Box-Office Oracle: Apr. 2 – Apr. 4, 2010
Clash of the Titans will be banking this weekend...
Spring break! I'm predicting a very big weekend, something nearing $187m for the top twelve titles. Three well placed releases, two targeting specific demographics, and one strong holdover give the top four films strength. Should be interesting, and if I miss it's going to be by a large margin at the top. But nothing risked, nothing gained.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 4 Weeks In A Row
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| Correction: Adjusted for inflation, this one cumed $100 million dollars back in 1981, so yes, I'm far more bullish here. I'm not sure why it's getting a critical lashing, it's a fun little film, and the 3-D dollars will help the bottom line quite a bit. On that subject, I will say that you'd be better off paying the lesser amount for a 2-D screening, the post-production 3-D employed here is largely underwhelming. This film should do well among a cross section of males, with a smidge of date night dollars sprinkled in for good measure. Prediction: $83.09 million |
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They brought in a new team in the summer of 2008 to try and "fix" the entire film. I think the effort paid off, artistically, but things aren't looking so great financially.
Prediction: $26.24 million
It will do a little worse than the first version, per theater. But better overall, due to theater counts. Question for the group: Will Tyler Perry fatigue set in any time soon?
Prediction: $21.55 million
It had a $5m opening Wednesday, a significant result. I look for the teen girl demographic to support this in a big way.
Prediction: $21.38 million
A massive drop from four to five, and then another one later on in the countdown. It's a weekend of cliffs.
Prediction: $8.81 million
The budget was only $36m, but this didn't do very well opening weekend. Right now they are well short of a profit.
Prediction: $7.76 million
Bounty Hunter is a little better off than Hot Tub Time Machine, but it's still looking like a tax write-off.
Prediction: $7.47 million
Anyone else around here looking forward to projecting summer movies? Bring on the big totals.
Prediction: $4.85 million
Same story as many of the titles on the board. Depending on the studio/theater split, it still has a lot of work to do… and seemingly no momentum or time to do it.
Prediction: $1.95 million
Massacred. $12m in box office on a $32m budget. They better hope they sell a ton of Repo Men lunch boxes.
Prediction: $1.64 million
How say you? Predictions on Clash of the Titans were all over the place last Sunday, are we more focused now? Any thoughts on Miley Cyrus or Tyler Perry? Weigh in now, as always your input is valued and considered.
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Clash of the Titans will dominate this weekend, but it will fall big next weekend. $82M opening.
No, people will always enjoy Tyler Perry movies. $22M opening.
The critics for The Last Song have been awfull. Still, that $5M is a good sign for the weekend. $17.2M opening.
Next Week: Clash of the Titans – 68% drop / Date Night – $33M opening
I guess that's Fast and Furious' April release record out of the window then.
Alice in Wonderland already broke the Spring release record.
I don't see Titans breaking the Spring release record due to 3D competition being hot. Alice in Wonderland benifited from a far less competitive enviroment from a 3D point of view.
1.Clash of the Titans-$55.7 (N/A)
2.How to Train Your Dragon-$25* (-42%)
3.The Last Song-$17.3 (N/A)
4.Why Did I Get Married Too?-$10.1 (N/A)
5.Hot Tub Time Machine-$10 (-26%)
6.Alice in Wonderland-$9.9 (-43%)
7.Diary of a Wimpy Kid-$8.8 (-18%)
8.The Bounty Hunter-$7.1 (-43%)
9.She's Out of My League-$2.1 (-40%)
10.Shutter Island-$1.9 (-39%)
"Anyone else around here looking forward to projecting summer movies? Bring on the big totals."
I sure am. I'll post some updated ones right after I predict this weekend.
1. CLASH OF THE TITANS – $89.2 million
2. HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON – $27.4 million
3. WHY DID I GET MARRIED TOO? – $26.8 million
4. THE LAST SONG – $22.8 million
5. ALICE IN WONDERLAND – $7.5 million
As for the upcoming summer weeks… (New Summer, by the way, started on March 5. Real Summer officially starts on May 7 though)
-April 9-
DATE NIGHT – $48 million
-April 16-
KICKIN' ASS – $35 million
DEATH AT THE MOVIES… i mean, umm.. DEATH AT A FUNERAL – $31 million (if it's a PG-13, that is)
-April 23-
THE LOSERS – $34 million
BACK-UP PLAN – $23 million
-April 30-
NIGHTMARE ON ELM STREET – $51 million
-May 7-
BEHOLD, THE IRON MAN COMETH- $157 million
-May 14-
ROBIN HOOD – $72 million
-May 21-
SHREK FINALLY GOES FAR, FAR, AWAY – $102 million
-May 28-
SEX AND THE CITY 2 – $69 million
PRINCE OF PERSIA – $65 million
That's how far I'll go for now, unless anyone would like to ask what another summer movie might do.
