Oscar Predictions

2013 Oscar Predictions: We Have a New #1 in the Race for Best Picture

'Les Miserables' drops from #1, which film replaces it?

Daniel Day-Lewis in LincolnI have still not seen Zero Dark Thirty, Django Unchained or The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, but after watching Les Miserables last night it is rather clear to me it is a certain Best Picture nominee and should lock down three acting nominations for Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe and Anne Hathaway, the latter of which you can pretty much sew up Best Supporting Actor right now as her rendition of "I Dreamed a Dream" will leave you floored. (And on a side note, Samantha Barks is great!)

However, after keeping Les Miserables at #1 since I first revealed my predictions back in September it is time for a switch.

Almost immediately after seeing Lincoln it felt like a film the Academy would eat up and now after seeing Les Mis it's quite clear Lincoln has a little more of that general appeal Academy members tend to go for along with top notch performances, particularly one from Daniel Day-Lewis that will find him breaking an Oscar record this year.

This isn't to say the tide still can't shift back into Les Mis' favor. After all, there is still an embargo on reviews and many have still yet to see it. I am only speaking based on my own personal feeling of what the Academy will vote for and the buzz that is currently in the air. To that effect, this weekend still holds a lot of possibility for this race as two more films will become even more widely seen.

On top of additional screenings of Zero Dark Thirty this weekend and throughout next week, critics and award season pundits will begin screening Django Unchained and The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey. So far there is really nothing out there on either of the latter two films, but you can guarantee by Monday the chatter will be quite lively.

One film I also don't want to forget to mention is Argo, which I'm now beginning to wonder if it can, in any way, leapfrog to the top. Audiences and critics are loving it and it's made just shy of $150 million worldwide, which is impressive given the fact it's a political-minded adult feature. But can it top the epic nature of Lincoln, which Dreamworks is pushing hard and surely has more in store? I don't think it can, but I've been known to be wrong before.

Just below are my latest predictions for Best Picture. You can get my full field of 19 contenders right here.

  1. Lincoln
  2. Les Miserables
  3. Argo
  4. Silver Linings Playbook
  5. Zero Dark Thirty
  6. Life of Pi
  7. Beasts of the Southern Wild
  8. Moonrise Kingdom
  9. The Master
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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/HarryFuertes/ Harry Fuertes

    It seems to me you enjoyed it. However, I still think Les Mis is the front runner due to its perfect release date, cast, crew, and it will probably have the most nominations of the night. Lincoln will be second place and Zero Dark Thirty wil be third.

    • http://hypethemovies.wordpress.com Jordan B.

      I'm with Harry Fuertes.

  • Winchester

    When the first screenings buzz on Les Mis came out I said last week I believed Best Picture was going to feature Lincoln and Les Mis as locks that would be fighting it out for the big awards.

    The rest would be more fluid depending on how screenings and momentum develops.

    I think these two films will ultimately split the biggest share of the nominations and possibly wins as well.

  • bill

    I love Lincoln, I hope to love les mis, either way one things for sure...WE HAVE A RACE!

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

    Look at how great those ten movies are! This is a race between great movies unlike most years. Such a strong year.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Criterion10/ Criterion10

      Have to disagree here. Lincoln was mediocre, Argo very good but forgettable, same with Moonrise Kingdom, and I had flaws with The Master (though this is one that I need to see again). I haven't seen the other five, but will hopefully be changing that soon. I've stated before that I find this year to be rather unremarkable. I actually thought last year was rather good with films like Shame, Drive, We Need To Talk About Kevin, Tree of Life, etc.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

        My least favorite from that list above is Argo. I haven't seen Les Mis or Zero Dark but even so, Argo gets a B- from me. It works while it's on screen but it doesn't stick with a viewer. That's pretty great for Best Pic. I mean Extremely Loud was nominated last year. Outside of the Best Pic race though, I've seen movies I'll be watching for years. Perks, Holy Motors, Looper, This is 40, The Sessions, ETC. I also need to watch The Master again. I've found myself thinking about that movie lately.

