Box-Office Oracle: Jan. 9 – Jan. 11, 2009
COMMENTS
Only one logical choice this weekend... and it involves crazed brides.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Week in a Row
1. Bride Wars
I'm giving this one $6,909 per theater, the exact same amount Fool's Gold opened at. Yes, I'm aware they are completely different movies. I just think that somehow the ratio of people willing to pay to see it is the same.
Estimate: $20.7 million
2. Gran Torino
I think people are going to rally around this title, if only because it's getting 2600 theaters. Plus I hear it's an Oscar contender. Something to do with Clint.
Estimate: $14.3 million
3. The Unborn
You can't be Unborn. It's impossible. It's like unjumping. You can be "not ever born" or you can be dead. But you can't be unborn. Because the word "un" can't undo a physical act which is final upon completion (unlike a knot, which can be untied). You can be reborn, brought back to life from death. But you can't unbreathe, or unjump, or unpunch. So I can't give this one over $13.2m. But if I'm wrong I'll just unpredict it.
Estimate: $13.2 million
I hit this one up with a 42% drop this weekend, pretty kind of me. It will cross the $100m threshold worldwide this weekend. That only means it's number #10 for Sandler all time though. The guy prints money.
Estimate: $11.8 million
Marley and Me has now won two more weekends than Die Hard ever did. It's also passed Chihuahua and is gunning for 101 Dalmatians. Won't catch it though. It's still $27m back domestically… and $180m back internationally.
Estimate: $11.6 million
Curious case is sort of an cutesy understatement isn't it? I mean, the guy ages backwards. Wouldn't you call that a "monumentally interesting case?" Even back in the 40s? I think I would. So let's untitle this one and call it The Monumentally Interesting Case of Benjamin Button.
Estimate: $10.3 million
7. Valkyrie
Somehow Valkyrie is gaining 60 theaters this weekend. Did no one catch that it only made $5k per theater last weekend?
Estimate: $7.9 million
8. Yes Man
Yes Man is now among Jim Carrey's top twelve earners. Somehow I doubt it will get a clip at his Oscar obit section in 2045 though.
Estimate: $6.4 million
9. Seven Pounds
It just occurred to me that I predicted Jim Carrey would live to be 83. This could be a whole new area of projections for me, doubling my previous market share!
Estimate: $5.1 million
Many titles are vying for this tenth spot, but I will take the one about a gerbil. Or is it a mouse? Whatever the case, I reserve the right to complain about whichever title screws me over this week.
Estimate: $4.3 million
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Hope the good films take the money from bride wars, that film looks crap, but it will probably take more money that all the potential oscar films put together (minus The Dark Knight).
I'm going to have to disagree about The Unborn. I think it has a chance to open higher than Bride Wars. And I have a hard time believing that Gran Torino will be at #2. I'm thinking, #4 at the best.
i think the unborn will sneak from behind and be number 1 it looks really cool and scary to me at least
im dying to know….what movie card is that behind titanic and in front of star wars?
it hurts me to see that people arent giving benjamin button the credit it deserves. that movie was AMAZING! one of the best of the year for sure, but possibly in my top 10. just something about that movie did something special for me, maybe its the originality of the story or the amazing acting but i loved it. as for the new movies this weekend, gran torino is definitely first on my list followed by unborn, and then i will take my lady friend to see bride wars. helps alot when you work at a theatre and see movies for free!
@atl roller`: Button ain't that original. OK, so the source material was written decades before, but the "ageing-backwards" thing? Mork and Mindy's kid did that in the 70s!!
I would avoid Bride Wars like the plague, but it's absolutely based in fact – 2 previously perfectly sane women in my office have turned into terrifying Bridezillas since getting engaged over Christmas.