Oscar Predictions

2013 Oscar Predictions - Our Picks and Your Turn to Vote!

All 24 categories predicted, from Best Picture to Best Documentary Short

2013 Oscar predictions
Photo: AMPAS

I'm going out on a limb on a couple of my 2013 Oscar predictions, but I don't think any of these predictions are so wild as to be surprising or so outrageously crazy a miracle would have to happen for them to come true.

Like most years, this year's Oscars has its share of locks. This year that includes Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) for Best Actor, Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) for Best Supporting Actress, Amour for Best Foreign Language Film and Searching for Sugar Man for Best Documentary.

Then you have your "most likely" winners, which includes Argo for Best Picture, Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook), Claudio Miranda (Life of Pi) for Best Cinematography, Adele's "Skyfall" for Best Song, Mychael Danna (Life of Pi) for Best Score and it would seem Curfew and Paperman have their respective Best Short Film categories wrapped up.

However, there is still a lot left to explore. Best Director, Best Supporting Actor, Best Animated Film and even the Best Screenplay categories could go several ways. My predictions in the Sound categories don't match up with other prognosticators and I'm trying to figure out whether or not Anna Karenina will be able to hold on in Costumes and Production Design considering it floundered upon release.

But I'll get into all of that and then some directly below while you will also have the chance to vote in the poll for each category. And remember to vote on who you think will win, not who you want to win.

The Oscars will take place this Sunday, February 24 and we will be here live-blogging the event as well as providing breaking news alerts with the winners. It should be fun and I hope you'll join us... Now let's get to the predictions...

Best Picture

MY PICK: Argo

ArgoThe way I see it, Argo is the only choice here after it won the Critics Choice, Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild, BAFTA, Producers Guild and Directors Guild Awards. I'm sure people will throw history in your face such as Apollo 13 and the fact Ben Affleck isn't nominated for Best Director, but I don't think that will make a lick of difference.

If you want an alternate, my first would be Silver Linings Playbook and my second would be Lincoln. Vote with confidence.

Best Picture

  • Argo (839 Votes)
  • Lincoln (150 Votes)
  • Silver Linings Playbook (143 Votes)
  • Amour (72 Votes)
  • Django Unchained (58 Votes)
  • Zero Dark Thirty (47 Votes)
  • Life of Pi (37 Votes)
  • Les Misérables (19 Votes)
  • Beasts of the Southern Wild (12 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,366

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Best Actor

MY PICK: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)

Daniel Day-LewisDaniel Day-Lewis is going to win this. If you vote for someone else I would suggest you probably didn't read the fifth paragraph above all that closely.

Best Actor

  • Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) (1,165 Votes)
  • Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) (76 Votes)
  • Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables) (44 Votes)
  • Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) (37 Votes)
  • Denzel Washington (Flight) (18 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,339

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Best Actress

MY PICK: Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)

Jennifer LawrenceA lot of people seem confident Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) is going to pull of the win here, but I can't abandon Jennifer Lawrence this late in the game.

Best Actress

  • Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) (827 Votes)
  • Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) (315 Votes)
  • Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) (180 Votes)
  • Naomi Watts (The Impossible) (33 Votes)
  • Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild) (16 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,370

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Best Supporting Actor

MY PICK: Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)

Robert De NiroThe only name among this list of nominees that seems to be off the board is Alan Arkin, other than that, it's a crap shoot. Will De Niro win over the voters with his championship-like campaigning? Will Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) win for his second Quentin Tarantino film in a row? Will Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) come out of the darkness? Or will Tommy Lee Jones leave his grumpy pants home and put on a smile. I'm betting on De Niro with Waltz my runner up... You?

Best Supporting Actor

  • Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) (498 Votes)
  • Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook) (397 Votes)
  • Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) (340 Votes)
  • Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) (120 Votes)
  • Alan Arkin (Argo) (22 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,376

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Best Supporting Actress

MY PICK: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)

Anne HathawayAgain, read that fifth paragraph above closely. If I see any votes for anyone other than Anne Hathaway I'll have to assume we have some pranksters in our midst.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables) (1,125 Votes)
  • Sally Field (Lincoln) (59 Votes)
  • Amy Adams (The Master) (44 Votes)
  • Helen Hunt (The Sessions) (28 Votes)
  • Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook) (27 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,283

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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Skyfall
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: John Williams – Lincoln
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: The Hobbit
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Open Heart
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Assad

    • http://cineenuruguay.blogspot.com/ Driver

      What about Best Animated Feature Film? Are you going with Brave?

