Oscar Contenders

'Argo' Takes Top Prize at 2013 Screen Actors Guild Awards

'Lincoln' topped the night with two awards

2013 Screen Actors Guild Award winnersIt seems there is very little that can stop Argo from taking the Oscar Best Picture at this point and while many will point to exceptions when a film won so many precursor awards only to not go on to win the Oscar (Apollo 13 being the chief example), you're going to need more than one outlier year to convince me.

Tonight Argo won for Best Ensemble at the 2013 Screen Actors Guild Awards and the route appears to be on. Lincoln did gain a little ground with Tommy Lee Jones finally taking home a Supporting Actor award, which greatly improves his chances at the Oscars. The win for Jones and the obvious win for Daniel Day-Lewis for Best Actor does show Lincoln isn't out of it entirely, but the hill has gotten extremely steep at this point.

Silver Linings Playbook needed a couple of big wins to secure its place among the top three, but it couldn't pull it off. Jennifer Lawrence certainly proved she's the front-runner over Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) with her win, but Jones besting De Niro for Supporting and Argo taking Best Ensemble cancelled out its Best Picture chances.

Then there was Anne Hathaway, winning Best Supporting Actress for her role in Les Miserables, the other Oscar guarantee alongside Day-Lewis.

I will get into breaking down what all this means when it comes to the Oscars tomorrow, but for now you can check out my updated Oscar Overture section, which now includes Argo's SAG win and I have included the complete list of winners directly below, including television.

I have highlighted the winners in bold red text

THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
  • Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
  • John Hawkes (The Sessions)
  • Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)
  • Denzel Washington (Flight)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
  • Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)
  • Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
  • Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)
  • Naomi Watts (The Impossible)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Alan Arkin (Argo)
  • Javier Bardem (Skyfall)
  • Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
  • Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Sally Field (Lincoln)
  • Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
  • Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
  • Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy)
  • Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

  • Argo
  • The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
  • Les Miserables
  • Lincoln
  • Silver Linings Playbook

PRIMETIME TELEVISION

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

  • Kevin Costner ("Hatfields & McCoys")
  • Woody Harrelson ("Game Change")
  • Ed Harris ("Game Change")
  • Clive Owen ("Hemingway & Gellhorn")
  • Bill Paxton ("Hatfields & McCoys")

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

  • Nicole Kidman ("Hemingway & Gellhorn")
  • Julianne Moore ("Game Change")
  • Charlotte Rampling ("Restless")
  • Sigourney Weaver ("Political Animals")
  • Alfre Woodard ("Steel Magnolias")

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

  • Steve Buscemi ("Boardwalk Empire")
  • Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad")
  • Jeff Daniels ("The Newsroom")
  • Damian Lewis ("Homeland")
  • Jon Hamm ("Mad Men")

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

  • Claire Danes ("Homeland")
  • Michelle Dockery ("Downton Abbey")
  • Jessica Lange ("American Horror Story: Asylum")
  • Julianna Margulies ("The Good Wife")
  • Maggie Smith ("Downton Abbey")

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock")
  • Ty Burrell ("Modern Family")
  • Louis C.K. ("Louie")
  • Jim Parsons ("The Big Bang Theory")
  • Eric Stonestreet ("Modern Family")

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Edie Falco ("Nurse Jackie")
  • Tina Fey ("30 Rock")
  • Amy Poehler ("Parks and Recreation")
  • Sofia Vergara ("Modern Family")
  • Betty White ("Hot in Cleveland")

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

  • "Boardwalk Empire"
  • "Breaking Bad"
  • "Downton Abbey"
  • "Homeland"
  • "Mad Men"

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

  • "30 Rock"
  • "The Big Bang Theory"
  • "Glee"
  • "Modern Family"
  • "Nurse Jackie"
  • "The Office"

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

  • The Amazing Spider-Man
  • The Bourne Legacy
  • The Dark Knight Rises
  • Les Miserables
  • Skyfall

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Television Series

  • "Boardwalk Empire"
  • "Breaking Bad"
  • "Game of Thrones"
  • "Sons of Anarchy"
  • "The Walking Dead"

Screen Actors Guild 49th Annual Life Achievement Award

  • Dick Van Dyke
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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/G-Man/ G-Man

    What would be more shocking:

    Daniel Day-Lewis not winning the Oscar, or Anne Hathaway not winning?

