Box-Office Oracle: Jun. 18 – Jun. 20, 2010
Toy Story 3 will break a couple of records ... but not the biggies.
Last weekend I made a mistake. I had Karate Kid winning the weekend on my initial predictions, and then I bowed to public opinion and slipped The A-Team slightly in front. The results were disastrous, as the weekend played out with The Karate Kid handily crushing The A-Team. The lesson? Stick with your first call … and respect the family dollar, for it rules us all.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
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| See? This is my new "not bowing to public sentiment" method. Toy Story 3 is going to make all kinds of moolah this weekend, but not a record-breaking amount. First, the good news: 3-D prices and all the kids finally on summer break will launch this into the stratosphere. It will be the fifth largest opening in history, narrowly surpassing Iron Man 2's effort earlier in the year. The historical perspective? Toy Story 2 opened at $17k per theater in 1999. The past dozen years have done nothing to hurt Pixar's reputation, and now they are set to cash in. I've got this one at $32k per theater. But no, I can't see it cracking The Dark Knight's $158m. It doesn't have enough crossover appeal with teens, and it has far more in common with a film like Kung Fu Panda where box office draw is concerned. Massive? Yes. Record breaking? Yes again, but only June's opening weekend record and the all-time animation record will fall. Prediction: $128.9 million |
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A 40 percent drop for The Karate Kid. That's nothing to be ashamed of, and the sequel is already at the scripting stage.
Prediction: $33.4 million
The other opener of the weekend, it feels like $6,500 per theater to me.
Prediction: $18.36 million
It'll fall 44 percent this weekend. Really, this film was well positioned right up until they decided to spend $110m on it. It's tough to make your money back like that. Of course, a lot of that is due to the film being in development hell and going through 11 screenwriters so at what point does the final product separate itself from the years it took to get it made?
Prediction: $14.41 million
Nine years ago the original made more domestically. So in North America it's a dud. The international dollars should push it to profit though.
Prediction: $7.7 million
The same issue as A-Team. They continue to spend too much money up front.
Prediction: $5.9 million
Someone asked which was a bigger disaster, this or Robin Hood. Both will end up with around $300m in ticket sales on $200m production budgets. So, depending on the splits, they are pretty equitable disasters.
Prediction: $4.03 million
Killers should be all set to lose around $30 million for Lionsgate. Nice.
Prediction: $2.63 million
See #8, but with Fox inserted instead.
Prediction: $2.3 million
I expect a big DVD push here, because that's where all the profit is going to be had.
Prediction: $1.94 million
How say you? Want to call $160m for Toy Story 3? Or perhaps you want to naysay a bit with a call under $100m? Feel like my Jonah Hex number is all wrong? Comment away!
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1.) Toy Story 3 – $ 142.4 million
2.) The Karate Kid – $ 31.2 million
3.) The A-Team – $ 15.5 million
4.) Jonah Hex – $ 9.4 million
5.) Shrek Forever After – $ 7.4 million
6.) Get Him To The Greek – $ 5.1 million
7.) Prince Of Persia: Sands of Time – $ 4.2 million
8.) Killers – $ 3.2 million
9.) Sex and the City 2 – $ 2.2 million
10.) Iron Man 2 – $ 1.7 million
1. TOY STORY- 108.7 mil
- I would not be suprised if my prediction was too low and it went up to your number Laremy. I just think that PIXAR films never open huge just have huge legs. I think thats what will happen with this. I think it will have a HUGE opening day then slide down a little bit. By no means, do I think this won't do great- I do and hope so! I just think lower predictions are understandable. But- I will be very happy if I am wrong.
On the otherhand, if both Shrek 2 & 3 did huge OW, why can't Toy Story. Everyone out there wants to see it. Im so confused. I will go with a lower number, but will not be suprised on Sunday! GO TOY STORY!
2. THE KARATE KID- 22.7 mil
-This was HUGE last weekend, but with Toy Story 3 coming into this, it will lose a lot of its audience. I just don't see it holding as well due to a lot of competition against Toy Story.
3. THE A-TEAM- 15.2 mil
-Sure this opened low, but I think it will have nice legs- due to not much more competition.
4. JONAH HEX- 11.2 mil
-I personally would like to see it do more, but I don't think it will be much of a hit due to other comparsions.