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

        Whoops, accidentally left that one off. Yes, Brave it is.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/navaneethks/ navaneethks

    My Final Prediction

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo (I would like Life of Pi to win)
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Life of Pi
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: Les Mis (I would like The Hobbit)
    Best Documentary Short Subject: None watched
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): None watched

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/navaneethks/ navaneethks

      Best Animated Film: Brave

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/HarryFuertes/ Harry Fuertes

    I'm going out on a limb with a lot of these. I'm not taking many of the safe bets like I did last year. But I expect many surprises come this Sunday.

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Ang Lee- Life of Pi
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
    Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva- Amour
    Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro- Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Amour
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Mychael Danna- Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: Les Miserables
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Open Heart
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/HarryFuertes/ Harry Fuertes

      Best Animated Feature- Brave

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/DavidG/ David Gaillardetz

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro- Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Best Sound Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: The Hobbit
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Open Heart
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

  • http://cineenuruguay.blogspot.com/ Driver

    Picture: Argo
    Director: Steven Spielberg
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: I went with Waltz, but it just to close to call with De Niro.
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Animated Feature Film: Wreck-It Ralph
    Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Cinematography: Skyfall
    Editing: Argo
    Original Song: Skyfall
    Original Score: Life of Pi
    Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Production Design: Les Misérables
    Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Misérables
    Documentary Short Subject: Mondays at Racine
    Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Fox/ Fox

    Isn't there 24 categories? But I don't see any that you missed. . .I'm confused. . .

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      You're right, fixed.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ben/ Ben

    Picture: Argo
    Director: Speilbeg
    Actor: day Lewis
    Actress: Lawrence
    Sup. actor: waltz
    Sup. Actress: Hathaway
    Org sp: ZD30
    Ad sp: Argo
    Animated: brave
    Documentary: searching for sugar man
    Foreign: Amour
    Editing: Argo
    Cinematography: Life of pi
    Prod design: Anna karenina
    Hair and makeup: Les mis
    Costumes: mirror, mirror
    Visual effects: life of pi
    Sound editing: sky fall
    Sound mixing: les mis
    Org song: sky fall
    Org score: life of pi
    Live action short: curfew
    Animated short: paper man
    Doc short: open heart

  • Newbourne

    There's 24 awards, not 23.

    I always group them in three parts when blogging about them:

    1. Acting, Writing, and Music (8 awards)
    2. Technical Stuff (8 awards)
    3. Directing, Shorts and Best Movie awards (8 awards)

  • http://www.criterion.com/my_criterion/27913-criterion10 Criterion10

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
    Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Amour
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: Les Misérables
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

    I really don't feel confident in predicting Spielberg, but I can't picture the Academy giving it to anyone else, unless they really throw a curve ball and give it to someone like Haneke. I still feel that Riva is going to beat out Lawrence for a variety of reasons. Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay are the other categories that could really go anyway. I chose Christoph since he does have the support of the BAFTA and Golden Globe wins. I can't picture Tommy Lee Jones even with the support of the SAG win, and DeNiro hasn't really had much momentum until a late surge, courtesy of Harvey Weinstein. Screenplay is the tough one, because I can't see Zero Dark Thirty or Django winning, but I have a tough time seeing the Academy choosing to award a foreign language film in that category. Still, I went with Amour. I think the controversy has already buried ZDT, and I doubt the Academy will want to award Tarantino.

    • http://www.criterion.com/my_criterion/27913-criterion10 Criterion10

      And I forgot to put Brave for Best Animated Feature...

      • Art

        I'm curious what are your reasons for the Riva prediction? I'm not asking as a jerk, but rather for discussion purposes. She got the Bafta, many are saying it's a good predictor, but imo opinion the Globe is a better predictor in terms of winner. Every recent oscar best actress winner has also won a golden globe. Can't say the same for the Baftas as they have missed twice recently with Mulligan and Staunton.

        • http://www.criterion.com/my_criterion/27913-criterion10 Criterion10

          In addition to the BAFTA, she's a veteran. She's the oldest Oscar nominee in history, plus her birthday is on the date of the ceremony. She may not even be around for another Academy Awards, but Lawrence will almost certainly have another shot at a win. The multiple, surprise nominations for Amour does show strong support for the film as a whole, and the Oscar voter who released his thoughts yesterday even voted for Riva, despite not liking the film itself.

