I think if a surprise happens, it's that TF2 opens around/past $130m but has a huge "2007 three-quel style" drop (classic example of a huge frontloaded summer weekend, dropping the weekend after). In which case, Ice Age 3 will easily take #1 away from TF2.

1.) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $116.7m
2.) The Proposal – $22.5m
3.) The Hangover – $20.8m
4.) Up – $15.7m
5.) Year One – $10.5m
6.) My Sister's Keeper – $7.4m (going with a bomb prediction)

OFF-TOPIC : why Bruno had to be cut in EUA to receive the Rated-R rating and in Portugal the movie receive the classification M12 (only persons with 12 years or more can see it without an adult) without cuts?? Yes I am portuguese, so my english is very bad, but I would like an answer please.

The Gopher has spoken.

T2 thursday will be smaller than expected bcoz of MJ

my predictions:
1. Transformers – $132 Million
2. The Hangover – $18 Million (finally a significant drop, it had to happen sooner or later)
3. The Proposal – $16 Million (still keeps a bit of the dat movie audience)
4. Up – $15 Million
5. My Sister's Keeper – $12 Million (all the wives will go see this while the husbands see transformers)
6. Year One – $7 Million
7. Pelham 123 – $5 Million
8. Star Trek – $4 Million
9. Night at the Museum – $3 Million
10. Away We Go – $1.5 Million (this would've done as well as you predict if they'd have waited to expand so much to next week, or done it last week.)

If Transformers 2 follows the same rythm of HP5 back in 2007, it should make about 105 million in the friday-to-sunday period and a colossal 192 million in the 5 day one. So, that would mean that it would have passed the 200 million mark in a mere 6 days, 1 more than TDK.

And please! even though it has surprised everyone, there's just no way Hangover is just going to fall 5%. That's just as unrealistic as believing that Transformers is going to earn a nomination for Best Pic at the oscars now that the number of nominees increased to 10.

2.The Proposal:24mil

3.The Hangover: 16.2mil
C'mon now, you can't be serious that it'll only lose 5% from last weekend's take now, right? It'll still hold well but it will take in some water from Transformers. 200mil is in the bag and I'm really happy this is doing well

4.UP:15.5mil
Another movie that I'm happy is doing extremely well. The success of this one and Hangover has rekindled my hopes for the moviegoing public.

5.Sisters Keeper: 13mil

Way too effing true, Laremy. So true, in fact, that it's not even funny. It's like all the Academy members have Alzheimer's: they're stuck 15 years in the past and can't remember anything that happened before December.

2. The Hangover – $20.2 million
I want this movie to make over $200 million and I think it will. I loved this film and I have friends who are planning to go see it this weekend. Now, I'm not saying that I base my predictions on what my friends are doing. See number 3.

3. The Proposal – $19 million
I don't think any of my friends are seeing this. They also said that they aren't mourning MJ this weekend, so who knows.

4. Up – $14.2 million
Another movie I'm happy is doing well.

5. My Sister's Keeper – $11.5 million
The film is getting good reviews, but the movie looks very depressing. Depressing movies do well in the fall, they tend to fall hard in the summer.