Steve Mason over at Fantasy Moguls will probably have this one making more once he looks at the final tracking reports but I've got a theory behind my lower call. You see, I think in this case awareness won't translate to box office. It's been a wild May for theater goers and I'm betting around 10% of those planning to see this one this weekend will beg off once the weather in their particular town turns nice. That's right, your Box Office Oracle is also dabbling in meteorology.

Estimate: $52.7 million

There's not another kid demographic movie out and most parents will choose this over Hulk for their under eleven children. So I only see the slightly above average 47.5% bleed from opening weekend.

Estimate: $31.6 million

Rated R hurts it. M. Night's constant beating in the press (as B-Luv has chronicled) hurts it. People throwing themselves off of buildings hurts it. I've placed this one squarely in between Lady in the Water and The Strangers's opening. I think it seems like a horror in disguise.

Estimate: $21.0 million

I think we can officially start messing with the Zohan. Really he's sort of lame at this point.

Estimate: $17.9 million

I just keep dropping this one. Everyone is over it, myself included.

Estimate: $9.9 million

I received my first poor review of this from a gal. She said it wasn't all that impressive. I told her I hoped she wasn't all dead inside!

Estimate: $9.6 million

Which leads us to the portion of the program where you don't need to make much money to finish in the top ten. As today is officially my birthday I'm going to skip the things I don't want to talk about starting NOW.

Estimate: $3.8 million

Did you read where Robert Downey Jr. said Burger King sort of saved his life? Helped him get off the junk? Now that's worth talking about, right? News you can use!

Estimate: $2.7 million

I've been down in sunny Florida these past few days and I've been enjoying listening to Dan LaBatard on 790am. That's not a paid ad by the way, that's my legit entertainment source while I stay out of the sun.

Estimate: $1.9 million

Theoretically if you murdered someone in Vegas and fled the state that wouldn't just stay in Vegas. They would most likely extradite you back for trial, regardless of the popular slogan.

Estimate: $1.2 million