          • Art

            The oscar voter you mentioned also had Zero Dark Thirty winning best pic and Phoenix winning best actor, which I are too radical imo. As for surprises, SLP also surprised on its own with so many acting nominations. Thanks for the interesting facts on Riva's birthday, didn't know that. It's an exciting race, can't wait for Sunday. My personal favorite is Lawrence, but may the best actress win

          • Alex

            Riva isn't the oldest Oscar nominee, she's the oldest in the Best Actress category. Gloria Stuart was the oldest (at 87) nominee in history for Best Supporting Actress in Titanic... and she didn't win. So I wouldn't say old age is that strong a factor.

  • Art

    Two risky picks Brad: original screenplay and best supporting actor. I hope that you are right on best supporting actor. Plus Life of Pi could win more Oscars than predicted best picture winner Argo, haven't seen that in recent years. Am not 100% sure, but don't think even Crash got less than any film in 2006.

    Picture: Argo
    Director: Spielberg
    Lead Actor: Day-Lewis
    Lead Actress: Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: Waltz (Hoping De Niro)
    Supporting Actress: Hathaway
    Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Editing: Argo
    Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserable
    Score: Life of Pi

  • Yaz

    Really surprised if De Niro takes Supporting. Waltz, in my opinion, gave a better performance... Not to mention pretty much carried the film. I don't know how you'd even begin to compare that to De Niro, and one decent scene in Silver Linings.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/navaneethks/ navaneethks

      Exactly my point. De Niro doesn't stand out from SLB. But Waltz left an impression of Django Unchained.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Fox/ Fox

      Waltz might get penalized because he's not really a supporting actor. Also, his performance/ character is similar to what he won for three years ago.

      Waltz is kind of starting to remind me of George Clooney. Definitely a good actor, but always the same.

      De Niro at least strays out from his usual path to play a morally questionable father. In my opinion it is a layered role and one that's quite difficult to pull off. It may not be as "big and loud" as Waltz's or TLJ's, but De Niro brings a subtlety to it, and I found his character to be the most interesting in the film. By the end I still wasn't sure whether he cared about Pat or was simply trying to keep the 'juju' strong.

      • Art

        Good points Fox, I did enjoy both performances but my favorite was De Niro. I also felt that he did challenge himself with the different character and delivered a strong performance. as I put in my predictions I'm rooting for De Niro but think Waltz will take it. Great Avatar by the way, my personal favorite performance by Day-Lewis. The legend will get his third Oscar this Sunday.

      • http://www.twitter.com/GregDinskisk GregDinskisk

        I thought Dr. King Schultz and Hans Landa were completely different characters... I found exactly two similarities: German and they look for people for a living. Their ambitions, ideals, thoughts? Completely different...

        I do agree that he's the leading actor, though.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Fox/ Fox

          I may have been a little extreme. I guess if you look at the characters they are quite different, I think it's more Waltz's delivery of the lines. That could be attributed to both being QT movies, or even Waltz's German/Austrian accent.

    • dslacker

      My problem with Waltz - he was the lead actor - not supporting. Don't know if the Academy voters will feel the same.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

    My predictions are similar to most of Brad's especially Amour for screenplay

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
    Best Aupporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
    Best Original Screenplay: Amour
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Animated Film: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching For Sugar Man
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Lincoln
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup and Hair: Les Miserables
    Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Live action Short: Curfew
    Best Animated Short: Paperman
    Best Documentary Short: Open Heart

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

      Forgot these

      Best Original Song: "Skyfall" from Skyfall
      Best Original Score: Life of Pi

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/HelloKitty/ Hello Kitty

    I would love it if Ang Lee took home his second director's award for Life of Pi. Not a great movie but visually stunning. (Also, II really don't want Spielberg to win.)

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Kessler/ Kessler

    I agree with most of your predictions. Everything except Best Actress and Best Director. I think Riva will win because Lawrence is too young and Riva is much older and has been around longer. In other words, Lawrence has a better chance at coming back than Riva. And last year Viola Davis won the SAG and Meryl Streep won the BAFTA and the Oscar. I'm won't be shocked if Lawrence wins, but I'm going with Riva.

