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	<title>Comments on: Is &#039;Watchmen&#039; the Next &#039;300&#039;? &#8211; Take Two</title>
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		<title>By: JM</title>
		<link>http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/article/is-watchmen-the-next-300-take-two#comment-4542</link>
		<dc:creator>JM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 21:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I understand your article and the other article completely, and I also understand why exactly you two say what you say. But I disagree, and my main reasoning is based on the ticket returns for &quot;The Dark Knight.&quot;

There&#039;s a meat-head side of us and a more intelligent side of us. The meat-head side is easiest (for most) to connect to, but when something truly amazing comes along, like &quot;The Dark Knight,&quot; we&#039;ll sure as hell connect. What&#039;s more, we&#039;ll want to connect again and again. That Warner Brothers is producing the film makes me feel very confident that Zack Snyder got a chance to make a great film that is faithful to the novel, just the way it should be.

First, let&#039;s look at its opening weekend gross. It&#039;ll be big. $530-million-worth of people went to see TDK in theaters this year, and every single one of them saw a trailer for &quot;Watchmen.&quot; I know they also saw a trailer for &quot;Body of Lies,&quot; which didn&#039;t help its box office at all, but I must point out that &quot;Watchmen&quot; was THE trailer that everyone was talking about. People are really looking forward to it. So... butts will be in the seats on March 6. Low end estimate gives it a $50 million opening; high end, $85 million. But I&#039;m expecting $70 million, like &quot;300.&quot;

The following weeks? If the film is faithful to the graphic novel, and if it&#039;s TRULY good, people will come back, even if it wasn&#039;t the meat-headedness they were looking for. How many people walked into TDK on July 18th looking for intelligent entertainment? Not a lot of people, I&#039;ll bet. But that&#039;s the reason why they returned. It was intelligent and emotionally engaging (come to the think of it, the latter might be the larger reason). I expect &quot;Watchmen&quot; to be the same. Similar to &quot;300,&quot; it&#039;ll probably have a 3X multiplier for its final box office tally, taking in about $210 domestically. Worldwide, however, I don&#039;t expect it to be as big.

I also want to take issue with the idea that girls won&#039;t like it as much. I know quite a lot of girls who are totally looking forward to this movie. One is like: &quot;I&#039;m going to get my dad to see it by telling him that it&#039;s an action movie based off a graphic novel, and I&#039;m going to get my mom to see it by telling her it has Billy Crudup.&quot; College people are very aware of this film, and with its R-rating, that&#039;s the audience that&#039;ll bring in the greatest box office receipts.

In anything other than box office numbers, however, it&#039;s unfair to compare &quot;300&quot; to &quot;Watchmen.&quot; Their links are: 1) same director 2) same production company (Warner Bros.) 3) same medium for the original source (graphic novel). But the same could be said about &quot;A Clockwork Orange&quot; and &quot;Eyes Wide Shut&quot;--they both were directed by Kubrick, both being produced by Warner Bros., and both were based off a novel. And yet nobody was calling EWS &quot;The Next Clockwork Orange?&quot; No, they didn&#039;t, and it most certainly wasn&#039;t. It was totally awesome in a way entirely different from ACO&#039;s awesomeness. The same will be true for &quot;Watchmen&quot; and &quot;300.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I understand your article and the other article completely, and I also understand why exactly you two say what you say. But I disagree, and my main reasoning is based on the ticket returns for &#034;The Dark Knight.&#034;</p>
<p>There&#039;s a meat-head side of us and a more intelligent side of us. The meat-head side is easiest (for most) to connect to, but when something truly amazing comes along, like &#034;The Dark Knight,&#034; we&#039;ll sure as hell connect. What&#039;s more, we&#039;ll want to connect again and again. That Warner Brothers is producing the film makes me feel very confident that Zack Snyder got a chance to make a great film that is faithful to the novel, just the way it should be.</p>
<p>First, let&#039;s look at its opening weekend gross. It&#039;ll be big. $530-million-worth of people went to see TDK in theaters this year, and every single one of them saw a trailer for &#034;Watchmen.&#034; I know they also saw a trailer for &#034;Body of Lies,&#034; which didn&#039;t help its box office at all, but I must point out that &#034;Watchmen&#034; was THE trailer that everyone was talking about. People are really looking forward to it. So&#8230; butts will be in the seats on March 6. Low end estimate gives it a $50 million opening; high end, $85 million. But I&#039;m expecting $70 million, like &#034;300.&#034;</p>
<p>The following weeks? If the film is faithful to the graphic novel, and if it&#039;s TRULY good, people will come back, even if it wasn&#039;t the meat-headedness they were looking for. How many people walked into TDK on July 18th looking for intelligent entertainment? Not a lot of people, I&#039;ll bet. But that&#039;s the reason why they returned. It was intelligent and emotionally engaging (come to the think of it, the latter might be the larger reason). I expect &#034;Watchmen&#034; to be the same. Similar to &#034;300,&#034; it&#039;ll probably have a 3X multiplier for its final box office tally, taking in about $210 domestically. Worldwide, however, I don&#039;t expect it to be as big.</p>
<p>I also want to take issue with the idea that girls won&#039;t like it as much. I know quite a lot of girls who are totally looking forward to this movie. One is like: &#034;I&#039;m going to get my dad to see it by telling him that it&#039;s an action movie based off a graphic novel, and I&#039;m going to get my mom to see it by telling her it has Billy Crudup.&#034; College people are very aware of this film, and with its R-rating, that&#039;s the audience that&#039;ll bring in the greatest box office receipts.</p>
<p>In anything other than box office numbers, however, it&#039;s unfair to compare &#034;300&#034; to &#034;Watchmen.&#034; Their links are: 1) same director 2) same production company (Warner Bros.) 3) same medium for the original source (graphic novel). But the same could be said about &#034;A Clockwork Orange&#034; and &#034;Eyes Wide Shut&#034;&#8211;they both were directed by Kubrick, both being produced by Warner Bros., and both were based off a novel. And yet nobody was calling EWS &#034;The Next Clockwork Orange?&#034; No, they didn&#039;t, and it most certainly wasn&#039;t. It was totally awesome in a way entirely different from ACO&#039;s awesomeness. The same will be true for &#034;Watchmen&#034; and &#034;300.&#034;</p>
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