        Last year, those four films were literally, the strongest films of the year. Everything else was pretty mediocre. Everything good just seems to be coming out late-year this year. Ya gotta check out some of the things out now. I loved Lincoln, so I think that's where we disagree slightly.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Criterion10/ Criterion10

          I do still have a lot of movies to see, I'll definitely admit to that. With last year though, I thought the selection of movies was great, but just that the Academy made poor choices.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

          See dude, it's not just me. But to be fair, the Best Picture lineup is usually pathetic. So, this year isn't special or anything. You're normally lucky to get 1 or 2 great films nominated. A day needs to come when people stop pretending like getting nominated for Best Picture = great movie or that great movies WILL get nominated for Best Picture. More often than not, it means the opposite.

      • Travis

        I actually agree with him. As a whole, I find that while the good films can hold their own (although aren't the best, I'll give you(, the average are better than most films over the last few years

      • http://www.twitter.com/marlonwallace marlonwallace

        With the exception of "Tree of Life," none of the films from last year you listed got nominated for Best Picture. Brad's list represents the likely nominees, but probably only one or two will make his personal favorites for the year, as is the case with most people who think and write about movies. I don't think you can ever truly judge how well a year is by just the Oscar nominees for Best Picture. Like Aleonardis says too many good ones get overlooked like "Holy Motors" or "Looper."

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

          Even some bad movies I've seen this year are impeccably crafted! Woman in Black, Mirror Mirror, Dark Shadows, Men In Black, Snow White, Rock of Ages, Prometheus, Savages, John Carter, Flight, Rise of the Guardians, Paranorman, etc. All these movies have strong craft and some people would even call them good. Whereas last year, movies really just fell flat. I've had more A and B range movies this year than C, D, or F range films.

          • JAB

            If craft was the only criteria for Best Films of... then I don't think I'd ever have trouble filling out a Top 10 or even a Top 20 each year, but ultimately it all rests on story & the elements that make it work.

            • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

              I'm not trying to say that craft is what only makes a good movie. It IS the story and how it resonates for a specific viewer that makes it a good movie or your favorite. I'm just trying to say that the films that have been lacking in those two departments haven't been utter fiascos. Every movie I've seen this year is watchable and I think, like I said above, show a level of craft last years films forgot about. This years film were noble failures or misfires more than genuinely bad movies. (Except for The Lorax.)

              Just for Reference: My Top 10 of 2012 So Far...
              1: Holy Motors
              2: Perks of Being a Wallflower
              3: Silver Linings Playbook
              4: Looper
              5: Life of Pi
              6: Lincoln
              7: This is 40
              8: The Sessions
              9: The Dark Knight Rises
              10: The Master

              And I'd probably have ten more honorable mentions. I can probably make a top 20 of this year. It just seems that a lot of films this year are coming down to personal taste and or willingness to accept the subject and or genre.

      • sela

        and none of the interesting movies you said were good from last year minus tree of life (which is ridiculous and dumb) got best picture nominations. Best picture is the old white man's game...this is life (not tree of life, because that junk was absurd).

  • jess E.

    My two cents. Although I have heard some good things about "Les Miserables" from those that have seen it I have heard also hear that "Les Miserables" will be a film that you either love or will hate. I haven't heard that about "Lincoln" which by the way I favor as top film of this year thus far not having seen "Les" or "Zero" or "Silver Lining Playbook" which I heard is a rather silly romantic drama and comes close to being irresponsible as far as mental sickness is concerned. I have read where they say "Argo" is a lightweight in that it doesn't break any new ground and "Zero" as being another dark Middle East yarn that most movie goer shun. BTW, what about another favorite of mine. The monumental achievement of the "The Dark Knight Rises". I mean "Flight", "The Master" or "Moonrise" and "Pi" both of which I liked a lot doesn't even come close to the accomplishments of TDKR. IMHO, since I don't get to vote.

    • Jesse514

      Conpletely agree with you regarding The Dark Knight Rises but unfortunately it's not the type of film the Academy's going to nominate. If it was up for me I would but realistically speaking it doesn't stand a chance (I pray to be proven wrong!) The fact that most people enjoyed The Dark Knight more (I'm more for Rises) doesn't push it's luck but I do have a feeling it'll be recognized more then we think!

  • adu

    Yes, this is the best Best Picture Oscar race I have seen at least, even the other nominees will be movie I am likely to enjoy; dont think I can say that looking at previous years.

