#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Weeks in a Row
Gonna be tough at the top. Theoretically three films could win, and it should end up being the second worst weekend of the year. We've got the kid's film, the holdover from last weekend, and the horror. I'm going with the kids. But not by much.
Estimate: $25.5 million
Hard to know what to do here. They are begging the people to see it. But that prodigious drop from Friday to Sunday means mixed word of mouth. Plus I've got to think the true believers have already seen it twice already and won't be heading back this weekend (hi Dre!). So I'm dropping it 56%. Nasty, I know.
Estimate: $24.3 million
B-Luv says it's not great. I don't know about that. I try to skip the parts of the year that don't have anything to offer. This one is also only getting 2400 theaters — not enough to mount a true charge. So let's call it third place and move on.
Estimate: $15.6 million
Now we get to everything else… that won't make any money. Five films in the top ten will make less than $2k per theater. The math on that is around 25 tickets sold per screening. So any of these films might be a good place to stage a drug deal.
Estimate: $5.6 million
Three movies within .6m of each other. Which means we'll have one surprise and it will screw my whole board up. Typical.
Estimate: $5.1 million
Next weekend this officially goes out of the top ten. It's been a fun 17 weeks pondering this title, even if only 10 of them were in the top ten.
Estimate: $3.8 million
I read a rumor that Observe and Report is more dark and Taxi Driver-ish. That would definitely work for me, I already dig the red-band trailer.
Estimate: $2.8 million
It dropped 29.8% two weekends ago. It dropped 33.2% last weekend. So let's put it down for a 28% drop this weekend, if only because there is nothing else in the genre as widely available. Riveting stuff!
Estimate: $2.2 million
Still, six weekends in the top ten is nothing to sneeze at.
Estimate: $1.9 million
So who you got next weekend? Nic Cage in Knowing? Clive and Julia in Duplicity? Or do you like the comedy in I Love You, Man? Make the call in the comments, and don't let me down.