Filed under: Kudos to You

Oscar Predictions: Take Three, All Top Eight Categories

'Revolutionary Road,' 'Reader,' 'Button' and 'Doubt' have been seen...

BEST PICTURE
RANK NOMINEE LAST
WEEK
UP/DOWN
1 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button 1 n/c
2 Slumdog Millionaire 3
3 Revolutionary Road 2
4 Milk 4
5 The Dark Knight 5 n/c
BUBBLE LINE
6 Doubt 6 n/c
7 The Wrestler 7 n/c
8 The Reader 8 n/c
9 Gran Torino 9 n/c
10 Rachel Getting Married 10 n/c
BEST ACTOR
RANK NOMINEE LAST
WEEK
UP/DOWN
1 Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler) 1 n/c
2 Sean Penn (Milk) 2 n/c
3 Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road) 5
4 Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino) 4 n/c
5 Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon) 3
BUBBLE LINE
6 Richard Jenkins (The Visitor) 6 n/c
7 Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) 7 n/c
8 Benicio Del Toro (Che) 9
9 Dustin Hoffman (Lance Chance Harvey) 10
10 Will Smith (Seven Pounds) NR
BEST ACTRESS
RANK NOMINEE LAST
WEEK
UP/DOWN
1 Cate Blanchett (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) 1 n/c
2 Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married) 3 n/c
3 Meryl Streep (Doubt) 4 n/c
4 Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road) 2
5 Kristin Scott Thomas (I've Loved You So Long) 5 n/c
BUBBLE LINE
6 Melissa Leo (Frozen River) NR
7 Angelina Jolie (Changeling) 6
8 Sally Hawkins (Happy-Go-Lucky) 7
9 Michelle Williams (Wendy and Lucy) 8
10 Kate Beckinsale (Nothing but the Truth) 9
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
RANK NOMINEE LAST
WEEK
UP/DOWN
1 Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight) 1 n/c
2 Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road) 3
3 Josh Brolin (Milk) 2
4 Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt) 4 n/c
5 Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire) 5 n/c
BUBBLE LINE
6 Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder) 6 n/c
7 Bill Irwin (Rachel Getting Married) 7 n/c
8 Eddie Marson (Happy-Go-Lucky) 8 n/c
9 Liev Schrieber (Defiance) 9 n/c
10 Emile Hirsch (Milk) 10 n/c
PAGE: 1 2 3

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Post #1
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So after seeing "Revolutionary Road", "The Reader", and "Doubt", which movie do you personally like the most?

- Jerzey Jon
( December 4th, 2008 | 8:44 pm )
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Post #2
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Lets talk about the charts now.

Best Picture- No surprise there, that's how I would of predicted it.

Best Actor- Leo over Eastwood? Really? I would of flip floped them and made Eastwood 3rd and Leo 4th, but almost no difference.

Best Actress-I've flip-flop your #1 Blanchett with your #3 Streep, and leave Hathaway at #2.

And those are pretty much the only categories that matter to me.

Btw, Great job on another great article, Double B.

- Jerzey Jon
( December 4th, 2008 | 9:52 pm )
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Post #3
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@Jerzey Jon: I would probably say Doubt, Revolutionary Road and The Reader, but they are all very close. As for Leo over Eastwood, just wait till you see Rev Road, Leo is phenomenal… I still haven't seen Torino yet so who knows. As for Actress, I am basing that purely on buzz for right now. Streep is fantastic in Doubt and it wouldn't surprise me having her win, but I do think Hathaway is likely to remain my number 2 throughout, close but no cigar style.

- Brad Brevet (Post Author)
( December 4th, 2008 | 10:05 pm )
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Post #4
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Hey, Brad. I was just wondering, what do you think is the most "up in the air" category? I think it's Best Actress.

- Dylan C.
( December 4th, 2008 | 10:17 pm )
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Post #5
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@Dylan C.: I would definitely agree with that, primarily because there isn't anyone that stands out above the rest as much as there are simply a lot of good performances.

- Brad Brevet (Post Author)
( December 4th, 2008 | 10:26 pm )
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Post #6
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I do not believe in the possible nominations for Blanchett, Jolie and suddenly Meryl Streep. I'd like some prizes for Sally Hawkins, By so difficult and courageous performance. But Good for Anne Hathaway.

- Sofía
( December 4th, 2008 | 10:34 pm )
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Post #7
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As much as I want these Oscars to be dominated by Benjamin Button, I think there won't be any dominant film.

- adu
( December 4th, 2008 | 10:47 pm )
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Post #8
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This is a tad off subject, but I believe you said in your 2nd update of THE CHARTS that you would have your interview up with Darren Aronofsky this week. Do you know when you are going to post that? He is my favorite director and I have been anxiously awaiting for you to put that up ever since you announced it! Great job with keeping us updated with everything Oscar related and I can't wait to read your interview!

- ButchTheBoxer
( December 5th, 2008 | 12:57 am )
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Post #9
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@ButchTheBoxer: Yeah, it's going to be online either Monday or Tuesday. I decided to hold it for the week of release.