  • adu

    Brad,

    Just out of curiosity, when are you attending the sceenings for The Hobbit & Django Unchained? I am looking forward to your reviews of both, particularly the former title, knowing your anticipation for it has never been high.

  • http://hypethemovies.wordpress.com Jordan B.

    Surprised to see you still have The Master clinging to nominee status. That, and I'm intrigued by you actually moving The Hobbit down. Any particular reason for that?

  • The Dude

    I really am not feeling it for Lincoln. I don't see a ton of love for it, just a lot of appreciation.

  • Ron Oneal Fresh

    Brad

    It sounds like you love Les Miserable for the Oscars, but is it one of the films you'll forget about a month after the Academy Awards show takes place?

  • jess E.

    I am thinking that Daniel Day-Lewis will be remembered for his portrayal of "Lincoln" just like we remember George C. Scott as "Patton". BTW, quite the contrary, most people I know that have seen the film "Lincoln" are in awe of it mostly due to the overpowering performances in the film and I might add by all involved.

  • Ron Oneal Fresh

    I wonder would "The Master" Oscar chances fared better If its September date was switch w/ Killing Them Softy which is opening this week.

    There was so much analytical dissection of "The Master".

    Perhaps too early in Oscar season?

  • Anymouse

    I liked "Lincoln," and I respect it for what it is, but apart from Daniel Day-Lewis' extraordinary performance, I don't find it all too memorable. I think Academy members will shower it with votes, but will they be enough to secure it a win? I don't know. While I've not seen "Les Mis," I still think it has more going for it. The release date is a big advantage, and the fact that it's the first musical since "Chicago" to be seriously considered as a major player is important. Let's not forget, it'll be 10 years since "Chicago" won its Oscar. I think a lot of Academy voters will think it's high time that a musical film was honored again, and it's uncertain when another musical will be adapted in the scope "Les Mis" has been. Perhaps it'll take another 10 years for it to happen. Some food for thought.

    While it's true "Les Mis" will be a divisive film, especially among the people who dislike musicals as a whole, I don't think any other film has been showered with such high praise this year. Someone wrote an article saying that it might have been the best film he's ever seen. The fact is, this one has so much buzz surrounding it already, and I have no doubt there'll be a ton of glowing reviews posted once the embargo is lifted. If it really plays to its audience, I really do think the momentum that'll be built will be very difficult to top. While "Lincoln" has momentum, I'm not sure it'll be enough to overcome what "Les Mis" will bring. But it's early days yet, and it's still anyone's game.

  • SohoDriver

    Let's not forget The King's Speech won the oscar two years ago and the Academy is rather fickle. Has another director ever won 2 best pictures in a row with successive films?

    • Winchester

      The last closest wins were Oliver Stone in 86 and 89. Prior to that if you quite far back into Oscar history then I think John Ford won back to back Best Director Oscars waaaaaaaaaay back and a couple of others may have won twice over a short period but if Hooper did do it then it would be the first time in decades.

      But I actually think Spielberg has the edge just now, though I'm willing to consider a Picture/Director split between the two, with Les Mis taking Picture and Spielberg Director.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

        If a split is happening, Kathryn Bigelow is winning for directing. All I've been hearing is how tight it is. And for a 2 hour and 45 minute movie that's an accomplishment. It just seems like the most directed big feature in the race. Plus nobody doesn't like it at the moment. Some are hating Les Mis whereas Lincoln is a consensus piece if there ever was one. So if I had to choose winners, which is futile since we haven't even seen the nominees...

        Best Pic: Lincoln

        Best Director: Bigelow

        Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis

        Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence

        Best Supporting Actor: IDK, completely up in the air.

        Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (The consolation win for the film in the big categories.)

        Wouldn't it be crazy if Django came in and mopped the floors with everybody? Shaking up the Pic, Director, and Supporting Actor races?

        • Winchester

          There's no way to say for sure but I've read some remarks from people who claim to have seen ZDK that it isn't until the last 45 minutes it brings itself together. But I've not seen it so.............

          Not being a Tarantino fan I can't claim to be rooting for Django in any meaningful way, but there's been a lot of talk about it scoring in the acting categories. So that could happen as well.

          • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

            I don't know what you mean by bring itself together but, the first two hours are essentially the buildup to the Bin Laden raid and the last 45 minutes are the execution of the raid. If for two hours I'm watching political and military gobeldygook and I'm engaged then that's impressive. I haven't seen it so I shouldn't be semi-praising based on a reaction of a review but you have to go on something when predicting the race.

            I've hear DiCaprio's name thrown around obviously but also Sam Jackson seems to be getting a few notices. DiCaprio could win it all finally and the memes about him being sad at awards shows can finally stop!

            • Winchester

              The impression I got was that it was the opposite of 'tight' really and that it didn't actually get interesting until (it sounds like) the raid part begins.

              I don't know how I'll find it obviously. I don't even know when I'll see ZDT as it isn't at this point of great interest either unfortunately. That could change later.

              • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

                Zero Dark was nowhere on my radar, then people saw it and raved. A 97 on metacritic with 6 reviews and the 100 on RT with 13 is pretty amazing. Considering that it's not even coming out till January 11th wide is what's contributing to my interest and longing to see it as well.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Snicket/ Snicket

    I should have provided some background on the True/False questions. Most of my questions come from the trivia sections of IMDB (which is somewhat questionable I admit) so I will definitely dig a little deeper when I do questions for next week.

    Also, RE: the James Bond trivia, Thunderball was the other film he gets shot in.

    Also I'm a bit disappointed to hear Les Mis is out of Brad's top contender status. I liked Lincoln fine but its just so made for the win I was wishing for something just a bit different.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ian/ Ian

    Brad, I'm assuming you watched the screener you posted the image of yesterday on Facebook, as opposed to seeing it in a theatre? I only ask because you've said yourself that the setting can greatly influence your opinion of a film (I specifically remember this being the case for you with Inglourious Basterds). I haven't seen the film of course, but it just seems hasty to me to drop it upon a first viewing when it's been the frontrunner from the getgo, everyone at the early screenings has loved it, and you yourself seemed to like it. I think we all want to see a real race for Best Picture, but I remember last year there was talk of whether The Descendents could leapfrog The Artist. I think that was just people trying to create the illusion of a race, when in fact there never was one; from the day The Artist screened at Cannes it was going to win. And Les Mis just seems like that same kind of film. It just seems to me that it'll be more palatable to the Academy than Lincoln, which is really just Daniel Day-Lewis, a few other good performances, and tolerable technical execution. Maybe I'm wrong and there will be a race between these two (at least we know the Globes won't shed any light on anything), but I still think Les Mis is the clear frontrunner. I don't mean to sound condescending because I definitely respect your opinion. But that's just how I see it.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

      Nobody doesn't like Lincoln. It's the movie that's going to get the most number one votes on peoples ballots and also show up in the 2-5 slots on people ballots. Les Mis might not even show up on some peoples ballots. Remember that people are still ambivalent towards musicals. Lincoln is more like The Artist of this year, it just so happens that all the films in the running are 50 times stronger than the entire slate of frontrunners from last year including Lincoln.

    • Christophe

      It's way too early to call the shots for any of these two, but Lincoln and Les Misérables are clearly the two frontrunners, at least they are to me, and honestly I think they've been frontrunners all year, and now it seems they're delivering according to expectations. This fight will be be down to the wire, maybe even down to the last ballot to reach a majority of votes in the BP category. I wonder if a tie could happen under the current voting system. It could definitely happen in another category.

  • jess E.

    Just for fun and because I have the time I took Brads list and did the following. The only guage of critical consenus I have found comes for RT. So here is how film critics see it and also some movie goers.

    1. Lincoln:...................Critics..90%............moviegoers...88%
    2. Les Miserables........none yet
    3. Argo........................Critics 95%.............moviegoers...94%..
    4. Silver Lining.. ..........Critics 90% ..........moviegoers...87%
    5. Zero Dark30.............none yet
    6. Life of Pi...................Critics...87%.........moviegoers...90%
    7. Beasts of So. Wild....Critics...86%.........moviegoers...83%
    8. Moonrise Kingdom...Critics...94%..........moviegoers...88%....
    9. The Master...............Critics...85% ........moviegoers...60%