5. SHREK FORVER AFTER- 6.8 mil
-Great run. Will take a huge slide due to loss of 3D screens
MY CALL
1. TOY STORY 3 – $165.3 million
2. KARATE KID – $29.8 million
3. THE A-TEAM – $14.0 million
4. JONAH HEX – $10.3 million
5. SHREK 4 – $5.9 million
Just ask if ya want to know why TS3 will break the record.
Have a fantastic, nostalgic, uplifting weekend everyone!
:)
I think Toy Story 3 will start relatively lower (Like most Pixar films) but amazing WOM will bring it close to TDK.
1. Toy Story 3- $109.9 million
2. The Karate Kid- $29.2 million
3. A-Team- $11.4 million
4. Sherk 4- $8.6 million
5. Jonah Hex- $7.7 million
1. Toy Story 3–$90.6mil. This is not me naysaying. I am simply predicting an OW below $100mil, but fantastic holds. It'll probably have a 4 to 5x multiplier like the rest of Pixar's films. This would put it between $360-450mil domestic total, which would break Pixar's record.
2. The Karate Kid–$26.6mil. -52%, about. If it were another weekend, I'd say it'd drop only 42-44%, but TS3 is going to be gobbling up at the family business.
3. The A-Team–$11.8mil. -54%. Completely average drop for a completely average action movie.
4. Jonah Hex–$11.2mil. I'm feeling a stinker here. Nobody seems interested, not even the marketers. This may even be too high.
5. Get Him to the Greek–$6.9mil. -30%. That's pretty optimistic (others are predicting -35 to -40%), but not unrealistically so. It'll make great counterprogramming for TS3, and nobody is going to see Jonah Hex anyway.
6. Shrek Forever After–$6.3mil. If Shrek 4 could make "How to Train Your Dragon" fall -62% with only a $70mil opening, then "Toy Story 3" can make Shrek 4 fall at least -60% with a $90mil opening. I might even be high on this title.
7. Killers–$4.4mil.
8. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time–$3.3mil.
9. Sex and the City 2–$3.0mil. If it follows SATC, Twilight, and New Moon, then it should have a slight recovery after a precipitous 1st weekend drop and a pretty large 2nd weekend drop. But for this title it's too late: it's in the lower tier of the box office now.
10. Marmaduke–$2.6mil. Another family movie cut off at the knees because of Toy Story 3. It deserves it.
Seriously, do you guys read anything or just masturbate on the Web?
1. The A-Team already took a huge drop on the weekday grosses. No one wants to see this film and it will drop 60% at least.
2. Jonah Hex better get all of it's money on Friday because as soon as people see how bad it is the theaters will be empty.
This will be the weekend that the people who saw the A-Team last week will go see The Karate Kid and everyone else will see Toy Story. Normally some other films get spillover from a blockbuster like Toy Story but in this case it will be exactly one movie – The Karate Kid.
Also look for Cyrus to do surprise business. It's a stinker and had mixed reviews at Sundance but now all the major reviewers are afraid to look uncool and their giving it the thumbs up treatment. THe movie stinks but I think it will do very good per theater averages until it goes wide.
Just like the gawdawful Winter Bone did last week.
Bill, you're a fucking moron. Get a taste for "good" films. Cyrus and Winter's Bone are both very good films.
Actually Karate Kid has dropped more Box Office day on day than The A Team has this week so far.
jonah hex was a freaking great movie. just because you losers with no taste dog it doesnt mean the public will. Think everyones gonna get a big suprise come monday.
1. Toy Story 3-148 m. This will destroy Karate Kid and attract more kids. Even the ones who haven't seen Karate Kid. I'm sure adults and teens will see it because it'll bring back memories.
2. Jonah Hex- I actually think this looks cool. Adults and Teens who think they are a little too old for Toy Story will see it.
3. The A-Team- The other movie for adults. Plus, most have'nt seen it yet.
4. The Karate Kid- This will drop. We all need to admit it. Toy Story will attract most kids. The kids I know are 10-12 and they all want to see Toy Story 3. So Toy Story will destroy it next week.
5.Greek- This'll be for adults who don't feel like Hex or Team.
6.Shrek- Toy Story and Karate Kid will leave it out of the top 5 this week. Maybe 10 kids and 15 adults in the theater.
7.Prince of Persia- I think this will be above Killers this week. I thought this was a good movie. I want a sequel for this and The A-Team. Hope it does good overseas to be enough to consider it a success.
8.Sex and the City- Oh no! Where did everybody go. Most women came to their senses. Wait for it on Netflix.