As for the weekend.. I'll probably see CLASH OF THE TITANS. Looks like dumb fun. And hopefully catch DRAGON. It'll be a fantastical weekend.
I'm actually really happy, because starting tonight (at the 8pm early showing), I finally have a reason to go to the movies again for weeks in a row. April has something intriguing every weekend and it goes on well into the summer.
Awesome!
Everyone have a spectacular Easter weekend!
^_^
I agree with your projections more or less. Kick-Ass seems like a bit of a wild card to me; Death at a Funeral has been heavily marketed (I've seen more trailers for it than any other spring film) and I think it could beat Kick-Ass's opening weekend. I can't think of any films in the last two years that have had a legitimate chance to topple The Dark Knight, but Iron Man looks to be the first of a few this year. And it may well get there. I'd go a little higher on Shrek (another wild card) and much lower on Robin Hood. Russell Crowe isn't a box office draw on his own, and neither are period action epics anymore it seems. I'd be shocked if it went anywhere over $50 million. Which means it doesn't unseat Iron Man unless Iron Man either fails to get to that $150 million level on opening weekend, or takes Spider-Man 3's bone-crunching 70% second weekend plunge. And Memorial Day will again be interesting this year. Last year the family dollar beat the action dollar. This year it's the female dollar (and a likely R rating) against the action dollar, but a younger-skewing one. I'm tempted to go with Prince of Persia to take the weekend, but never underestimate the ladies! Unless the Thursday opening takes some wind out of the weekend.
What do you think Inception will make? Wildest card of the summer for sure
Iron Man II and Toy Story 3 can both knock the heck out of Batman. For right now, I'm gonna say both definitely will, with TS3 winning over everyone.
Yeah dude, Robin Hood and KickAss are such wild cards. As far as I know, anyone (geek or not) I know who has seen KickAss trailer thinks the premise is just… well… kickass. It's a relatable one to all guys if course and I haven't heard one bad reaction amongst the people I know to the trailer so… And tons of people LOVE Gladiator. Like "favorite movie" love, so I think it can pull those numbers if it's promoted right.
As for INCEPTION… wild card for sure, but for now, I believe Nolan's name and the mystery marketing is going to sell it, along with that knockout cast, so… Early prediction? $140 million for opening weekend.
Inception is certainly a wild card but I think a lot of the film's success will be based on WOM. My prediction is that it will have a $60-70 million opening weekend but the mystery and assuming Nolan reaches him high standard of quality with this film I'd say a $380-400 million overall domestic total.
$140 million? Whoa, I wouldn't go that far. It's Nolan, yes, but it's also trailers that don't explain sh!t, strange premise and the overall sense of real weirdness around the film. I'd say $80 million opening and $260 million total, for now.
I think Date Night will tank and Kick-Ass will open above $40m. And that SATC 2 number definitely follows sequel trends, but still feels a little bullish. The rest of your numbers are very solid. :)
@John Debono: I'll have to wait until we're later in the summer to make a final determination, but here's the thing… Here's my mindset on it right now: It's Christopher Nolan. He's the co-writer/director of the 3rd biggest movie in the world. People know his name. DARK KNIGHT is already quite beloved and respected. If the regular mainstream moviegoer sees a commercial that says "From the director of THE DARK KNIGHT", they'll keep their eyes open and know that it's a big deal. It's basically a certification that it will be another phenomenon of a film and that they probably shouldn't miss it, whether they think they'll understand it or not. Just like when the next movie by James Cameron comes out, when anyone sees "From the director of AVATAR" stamped on the commercial, they know that means it's gonna be something potentially revolutionary (like A was, in a sense) and definitely worth checking out, when it comes out. So I'm gonna go ahead and say it can top $140 million.
@Laremy: Thankfully these are early prediction numbers, but I probably won't be changing them TOO far off from what you see here when the according weekend arrives.
Question: Why do you think DATE NIGHT is gonna tank? No way.
1. It's standing alone on Friday, with no direct competition. It's spring break for a lot of teenagers too next week, by the way.
