Box-Office Oracle: Jan. 9 – Jan. 11, 2009
Only one logical choice this weekend... and it involves crazed brides.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 1 Week in a Row
1. Bride Wars
I'm giving this one $6,909 per theater, the exact same amount Fool's Gold opened at. Yes, I'm aware they are completely different movies. I just think that somehow the ratio of people willing to pay to see it is the same.
Estimate: $20.7 million
2. Gran Torino
I think people are going to rally around this title, if only because it's getting 2600 theaters. Plus I hear it's an Oscar contender. Something to do with Clint.
Estimate: $14.3 million
3. The Unborn
You can't be Unborn. It's impossible. It's like unjumping. You can be "not ever born" or you can be dead. But you can't be unborn. Because the word "un" can't undo a physical act which is final upon completion (unlike a knot, which can be untied). You can be reborn, brought back to life from death. But you can't unbreathe, or unjump, or unpunch. So I can't give this one over $13.2m. But if I'm wrong I'll just unpredict it.
Estimate: $13.2 million
I hit this one up with a 42% drop this weekend, pretty kind of me. It will cross the $100m threshold worldwide this weekend. That only means it's number #10 for Sandler all time though. The guy prints money.
Estimate: $11.8 million
Marley and Me has now won two more weekends than Die Hard ever did. It's also passed Chihuahua and is gunning for 101 Dalmatians. Won't catch it though. It's still $27m back domestically… and $180m back internationally.
Estimate: $11.6 million
Curious case is sort of an cutesy understatement isn't it? I mean, the guy ages backwards. Wouldn't you call that a "monumentally interesting case?" Even back in the 40s? I think I would. So let's untitle this one and call it The Monumentally Interesting Case of Benjamin Button.
Estimate: $10.3 million
7. Valkyrie
Somehow Valkyrie is gaining 60 theaters this weekend. Did no one catch that it only made $5k per theater last weekend?
Estimate: $7.9 million
8. Yes Man
Yes Man is now among Jim Carrey's top twelve earners. Somehow I doubt it will get a clip at his Oscar obit section in 2045 though.
Estimate: $6.4 million
9. Seven Pounds
It just occurred to me that I predicted Jim Carrey would live to be 83. This could be a whole new area of projections for me, doubling my previous market share!
Estimate: $5.1 million
Many titles are vying for this tenth spot, but I will take the one about a gerbil. Or is it a mouse? Whatever the case, I reserve the right to complain about whichever title screws me over this week.
Estimate: $4.3 million
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