Filed under: Kudos to You

2008 Oscar Winner Predictions

Who will win? Here's a guess...

The 2008 Oscar awards will be taking place this Sunday, but before all that happens I felt it was only appropriate to lay out my predictions. I actually hate to do this only because I hate to be wrong, but if I am right? Oh the sweet taste of victory will be mine even if I don't have a golden knight to represent my win.

So here are my predictions for the 2008 Oscars. My pick for the win is in bold red letters and my explanation is just below each category.

Be sure to come back Sunday night (February 24th) as we will be live blogging the show and updating the winners live on the site. See you then!

Best motion picture of the year
Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will be Blood

No Country for Old Men is my pick here, but I really think Atonement has a shot. If the Academy hadn't snubbed Joe Wright for Best Director I may have even picked Atonement to win because it is a film the Academy can get behind way more than the darker No Country and There Will be Blood. Then again, Atonement is not exactly a cheery film either and perhaps even darker than No Country when it comes down to it.

Performance by an actor in a leading role
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah
Viggo Mortenson, Eastern Promises

This award is for Daniel Day-Lewis, it's a guaranteed lock.

Performance by an actor in a supporting role
CaseyAffleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

I am going out on a limb with this one. As much as I would like to pick Javier Bardem I think that is a case where people are more in love with the character than the actual performance. Hal Holbrook seems to me the logical choice if you take that approach even though I think the award should go to Hoffman.

Performance by an actress in a leading role
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Laura Linney, The Savages
Ellen Page, Juno

The Julie Christie vs. Marion Cotillard battle has been waged over the past couple of months and I would say going into the 12th round Christie is winning, but I think Cotillard is going to pull out a win with a judges decision.

Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Saoirse Ronin, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

After watching Gone Baby Gone again I am more impressed with Amy Ryan's character and don't have a problem with her taking this one even though I think it should go to Tilda Swinton.

Best animated feature film of the year
Persepolis
Ratatouille
Surf's Up

Here is your second lock of the night.

Achievement in art direction
American Gangster
Atonement
The Golden Compass
Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

This one just makes sense, if only just because Atonement looks like a painting and has the broadest scope of sets, costumes and props. I would love to see Sweeney Todd take this one, but Atonement massive size I think out does it.

Achievement in cinematography
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Here is a hard one to pick, and the smart money is on No Country and Roger Deakins. However, Deakins was the man behind Assassination of Jesse James as well, and it is a far more impressive effort. If Warner had just done a better job with Jesse James I think there would be more awards in its future.

Achievement in costume design
Across the Universe
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

This is a really hard category because the true winner is Elizabeth: The Golden Age, but the movie was so bad it can't be rewarded. This really leaves a race between Atonement and Sweeney Todd and I am going to stick with Atonement for its period piece aspect even though I think Colleen Atwood may take it for Sweeney.

Achievement in directing
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman, Juno
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will be Blood

It's the year of the Coens and they will be holding up the trophy even though I think Julian Schnabel (or Joe Wright) deserves the win.

Best documentary feature
No End in Sight
Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience
Sicko
Taxi to the Dark Side
War/Dance

Sicko is the only one I saw so it gets my pick.

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Post #1
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I hate to say this but there is just no excuse to have only seen one of the documentaries out of the list of nominees. The sad thing is I would bet most people have ignored those films as well and I think it really speaks to quite a bit with whats wrong with the world these days. People will watch movie after movie as long as it has thier favorite star in it but if its a documentary that actually has some relevance in whats going on in the world we live in they suddenly have no interest in seeing them and ultimately dont see them.

The funny thing is the documentaries made this last year were far more impressive than most of the other films made during the year. Its just a shame people just dont care about these films at all.

- OrangeCrush
( February 24th, 2008 | 12:13 pm )
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Post #2
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Sorry, but I think the only other one screened here in Seattle was Taxi to the Dark Side and sometimes I have to bite the bullet and cover what the majority of the people are going to see… I guess that would count as an excuse, and a legitimate one if you ask me.

I guess that's the price I pay for running a 24/7 movie news website virtually on my own. My apologies.

- bradbrevet
( February 24th, 2008 | 4:06 pm )
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Post #3
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Actually, War/Dance screened here, but it was a last minute announcement. It was that, No End in Sight, SiCKO and Taxi to the Darkside. I don't think the final nominee ever actually got a screening.

They were all pretty good choices, though, I have to say. As much as it pained me not to see In the Shadow of the Moon, Crazy Love or (especially) King of Kong on this list, it was hard to quibble with those four making the cut.

You're right, however, it's impossible to watch (let alone review) everything. I had to request screeners on two of those still never found the time to write anything about them.

- SaraMichelle
( February 26th, 2008 | 12:35 am )
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