, I think both of next week's releases look awful.
Let's give final props to Yogi. Seven weeks in the top ten, gave kids and parents something to watch in January.
There are a lot of teenagers who haven't seen Single White Female and are all excited to see The Roommate. It'll win easily over Sanctum, which seems to have almost no buzz.
especially due to the fact that santum is R and The Roomate is PG 13
The Roommate's winning next weekend. C'mon, don't be silly. Sanctum looks bland & boring with only the 3D aspect really standing out. If stuff like The Descent can't break out, what makes you think Sanctum will?
Roommate's got Meester (who'll bring in the Gossip Girl kids), it's a horror/thriller film geared towards the teen demographic (unlike The Rite) plus it has that "roommate/stalker from hell" angle which worked wonders for Single White Female, Hand that Rocks the Cradle, etc. Remember Obsessed a couple years back? Screen Gems put out that one too, it ended up making close to $30 million in 3 days. Roommate won't make that much, but high-teens, low $20 million is just about guaranteed.
and SwimFan in 2002.
And Valentine's day weekend I would like to see Just Go With It at number 1 but somehow I have a feeling that Justin Bieber movie will be number 1.
Last I checked, Jonas Bros movie flopped big time.
Yeah I know but Hannah Montana concert movie was a "hit" & number 1 movie for 1 weekend. I figured that Bieber has more fans than Jonas who will flock to theaters. I hope they don't.
Bieber's film will probably do better than The JoBros' film (because, Bieber actually lives up to the hype and has sold way more records & is way more popular than the JoBros ever were) but that film will be frontloaded as hell; I doubt it'll make much more than $30 million total, with some $17 million coming just from the 3-day weekend.
Oh and Just Go With It, somewhere in the vicinity of $32-36 million range for the 3day.
I'm guessing ticket prices will be the regular price for NSN, and I notice it's being released both in 3D and 2D.
Don't write off Gnomeo & Juliet, the latest in a long line of 3D digimations.
On a side note, wouldn't it be funny if, at next year's Golden Globes, the nominees of the Comedy/Musical category were:
The Hangover part 2
Sherlock Holmes 2
Paul
Pirates of the Carribean: On Stranger Tides.
Imagine the comedy actor showdown: Depp vs Downey