Filed under: Oscar Predictions

Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Film, Foreign Language Film and Documentary

The picks seem obvious, but I have a few things for you to consider

Photo: AMPAS

Well, here we are, the final batch of individual predictions prior to tomorrow's all out free-for-all when you have the chance to vote for who you think will take the top spot in each category. Today we take a look at the nominees for Animated Film, Foreign Language Film and Documentary and even though we are taking a look at three categories there doesn't seem to be a whole lot to talk about.

You can take a look at past predictions made long the way by clicking on any of the links below.

As for this round, let's look at the nominees for …

Best foreign language film of the year
  • The Baader Meinhof Complex
  • The Class
  • Departures
  • Revanche
  • Waltz With Bashir
Best documentary feature
  • The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
  • Encounters at the End of the World
  • The Garden
  • Man on Wire
  • Trouble the Water
Best animated feature film of the year
  • Bolt
  • Kung Fu Panda
  • WALL•E

Waltz with Bashir, Man on Wire and WALL•E. There, done. In all seriousness is there much more to say?

As for the Animated category I am going to say no. Kung Fu Panda's big win at the Annies is not swaying my opinion. WALL•E is a lock — done deal. However, I guess we can talk a little about the other categories.

First off, outside of the nominated short films, the Foreign Language Film and Documentary nominees are the only two categories in which I have not seen all of the nominated films and Lord knows I tried. I actually just got an invite to see Departures in Los Angeles today, but considering that screening is two states away I probably won't make it and I do blame myself for never hitting play on my Blu-ray copy of Werner Herzog's Encounters at the End of the World. I will some day, but I haven't yet. However, the others I never had a chance as The Class, Waltz With Bashir and Man on Wire were the only ones I had a chance to see. Strangely enough those seem to be the only three films anyone is talking about in terms of major award consideration.

Man on Wire is one of the best reviewed films of 2008 and it is a great feature, but there are those out there that don't believe it is the front-runner and in fact say Man on Wire is "flat" compared to the rest of the field.

Kris Tapley at In Contention put together a very well written piece after watching all five nominees in the Doc category and gives an opinion on each that is well worth the read. I just wonder if the voting Academy is being as meticulous as Kris was. I still keep to my Man on Wire prediction and looking at Tapley's predictions he is too, but it is nice to see someone open up the category.

As for the Foreign Language category Dave Karger at Entertainment Weekly is pushing for The Class, a fantastic film that I even included in my 2008 top ten, and I would love to be in his camp, but Waltz with Bashir is on quite a role and Tom O'Neil drove the final nail with his piece headlined "No, Dave and Thom, 'The Class' won't win best foreign film at the Oscars":

OK, Dave and Thom, here goes. You're wrong about what'll win best foreign-language film. It won't be "The Class." Sure, it won the Palme d'Or at the Cannes Film Festival, but it benefited from being a Paris-set docu-drama about an inspiring ghetto schoolteacher, portrayed by the actual teacher. The brainy judges lounging along the French Riviera, buzzed from champagne, were easily smitten. But, come on, it's not one of the fest's most widely loved choices.

At least not among Oscars voters, who didn't pick it to be nominated for best foreign film. No, it didn't make the final five — at first. It got jammed onto the final list by the academy's committee charged with overruling voters when they make decisions that might raise a hoopla. That's the new system in place after all of the hoopla last year when the Oscars didn't nominate the last Cannes champ, "4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days." Obviously, the committee wasn't going to make that mistake again. No, the academy hasn't admitted publicly that the committee shoehorned "The Class" into this category's final five, but Gold Derby has an excellent source unafraid to spill the French green beans.

One voter in that category tells me that "The Class" has not gone over well with his peers. "A lot of us think it's too boring," he rats.

Some eye-opening stuff eh?

Personally I didn't care for Waltz with Bashir all that much and don't think if it wasn't for its striking imagery at the end it would have garnered so much attention. O'Neil offers up a few ideas in his piece that are actually quite interesting, but it is so hard to make a pick when you haven't seen some of the nominees.

So, with all that said, my picks remain Waltz With Bashir, Man on Wire and WALL•E, but I hope I gave you something to think about and perhaps opened up a few ways for you to disagree with me. If so, let's hear it!

Stay tuned, tomorrow the polling begins as we begin the big Oscar weekend countdown.


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Post #1
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i support your pick….

- Abhishek-The Oscar Maniac
( February 18th, 2009 | 2:37 am )
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The Class is one of the best films of the year, and probably the first classroom film where the students are given a voice.

As for Waltz with Bashir, I am underwhelmed. It has huge structural flaws.

Waltz with Bashir is being described as a documentary of some sort, and if Mr. Folman intended it that way I guess he made a bloody mess out of it. The goof up sticks out like a sore thumb within the first ten minutes, with the staging of a conversation at a bar and a conversation at a shrink friend’s place at 0630 feeling highly awkward. You see, these scenes with their quiet emotions are intended to be real and natural, but if we describe the film as a documentary, than all this is being staged and that kind of drains the emotion out of it. As if we’re watching a role-play, where the artifice can never draw our feelings. That is why I wish to concede it to Mr. Folman by citing it isn’t a documentary per se but an autobiography employing the style of one. We see interviews with soldiers, and we see conversations with friends, and it is quite apparent that what Mr. Folman intends to narrate is the making of the documentary rather than the documentary itself.

