Box-Office Oracle: Feb. 11 – Feb. 13, 2011
Adam Sandler holds off Justin Bieber this weekend!
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| Surprisingly decent, though you can feel a Sandler backlash starting. The general public is always a few films behind though, so there's some chance he'll be punished for Grown Ups here. The strange part? The film is actually fairly funny at times, nothing so bad as the trailer would suggest. It's really odd, almost as if the marketing team was aiming for people who love "crotch hitting" comedy, as opposed to going for, you know, normal people. All I can note is that I laughed far more than I have in recent putrid films such as The Dilemma. Will that be enough to grab the crown? It should be, as this has a wider demographic reach than the Bieber film, but the group is also far less likely to impulse buy. I also think they've really butchered the Aniston empathy factor by showing off Brookln Decker's assets on every trailer. Still, just under $10k per theater and win, which brings us to … Prediction: $32.3 million | |
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That's the way I see it at least. How say you? Was I too hard on C-Tates? Do you like the Bieber nation's chances this weekend? Comment away, I'll be checking in and Brad will be back on Sunday to wrap this weekend up nice and neat.
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Just Go With It – 31.7M
Justin Bieber – 27.6M
Gnomeu and Juliet – 24.6M
The Eagle – 7.2M
The Roommate – 6.7M
1.) Just Go With It – $ 37.4 million
2.) Justin Bieber:Never Say Never – $ 24.6 million
3.) Gnomeo and Juliet – $ 13.5 million
4.) The Eagle – $ 10.75 million
5.) The King's Speech – $ 6.4 million
6.) The Roommate – $ 5.8 million
7.) No Strings Attached – $ 5.6 million
8.) Sanctum – $ 4.5 million
9.) The Green Hornet – $ 3.7 million
10.) The Mechanic – $ 3.4 million
Punished for Grown Ups? That was his third highest-grossing movie ever and had great legs last summer. General public absolutely ate it up.
It has a 5.8 out of 10 with 27k votes on IMDB, behind even Big Daddy and Chuck & Larry .
As I stated, these trends lag behind actual box office. You don't lose box office for the first bad film, you lose it down the road.
I think Bieber might take it to be honest… What about all those parents that are going to be forced to attend with their 10-14 year olds… It'll be a sad day when it happens… But I think Bieber might come in at #1.
hey this is surprising the eAGLE SUPPOSEDLY IS SAID TO BE PRETTY GOOD, POSSIBLY/PRobably tatums best work yet
Is it too idyllic to expect that Justin Bieber will bomb like that Jonas Brothers concert movie?
This isn't strictly relevant, but there's an interesting interview with Kevin Macdonald, director of The Eagle, on the Collider site, in which he talks about casting Channing Tatum.
"Eagle," does seem solid in reviews…
Just Go With It – 35 million.
Never Say Never – 27 million.
Gnomeo and Juliet – 20 million.
The Roommate – 7.8 million.
The Eagle – 7.2 million
just go with it-40 million
justin bieber-32 million
gnomeo and juliet-10 million
the eagle-7.2 million
Of course Adam Sandler will win. A lot of people love him. I gotta even admit I love Adam Sandler. But Just Go With It has gotten bad reviews like Grown Ups(which I gotta admit I enjoyed). But I hate Justin Bieber. And his new movie will be 2nd.
1. Just Go With It- $34.8 million
2. Never Say Never- $23.1 million
3.Gnomeo and Juliet- $15.2 milliom
4. The Roommate- $6.5 million
5. The Eagle- $6.2 million
Well I'm seeing Black Swan finally this weekend, so idc about biebs or sandler.
1. JUST GO WITH IT – $42.3 million
2. THE BIEBS: NEVER SAY NEVER – $30.2 million
3. GNOME MOVIE – $14 million
4. THE EAGLE – $9.1 million
5. THE ROOMMATE – $6.5 million
Seein' JUST GO WITH IT this weekend. Should be fun.
Have an excellent weekend everybody!
Just Go With It, $35.5 million. I'd love to see Sandler do more dramatic stuff instead of the same films over and over again. I think he's showed at least some genuine dramatic talent in films like Spanglish, Reign Over Me, and Funny People, and I wish he'd do more stuff like that. Of course his comedies have been good for an average of around $140 million domestic over the last several years so maybe he just wants the steady check.
