Box-Office Wrap-Up: 'Dolphin Tale' Tops a Weak Week as Not One of Four Newcomers Can Crack $10 Million
It's a weekend hardly worth writing about
Dolphin Tale
Cummulative Total: $37.5 million
RottenTomatoes Score: 83%
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 and his prediction of $11.5 million was $2.7m off for a percentage error of 19.01%.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $11.31 million, which is $1.19m off for a 9.52% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #1 with $14.7 million, which is $3.7m off for a 33.64% error.
As far as predictions go, Laremy over-estimated its chances as did Chris Etrata, but Chris's $9 million prediction remains the closest on the board. What's interesting is a lot of you predicted it to finish first, some as high as $16 million. I wish you'd been right.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $11 million, which is $2.15m off for a 24.29% error.
When it comes to predictions, let's give Ian a round of applause for a spot-on $8.8 million prediction. Good on yah Ian.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $5.5 million, which is $3.3m off for a 37.5% error.
On the prediction end, Laremy was a little high, but John PT stands out with an $8.1 million prediction. Close.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $9.3 million, which is $1.1m off for a 13.41% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $5.1 million, which is $0.55m off for a 9.73% error.
And we have another close prediction on this one. No, not from Laremy, who basically had a terrible weekend on most every front, but from Dennis with a $5.5 million prediction. Very nice.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $10.5 million, which is $4.9m off for a 87.5% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $5.49 million, which is $0.49m off for a 9.8% error.
Laremy's rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $4.58 million, which is $0.22m off for a 4.58% error.
So, the film that took the best per theater average is one you probably haven't heard of… Munger Road, released in one theater took home $38,900. I'm assuming you can do the math on that per theater average. As far as the films you've heard of, Take Shelter took home $56,200 from three theaters for an $18,733 per theater average.
The week's per theater losers was Sarah Palin – You Betcha! opening in six theaters and taking in a whopping $7,400. I guess a film that pretty much features a guy going out to do his very best to embarrass someone, even if it's Sarah Palin, isn't interesting to anyone… as it shouldn't be.
And finally, Kenneth Lonergan's Margaret starring Matt Damon and Anna Paquin took home only $7,500 from two theaters.
Next week I think we'll finally see some box-office movement, or at least a champ that makes over $20 million as Real Steel and The Ides of March will be the week's two big releases along with limited release features 1911 and Dirty Girl. I'm curious, do you see Ides or Real Steel managing over $30 million next weekend?
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Any news on Tucker & Dale vs. Evil? I saw it last night in a small but crowded theater and loved it.
Unfortunately no, but glad you got to see it with an audience and enjoyed it.
Saw 50/50, easily my favorite film of the year so far. Too bad it couldnt do better.
Real Steel will be number 1 next weekend
Wow, I've had the closest prediction a few times, but I don't think I've ever been dead on.
Next week a movie should make above $30 million for the first time in two months. Real Steel should make $35-45 million I think. The Ides of March is only getting an estimated 2,000 locations. Even The American had around 2,600 so I don't know why Sony is holding back. Honestly I'm not convinced it'll do all that well; Gosling has been more front and center in the marketing than Clooney, and I think it's possible that people are so sick of the political vitriol in the U.S. that they won't want to see a movie about politics. With those issues and the low theatre count, I'm thinking it tops out around $15 million and could well go as low as $10 million.
Incidentally, The Lion King only needs another $16 million to pass Shrek 2 and become the highest grossing animated movie ever domestically (unless you count Avatar as animated, which no one seems to).
I know but in reality The Lion King sold WAY MORE tickets than Shrek 2
Real Steel will dominate big time while Ides of March bombs.
Real Steel has broad appeal (robots for men, Hugh Jackman for women to oggle at).
Real Steel will do $18 million for the three-day and $24 million for the four-day. Ides of march will do $15 million for the three-day and $20 million for the four-day.
I think 50/50 didn't do so well because of the subject matter. It might be a true story but its just seems like it would turn a lot of people off.
I heard Real Steel was budgeted at $110 million so I don't think anything less than the $35 million mark would be a good start for it. It should probably be shooting for over $40 million. Low $20s isn't going to cut it, unless international turns out to be good.
I've not really heard how it's tracking, though.
Tucker & Dale vs. Evil is being leaked online since earlier this year,I think thats why not many pple went to see it,if they keeping leaking independent films online is gonna hurt the industry and movies
I was thinking maybe $90 million for the top twelve this weekend. The comparable weekend last year did $86.2 million, so this years $91.1 is, I feel, within expectations.
I didn't realize, until today, that Dolphin Tale was made by Alcon Entertainment. The same production company that brought us The Blind Side. That's twice, now, this producion company's films have made number one on their second week.
I'm thinking $25-$30 million for Real Steel.
As for the math on Munger Road, what's one divided by $38,900?
I see 'Bad Teacher' finally trickled over the $100 million mark.
Can Universal push 'Cowboys & Aliens' to do the same now I wonder?