There’s a deeper flaw that the film just doesn’t recover from. That’s the choice of the medium, as in choosing animation as the form of expression, which feels gimmicky for the most part. I kept debating with myself during the entire length over this choice, with the film’s imagery and mise-en-scene providing fodder for the argument. I sought to convince myself that it indeed was the right choice but I just couldn’t find am argument worthy enough. Right after the film I rushed to find the reason from Mr. Folman himself and this is what he says, which is more or less what he has to say considering I have poured over three separate interviews –
Actually, there was no other way. We had to do it in animation, or not do it at all. I had some experience with animation in my previous show, which was a documentary called The Material that Love Is Made of, a five hour documentary, which was basically about love… So I was having ideas about making this film [Waltz with Bashir] and I wanted to explore what I did in the previous documentary. From the very beginning, when I imagined the characters, I imagined them drawn, and animated.
Source: GreenCine – Ari Folman: “Animation, or Not at all.

As I suspected, no reason at all. It is more of a gimmick than the actual utilization of the potential of a medium, and the advantages it offers. You know, like a fancy idea. Now, I believe the basic principle of animation, or cartoons for that matter, is irony. Satire, for which cartoons are so often used, works on the principle of irony. Drawing the apparent power of an image isn’t necessarily animation’s premier forte. For that we have photography, as in live images, because real images have much more gravity to them then cartoons. Animation is sought to draw caricatures, and hence manipulate the inherent meaning of an image. Of course, the animated form is spectacular when it comes to painting other worldly images, like the Grave of the Fireflies, which draws its magic from its medium of choice. Persepolis, the film to which Waltz with Bashir is being likened to, worked on that very principle. That is, not stating the apparent.

The actual content, the human story, is pretty much rhetorical and often feels artificial. I’m not sure the film has any political statements to make, other than to state the politically correct. But of course, the script and its structure is simply unconvincing. What the film intends to do is to use the excavation of repressed memories to learn the truth behind a horrible historical event, so that learning it and piecing it together, bit by bit will present the complete picture as a revelation. A personal memoir leading to an historical truth. And the problem is it feels like a strategy, a clever ploy, rather than an honest introspection. Every soldier spoken to seems to be exactly at the desired vantage point to further the story, and unlike most successful documentaries which successfully conceal their artifice with a good script, this one doesn’t.

This is a very mediocre film that stands out because of choice of the medium. Nothing else.

- Satish Naidu
( February 18th, 2009 | 6:22 am )
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Revanche is a film that has been made so precisely that it is disconcerting. The writing is perfect, the framing exact, and the editing clean as a whistle. I don’t remember when extended scenes of wood being chopped have been so powerful – both in its observation of the emotional content and the narrative motivation. Just about every genre item is checked, but it is all done with so much thought and rationale behind it all feels new.

Revanche is so masterful, and yet so removed than most films of such kind that you might actually feel helpless. You would want to seek some sort of emotional catharsis, and the film doesn’t intend to supply you any in any sort of easy way. The film, one feels, has earned it all through exacting devotion to its story, and intends that its audience not fall prey to any easy sentiments, but instead earn it too by continued devotion to contemplating the various lives on record here.

Much acclaim has been laid over Mr. Reygadas film Silent Light, and it supposed deep spiritual undertones, and I have always suggested how pretentious and dull that film is. This one’s the deal, straight out. Revanche is spiritual without once mentioning God, without once raising obvious questions, and without once stating its themes explicitly. It seems to have lived life, and its pace suggests that. The conundrums in which the characters and we find ourselves in aren’t one for an easy description. We’re always aware of all the equations, and in that way we’re forced to observe with no hint of bias towards any character. I use the word equation very carefully, because the film earns that little word as a virtue. Look how it stages its scenes where its characters are not alone in the frames, but almost always in pairs in a film almost exclusively given to two-shots. This is remarkable filmmaking we’re talking about here, and when the whole story is laid bare before us, all we, as jury members, can do is ponder endlessly. You might not feel much for any character, but you sure to understand them. The former, I believe, most films manage, the latter, some films, but ones which accomplish the latter without the leverage of the former are rare. Understand the depth of the motivation behind their actions, for not one of them is uni-dimensional.

- Satish Naidu
( February 18th, 2009 | 6:32 am )
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@Satish Naidu: Grt write-up but i am sorry to say this…this is not the place to write your articles…but keep writing….u write well..u r inspiration for people like us who wants to make it big like you and Brad……..

- Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac
( February 18th, 2009 | 10:10 am )
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@Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac: But it seems you are also taking reference frm here and there…can you just keep it personal..coz Brad is there to give us those infos….

- Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac
( February 18th, 2009 | 10:14 am )
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@Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac:But it seems you are also taking reference frm here and there…can you just keep it personal..coz Brad is there to give us those infos….

- Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac
( February 18th, 2009 | 10:15 am )
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@Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac: But it seems you are also taking reference frm here and there…can you just keep it personal..coz Brad is there to give us those infos….

- Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac
( February 18th, 2009 | 10:44 am )
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Post #8
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@Satish Naidu: But it seems you are also taking reference frm here and there…can you just keep it personal..coz Brad is there to give us those infos….

- Abhishek_The Oscar Maniac
( February 18th, 2009 | 10:45 am )
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The doc category needs to watch out for TROUBLE THE WATER, the hand-held Hurrican Katrina piece that wowed at Sundance last year. It's just the type of emotional documentary Academy voters eat with a spoon.

(That said, MAN ON WIRE is by far the superior film, and as much as I love Herzog he should have won a few years ago for the sadly ignored GRIZZLY MAN; as good as ENCOUNTERS AT THE END OF THE WORLD is that one's a modern classic.)

- Sara Michelle
( February 18th, 2009 | 11:03 am )
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