    Lincoln has lost a lot of momentum lately and I can't see Spielberg taking Best Director. I feel Ang Lee has a much better shot because of Life of Pi's chances in the technical categories. If Life of Pi wins the technical categories and Lincoln only wins Best Actor, I don't see why you would give Best Director to Spielberg over Lee. And Spielberg has already won twice.

    Out of all of these categories, Brave is the one that I'm really unhappy to pick. If Wreck-it Ralph can beat Brave, that'll make me very happy.

    It's gonna be really interesting to see who wins on Oscar night. It's refreshing to have an unpredictable and, potentially, surprising year, but at the same time, it's annoying when you're filling out your ballot.

    • Art

      Good points Kessler. I do think the age carries weight because there is a lot of older voters in the academy, but I personally don't think it carries as much weight as some people make it seem. As for the Bafta being a good predictor, I think the globe is an even better predictor for this category in terms of winner. You mentioned Streep winning the Bafta, well she also won the globe. Every recent oscar best actress winner has also won a golden globe. Can't say the same for the Baftas as they have missed twice recently with Mulligan and Staunton.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Kessler/ Kessler

        Thanks Art. Usually I don't think much of the BAFTAS, but I just have this feeling that Riva wins. I can't picture Lawrence winning. It really could go either way. This has been a strange year at the Oscars.

        If we're going by the Globes though, then the race should be between Chastain and Lawrence. That would make me much happier because I would rather see one of them win than Riva.

        • Art

          Yea it has been an interesting year, can't wait for Sunday.

  • chriscarmichael

    I just want Django to win everything it is nominated for. Its the ONLY deserving film. Everything else is either Been there done that ( Silver Linings Playbook,, Les mis, ZD30) , tecnically well made but not rewatchable (Argo, Lincoln) or just plain awful (Life of Pi and the worst cast of the year...just awful acting by the entire cast).
    Django is by far the most fun of all nominees and infinitely rewatchable and masterfully made. Waltz gives one of the best performances of all time (even though it is a lead performance; not supporting) .
    I also refuse to vote on the song and score category due to the facts that not one of the original songs from Django wer nominated and Cloud Atlas not being nominated for best Score when that had unarguably the best Score in at least 5 or 6 years.

    So, Django better win Supp. Actor and Original Screenplay or I am going to Scream and throw a glass bottle at my 55 inch Widescreen TV I am gonna b so pissed.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Andrew13/ Andrew13

    Picture: Argo
    Director: Ang Lee - Life of Pi
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
    Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
    Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Chris Terrio - Argo
    Best Animated Feature: Brave
    Best Foreign Film: Amour
    Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Hair and Makeup: The Hobbit
    Best Score: Life of Pi
    Best Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Animated Short: Paperman
    Best Documentary Short: Open Heart
    Best Live Action Short: Curfew

  • Joe Williams

    Brad - thanks so much for all of your prognostications... BTW, you really should take the time to see all 5 of the documentary shorts. i wasn't looking forward to sitting down and watching them, but they were all extraordinary, most especially Mondays at Racine and Inocente.

  • Art

    Good points Kessler. I do think the age carries weight because there is a lot of older voters in the academy, but I personally don't think it carries as much weight as some people make it seem. As for the Bafta being a good predictor, I think the globe is an even better predictor for this category in terms of winner. You mentioned Streep winning the Bafta, well she also won the globe. Every recent oscar best actress winner has also won a golden globe. Can't say the same for the Baftas as they have missed twice recently with Mulligan and Staunton.

  • Winchester

    Personally, I'm only going to cover certain categories because when it comes to some categories such as Best Documentary, Short, Animated Short and even Animated film I've literally seen none of the nominees so they would be utterly pointless to cover IMO.

    So, in the major categories and selected others.

    Best Picture - Argo (though I would probably go Les Miserables out of the nominees I saw)

    Best Director - Ang Lee for Life of Pi (though I actually feel sorry for whomever does win it this year since they will just be tainted by the whole Affleck business, and I was almost tempted to go with Spielberg - who seems the logical default - but I just have this feeling that Lincoln is going to be almost like The Colour Purple all over again apart from one single category)

    Best Actor - Daniel Day Lewis for Lincoln (which based on the performances I saw I would be fine with. I do think the jitters over giving him a third Best Actor Oscar are valid and I think Joaqin Phoenix winning would not surprise me at all, but I don't see anyone else even standing a chance, but he's won pretty much everything else relevant so far so he seems safe)

    Best Actress - Emmanuelle Riva for Amour (I'm maybe a little out on a limb but considering I actually have seen none of these performances anyway...............I'm actually gonna take my inspiration from 'that' director).

