It's very similar to TF2: A movie that went high but took a while to get that high, a fan base created since the original, huge numbers for the sequel, and not well received by critics. That movie anyway still made over 400M. I don't think TF2 will break that mark, I would say 380-390 million are more realistic.

For those who believe Public Enemies is going to gross over 50 million, keep dreaming!! … cm on!, it's not a mega blockbuster, it doesn't have a great fan base, and don't tell me that beaucase it has Johnny Depp and Christian Bale the movie is going to make a big noise next weekend. It's proven that big starts doesn't always mean that big numbers are coming. It's not going to gross over 35 million, that's the roof.

Next weekend:

1.- Ice Age 3: 50 million F-S, 85 million W-S.
2.- Transformers 2: 47 million – 301 million in 12 days.
3.- Public Enemies: 35 million F-S, 58 million W-S.

I say Transformers takes around a 55% drop next weekend. The Independence holiday will help somewhat, but fresh competition will be a negative and, to be honest, word-of-mouth is not that great. Personally I didn't really like the movie, and most friends and family members felt the same way. This opens the door for Ice Age 3 to take the top spot, and while it doesn't really sound like it has so much buzz, kids have already seen Up three times and need something new. But I'd prefer they just go see it a fourth. Public Enemies should do very well with males and older audiences, as well as women who love Depp. He is dreamy, you know.

1. Ice Age: 53m (85m from Wednesday)
2. Transformers: 50m
3. Public Enemies: 33m (53m from Wednesday)
4. Proposal: 12m
5. Hangover: 11m

Ice Age is established, fun, and no one really cares about the names, no one will be watching for Simon Pegg. Really can't say much except it'll pull the bog standard kids money.

Speaking of nobody gives a damn about the names Michael Bay, Steven Speilburg, Sgia Le Bouf and all the rest will have absolutley no influnce on the box office pull for Transformers. They made it to be a big fun action sequel like so many others films have done this year, Star Trek held solid because it was good. People didn't like T4 and Watchmen and they sunk like a stone and fell into the familiar realms of generic actioneers people know of but don't care. I think Transformers will fall into that.

No matter what people think T2 wont bleed hard enough. I can't imagine a film of that imence-itude droping more than 55%. Ice Age will come a close second and PE will take a solid third.

Transformers 2: $63.4M
Ice Age 3: $58.6M
Public Enemies: $45.6M

Anyway it goes, this is gonna be a huge all-around weekend. Records maybe? And my above predictions are rather high and completely random on the exacts. Haha.

Now we get to see how good the T:RotF's legs are, which I do not think will be anywhere near as good as the legs both Hangover and UP are currently displaying.

My early predictions:

1.IA3=61mil 3-day. 91mil 5-day
2.T:RotF= 48mil (going w/ a 57% drop from the 112mil studio estimate)
3.Public Enemies=35mil 3-day. 50mil 5-day
4.The Proposal=12mil
5.Hangover=11.5mil
6.UP=10mil

On a side note, this weekend is tricky since Sat is the 4th of July. Past years have shown that he 4th of July is pretty much a crapshoot at the box office, since it leans toward being a softer day at the box office with people being pre-occupied with bbqs, trips, fireworks, and what not. The day before and after the 4th of July tends to be stronger while there is a visible dip on the actual holiday itself.

1. Jaws (1975)
2. Star Wars (1977)
3. Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981)
4. E.T. (1982)
5. Titanic (1997)

I miss that world. But alas, apparently, that world doesn't exist. Box Office numbers no longer tell the tale of a film-worth-seeing, its merely hit or miss. Sure, amongst all of the big-budget trash (X-Men III, Shrek III, Spider-Man III, Pirates III, Transformers 2) lies such phenomenal achievements as The Dark Knight, Lord of the Rings, Spider-Man 2, Wall-E; however, it is impossible for a fan to come up smelling like roses. I'm tired of digging through filth at the multiplex*

I'd like your thoughts.

*These comments come in the wake of viewing Transformers 2, the biggest waste of $200 million I've ever witnessed – and I liked the first film

Ice Age 3 has the 3-D theaters, plus a lack of big family movies since Up, so it should have a nice open. Though it may be tough since July 4 is on a Saturday this year. I see $60M for the weekend, and $85M for the five day.

Transformers 2 will follow suit with about $45M for the three day.

Public Enemies has things going for it, and things going against it. The early reviews are not glowing, which usually gets the adults out to see a film. Plus we've got that R rating, which can go either way. I see $30M with the three day, and about $45M for the first five days.

And I'll predict it'll drop as strong as Spider-Man 3, so I'd guess a 2nd weekend around 42-45 million. 50 million tops, if there's something REALLY wrong with America. =P

And Ice Age 3 will definately top either figures.
Can't say the same for Public Enemies though.

My very rough early guesses

1) Public Enemies – $55 million (A popcorn munching braindead movie had this week, now a movie for people with taste takes the top spot)

2) Ice Age – $52 million (It's gonna be close. I haven't seen a single frame of this series but it makes money. I hope PE holds it off but it could very well lose out)

3) Tranformers 2 – $41 million (It's going to fall extremely hard. I predict a once-and-done week on top and a painful drop from here on out)

4) The Hangover – $ 15 Million (I'm putting it over The Proposal simply because it's better)

5) The Proposal – $12 million (Ryan Reynolds has amazing potential in movies, but he always ends up in bland/bad movies. This is no different, but I pray to the sweet merciful Gods above that the Deadpool movie actually delivers where "Wolverine" failed.

Peace Out !

Ice Age- $65.1 Million
Public Enemies- $34.5 Million

Pirates 3 dropped like a rock after its opening as well, even with the lack of competition ("Knocked Up" was the biggest movie opening the week after). So I'm thinking around a 66% drop because the competition is huge. Remember, "The Dark Knight" had little competition in the following weeks after it's opening (the biggest opening film was "Mummy" two weeks after and "TDK" still topped the 40 million bow of that movie). I expect Ice Age and Public Enemies to take at least $80-90 million away from "Transformers".

It'll end up around $400 million when all is said and done, but if it does fall short of that number I won't be surprised. I will be very surprised if "TF2" does get the 5-day record, but it just goes to show that marketing, not the quality of the film, is responsible for the debacle.

I think Transformers will be more akin to Spider-man 3 than Spider-man 2 or Pirates of the Caribbean 2. This movie will fall so hard, so fast. It will not have the long legs that The Dark Knight had.

As for Ice Age 3, it will drain the kiddie audience from Transformers and Pubic Enemies will do the same for the older, smarter audiences. So all that will be left for Transformers will be the repeat viewings and kids to old for Ice Age yet too young or not interested in Public Enemies.

Word of mouth is going to catch up to Transformers VERY quickly.

"While I hope Dark Knight retains the crown (I've yet to hear anyone argue Transformers 2 was superior)" I have a feeling you won't, if anyone does chances are they will be mocked on this website for a very long time. In fact anyone who thinks that Transformers 2 is better than TDK is…whoo boy…ummm, jeez, I can't think of the right word.

My early predictions are

1. Ice Age 3-$65M
2. Transformers 2-$54M
3. Public Enemies-$47M