#1 movie predicted correctly: 2 Weeks in a Row
Spike Jonze doesn't seem to know who the film is for. Same deal with Warner Bros. The film is rated PG, which would lead you to believe it's for kids. But it's pretty scary, and more than a little depressing. Which is normally adult fare.
But for this weekend enough people are interested that it doesn't really matter who it's intended for. It only matters that it's new. So I think around $9k per theater will do it. Case closed.
Estimate: $33.6 million
A very tough movie to predict because it's hard to say whether the enforced scarcity has built up demand. I think it has, obviously, based on my prediction. But no number between $13m and $25m would surprise me. In the land of the mediocre the fan favorite is king.
Estimate: $19.8 million
I'm only dipping it 48 percent. No competition in the demographic.
Estimate: $17.9 million
A surprisingly entertaining little flick. But I think people will be pretty wary, as they aren't used to seeing this sort of fare in October.
Estimate: $11.6 million
It's PG-13, which would normally help it, but the buzzier Paranormal Activity is gonna own it. Sony has got to be pissed. Perhaps they should have opened it in 100 theaters? Could be the wave of the future.
Estimate: $8.8 million
Four "violent" films in the top six. Five if you count Where the Wild Things Are.
Estimate: $8.7 million
It cleared $2.5m on Monday, good for the second spot. I suppose Columbus Day helped there. It's up $127m worldwide cume, about $100m short of profit at this point. So yeah, they'll be hitting the DVD hard this Christmas.
Estimate: $7.6 million
I thought this was only going to be in theaters for two weeks? Oh, that's right, they're extending the run so "more of you can see it". Yeah, I'm sure it has nothing to do with the money this cash cow is raking in. The numbers say it's only losing 300 theaters this weekend and with it already raking in $25 million of free money for Pixar, it would seem to be a lucrative business to simply dust off films they made in 3D originally (as all Pixar animation starts in 3D).
Estimate: $3.6 million
$42m worldwide cume and fading fast.
Estimate: $1.8 million
I meant to read the script for this film this week. Maybe I'll do it this weekend and report back what went wrong here seeing how the script is said to be great. It's the least I can do.
Estimate: $1.6 million
How say you? Y'all had wildly divergent predictions ranging from $25m to $49m on Where the Wild Things Are last Sunday. Have any minds changed as the reviews roll out?