    • http://www.twitter.com/GregDinskisk GregDinskisk

      Anne Hathaway... There were many good leading actors this past year, and although DDL is fucking DDL, they were good. In supporting actress, aside from Hathaway, there is no real standout.

    • Geri

      Daniel Day-Lewis - while Hathaway's performance was excellent, she's only in the movie for a very, very short time. You'll also note DDL got a standing ovation from his peers at the SAG-AFTRA award ceremony.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/lalecture/ lalecture

      no one will beat ddl. no one!!

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/G-Man/ G-Man

    Thanks for the awesome live blog, Brad! Can't wait for Oscar night.

  • Jack

    Really wanted Hoffman to win...
    Still has a chance! He won BFCA. Arkin won SAG ensemble. Waltz won Globe.
    Fingers crossed!

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

    I think Silver Linings Playbook is out at this point. If Spielberg wins the DGA, then Lincoln will have a better chance of winning. Right now, it's the only film that stands a chance against Argo. However, the Best Director snub still worries me.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/lalecture/ lalecture

      yeah, I think it is between lincoln and Argo. this weekend should shine the light on predictions for bp

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

    Yet Argo and Apollo 13's comparisons are just too similar. Dramatically enhanced true "American" story directed by an Actor turned Director to win PGA, SAG, DGA (Pending), ETC. They're like mirror images of themselves. And the people who didn't vote for Apollo 13 are probably still in the Academy to not vote for Argo. We know by now that the Academy marches to the beat of their own drum. Streep over Davis. Crash over Brokeback. Shakespeare in Love over Saving Private Ryan. Even this year, Zeitlin and Haneke over Affleck and Bigelow. I think that the only thing you can take out of these precursors to the Oscars are the little categories. Either way, are unpredictable.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

      I can see a lot of Academy members voting for Argo because it portrays Hollywood as a great and important society that helps the nation.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

        But don't ALL the nominees technically do that?

        Beasts - Young, upstart is able to find success in this business with a meaningful and visionary film.

        Django - An uber entertaining revenge film can also enlighten, enrage, and humble us about our freedoms

        Amour - Haven't seen it yet but it tells me that we're open to the world. (Not fully.)

        Les Mis - One of the first most successful and vital genres in entertainment can stay alive through this medium.

        Silver Linings - A movie can make us feel as good as we possibly can when leaving while also enlightening us about touchy subjects like mental illness. And now with it's success, that the audience can learn through a means such as film.

        Zero Dark Thirty - A movie can leave us emotionally cold and drained, with no hope, yet entertain. Harsh truths about humans and our discourse.

        Lincoln - A movie can display a moment in time in the past as accurately as possible so as to bring a mirror up to the political faces of today. All without intention.

        Life of Pi - A movie can give, take, enrage, exasperate, and disappoint about faith and how it factors into our lives.

        Now Argo... Hollywood can be great. It's playing into the vainest sensibilities of the Academy.

        I think ANY of the other nominees have more reason and purpose for getting this prestigious moniker of "Best" Picture. Guilds are vain. The Academy on the other hand will go with their heart. What they think is important to them or just stuck with them or entertained the most. I don't know. I'm getting preachy...

    • Arjuna

      I think there are too important differences

      1) Apollo 13 didn't win the Golden Globe for best picture
      2) Apollo 13 with Hanks, Bacon and Ed Harris was a much bigger ensemble movie in terms of people thought the acting was amazing and it got two acting nominations at the oscars, now yes Arkin got nominated but there is are no really show stoppers in Argo and compared to the competition like Silver Linings which had 4 acting nominations and Lincoln, Argo is a much less conventional ensemble movie and not one that was even remotely expected to win that award where as Apollo 13 was that year, the next best movie which did win best picture, Braveheart, wasn't best ensemble material

  • Manu

    What about the best actress race? Do we have a clear front runner after the SAGs?

    • Chris138

      If the Academy doesn't give Emmanuelle Riva the Oscar then I'd say Jennifer Lawrence will likely win judging by tonight's results.

  • Dale

    I think "Argo" will win best picture. I think one of the reasons is that many of the Academy voters now realize how unforgivably slighted Ben Affleck was in not being nominated for director and will try to "make amends" by voting it best picture. I also believe that given Affleck's absence from the director nominations list, they'll award Spielberg best director. I'm thinking Day-Lewis, Lawrence, Hathaway, and DeNiro in the acting categories.