    10. The Dark Knight Rises.....Critics 87%....Moviegoers..92%. .

  • Helgi

    All this talk about awards months ahead makes me sick. People even comment before they have seen the movies, probably based on their opinion of such and such. Sick to the core. Watch more, talk less. But then, web-sites get sore.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

      If commenting about predictions for Oscar nominations and wins, your own personal opinion is didley. I've seen all but two mentioned in the article above and for the two I have not seen, I check out the wide breadth of info and reactions that other people have disclosed online. I use that info and history and the demographic of the academy to educate my predictions and I'd say Brad does the same with his Oscar coverage. I can't speak for all the RoS oscar watchers but I'd say we're pretty respectful and no nonsense about it.

      Predicting nominations isn't such a bad thing. It's when the person who is predicting said nominations, basically campaigns for one specific movie over another. I wish there wasn't campaigning from the studios or Oscar prognosticating but that's not going to change now that we're to this point. No need to get sick...

  • Jarrod

    Yeah, I don't think Crowe will earn a nomination for Best Supporting Actor for his role in 'Les Miserables'. There are elements of his performance that I like: his vulnerability in his final scene, his genuine struggle in the sequence where he thinks he has made a mistake in regards to Jean Valjean's true identity. However, he's pretty dull in other sequences, and it's difficult to get a read on the character's interior life during his thousand yard stares. Much more impressive is Eddie Redmayne, who does much, much more with his less interesting character. I am not sure if Jackman will be nominated either: he does fine with his material, but the screenplay focuses less on Jean Valjean in the second half, to the point where he's missing for large segments of the film. Finally, if I were a betting man, I would put my life savings on Hathaway's win: she IS the film, and the film loses much of its energy and poignancy when she leaves.

  • Chris

    Really pulling for Silver Linings to get a Weinstein push. Though they supported their side horribly, I agree more with the /filmcast crew on Lincoln. I really did not like Lincoln and would not like it to win. Les Mis does not impress me yet. Really want Argo, Silver Linings, or Django(just for QT even though we haven't seen it) to win

  • JAB

    Agree with everything you say about "Argo", but I love "Lincoln" as much as I do "Argo". This is where people like Tommy Lee Jones & others (the names of Brando & George C. Scott come to mind) who hate these "competitions" cannot be faulted.
    I suspect that I'm going to love "Zero Dark Thirty" as much as those two films. I can't wait to revisit "The Dark Knight Rises" next week on Blu-Ray.

  • Topy

    I think Les Mis still wins.

  • Arturo

    Don't think it is much of a race this year, Les Mis will probably still take it, unless it really does not live up to it's expectations or there is a surprise this month. However I do think that Argo and Lincoln do have the best shot at beating Les Mis. Imo opinion Lincoln will only take Best Actor and best Adaptive Screenplay.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Aleonardis/ Aleonardis

      Les Mis and Lincoln are in a dead heat. Argo is waning but it's horse would be the underdog and one to be a spoiler. Zero Dark is a thoroughbred waiting to happen and Django is a wild card. Les Mis isn't as loved as you might think. Some people have been walking out hating Les Mis. Nobody has walked out of Lincoln, Argo, or Zero Dark hating it. Lincoln would grab the most consensus number one votes on a ballot. Les Mis won't be getting a whole lot of number one votes.

  • Richard

    I saw Lincoln a few weeks ago and honestly didn't like it as much as I thought I would. I really wanted to after all the buzz but it simply wasn't for me. Not that it isn't a good film because it is. Daniel Day Lewis was good, didn't necessarily move me as much though. The performances that have really stuck with me are Tommy Lee Jones and Sally Field. I truly hope Jones can win the Oscar, his performance was terrific. I would like Sally Field to win, but there is no way that is happening as Anne Hathaway has that locked down. I'm real excited for Les Mis, Hathaway deserves this Oscar. She is a terrific actress.

    • jess E.

      To each His own and like I stated above I still have to see three films that are in the discussion, but, as for me, I am swinging from the seats for "Lincoln" to win and I have seen it twice already and the second time was better than the first. I don't think there is any film that will surpass it as Best Picture this year. "Lincoln" is a powerhouse of a movie and yes, despite some naysayers, the film does have heart and warmth and people are affected as many are coming out of the film crying. By the way there was hearty applause at both screening from the folks.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Travis/ Travis

    I'm going down swinging on Les Mis, through my own bias based on love of the musical. If Lincoln wins, or Argo, then so be it, they are good films, I just won't not root for Les Mis

  • http://cinesnatch.blogspot.com Vince Smetana

    I trust you Brad, but I hope it switches back, as you've alluded it might still do.