9.Iron Man 2- Hated it
10. Marmaduke- Hey Marmaduke! Meet the toys in Toy Story 3.
Toy Story 3 – 137.6M
Jonah Hex – 6.9M
Usually, when a movie is PG-13 the Game is Teen. I just found out that The Last Airbender's game is rated Teen. So the movie will most likely be PG-13
Frank Marshall posted on Twitter that THE LAST AIRBENDER will be PG. Still no official word from the MPAA or on the official site, but I would count on a PG rating.
The funny thing about advertising on Toy Story 3, I don't remember any straight up commercials with the release date. All the ads are from other products promoting the movie. So maybe everyone is aware of the movie, but not the release date.
Also, "Hex" has very few showings locally, so it might really bomb, I mean in the $3-$5 range.
Regal Cinemas seems to be giving The A-Team many more showtimes than Jonah Hex, so maybe they agree it will bomb. The only one I've met who plans to see it is an older comic book reader who has no internet.
No offense Laremy, but with all due respect, I think more teens are excited to see Toy Story 3 than any other movie this month. Don't forget that the 15-25 set grew up with the first two movies… My call for the weekend.
1. TOY STORY 3 – $130 million. I could honestly see this swing $30 million in either direction, it looks like it could be one of Pixar's most front-loaded films to date, simply because anticipation is sky high, and audiences are starved for a real event film that's actually of good quality, and I see this capitalizing quite well on 3D. I predict more teens will see this over Jonah Hex or Karate Kid, especially girls and couples.
2. THE KARATE KID – $30.6 million. I'm calling a 45% drop. That's not bad, considering what it's going up against. Audiences have responded well to it, word of mouth has been solid and it should be able to run alongside Toy Story with strong legs. I enjoyed this one, wouldn't mind seeing it again with some of my cousins.
3. THE A-TEAM – $14.5 million. Another 45% drop – it won't compete directly with any film this weekend, but despite many naysayers online, it's gotten fairly solid word of mouth. I definitely look forward to a second viewing – it's loud and mindless in a way of such self-awareness, you pretty much have to be soulless to not have at least a little fun with it.
4. JONAH HEX – $11 million. MEGAbomb.
5. SHREK FOREVER AFTER – $7.8 million. Losing most of its 3D screens (and a fair ammount of its 2D screens, as well) to a more worthy family film will cause a 50% drop. You've had a decent run, ogre.
Seriously, the rest of the top ten is too boring to comment on. I'm still rooting for Get Him To The Greek, but it's pretty much done.
Early call for next week: TOY STORY 3 sticks to the top with a 35% maximum drop, while KNIGHT AND DAY looks at a $45 million five day, $34 million three day weekend and GROWN UPS will be right on its heels with $30 million.
"No offense Laremy, but with all due respect, I think more teens are excited to see Toy Story 3 than any other movie this month."
You are EXTREMELY correct.
Really? REALLY? Are you sure Knight at Day is going to top Grown Ups? 100% sure? I don't think Cruise can top Sandler….
apparently knight and day is tracking worse then killers… might wanna reassess those numbers sir
Good news! According to IMDB's parental guide, The Lasf Airbender is rated PG-13 for intense epic battle sequences and warfare, fantasy violence and brief language.
I wouldn't rely on IMDb's parental guide – a week or so ago, it said JONAH HEX was rated R for Strong Bloody Violence, Language and Some Sexual Content. The parental guides are basically the fanboy stomping grounds for uneducated guesses based on wishful thinking. Brief language in The Last Airbender? This is based on a Nickelodeon cartoon directed by M. Night, whose films are normally squeaky clean in the language department.
No, actually Nick movies do have language. Look at Hotel For Dogs and Yours, Mine, and Ours.
Yeah, but that's talking about PG level stuff – damn, hell, an ass if they're feeling really bold. But to get a PG-13, it's gotta be closer on level to a G.D. bomb or an F bomb. I highly doubt that will be in a Nickelodeon film, especially one that aims for a wide range of age groups, from young (6+) to young adults (15-20).
Nope, it's rated PG. Confirmed on Frank Marshall's twitter.
