Final Oscar Predictions and You Vote for the 2009 Winners!
You know who's going to win, so why not tell us?
Photo: AMPAS
POLLS ARE CLOSED!
RESULTS ARE LISTED ON THE NEXT TWO PAGES
RESULTS ARE LISTED ON THE NEXT TWO PAGES
Well, here we are folks… the home stretch and I have been talking about the Oscar race since last September when I opened up The Contenders section and began with my first Oscar predictions on November 20 (get those here). It's been a long road and a lot of you have followed me along the way and I thank you for reading and for your input — every word was heard.
Now we come to the moment for you to make your predictions on 21 categories from this Sunday's 2009 Oscars. Before the big show on Sunday when I will be live blogging and updating the winners as they are announced I will announce the results of the voting and see just how close RopeofSilicon readers got to predicting the 2009 Oscar winners.
I have placed all the major categories on the first page of this post along with my thoughts and prediction with the below-the-line categories on page two. Remember, pick who you think will win, not who you want to win and ENJOY!
BEST PICTURE
Photo: Paramount / Universal / Focus / Weinstein / Fox Searchlight
 Man, what a lackluster group of Best Picture nominees eh? And I am speaking as a person that had two of them in his top ten of 2008 (Button and The Reader), but with AMC Theatres prepped to show the Best Picture Marathon this coming Saturday I couldn't imagine sitting through all five of these in one sitting. People have said 2008 was a bad year for movies and I would just say it is a bad year for Best Picture nominees. On top of that it isn't all that hard to predict as Slumdog Millionaire is pretty much locked and betting against it would be unwise and as you will see going down the line this won't be my last time picking it.
MY PICK: Slumdog Millionaire |
Best Picture
Total Voters: 1,301  Loading ... |
Best Actor
 After Sean Penn's win at the Screen Actors Guild Awards he became the front-runner for Oscar's Best Actor, but Mickey Rourke gave a fabulously entertaining and touching speech at the BAFTA Awards (watch it here) to rival Penn's SAG speech and the race once again tightened up. I believe you will find more prognosticators around the Net predicting Rourke for a win here, but I am sticking with Penn. In terms of performance I think Rourke's was more of Mickey being Mickey while Penn really created a whole new character. Both performances are worthy of recognition, but I believe the Oscars will give Penn the edge.
MY PICK: Sean Penn, Milk |
Best Actor
Total Voters: 1,299 Loading ... |
Best Actress
 The Best Actress race has had an interesting up-and-down way of keeping us enthralled. The Oscars threw the final wrench in the works by nominating Winslet's Reader performance in the lead category over her work in Revolutionary Road, which not only opened the Supporting category, but now meant Meryl Streep was talking the second spot due to Winslet's award season roll as she racked up wins for her Reader performance at the BAFTAs, Critics Choice Awards, Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. Streep also won at the SAGs, but it is hard to compete with a perfect storm.
MY PICK: Kate Winslet, The Reader |
Best Actress
Total Voters: 1,298 Loading ... |
Best Supporting Actor
 This is really the only category where I am 100% sure of the winner. Even Slumdog Millionaire has a better chance of losing in the Best Picture category than Ledger has of not having his name called as he will join Peter Finch as actors to win a posthumous Best Actor Oscar. And once his name is called Ledger's daughter, 3-year-old Matilda Rose Ledger, will become the owner of the Oscar statuette. Academy tradition calls for a posthumous statuette to go to the spouse, or, if there is no living spouse, to the oldest child. Ledger wasn't married, and Matilda is his only child. Strangely enough, the Academy had to deal with the fact Matilda is only 3 and therefore unable to sign the winner's agreement. So, Matlida's mother, actress Michelle Williams, will hold the statuette in trust until Matilda turns 18. You can get the complete story here.
MY PICK: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight |
Best Supporting Actor
Total Voters: 1,258 Loading ... |
Best Supporting Actress
 As I said, Winslet is out as her performance in The Reader was deemed leading by Academy members, which once again opened this category up and early season front-runner, Penelope Cruz, once again became the likely winner. While I have her picked to win there are arguments for each actress in this category with Viola Davis as the name most likely to dethrone Winslet. Anne Thompson at Variety seems quite confident of Davis in fact. However, I can easily see Amy Adams getting her name announced or even the most unlikeliest candidate Taraji P. Henson whom many have already counted out, but just such doubt could be enough to catapult her to the top and I see this as the one major category most likely to offer up an upset.
MY PICK: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona |
Best Supporting Actress
Total Voters: 1,233 Loading ... |
Best Director
 Danny Boyle is taking this one home even though many think David Fincher still has a chance. If I were to think of a close runner-up it would have to be Gus Van Sant. I don't see any chance for Stephen Daldry or Ron Howard, especially since Frost/Nixon seems to be the biggest waste of a nominee in every single category it's competing in considering no one appears to be pulling for it or predicting it to win.
MY PICK: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire |
Best Director
Total Voters: 1,166 Loading ... |
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