Filed under: Friday Estimates

'Hangover' Hangs On To Friday #1 In Another Tight Weekend Box-Office Race

Can 'Up' make up $1.6 million? I think so...

Zach Galifianakis, Ed Helms and Bradley Cooper in The Hangover
Photo: Warner Bros.

Here we are again folks, The Hangover took the Friday box-office crown with an estimated $10.4 million with Up hot on its heels with $8.8 million. Last week Hangover carried a $3 million lead into Saturday over Up and was able to hold on to that lead despite early Sunday estimates showing Up as the weekend winner.

The question now is whether or not the film can hold on to a $1.6 million lead the same way it did a $3 million lead. My prediction says no, I think Up will have enough animated weekend steam to catapult to the top. But that's just me and I know very little about these things.

As for this week's new releases we find the first one in the #3 slot after Friday estimates with Tony Scott's The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 sitting in third position with $8.2 million, which I would guess will give it something close to a $24-26 million weekend.

After that is Eddie Murphy's Imagine That, which suffered from bad reviews and competition with Up to only earn $1.8 million on Friday and in all likelihood something of a $6-8 million weekend.

Unfortunately there aren't any numbers for Moon, Tetro or Away We Go. It isn't as if they were in a lot of theaters so I don't see why we can't get estimates. I'm hoping folks that could get out to see these films did. Even though I wasn't a huge fan of Moon, I still think it's a film, if given a chance, people would want to go see. Same goes for Tetro and Away We Go, two films I certainly recommend you go see.

So that does it. The complete list of Friday box-office estimates can be found directly below and Laremy will be here tomorrow with complete results. But for now, you tell me, do you think Up will make up its $1.6 million deficit or does Hangover win another one?

  1. The Hangover – $10.4 million
  2. Up – $8.8 million
  3. The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 – $8.2 million
  4. Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian – $2.97 million
  5. Land of the Lost – $2.91 million
  6. Imagine That – $1.8 million
  7. Star Trek – $1.5 million
  8. Terminator Salvation – $1.38 million
  9. Drag Me To Hell – $1.37 million
  10. Angels & Demons – $1.2 million

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Post #1
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I say"Hangover" wins another one, like I predicted.. with the numbers I predicted Up and Pelham gets 2nd and 3rd, also like I predicted…

Better get recognition THIS time, Laremy… haha

- Chuck Bartowski
( June 13th, 2009 | 1:14 pm )
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Post #2
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The Hangover might win.
I think family outings tend to be the earlier, cheaper showings while movies like The Hangover might make more of it's money from night showings. This weekend might be another photo-finish for first and second.

- Eric
( June 13th, 2009 | 1:19 pm )
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Post #3
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Hangover will win. I don't think Up could make up to claim first in its 3rd week around. Pelham will stay at 3rd. I was impressed with Night At The Museum 2 though. People actually chose to watch it that Eddie Murphy. Amy Adams makes me forget that this was an unnecessary sequel.

As for the last 4. No harm done, i just hope A&D and DMtH would trade places so that i'll end up dead on at the Box office Mojo Derby

- Topy
( June 13th, 2009 | 4:39 pm )
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Post #4
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I think UP will have the difference covered by the end of Sat. Last week, Hangover had a 3mil lead and UP pretty much made it up after Sat. It took an unprecedented hold for an R-Rated comedy on Sunday for it to lose, and it lost out by a mere 800k. Now, it only has a 1.5mil deficit after Fri, and "Imagine That" is not hurting it at all. A huge chunk of the B.O. from family films like UP come from Sat and Sun, especially the matinees. (And nowadays, matinees are upwards of 8-10 bucks anyway, and not to mention the 3D surcharge).

I think what will happen is that UP will edge ahead on Sat night based on the Saturday grosses, and it will all come down to the Sunday grosses. Either way, both films will finish in the 30-32mil range, so both studios will be celebrating no matter what.

- Robert
( June 13th, 2009 | 6:03 pm )
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Post #5
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Based on the Fri to Fri percentage drops of 37% for Hangover and 32% for UP, should those percentages remain constant the rest of the weekend, UP will edge Hangover to no.1. It's gonna be another close finish that might not be determined until the actuals on Monday. I'm just glad to see these 2 good movies being generously rewarded by the moviegoing public.

- Heath
( June 13th, 2009 | 6:10 pm )
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Post #6
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"The proposal" will exceed $ 20 million the next weekend?
I am very interested to know, I love romantic comedies, and this sounds good.

- 19mminutes
( June 13th, 2009 | 6:13 pm )
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Post #7
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"Hangover" wins again. Here's why:

Last weekend was Hangover's opening weekend. It would have made sense, with its 10% Saturday drop, for it to place 2nd, even though it was ahead $3 million. However, now it's in 2nd weekend, so it'll be seeing a Saturday rise, not a Saturday drop, and that means it needs a smaller Friday lead to beat "Up." $1.8 lead is more than enough.

- JM
( June 13th, 2009 | 6:16 pm )
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Post #8
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The Hangover will rise on Sat, but so will Up and I think the Up rise will cover that 1.8mil lead. Family films experience the highest Sat rises, and with Imagine That barely making a dent at the box office, I expect both Hangover and UP to be virtually tied by Sat's end. It all comes down to Sunday.

- Ben
( June 13th, 2009 | 6:24 pm )
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Post #9
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Hangover will win..The word of mouth is AMAZING for this pic..The fact that its turning into the comedy of the summer should prove that..And Eddie Murphy DON'T DO ANOTHER STUPID KIDDIE FLICK!Numbers prove it..

- Philip
( June 13th, 2009 | 6:48 pm )
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Post #10
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I think it is so sad that movies like Moon or Away We Go are not the publicity they deserve.

- atlroller
( June 13th, 2009 | 9:50 pm )
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Post #11
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Early Sat. estimates: UP 13.4mil, The Hangover 12.9mil. Roughly 1mil give or take a few 100k will separate both going into Sun. Another nail-biter here for no.1. Bottom line though is both are sailing hella strong. Both will finish somewhere around 31-34mil.

- Tobey
( June 14th, 2009 | 1:02 am )
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