2. Most every race, age and both genders finds Steve Carell hilarious or at the very least, quite likable. I know of no one in my life that dislikes him (not that no one doesn't like him, but as far as I know, a LOTTTTT of people love him), and his movies, as long as they look widely appealing (as this one does) crack about $35-40 million, no sweat. Also, a lot of guys think Tina Fey is hilarious (which is attractive, and REFRESHING) and hot. She basically opened BABY MAMA by herself.
3. It's called Date Night. As cheesy or blind as this sounds, it's perfect for a date night. People rarely go to the movies alone. Even the people who go to the movies and choose on the spot, will see "Date Night" on the marquee and that'll be the first one they ask about and ask "who's in that?" and when the cashier says "Steve Carell", the man will immediately go "aw man, that dude is FUNNY!", and if they keep going, the girl will hear "James Franco, Leighton Meester, Mark Wahlberg, Mila Kunis", at least one of those appealing to the common female. ranging from the ditziest to the smartest (no offense at all to girls). I'd say they've got the cast locked down. It's the movie young teens will go to just to hang out in, even if they're typing on their cell most of the time.
4. It's a PG-13 comedy. It's open to anyone. Parents rarely read ratings anymore, and if it's Steve Carell (kids LOOOOVE him) and it's not R, then the kids can come too. The premise is simple and open for crazy improvised funny humor. I'd say they've got that locked down too.
5. EVERY time I've seen the trailer in a lot of movies I go to, people LAUGH. It's like a guarantee. Genuinely crack-up laugh, and a round of "That's gonna be GOOD!".
Now tell me why you think it'll bomb. Haha.
:)
I would totally be with Laremy on this one except it will be the only wide release. Since I've been watching the box office (<1year), no film that had the weekend to itself has made less than $30 million. Will Date Night be a new experience?
This Is It made less than $30 million, though it was released on Wednesday.
well, I appreciate the optimism.
If this beats "Fast & Furious" for the biggest April opening, I'll be a bit surprised. I think it'll top out at $67 million for the three-day, but it could be very close.
"Why Did I get Married" is the biggest non-Madea Tyler Perry film (and IMO his best film…which says a lot about how shitty his movies are). The sequel could come close to the original's opening.
"The Last Song" probably won't do a ridiculous amount of money, but $22 million for the three-day (and $30 million for the 5 day) sounds about right.
"Right now they well short of a profit."
Is speaking ghetto required to write for this site? Sheesh.
Yo dawg, y b hatin?
Seriously, only two things are certain in this world, death and typos.
Sorry J.P., typo fixed. Though I don't think it required a "sheesh" — I too am human.
Best,
Laremy
Are you sure about that '81 Clash of the Titans number? It came out the same weekend as Raiders of the Lost Ark, which (according to Box Office Mojo) won the box office with $8.3 million. So if Clash opened to <8.3 M, prices would have had to increase more than 10x as much for its inflated gross to be anywhere near $100 M.
Yeah, that was an error on my part. BOM doesn't have weekly data for 1981 and accidentally transposed the thought. I saw $41m and thought that was the opening.
1. Clash of the Titans…..54.8
2. The Very Last Song……31.5
3. How to Train Dragons….28.0
4. Why Did I Get Married…19.0
5. Alice in Wonderland…..9.6
6. The Bounty Huntress…..7.3
7. Hot Tub Time Machine….6.8
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid….5.4
9. Shutter Island, yo……2.1
10. She's Outta My League..2.1
11. Our Family Wedding…..1.0
12. Green Zone & Damon…..1.0
YES!!! Someone who agrees w/me! We may not be right on COOT, but at least you see my reasoning!
Your number definitely gives me pause. 3-D backlash? Reviews? Lack of interest in the product? Lay your theory on me, because the marketing is there.
Only just saw this now. My reasoning way back on Thursday was primarily lack of interest in the product. Also, 3D apathy (not as bad as backlash, but still middleground). I think 3D will only draw in extra people for some movies, and I think the advertising for this movie's 3D was lackluster, although the ads for the movie were good.
A little late, but still valid perhaps because we were proven almost correct (59, right?)
Tyler Perry films will continue to get support because, with very few other african american films being made, he should be able to keep getting buzzworthy name actors for his projects, like Janet Jackson.