    Best Supporting Actor - Christophe Waltz for Django Unchained (although honestly I think anyone's name could turn up here it's probably Waltz or Jones. I'm giving Waltz the edge based on precursors).

    Best Supporting Actress - Anne Hathaway for Les Miserables (seriously don't think this one is going ANYWHERE else at all and I would concur with it).

    I agree probably in principle with most of Brad's other projections though I would prefer Deakins wins Best Cinematography for Skyfall (but I doubt he will) and also I would prefer Adele didn't win Best Song as it's already been enormously over-rated as a track. Apart from that and the ones I listed, I'll just agree with Brad.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/G-Man/ G-Man

    Get it! My picks:

    (1) BEST PICTURE: Zero Dark Thirty (WTF am I doing here?)

    (2) BEST DIRECTOR: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln

    (3) BEST ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln

    (4) BEST ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence- Silver Linings Playbook

    (5) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook

    (6) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables

    (7) BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained

    (8) BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Chris Terrio - Argo

    (9) BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Wreck-It Ralph

    (10) BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Amour

    (11) BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Roger Deakins - Skyfall

    (12) BEST FILM EDITING: William Goldenberg - Argo

    (13) BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer - Anna Karenina

    (14) BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Paco Delgado - Les Miserables

    (15) BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING: Lisa Westcott, Julie Dartnell - Les Miserables

    (16) BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: John Williams - Lincoln

    (17) BEST ORIGINAL SONG: Adele, Paul Epworth ("Skyfall") - Skyfall

    (18) BEST SOUND MIXING: Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell, Stuart Wilson - Skyfall

    (19) BEST SOUND EDITING: Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn - Argo

    (20) BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik De Boer, Donald Elliott - Life of Pi

    (21) BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 5 Broken Cameras

    (22) BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: Open Heart

    (23) BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Paperman

    (24) BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Curfew

    • Gsutam

      Interesting you gave Life of Pi only one award when in all likelihood it's going to end the night with maximum.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/G-Man/ G-Man

        Considered giving it cinematography, but other than that and VFX I don't see it winning much else.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/navaneethks/ navaneethks

        Agree it will end the night with the higest number of awards. Def. Visual effects, Cinematography and Best Score. On top of that I can see it most likely winning for Sound Editing. Right there is 4 awards which i don't see any other movie matching it. But if it has a really good night, it can win Sound Mixing (Like Hugo last year won both the sound awards) and Best Director (which I really really hope Ang Lee wins).

      • Art

        True I think it may take even more than the predicted best picture winner Argo, which is something that I haven't seen in recent years. I don't even think Crash had less oscars than any other film that year. I predicted Life of Pi would take four as well like Brad, the only one that I am not too sure of it taking is sound editing as ZD30 may take that.

  • Arthur Carlson

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Michael Haneke, Amour
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Animated Film: Brave
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: The Hobbit
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Mondays at Racine
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

  • http://thebioscopist.com TheBioscopist

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
    Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
    Best Supporting Actor: Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
    Best Director: Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
    Best Adapted Screenplay: David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
    Best Original Screenplay: Michael Haneke (Amour)
    Best Animated Feature Film: Wreck-it-Ralph
    Best Documentary (Feature): Searching For Sugar Man
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Cinematography: Claudio Miranda (Life of Pi)
    Best Film Editing: Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Original Score: Alexandre Desplat (Argo)
    Best Original Song: “Skyfall” Adele
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
    Best Production Design: Les Miserables
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Les Miserables
    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

      You're taking a massive risk on Hoffman.

      • http://thebioscopist.com TheBioscopist

        I know..It's my gamble for the night. I've actually put down three bets of £5 each and that's one of them.

  • http://thebioscopist.com TheBioscopist

    Have to say I was disappointed that Johnny Greenwood didn't even get a nom for his score for The Master. It was a little "out there" but still pretty groundbreaking nonetheless.