1.Toy Story 3-$128.3 (N/A)
2.The Karate Kid-$20* (-64%)
3.The A-Team-$15.6 (-39%)
4.Killers-$7 (-13%)
5.Get Him to the Greek-$7 (-29%)
6.Shrek Forever After-$6.8 (-57%)
7.Jonah Hex-$6.5 (N/A)
8.Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time-$4 (-38%)
9.Marmaduke-$2.1 (-65%)
10.Sex and the City 2-$1.9 (-65%)
toy story 3 – 135
jonah hex – 11
toy story 158 milion, breKING THE OPENING WEEKEND RECORD, jonah hex 18 mil and showing it takes only a good movie to make money
woah woah not crossover appeal with teens ? From what I know anyone who can remember going to see the first Toy Story will be going to see how the series ends. There's a good 15 of us me included going to see Toy Story 3 when it comes out and we're all between 16 – 19, and trust me i'll be going to see it more than once.
Well, I'm late to the game and Just Myself pretty much has close to my exact predictions.
1. Toy Story 3 – $130.2M
2. The Karate Kid – $33.6M
3. The A-Team – $12.4M
4. Jonah Hex – $11M
5. Shrek Forever After – $7.2M
1. Toy Story 3
2. The Karate Kid
3. The A-Team
4. Jonah Hex
5. Get Him to the Greek
6. Shrek 4
7. Prince of Persia
8. Killers
9. Sex and the City 2
10. Cyrus
Cyrus is only in 4 theaters.
I have been fretting a little about how well Toy Story 3 will perform this weekend. We all know that Pixar films do not overwhelm with their OW totals – they are built for legs. However there are very few sequels in the Pixar line – most of their movies need to be discovered (usually with great delight) by their audiences. But this one is different…..
What I do know is that they are having *midnight* showings of TS-3 where I live. Plus there will be the 3-D tax. And Karate Kid proved that families are still interested in the theater experience. Finally there are 4000+ theaters running the movie.
I don't know if my numbers are right, but I am willing to go out on a limb here and declare Toy Story 3 the winner for the weekend.
I was going to predict Jonah Hex higher. But I have been reading some negative buzz about the marketing.
1. $130.1M Toy Story 3.
2. $30.6M Karate Kid
3. $12.0M A-Team
4. $9.8M Jonah Hex
5. $6.3M Shrek
6. $5.5M Greek
7. $3.5M Prince of Persia
8. $3.2M Killers
9. $2.4M Iron Man 2
10. $2.0M Marmaduke
On a related subject, The Wrap had an interesting article this week on why the companies responsible for predictions and tracking are doing so poorly at predicting opening weekends.
I also have SOTC at #11 with 1.9
I haven't seen theater counts yet though.
Toy Story 3- $111.5 million
Jonah Hex- 13.7 million
Just haven't seen very much advertisement/trailers for this one.
This has probably been up before, but Laremy, do you mess around with HSX at all? Figured you'd be quite good at it, and my blog is gonna try and get some of our community members to try it out. If you do, any helpful hints?
"No offense Laremy, but with all due respect, I think more teens are excited to see Toy Story 3 than any other movie this month."
I deffentially agree with this statement. Most of the people I know who are excited for this are teenagers including me. It's deffentially not going to play like your typical family movie because it skews alot older and the appeal is MUCH wider. Also your prediction for JH s WAY too high. This movie has no buzz at all and it just seems like Warner is dumping this without a care in the world.
:My Prediction:
TS3 – $130M
JH – $8M
Well seems how studios only get about 55 percent of there revenue back from films, I would say that robin hood at about 290 million should break even. The same would go for Prince of Persia. WHy do you say they are disasters? Robin Hood probaly should have cost around 80 million to make (200 million) (The wolfman 150 million!!!), but it should still make a small profit. I think killers, and even Marmaduke may break even over seas as well. Greek may still crash and burn even though it broke 40 million here. Universal is being stupid this past year. Iron Man 2 is going to make over 600 million world wide! So how are they going to make most of there profit from dvd sales? They have already made a 300 million profit in theaters alone. I agree The A-team may struggle, which is sad because its a fun movie. At least Fox and WArner Bros have an idea of how much to spend on movies (again aimed at Universal). Then there is Sony…finally got lucky with a movie. Then there is shrek, Movies do lose their appeal after time, and movie goers have been flooded with animation recently. Paramount is doing great right now ( after a so so year last year). I like this site but you have to remember that movies these days make there money over seas. Go to boxoffice mojo if you want to see fairly accurate over seas totals, and then use this site as well. Even Avatar just broke even domestically, but overseas it made over 1,700,000,000. That is all profit!!! Fox can make a hundred movies that just break even, then make a profit off dvd sales and tv rights, and they will still be fine because of AVatar! Does any one agree with any of this, or am I totally wrong?
The problem with Robin Hood is that it actually cost $200 million to make (based on reported budget estimates with some figures I've seen putting it as high as £237 in final numbers).