Julie Anne Robinson, the director on The Last Song, did a great job in what I consider to be a director's number one job. Making your cast look good. And I apologise to everyone for saying I liked New Moon, and Dear John. The Last Song made Dear John look cartoonish, and I liked Dear John better than New Moon. So what does that say?
That "New Moon" is horribl(y amazing)? That's what you meant, right?
I mean if you are going to make a drama like New Moon, movies that have better character development instead of just plot elements, will seem better by contrast. New Moon wasn't bad, it just suffers by comparison.
New Moon had lots of good elements (I loved the first scene) but it just kept on frigging going for over 2 hours! That kind of ruined the good moments for me.
I hate to burst your bubble, but 'New Moon' was a disappointing mope-fest.
Just looking to my local AMC 30, they did take many 3D screens away from Dragon, but still showing on many other non-3D screens. So lets say $62M on Titans and $30 on Dragon.
1. Clash of the Titans – $72.4 million
2. How to Train Your Dragon – $28.5 million
3. Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too? – $21.2 million
4. The Last Song – $16.6 million
5. Alice in Wonderland – $11.1 million
6. Hot Tub Time Machine – $9.5 million
7. The Bounty Hunter – $7.0 million
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid – $6.4 million
9. Shutter Island – $1.9 million
10. She's Out of My League – $1.75 million
As far as summer movies go…
Iron Man 2 – $167 million
Robin Hood – $56 million
Shrek 4 – $97 million
Prince – $71 million
Sex and the City 2 – $67 million
Marmaduke – $40 million
The A-Team – $43 million
Karate Kid – $37 million
Jonah Hex – $52 million
Toy Story 3 – $154 million
Grown Ups – $42 million
Knight & Day – $50 million
Last Airbender – $70 million
Eclipse – $101 million
Predators – $30 million
Despicable Me – $45 million
Inception – $81 million
Sorcerer's Apprentice – $29 million
Salt – $48 million
Adjustment Bureau – $38 million
The Other Guys – $35 million
Scott Pilgrim – $32 million
Expendables – $39 million
Of course, those are just early predicts, just for the fun of it. But I think many of them will happen to be close to the actual results.
The Adjustment Bureau. REALLY?
Pretty likely, I'd say. But that's certainly a wild card. It could flop, it could succeed, but $45 million would be the most optimistic prediction.
Salt is my most anticipated movie of the year that hasn't been released yet (Alice was another). Angelina hasn't made a highly anticipated action movie for a long time, so people will be really hungry for this one. Wanted looked dumb so I skipped it, and don't even bring up Beowulf. That means I've been waiting five years for her to make a film like this. I think it will easily break $200 million, which means a bigger opening.
Seeing as New Moon made about $142M in its first weekend, I say Eclipse will make about $145M in its first weekend (excluding Wednesday and Thursday of its first week).
What did you think of Alice, mfan? I didn't care for it so much, but that's probably because I had no real expectation for the film to live up to, so it was just "meh".
Alex, I know that "Twilight" films are huge wild cards, but "New Moon" was a bonafide phenomenon, bolstered by the huge (surprise?) success of the first film. "New Moon" had NO competition & just about a year of hype. "Eclipse" is coming from a somewhat-lukewarm reception of the previous film, it's opening in a far more competitive environment, it's opening on a Wed (which'll dilute the weekend numbers), plus the film is opening not even 8 months since the last movie (movies opening less than a year from the previous film rarely do as well).
Myself, I don't think it'll break $250 million. It'll have a huge 5 days (somewhere in the $140-150 million range) and it'll absolutely crash right after.
I thought Alice was fun to watch and definitely worth the price of admission. But not too much of it really sticks in your head. Even the muchness remark I liked hasn't been on my mind, so I won't be saying to people, "remember in Alice in Wonderland when….". A likable popcorn movie that tries a little to hard to be deep. I could make that a rabbit hole allusion. I guess I like the original source material and appreciated a new, well executed take on it.
Twilight's popularity is starting to look like it has plauteaued instead of continuing to build. That takes away some of the exitement of a sequel.
Disagree about Salt. I see $55 million opening at the very best. 45-55 (see Lara Croft, Wanted and Mr.&Mrs. Smith) is the most likely gross.
And Eclipse won't make $145 million 'cause it's being released on Wednesday. I can't see it making more than $105 million.