Never Say Never, $31 million. Sticking with a $10,000 PTA. This may outgross Miley, but I don't know which will be more attended.
Gnomeo and Juliet, $9 million. This should get burned. I honestly don't know why Disney's even releasing this now; it's gotten almost no advertising and they're obviously more focused on Mars Needs Moms next month (rightly so, as it's a homegrown project for them and probably has a much bigger budget). I guess they're betting on Valentine's Day to help them out.
The Eagle, $8 million. And sword/sandal/medieval/etc "epics" continue their slow but sure death. Gladiator was supposedly going to revive this genre eleven years ago, but I can't think of another film like this that's been a major success, except The Lord of the Rings films, which aren't even direct comparisons.
The Roommate, $6 million.
No Strings Attached, $5.2 million. This should benefit from Just Go With It sellouts.
The King's Speech, $5 million. This should start to slip a little more now (it did last week), since I figure pretty much everyone who wants to see it and can has seen it by now, and it won't expand again except maybe after the Oscars.
Sanctum, $4.2 million.
The Green Hornet, $3.2 million.
True Grit, $2.7 million.
The upcoming slate looks so unappealing that I'll likely be taking a break from theatres for a few more weeks. The next films I'm interested in are The Adjustment Bureau and Rango in March…though I might have to see Drive Angry if I have access to a 2D print.
Troy, 300 and Clash of the Titans all made a bunch of money.
Never Say Never $22.75 million plus whatever the Valentines Day bounce is. Some people are trying to tell me there will be no Valentines bounce because Valentine's Day is monday. So I'm going with that, but I'm not so sure.
At first I bought into the Bieber hype, but as time goes on, my estimate for his film kept/keeps going down. I may be a little high.
Channing Tatum discouraging the guy crowd? I don't think so…
In my opinion, I think the Eagle will attract the female audience because of its two leads. The only setback is the theater count.
Since I just heard that Justin was the most searched person/thing in the world online (more than Boobs even) and that he's bigger than Miley and she pulled in a huge 30some million opening box office I'm going out on a limb here but-t-t-t-t-t,
1) Justin – Never say Never or whatever 35 million
2) Just go with it 33 Million
3)Gnomeo 18 million
let's see how it goes.
Justin has had a good result for his tour, but his average ticket price was less than for Miley's Wonderworld tour. You have to remember that the Hannah Montana/Meet Miley Best of Both Worlds tour was the most popular tour of it's year, based on demand as expressed in the resale price of tickets. More in demand than everyone and anyone. Justin has had nothing like that.
Justin scored higher in search on google than Miley, but Miley scored number one of any person alive on Yahoo! There is no data combining searches for Bing, Google, Yahoo!, etc.
The Hollywood Reporter is saying that Justin took in about $2 million from the $30 dollar 100,000 seat preview. It hasn't been confirmed, but either The Hollywood Reporter is wrong, or Justin didn't sell out his preview.
And I believe that male teen idols are at a disadvantage for their concert films, because parents can get uncomfortable with their young girls having pretend boyfriend feelings for someone. Miley not only didn't have that problem, she was able to satisfy some of those feelings below the radar by having The Jonas Brothers as her opening act. It was truly the best of both worlds.
We'll see.
Given the alledged 3D Backlash, Just Go With It will win the weekend.
In the UK it isn't Sandler vs Bieber, Think more Adam Sandler vs Jeff Bridges, Rom-Com vs Western, Just Go With It vs True Grit.
Just Go With It will beat True Grit in the UK because of the consistant draw of Adam Sandler.
1. Justin Bieber – $34.8 million
2. Just Go With It – $32.8 million
3. Gnomeo & Juliet – $17.94 million
4. The Eagle – $16.4 million
5. The Roommate – $7.13 million
6. The King's Speech – $6.08 million
7. No Strings Attached – $5.61 million
8. Sanctum – $4.73 million
9. The Green Hornet – $3.21 million
10. True Grit – $2.9 million
Just Go With It: 32mil
Justin Beiber NSN: 27mil
Gnomeo and Juliet: 12mil
The Eagle: 10.5mil
Sandler will beat Bieber because there's already beeen backlash about Bieber.