    • Geri

      I agree that "Argo" will most likely win, however I wouldn't count out "Life of Pi". It is by far the most popular of the nominated films worldwide - LIP-$525 million, "Argo"-$189 million, "Lincoln"-$182 million, "Silver Linings Playbook"-$86 million, "Les Miserables"-$311 million, "Django Unchained"-$258 million, "Amour"-$15 million, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"-$11.5 million and "Zero Dark Thirty"-$78 million.

      • Geri

        Sorry, I hit "reply" too soon. "Life of Pi" is not only a visual feast for the eyes, it screams to be seen on the big screen. None of the other nominees has that going for it, with the possible exception of Les Mis. More than $100 million of LIP's box office came in the US - based mostly on word of mouth. You have to admit the trailers looked awful. LIP also has the fact that it's based on a wicked-popular novel that no one thought could be filmed.

  • Kiwi

    I'm curious, could Argo win best picture without winning anything else at the oscars?

    It's nominated for 7 oscars in total. However, supporting actor seems to be its next strongest category. All other technical awards seem to have strong favorites (not argo) already. Makes me wonder if its possible to win BP by itself, especially considering its not nominated for director. Has this ever happened before?

    • Chris138

      The 1935 version of Mutiny on the Bounty was nominated for 8 Oscars and only won for Best Picture. I don't know if there are any other examples but that's one that came to mind.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Orhan94/ Orhan94

        Also "Grand Hotel", which was only nominated in the category it won, "Best Picture".

  • Chris138

    I like Anne Hathaway but does anyone get a feeling she's going to give a really obnoxious and annoying speech at the Oscars? I'm thinking it will be along the lines of Gwyneth Paltrow's speech, with the crying and everything.

  • Buddy

    Picture: Argo
    Director: Spielberg/Haneke (surprise in this category is open without affleck)
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Actress: Jessica Chastain (she's older, academy can reward lawrence other performances in the future)
    Supp Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Supp Actor : Tommy Lee Jones (could be DeNiro)

    Regards from Indonesia

  • Wolfgang Hamilton

    I disagree with 'Zero Dark Thirty' being entertaining. It was a borefest until the last twenty minutes and even then it was still too little, too late. I also doubt that the Academy will "go with their heart." Please. Any competition that can be bought has no fucking heart. Tell that fucking shit to the tourists.

  • Wolfgang Hamilton

    Also, does it seem like the Academy is patting themselves on the back a lot this year?? Every nominee for Best Supporting Actor has already won at least once in the past. Can't make any room for the TRUE Best Supporting Actor this year, can we?? (And you all know who he is ... )

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

      Ummm...no, please enlighten us. As far as I'm concerned, Philip Seymour Hoffman should win Best Supporting Actor pretty handily for his phenomenal performance in The Master but that film was clearly too complex for the Academy.

      Can't say I saw this coming...not "this" meaning tonight's win but "this" being Argo's run. It looked like this might be the first year in a while with a true, open "race" and now it's looking more like a clear front-runner with a couple slight upset possibilities. I'm still not counting out Silver Linings Playbook due to the Weinstein influence, but considering Argo pats Hollywood on the back, I think it'll keep votes. And aside from Actor and Supporting Actress, many of the other races still look pretty interesting.

      Come Oscar night, the first few awards will speak volumes. If somehow Alan Arkin wins Supporting Actor, no point in even watching the Best Picture announcement. Same goes for Terrio winning Adapted Screenplay or an Editing win. However, if Argo falls short in all three of those things could get very tense...as someone interestingly asked above, COULD Argo win Best Picture without winning a single other award? Something seems very wrong about that idea...but right now, it's the favorite.

      • kiwi

        Agree with you Sir Trey. My guess would be, if Argo wins BP it will carry with it 2 other awards (one of the 3 you mentioned), or nothing at all.

        I like Argo a lot, but I just don't love it enough to call it BP, especially in a year when there are so many great films. I'd still like to see Pi winning BP, although the chances are getting slimmer by the day unless it wins at DGA and BAFTA. Although Ang Lee still has a shot at Best Director, given ZDT's and Argo's absences for that nomination. (No I refuse to call it a snub, because all 5 nominees are very deserving. It's definitely a surprise though).