Summer Movies Openings
Iron Man 2 – $136 million
Robin Hood – $35 million
Shrek 4 – $93 million
Prince of Persia – $62 million
Sex and the City 2 – $54 million
Marmaduke – $31 million
The A-Team – $51 million
Karate Kid – $28 million
Jonah Hex – $35 million
Toy Story 3 – $89 million
Grown Ups – $39 million
Knight & Day – $61 million
Last Airbender – $42 million
Eclipse – $72 million (5-day total $171M)
Predators – $32 million
Despicable Me – $26 million
Inception – $79 million
Sorcerer's Apprentice – $35 million
Salt – $52 million
Adjustment Bureau – $25 million
Cats & Dogs 2 – $33 million
The Other Guys – $36 million
Scott Pilgrim – $29 million
Expendables – $25 million
Cut down Inception and Marmaduke and it's all ok.
Honestly, Clash is a film you shouldn't take so seriously, I watched it and enjoyed it, it's a B for me.,
Oh man, Laremy and I got the numbers so close!
The original "Clash of the Titans" didn't open at around U$100M, its domestic cume was around U$100M.
:My Predictions For The Weekend:
1.Clash – $58M
2.Dragon – $28M
3.WDIGM2 – $25M
4.TLS – $15M
5.AIW – $10M
I know my number looks really low for Clash, but I'm not buying into these $70-$80M predictions. I don't care how much buzz this movie has online it's still not a brand name or a franchise now matter how many people want to compare it or think it's going to be the next 300. There was something alot more unique about 300 and no doubt it was the crazy stylized visuals combined with the hardcore action that drew people in. Clash is missing alot of what made 300 so appealing, but it will deffentially bank this weekend especially with Friday being a holiday for most people here in the U.S.
Should be a big weekend (maybe even $200 million for the top 12?). Clash of the Titans will obviously win, albeit with a huge range of possible numbers (nothing between $60 and $120 million would shock me, though I expect it to be on the mid-to-lower end of that range). What I thought could be a very interesting three-horse race for No. 2 should end up just being a two-horse race, because Tyler Perry just doesn't have the theatres to compete. I think there's a decent range of possible numbers for The Last Song and it could very well grab No. 2 from Dragon, especially if Dragon doesn't have the great hold that most people are expecting (the expectation seems to be around a 33% drop, which is very, very good). I'm seeing Clash of the Titans tomorrow, in 2D. Hopefully that doesn't mean a small screen. All the 3D projectors taking over the biggest screens is beginning to annoy me.
1. Clash of the Titans, $90 million. I took 300's PTA, pushed a little higher due to the lower rating and 3D prices, but not too high due to the lack of a fanboy effect, and ended up close to the middle of the range I mentioned above, so I figured I'd just put it in the exact middle and call it a day. That's my rationale. I'm not very confident in it, but hey, that's where the fun is right?
2. How to Train Your Dragon, $29.2 million. I'm giving it the above mentioned 33% drop in PTA, which I think is reasonable given the crazy good reviews and holiday weekend. Some parts of the country won't have school on Good Friday, which will help the family films out there.
3. The Last Song, $27.7 million. This is Hannah Montana's PTA. The Wednesday opening will draw away some of the weekend audience, but I think this can skew a bit older than Hannah Montana did. This is a wild card in my mind, granted with much smaller potential range than Clash of the Titans. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see it jump up and grab second place.
4. Why Did I Get Married Too?, $22.9 million. Tyler Perry's non-Madea films don't do quite as well, and this has been marketed as both comedy and drama. In lieu of any other ideas, I went with the same PTA as the first Why Did I Get Married?
5. Alice in Wonderland, $10 million. I believe it fell 45% its first two weekends, then 50% last weekend when it lost most of the 3D screens. I'm guessing it goes back to a 45% drop and I'm giving it a little boost on top of that figuring it can pick up some extra business from sellouts of the top three.
6. The Bounty Hunter, $7 million. This is still gaining theatres (it's No. 3 on the board this weekend behind Dragon and Clash). If it hits this number it'll have two sub-50% falls despite horrid reviews. I may have to see catch this on DVD at some point just to see what people apparently like about it.
6. Hot Tub Time Machine, $7 million. Standard 50% fall. Will this be able to hang on at all, or will it just vanish along with its buzz?
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid, $5 million. I'm dropping this 50% after a 54% fall last weekend.
9. Shutter Island, $2.2 million. Probably the last week on the board for what I consider to be the best film of 2010 so far. Granted, it doesn't have much competition.
