Box-Office Oracle: Dec. 19 – Dec. 21, 2008
COMMENTS
Taking a chance on Will Smith over Jim Carrey...
#1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks in a Row
1. Seven Pounds
What the hell. Let's go with Will Smith, even though he's got 700 less theaters and isn't a comedy. I've heard Liar Liar Yes Man isn't nearly as bad as it looks, but that might not help quickly enough to knock off The Fresh Prince.
Estimate: $26.8 million
2. Yes Man
It's Liar Liar 2. But the original made $13k per theater… so I can't knock this one lower than $7500 per.
Estimate: $25.7 million
If only this had more marketing dollars behind it. They coulda won this thing! It was ripe for the picking. But it looks like Universal got outspent by Sony and Warner Bros. this weekend.
Estimate: $15.2 million
To all you folks who saw it, which was more disappointing: the fact that it could have been good… or the fact that it WAS bad? Questions like that keep me up.
Estimate: $14.3 million
The budget was $80m and it's made $107m. That's not enough. It needs to make more. But where? Argentina might help. It's released there this weekend.
Estimate: $9.1 million
6. Bolt
This will pass Chihuahua this weekend to crack the top five PG films of 2008. It could also catch Journey to the Center of the Earth at the #4 slot. But that's where the good times end as it will never catch up to Prince Caspian, Madagascar 2, or Kung Fu Panda.
Estimate: $5.3 million
It cracks double digits this weekend! Yeah, they're gonna need that Oscar nom pretty soon to bank.
Estimate: $4.9 million
8. Twilight
You still out there Twilight fans? Or have we broken your spirit already?
Estimate: $3.9 million
10. Australia
I didn't want to include it. But Nothing Like the Holidays will mostly likely drop off the face of the Earth this weekend. Which makes Hugh J. the lucky winner!
Estimate: $2.2 million
Links from Other Sites You May Like
Showing 7 Comments
~ PLEASE NOTE ~
If, in any way, your comment is an attack on the author of this post or a previous commenter, your comment will be deleted without question.
Add a New Comment |
DON'T WANT YOUR COMMENT DELETED?
Click to Read Our Commenting Rules & Guidelines
Click to Read Our Commenting Rules & Guidelines
Want an avatar for your comments? Click here to sign up with Gravatar.
It's going to be really close for the number one spot, that's for sure. And Despereaux has had plenty of advertising, I've seen it everywhere since Comic-con, but it just doesn't look that good. It'll get decent business from the family market, but not much since Bolt and Madagascar are still out.
And I'm glad to see Slumdog Millionaire and Milk expanding. I mean, I can drive out to Hollywood to catch the limited run movies, but it's kind of a pain.
I am sorry, but I would put money down that Yes Man is going to gross more than Seven Pounds. I'd say about 10 million more at least. Seven Pounds looks very good and I want to see it, but the marketing hasn't been good and I know others have noticed it. Is it a drama? A dramedy? Part thriller? Can anyone really say what the movie is about after having watched the trailer? Not really. Yes Man will be #1. I guarantee it.
I really think Yes, Man will take the number one spot. All the will Smith fans I know were confused enough by the trailer to say they wanna stay away, while many have told me they want to see yes man. I think Yes Man will cash in on the fact that Jim Carrey films are more rare than Will Smith, and the fact that Seven Pounds looks straight up bad (in my opinion).
I also have to go with Yes Man for winning the weekend, especially since altho Seven pounds is probly very good I think Yes Man reaches a wider audiance, more teens and friday night movie goes and such.
I think it is interesting a couple of you bring up how the trailers for Seven Pounds look confusing… Personally I think they give away the entire movie and really hurt it. Then again, I'm speaking as someone who has seen it and skipped the trailers beforehand so maybe I am wrong.
Tracking for the two films gives Yes Man a slight edge, which tells me without the extra theaters Seven Pounds would have a slight lead. Could be close.
The only reason why it's gonna be close is because of Will Smith. As much as I think Yes Man will beat it at a photo-finish weekend, I really don't want to see Will Smith's #1 streak end.
Brad: Even from the other side of the world I'm seein' the need for laughs over tears in theaters this weekend. I'm with the team that says "Yes Man" will finish first, by a healthly margin (8-10 million, give or take one).
If I'm right about this one, you're gonna have to give me credit on my inside info regarding the (prenominations!) call for the Oscar races and adjust your Contenders files accordingly.
(What can I say? When you're hot, you're hot).