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

          I agree about the Argo point, disagree about Pi...I certainly enjoyed it, but if I was a one-man Best Picture nomination committee and had to nominate ten films, Pi wouldn't have made the cut. I thought it was visually spectacular but relatively bogged down otherwise, and I have no such qualms saying "snub", especially regarding Bigelow and Paul Thomas Anderson. Maybe it's unfair or no one can really tell but I'm less inclined to give Lee the nod for Pi over those two because it seems like so much of the film was CGI. and taking that in mind I wasn't as impressed with his work here as I was with those other two directors above, or Affleck's.

          • kiwi

            "I'm less inclined to give Lee the nod for Pi over those two because it seems like so much of the film was CGI"

            I'm sad that you think the film is worth less just because there is a lot of computer graphics involved in the making. It probably takes even more "directing" or coordination when there's substantial amount of CGI.

            • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

              It's not that I think the overall film is "worth less" in any sense; both The Avengers and Prometheus would make my top ten and they're chock-full of CGI. But I'm less inclined to give directors the credit as much as the film overall or other parts of it (i.e I wouldn't nominate Scott or Whedon for Best Director, though I'd give Whedon a nod for Screenwriting) because unlike the directors for a more live-action film where they have to frame the scene based on what's there, through CGI they can basically make it look like whatever they want.

              I think the VFX team for Life of Pi should win the Oscar, easily, and I'm certainly not saying that visual effects are easy. What I'm saying is that I've always figured that great visual effects DO make the director's job a bit easier because the scene can be adjusted to fit their vision, instead of adjusting their vision to best fit the scene.

  • Winchester

    Well I still haven't seen Argo so I can't comment on whether it is a film I would support for Best Picture (it honestly just doesn't appeal to me all that much but that has nothing to do with it's quality).

    But does anyone else start to feeling that this run of wins is really more about the Affleck directing snub than necessarily the actual film? Excuse me for going out on a limb but Affleck is popular within Hollywood and I'm wondering if people are now doing a kind of voting backlash in favour of it.

    In that vein, I may concur that little will stop it winning Best Picture if only to allow them to give Affleck something. And in that case Best Director almost becomes irrelevant since this year's voting will be (possibly more than usual) not about the movies but about one guy who was snubbed.

    I can't prove that. It's just a thought.

    • Flo

      That's exactly what I was thinking. How else could one explain Argo winning best ensemble without winning anything else. I mean, only Arkin was nominated for supporting and even he didn't win although this category was wide open. That just seems really irrational to me.

      I have seen Argo and I liked. Did Affleck deserve to be nominated at the oscars? Probably. Does Argo deserve to win all the major awards because of that "snub"? I really don't think so.

      Still. I'm not counting on the Academy giving Argo best picture.

    • AJ

      I can believe that sympathies for Affleck would help at the SAG awards, as many actors would like to direct and may take his snub in the Oscars as a dismissal of actor/directors in general. I don't see it being a big factor with the critics or producers, myself. Lord only knows with the Golden Globes.

      I suspect, however, that the results would be much the same had Affleck made the Best Director category after all.

    • Newbourne

      The Critic's Choice and Golden Globes voting periods ended before the Oscar nominees were announced. Your theory is just plain wrong.

      • Winchester

        Perhaps in part. But at those points Affleck was being tipped for the nomination which never came so whose to say it isn't starting to become a factor now?

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/kylejames182/ kyle coley

    i really didn't want LINCOLN to win, rather have argo or SLP

  • Liathach

    I don't want a self-congratulatory, historically inaccurate, xenophobic movie which lauds the CIA to win Best Picture. And that's purely on principle, because I haven't even seen it!

    If Affleck had been nominated for Best Director, then who else would have been 'snubbed'? Haneke? David O Russell? I don't think he's been snubbed at all.

    The Hollywood Reporter points out that directors number only 6% of Academy members, which is pretty insignificant when it comes to voting for Best Picture, so maybe the whole idea that a movie can't win if its director isn't nominated is just plain wrong.

  • Ooze33

    I guess Jessica Chastain wasn't Zero Dark Flirty enough.

    • http://hypethemovies.wordpress.com Jordan B.

      +1.

  • Newbourne

    Apollo 13? Why are you going so far back? Did you forget about Brokeback Mountain?

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/SirTrey/ Sir Trey

      Crash won the SAG Award for Best Ensemble...

  • Dale

    Jennifer Lawrence has class with a capital "C."