10. She's Out of My League, $2.1 million. A good little film that never struck a chord. Shame.
What's messing with my head about The Last Song, is the wednesday opening. So far, it's been Nicholas Sparks fans at the theaters with a smattering of girls who look college age. It's wednesday PTA is the exact PTA I anticipated from the Nicholas Sparks brigade, but will that be diluted, or will the Nicholas Sparks fans continue with $2,000 PTA throughout the weekend? How many parents will think the subject matter is too advanced for their Hannah loving kids? Will that be offset by teenagers who like Miley, but thought they were too old for Hannah Montana? I agree that nothing between a $13 and $48 million weekend (if everything broke just right) would surprise me, and it's giving me heartburn.
1. Clash of the Titans (2010)–$78.5mil. Maybe I'm a bit bullish, or maybe I'm underestimating. Personally, I don't see it doing $116mil like "Alice" because: a) 3D competition is stiffer, with "How to Train" and "Alice" still on 3D screens (in fact, many theaters in Charlotte are giving their 3D screens to the latter two and putting "Clash" on 2D screens). b) It doesn't skewer as large an audience as "Alice" (which appealed to young kids and also adults that aren't into action films). But I can't see "Clash" doing less than $60mil.
2. How to Train Your Dragon–$31.0mil. Don't start worrying about its budget until this weekend is over. I have a feeling it'll have strong holds like "Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs." Hell, with the Easter weekend, this movie might even fall in the 20's or teens. But I put it at -29% to be safe.
3. Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too–$21.7mil. It's a Tyler Perry movie that doesn't center around Madea. That means $20mil OW.
4. The Last Song–$12.1mil. Um, I think you all are being bullish on this movie. It made $5.125mil on Wednesday. Its second-day drop is going to be around -57%. Why? Because that's how much "Alvin" and "9" and TF2 dropped on Wednesday. But, you say, since this is spring, the number should be different, right? Lower? Well, that's when I factor in the fact that the Hannah Montana movie had a MASSIVE second-day drop. So I think -57% might even be optimistic. From there, I figure: how much of the 5-day weekend gross will be the actual 3-day weekend gross? Well, during holidays and summer, normally about 55-60% of the 5-day gross is the 3-day weekend. But "9," released in September, had 70% of its 5-day gross during its 3-day weekend. So I think I'll put "The Last Song" at around 65%, because it has some spring break power to boost its weekdays. Hence my final number. If you're right, you can gloat all you want. But if I'm right, I will rub it in your face. :D
5. Alice in Wonderland (2010)–$10.8mil. I would say a -30% drop for Easter weekend, but "Clash of the Titans" will take some of its business as a tentpole release.
6. Hot Tub Time Machine–$9.1mil. I have a feeling it'll hold pretty well. Not as well as "I Love You, Man," but I think it could do -35%.
7. The Bounty Hunter–$7.9mil.
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid–$7.1mil. It'll do a lot better this weekend because it won't have a film opening directly into its demographic like "How to Train" did last weekend, and also it's Easter.
9. She's Out of My League–$2.1mil. I know, both this movie and "Green Zone" are losing a shit ton of theaters, but I think they'll maintain their PTA's, at least enough so that their percentage drops aren't absolute massacres.
10. Green Zone–$1.4mil.
Just a heads up on The Last Song. So far zero Hannah Montana fans have seen it, and no teenagers. They will have friday off of school. It's been mainly Nicholas Sparks fans, and older peeople who may have seen it mentioned on talk shows, so far.
1) CLASH OF TITANS- 76.5 mil
-With 3D screens it just bank a little more than 300 but with no franchise and a subject that will not connect with audiences as well. But still expect a high opening.
2) HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON- 25.6 mil
- I may be too low on this (which I hope I am) but I am following this movie in the same steps as Horton Hears a Who! But with IMAX 3D still vacant and some 3D shows it cud be a tad higher especially with good friday.
3) WHY DID I GET MARRIED TOO?- 19.7 mil
-A little lower than the first. This looks kinda dark
4) THE LAST SONG- 17.7mil
- Good Wednesday opening. Solid 25 mil 5 day?
5) ALICE IN WONDERLAND- 10.6 mil
Two thoughts: my prediction Sunday that Clash would struggle to do $45-50m was too low, I can see it doing $60m or more.
And Repo Men has no chance to stay in the top ten because it's losing 65% of its screens. To do the numbers Laremy predicts would require the PTA to go up and I just don't see it happening. Green Zone will likely take the 10 spot as others have predicted.