- Brad Brevet (Post Author)
( December 5th, 2008 | 3:22 am )
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Post #10
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Brad, do you really think that "Valkyrie" is a possible Oscar Contender, other than for technical awards (Cinematography, Makeup, Sound-Effects Editing). Don't get me wrong, I like Tom Cruise (his performances in "Magnolia" and "The Last Samurai" – not to mention "Tropic Thunder" – showed his incredible range as an actor); however I just don't see this actioner/thriller vying for any real awards.

I guess there's an outside chance that "Valkyrie" could be this year's "Munich" (although that film didn't win a single Oscar out of its 10 Nominations).

- Josh
( December 5th, 2008 | 3:52 am )
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Post #11
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Jonathon Demme is that strong for a Best Director Nomination? I would personally put Van Sant, Aronofsky, Eastwood, and possibly Howard over him. Have you heard more about Demme then I've been reading?

- William
( December 5th, 2008 | 10:44 am )
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Post #12
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@William: It's Jonathan Demme, not Jonathon. Get it straight. I hate it when people spell my name as "Jonathon".

- Jerzey Jon
( December 5th, 2008 | 10:56 am )
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Post #13
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I don't know why you are even bothering to put The Dark Knight in the Best Picture race. It was a great film, but it's just not going to get nominated, especially over Oscar-bait flicks like Doubt, The Wrestler, and The Reader. And Valkyrie may come out of nowhere and surprise everyone.

Bottom line is, anyone and everyone who thinks a Batman movie will be nominated for Best Picture is just foolish. I predict it will be nominated for the following Oscars:

-Best Supporting Actor
-Best Cinematography
-Best Film Editing
-Best Sound
-Best Sound Editing

- Dustin Lee
( December 5th, 2008 | 11:36 am )
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Post #14
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@Josh: Nah, I include it because I think it will be a good film and because I hate all the negative talk people are spreading about it without even seeing it. I have seen people call it laughable and a Razzie contender (the stupidest "award" idea ever run by people with no imaginations) and they haven't even seen it. So, including it with Oscar talk I think is only fair.

- Brad Brevet (Post Author)
( December 5th, 2008 | 12:31 pm )
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Post #15
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@Jerzey Jon: Actually, I have lots of friends who spell it "Jonathon". Please get it right.

- Garrett
( December 5th, 2008 | 12:46 pm )
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Post #16
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So, since you say DiCaprio is a serious contender for Best Actor, you would say you are quite confident in him at least being nominated for an Oscar?

- Laurel
( December 5th, 2008 | 5:52 pm )
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Post #17
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Lots of strong supporting actresses. Hiam Abbass has my vote for the Visitor. Debra Winger was wonderful in Rachel Getting Married but it was a small role. I also loved Elsa Zylberstein in I’ve Loved You So Long.

Actress: Kristin Scott Thomas in I've Loved You So Long.

- marianne moore
( December 5th, 2008 | 6:12 pm )
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Post #18
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Roger Ebert just posted his best films of 2008, and he calls DiCaprio and Winslet's performances two of the best of the year.

- Garrett
( December 5th, 2008 | 6:41 pm )
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Post #19
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@Garrett: Get it right? How do I need to get MY name right, my name is Jonathan not Jonathon, I'm not from the ghetto.

- Jerzey Jon
( December 5th, 2008 | 9:45 pm )
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Post #20
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@Jerzey Jon: I think the point flew over your head. That was a pun on your own words to William.

- Garrett
( December 5th, 2008 | 9:48 pm )
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Post #21
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@Brad: I completely understand. As a longtime fan of all things Cruise (Risky Business, Top Gun, Born on the 4th of July, Mission: Impossible (I & III), Collateral), I've been anxiously awaiting the release of Valkyrie. Forget the fact that Tom refuses to use a fake German accent (remember that terrible Irish one he tried in Far & Away?) and all the haters who haven't even seen the film yet, I'm hopeful that Bryan Singer has crafted another intelligent, and exciting film (ala The Usual Suspects, X2 or Superman).

- Josh
( December 6th, 2008 | 1:37 am )
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Post #22
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Jonathan*, at least in Demme's case lol. It is spelled both ways though.

- William
( December 6th, 2008 | 9:33 am )
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Post #23
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What do you think they will do with Heath Ledger and The Dark Knight? Also I heard they're rereleasing it to theaters in January to get some oscar points. Any thoughts?

- Brian
( December 6th, 2008 | 11:26 am )
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Post #24
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I deff would switch meryl and cate blanchett, I think it's meryl's this year for sure. I hope so. She deserves it. and I deff think Doubt will be nominated for best picture over The Dark Knight, it's a bat man movie, super hero movies are never nominated for best picture at the academy awards, I think Heath Ledger will be nominated and maybe win, but there is no way that The Dark Knight is getting oscar nominated for best picture over doubt or any of the other contenders.

- xomerylszjc
( December 7th, 2008 | 12:43 pm )
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Post #25
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According to reviews, it doesn't look like Doubt will be getting much of anything except a few acting nods and maybe screenplay and art direction.

- Garrett
( December 7th, 2008 | 1:14 pm )
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Post #26
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Sally Hawkins definitely gave a strong performance in Happy-Go-Lucky, she should be given an award for it, maybe a special award but I definitely wanted her to win the Best Actress award. Such an amazing actress!!!

- Lance
( December 7th, 2008 | 10:16 pm )
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