  • Beautifulm

    I think this is the film that is going to be hyped to infinity and beyond.

  • Newbourne

    These are all the movies I've seen this year from Most to Least liked. I haven't seen that much; most of my moviegoing this year has been from earlier years. But here are the 30 movies I've seen this year, but here's a disclaimer, only the top 4 really stuck with me. Nothing else has wowed me.

    Life of Pi
    Killing them Softly
    Argo
    Jeff, who lives at Home
    The Cabin in the Woods
    The Grey
    Friends with Kids
    Butter
    Savages
    Chronicle
    Safety not Guaranteed
    The Words
    The Amazing Spiderman
    The Hunger Games
    The Dark Knight Rises
    Prometheus
    The Avengers
    Hope Springs
    Safe House
    Wreck-it-Ralph
    Ted
    American Reunion
    Looper
    The Vow
    Total Recall
    John Carter
    Dark Shadows
    What to Expect when You're Expecting
    Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2
    Snow White and the Huntsman man

    **I'll be seeing Rise of the Guardians, ParaNorman, Flight, Moonrise Kingdom, End of Watch, Lincoln and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel soon. Can't wait to see them bump down some others from the top of the list.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/TheMovieGuru/ The Movie Guru

    I have only had three, maybe four films that I have just absolutely loved this year. And those are (in order): Argo, Skyfall, The Dark Knight Rises and maybe The Avengers. I liked several other films but none were ones that I love.

  • Eric

    I don't understand all the hullabaloo around "Argo." I enjoyed the film despite the overdramatized, nonfactual climax, but nothing about it made me think Best Picture. Beyond that, I may see "Lincoln" this evening and will probably see "Les Mis" on Christmas, so I'm not in much of a position to judge the awards race at this point.

    My favorite film of the year so far was the documentary "The Imposter." Months after I saw it, it's the only film this year I'm still telling my friends to look for in case it shows up somewhere. I certainly hope it's nominated as best feature documentary.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/DiscoPaco/ Disco Paco

    In case anyone was wondering which record Brad was referring to. If Day-Lewis wins he would have the most Best Actor awards with 3 (My Left Foot, TWBB and Lincoln). Other notable records in the category -

    One actor has won four Academy Awards:
    Katharine Hepburn (4 Best Actress)

    Four actors have each won three Academy Awards:
    Ingrid Bergman (2 Best Actress, 1 Best Supporting Actress)
    Jack Nicholson (2 Best Actor, 1 Best Supporting Actor)
    Meryl Streep (2 Best Actress, 1 Best Supporting Actress)
    Walter Brennan (3 Best Supporting Actor)

  • Ross

    I would be very surprised to see The Hobbit not nominated, given how much love the academy has given TLOTR already (17 wins out of 30 nominations)

  • Ting

    I don't get all the fuzz about Silver Linings Playbook. It was just a run of the mill story, and de Niro has delivered way better performances. Argo is interesting, well acted and intense. It keeps you focused.

    • Risa

      Totally agree. Liked Argo but Affleck needs to start casting someone else for such intense roles.

  • Risa

    My Top films of the year so far:

    Cloud Atlas
    Les Mis
    Killer Joe
    Moonrise Kingdom
    The Sessions
    Lincoln
    Argo
    Flight
    Frankenweenie

    Silver Linining was Russell's weakest film yet, if you don't count Huckabees - L enjoyed Spanking the Monkey more, as was The Dark Knight Rises for Nolan. Neither of those deserves a single nomination but Lawrence might get one probably, even though she had a far more challenging role in Winter's Bone. Still to watch Zero Dark Thirty of course, and The Master.

  • jennyprice

    Someone commented that they would need to see The Master again. No, you really don't. It's was horrible the first time. Good acting in a film meandering around.

  • jennyprice

    Btw, for Cinematography, I pick Roger Deakins for Skyfall.