Box-Office Wrap-Up: Mar. 20 – Mar. 22, 2009Nic Cage's Knowing defies The Oracle and takes the top spot.Good game, Nic Cage. You got me. I've heard all kinds of things on Knowing, to the point where I probably just need to see it myself. Knowing has made more domestically than Next, The Wicker Man, and Bangkok Dangerous, so clearly I had it pegged incorrectly. Let's get into it.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
1. Knowing
Did you know Summit Entertainment is considered an independent studio? I guess everyone that isn't a major studio is indie. So Nic Cage actually struck a blow for indie filmmakers everywhere! This also seems like the type of film that will do even better internationally, so it's good news all the way around for Summit this weekend.
Result: 24.8 million (My rank: #3, $9.8m off)
I was right on the money here, I just had the top slot all jacked up. Rudd and Segel are both becoming real names on the scene, for instance they are already getting puff pieces in USA Today.
Result: 18.0 million (My rank: #1, $.3m off)
3. Duplicity
Commenter Steve mentioned that Julia Roberts salary makes this result a poor one for Universal. I disagree. There's no way Roberts is getting $15m these days. I would guess her salary was in the $5m range, as in "Hi Julia, would you like to work with Clive, Wilkinson, and Giamatti?" Now then, Steve went on to point out that a woman at the top of the marquee hurts box office chances. Perhaps I'll tackle that one next week, it is looking like a trend.
Result: 14.4 million (My rank: #2, $1.2m off)
This one was what we thought it was. It will never sniff $100m domestically, but worldwide grosses will probably be decent.
Result: 13.0 million (My rank: #4, $0.8m off)
5. Watchmen
There's not much left to say on this title. Everyone has weighed in, there's been some disagreements, and now we must all move on with our lives. I'll start.
Result: 6.7 million (My rank: #5, $0.8m off)
A nice little run in the middle portion, but that's because they all had definite trendlines. You can't beat stable math.
Result: 5.9 million (My rank: #6, $0.7m off)
7. Taken
Brad was mentioning how Fox is going to greenlight action films with an eye on repeating this result. But they'll mess it up, right? I mean if you had to bet… you'd bet cheap copies, yeah?
Result: 4.1 million (My rank: #7, $0.6m off)
On the other hand, no one will try to repeat this result. They'll just market the hell out of a small film next year too, in the grand tradition of Juno and Little Miss Sunshine.
Result: 2.7 million (My rank: #9, $.4m off)
Hmmm, this is falling faster than I expected. These Tyler Perry films don't seem to have much in the way of staying power, do they?
Result: 2.5 million (My rank: #8, $.7m off)
10. Coraline
At least Paul Blart didn't make it. That's a small but delightful victory.
Result: 2.1 million (My rank: Not Ranked)
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