If it cost the rumoured $80 million additionally to promote then it's not going to break even with takings of £285 million (to date).
Similar figures apply to Prince of Persia which is why it won't make Disney anything either.
With Avatar – well it depends on what budget figure we believe. The most commonly found figure is $237 million for production (not counting promotion) however I suspect it was actually more than that. Even if it cost the highest figure I've heard ($500 Million) it's made over 5 times that so somewhere someone should be very happy!
If there's ANY movie that's gonna reach EXTREMELY MASSIVE numbers this summer, it's Toy Story 3. A lot of you are saying that Pixar films open with modest numbers and then are discovered. Yeah that's when they're NEW original films. Toy Story is a proven property. People aren't hesitant to spend their money on something classic like Toy Story.
It has unbelievably WIDE appeal.. I'm 20 and I'm seeing it 'cause I grew up on it, like many others beneath my age and above my age. It completely covers the 0-35 age range because we ALL grew up on it, OR we took our kids to it. No one's gonna be ashamed to pay a ticket for it, 'cause it's frickin TOY STORY. I really don't think people realize how important it is that it's Toy Story. Come on now. All across my Facebook and twitter, i'm seeing people of ALL ages saying how much they're pumped up for TS3. Its gonna be bigger than a lot of you think. It crosses over GENERATIONS. Toy Story is proven and guaranteed to be a solid family film… It will do marvelously .
Toys are back in town! :)
I gotta disagree with the crossover thing with teens on TS3. The teens of this age will be the largest audience the film has. Most of the youth grew up with these films and will feel the film probably more than anyone else due to the fact that they are going through the emotions going on in the film. Everyone I know at a teen age is undeniably exited for this film, so hopefully that will boost the box office numbers!
I said last Sunday that I thought this film would do about 148 million OW. I'm going to retract that statement and give this an openning of 110 million with a much bigger than expected drop-off in its sophmore weekend. I have a feeling now that this will end up being something of an underperformer, but not a dissapointment per se. No there is no scientific fact or data that I can use to prove this prediction it's just my prognostication.
Toy Story 3- $174m
Book it.
1. Toy Story 3, $125 million. I've been pondering this one all week, and I've finally decided to go higher that I'd been thinking. I think this will prove to be the singular event film of the summer. Yeah my prediction is slightly lower than Iron Man's opening weekend, but this will hold on much, much better. And yes there's a lot of hype (not to mention insanely good reviews), but I don't feel like it has a Dark Knight level feel to it. However, nothing up to around $140 million would surprise me. It will perform more like a sequel than an original Pixar film, as has been discussed above, hence I don't see it pulling off the 4X multiplier that some of their other films have had. I do see it finishing in the low $400 million range, good for the Pixar record, the animation record, quite possibly the Disney record, and the top film of the year so far. And that title will hold at least until Harry Potter and/or Tron, and it's very possible that it will outgross both those films.
2. The Karate Kid, $30.6 million. This is a tough one to predict this weekend. Normally I'd go with a more family-friendly 40% (or slightly less) drop, but Toy Story will definitely hurt it. However, it might actually reap some business back by picking up people from sold out shows of Toy Story. I put all that together and end up with a 45% drop.
3. The A-Team, $10.2 million. I'm sad to see this doing so poorly, as I absolutely loved it. It never claimed to be anything than a balls to the wall, over the top action film, and that's exactly what it was, and I thought it was immensely entertaining. But unfortunately, like most other films this summer, not many people were interested. This is a 60% drop.
4. Jonah Hex, $8.5 million. I really don't think WB even tried with this one. Most of the reviews are so awful, I almost think that once they realized they didn't have anything decent to begin with, and were opening against Toy Story, they decided "Hey, let's cut this up until it's so bad that its awfulness actually attracts attention!" It won't translate to theatrical dollars though.
5. Shrek Forever After, $6.3 million. Toy Story will brutalize it. 60% drop.
6. Get Him to the Greek, $5.4 million.
7. Killers, $4 million.
8. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time, $2.8 million.
9. Iron Man 2, $2.7 million.
10. Marmaduke, $2.4 million.
I'll be seeing Toy Story tomorrow night. There are seven prints of it in my town at two different theatres, and just one of those is in 2D. You can bet that's the one I'll seek out. I was afraid we wouldn't get it in 2D at all here, and I was prepared to drive 30 miles up the road if I had to to see it without the gimmick.
