Box-Office Wrap-Up: Feb. 11 – Feb. 13, 2011
Sandler and Aniston hold off the Biebs
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| I didn't see Just Go With It, but from what I've heard it's actually a pretty good film, which means Sandlers ability to churn out $100+ million movies is going to continue. This, however, wasn't a very big opening weekend in terms of Sandler films. It's not even first or second best for Jennifer Aniston, but the reported $80 million production budget is about the norm as that's the same amount of money that was spent on Grown Ups before it went on to make $271 million worldwide. As for you pesky readers and your predictions, John PT was the first to predict and the closest on this one with a $31.7 million prediction. Way to go. Result: $31 million Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 and his prediction of $32.3 million was $1.3m off for a percentage error of 4.19%. | |
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On the user prediction side of things, how about a big round of applause for Chuck Bartowski and an absolute spot-on $30.2 million prediction! Huzzah!
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $25.5 million, which is $4.7m off for a 15.56% error.
I don't have a budget number for this flick, but the many years in development probably inflated that price tag. However, as the only animated film in the marketplace until Rango is released on March 4, this may have some decent legs.
John PT gets his second crown of the week for his $24.6 million prediction. Maybe he can teach Laremy a thing or two about predicting the box-office take of gnome related features.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $13.5 million, which is $12m off for a 47.06% error.
And on our final new release we have Ian with the closest user prediction at $8 million.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $6.45 million, which is $2.05m off for a 24.12% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $6.9 million, which is $1.5m off for a 17.86% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $5.78 million, which is $1.62m off for a 21.89% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.26 million, which is $1.34m off for a 23.93% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.06 million, which is $1.04m off for a 20.39% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $2.97 million, which is $0.73m off for a 19.73% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $2.95 million, which is $0.65m off for a 18.06% error.
And now we look to next weekend where I am actually quite excited to see both Unknown and I Am Number Four. Without looking at theater counts or tracking I am going with Number Four at the top next weekend, how about you? Any chance Big Mommas: Like Father, Like Son can take that #1 slot? Please say no!
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True Grit will end up just shy of the originals adjusted gross.
I hope that Just Go With It stays on top when actuals are released tomorrow. Next weekend I think we all agree that I Am Number Four will top the weekend. and then Hall Pass next weekend will top and so on
No family movies since Christmas and the wonderfull legs of Yogi Bear during January proved that familys wanted one movie too see with their kids. It was pretty obvious that G&J had everything to break out. Add to that the tracking (MTC predicted 20M) and some cute characters. A victory for Disney.
Finally a good weekend at the box office (still down from last year, but we can't really compare because last year was Presidents Day weekend).
Next weekend I am predictins IAN4 to win but it will be close. BM3 will BOMB.
I Am Number Four – 30.6/36.9M
Unknown – 27.7/33.4M
Big Mommas 3 – 13.5/18.2M
I will do my final predictions when the oracle arrives.
"I didn't see Just Go With It, but from what I've heard it's actually a pretty good film…"
Yeah: 33/100 on Metacritic, 18% on Rottentomatoes and 5.5 on IMDb.
I wouldn't call that a good movie.
"from what I've heard"
Where have you heard it's a good film?
Actually, I read that audiences gave Just Go With It an A- Cinemascore, and Never Say Never got an A.
Yuck.
I Am Number Four will win. People are talking about it and walking around with the book (like me). I hope the reviews aren't too horrible.
Any predictions for tomorrow? Just Go With It should hold well.
Also, Laremy liked it. Maybe Brad was going on what Laremy said.
I am number 4 isn't as talked about as you might expect. Hardly anyone in Britian is familiar with the source material.
Of the new releases Big Mommas House 3 might win the weekend due to brand identity.
And Black Swan will have to wait a few more days to cross $100 million. That's mildly annoying. I actually thought that it had quite a savage location count drop this weekend (908) for a film that's still earning decently. Does anyone know if that was that due to the new releases or something else?
Next weekend I would hope BM3 will sink like a stone, and that it will be down to IAN4 or Unknown. I don't see Taken like grosses for the latter but I think it's smart of them to try and make people think of taken when they see the posters etc for Unknown. Should help it open well since Taken is generally very popular.
The only shaking Miley does in her boots is when she is on the dance floor. This year she will have two movies released while filming two more, release more music, go on tour, and do charity work.
I remember stories of people going to see the Hannah Montana Concert Movie and having to sit in the front row because those were the only seats that were left. When I saw Never Say Never, there were about twenty people in the theater. Just Saying.
And the numbers are out for Justin's wednesday previews. The Biebs sold $743,000 worth of tickets at $30 dollars a pop, which equals 24,766 tickets out of 100,000 available. Miley would have sold those 100,000 seats out.
Just after her Best Of Both Worlds tour, she was able to sell tickets to hear her sing at $300 dollars each! She hasn't lowered her price for an appearance to sing a few songs either. It used to be $1 million dollars, but now it's $1.1 million which Microsoft just paid her in order to help open a store for them. Inflation, you know.
Bieber did alright for himself though. Miley's concert film (as well as the Jonas' film, as well as Michael Jackson's This is It for that matter) all had no competition when they opened. Bieber had to deal with Just Go With it and the strength of Gnomeo & Juliet as well (all three films opening within $5 million of each other). It did have much larger theater counts than Miley's film, plus 3D was more of a novelty back then in 2008 than it is now. Regardless, Still a huge success for the film.
I Am Number Four next week, I guess? Eh, just give me Drive Angry already.
Bieber has the ambition, drive & the help he needs to make it in films if he can act even a little bit (Taylor Swift can't). As long as he is still decent looking to girls when he grows up. Miley was gratiously pushing his film from the Grammy's red carpet.
It will be fun to see how crazy of a performance Nick Cage will turn in. And Amber Heard will def be interesting to watch on the big screen. Weird to see her as a blond, though.
Good weekend for movies. Should be close for the top spot but I think Adam Sandler will hold off Bieber.
A little of topic but I checked the official website for Battle: LA and it is rated PG-13 for sustained and intense sequences of war violence and destruction, and for language. Just thought I would let you know.
No, Laremy. Big Momma's too old. If he ain't Tyler Perry, Big Momma won't pull it off.
Early predictions? I'm pegging I AM Number 4 at $30M, pretty much the same as Percy Jackson. Like what they said, Just Go With It and Gnomeo should hold well while Unknown is pretty much unknown.
:)
1-Unknown
2-I Am Number Four
3-Big Mommas
My Predictions
1. Big Mommas: Like Father Like Son (fans of the first 2 movies will flock to this one as will the Tyler Perry fans)
2. Just Go With It (Adam Sandler films have been known to have small drops)
3. I am Number 4 (The sorce material isn't well known, but it has a high theatre count)
4. Gnomeo and Juliet (a less competitive family market)
5. The King's Speech (Also known as The Madness of King George 2, there is already backlash surrounding it's potential oscar win)
6. Never Say Never (Probably the most frontloaded film this Febuary)
7. Unknown (this is self explanitary)
8. Black Swan (the buzz seems to have died out)
9. The Eagle (limited appeal)
10. True Grit (already run it's course)