A little more on my thought above about this being the singular event film of the summer: I don't know if this, along with The Karate Kid, will jump start the box office this summer, but I'm tending to think they won't. But I think that because of the lack of interest in much else the rest of the summer, Toy Story should be able to play well all the way through July. Next week's comedies might pull out $30-35 million apiece, Eclipse will make money off its fanbase but perform below New Moon, Airbender will bomb I think, largely due to Shyamalan's (no clue if I spelled it right) name in front of it, Inception will likely not make a whole lot of noise money-wise, and maybe Angie can get a $40 million opening out of Salt, but that's essentially the end of it. The Expendables and Scott Pilgrim have geeky appeal I suppose, but I don't think they'll make money. So basically, Toy Story is it. And with the spectacular reviews, there's no reason to think it won't play well through July, especially against this lackluster of a marketplace. The more I think about it, $500 million might not be that much of a stretch. I guess we'll have a better idea after we see how it does this weekend, though the week, and with its first drop next weekend.
TS3 – 140mil
KKid- 30
A-team 14
Jonah -9
Greek – 7.5
For those who think TS3 will not appeal to teens or college kids. I am a 21 year old college student and everyone I know is pumped for this movie. We were talking about it in class last month and everyone in my class planned on seeing it. We grew up with the original two Toy Story movies and loved them.
I tried to see it at midnight but it was all sold out. And from what I could tell from the line waiting to get in to see it only teens and college kids were seeing it. This movie has the potential to be a huge. Good kids movies already perform well, but add in the fact that it appeals to all ages and you have the potential for a monster opening weekend and final gross. I think TS3 could break records this weekend.
1. Toy Story 3 – $148.2 million
2. The Karate Kid – $30.7 million
3. The A-Team – $12.98 million
4. Jonah Hex – $9.1 million
5. Shrek Forever After – $7.44 million
6. Get Him to the Greek – $6.5 million
7. Killers – $4.41 million
8. Prince of Persia – $3.81 million
9. Iron Man 2 – $2.69 million
10. Marmaduke – $2.57 million
Toy story will do very well and display the same kind of legs a Pixar movie has but I doubt it will do over $100 million on it's OW. The family audience has been pretty well served the past few weeks with shrek 4 and karate kid. I'm predicting 93 million for this one. But with strong legs this should easily coast its way to $350 million plus.
Toy Story 3 has way more crossover appeal than you're suggesting, and Jonah Hex is a BIG dud waiting to happen, Josh Brolin's not a big enough name, Megan Fox has become a BO drag, and those commercials are awful.
1. Toy Story 3: $138 Million
2. Karate Kid: $29 Million
3. The A-Team: $15 Million
4. Shrek – $7 Million
5. Jonah Hex – $6 Million
6. Get Him to the Greek – $5 Million
the rest…whatever.
I think clearing $100 million should not be hard for TS3 to manage given the general feeling of anticipation for it that has built, but I would hope that if it doesn't happen to set the biggest ever opening record that it doesn't get labelled some kind of underperformer.
Internet buzz had IM2 breaking the DK record and when it didn't it was almost as if opening to $128 was small change. If TS3 goes anywhere above triple figure opening it will be doing very, very well and if it displays traditional Pixar legs it may well end up the highest grossing Disney/Pixar film ever – unadjusted.
I'd hope that The A-Team doesn't tumble as much as 50-60% but it may well anyway.
WB doesn't seem very interested in Jonah Hex itself and if the studio isn't excited then audiences won't be. I'd think if it topped $10 million for the weekend it would be doing relatively well. Depends how much it cost to make of course.
Jonah Hex's budget is reported to be $80 million so with the times 2.5 theory, it will need $200 million to break even in cinemas, no matter how spin this Jonah Hex is going to bomb.
That is quite a bit more than I had imagined it would have been.
1. Toy Story 3….. 110.8
2. Karate Kid…… 33.4
3. Jonah Hex…….. 14.0
4. The A-Team…… 13.8
5. Shrek 4………… 8.9
6. Get Greek…….. 6.0
7. Killers………… 4.0
8. Prince of Persia… 3.0
9. Marmaduke…….. 2.6
10. Iron Man 2…… 2.2
11. Sex and City 2… 1.4
12. Robin Hood…… 1.3
1. Toy Story 3 – 134.4 million
2. The Karate Kid – 32.7 million
3. The A-Team – 13.2 million
4. Jonah Hex – 9.3 million
5. Shrek Forever After – 7.1 million