  • The Moth

    I am still disappointed that Florence + The Machine weren't nominated for Best Original Song for the wonderful "Breath of Life" ("Snow White and the Huntsman").

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Mv11391/ Michael

    Picture: Argo
    Director: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
    Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
    Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Chris Terrio - Argo
    Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Foreign Film: Amour
    Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Hair and Makeup: The Hobbit
    Best Score: Life of Pi
    Best Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Animated Short: Paperman
    Best Documentary Short: Open Heart
    Best Live Action Short: Curfew

    Most interesting categories are Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay & Animated Feature.

    Supporting Actor is a 4-way race between Jones, Waltz, De Niro & Hoffman, I really prefer Hoffman, he's more deserving but it's not about who deserves it anyways, this is predicting. So, i have Tommy Lee Jones winning it (who I thought was good but not a "oscar-winning" performance) slightly over De Niro.

    Original Screenplay is a 3-way race between Amour, Django & ZD30. I really don't want Django & ZD30 to go home empty-handed. ZD30 has only two real shots of winning something and it's either this or Sound Editing (I of course, picked ZD30 winning for Sound Editing). Amour could win this one but I have a feeling Tarantino will pick this one up Sunday.

    Animated Feature is a 3-way race between Brave, Frankenweenie & Wreck-It Ralph. I love both Frankenweenie & Wreck-It Ralph as movies while I thought Brave was not one of Pixar's best but at the same time enjoying it. Again, this is a tough one and it's up in the air but I pick Wreck-It Ralph though i've picked it to win for months now.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Manu/ Manu

      You don't think best actress is at least a 2-way race between Lawrence and Riva? Most of my other categories are similar to yours so I'm curious to hear your thoughts.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Mv11391/ Michael

        Yeah I forgot to mention about both. Yes, I do think it's a two-way race between both Riva & Lawrence. As a matter of fact, I still think Chastain has a chance for some reason and can surprise a lot by taking it but it looks unlikely. I think Lawrence has that momentum going on & she'll take it.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Mikey/ Mikey

    Here are my picks. I'm only disagreeing with brad in 5 categories (animated feature, original screenplay, cinematography, makeup and hair, and doc short).

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Foreign Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugarman
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
    Best Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Score: Life of Pi
    Best Song: Skyfall, Skyfall
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Cinematography: Skyfall
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Animated Short: Paperman
    Best Documentary Short: Open Heart
    Best Live Action Short Film: Curfew

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Manu/ Manu

    Out of the big 8 the categories I'm looking forward to are director, actress and supporting actor.

    Right now I'm siding with Lee for director, Lawrence for actress ( but I'm really on the fence and leaning towards Riva), and Jones for supporting actor.

    I think Riva delivers a riveting performance, but I'm not sure her BAFTA win and recent upsurge in moment is enough to change my mind just yet. This might change until Sunday.

    Should Lawrence's SAG win be "disregarded" considering Riva wasn't even nominated for the SAGs? Is Chastain out of the picture at this point?

    Can anyone else give me some more reasons why this might be Riva's night? I understand the Oscar's are on her birthday and she's the oldest nominee ever... I might be underestimating these facts in my predictions, but even so I'm excited to see what the winner turns out to be. Thoughts?

    • Harlem

      I feel the same way! The only thing Riva has won is the BAFTA and I hope the Academy doesn't just take that into consideration. I'd be happy if Lawrence or Chastain won (I'm more for Lawrence because I am a huge fan with The Hunger Games, but Chastain is my other favorite ever since The Help).

      It seems most people have just figured out that she is the oldest nominee and that it is her birthday just because she actually won something and are ultimately changing everything. It is interesting, but I wouldn't change my vote. I wouldn't throw out the SAG award because Chastain was also nominated and lost and to me she is still a big player.

      Granted, this may be Riva's last chance at an Oscar, but I think it's grateful to be alive and to actually be nominated and set history as the oldest ever. But I also rooted for Viola last year and that didn't end well. So I'm about 85% sure that Globes have a bigger impact on Oscar decisions, if there is, than any other awards.

    • Harlem

      Also, Best Picture is basically determined from other awards as well, so why not Lawrence for actress. She was nominated for everything, won about 90% of it. Riva was nominated for about half & has only won once.

  • Art

    Riva also wasn't nominated for the golden globe, I don't think there was anything preventing her nomination there. It is an interesting race, can't wait for Sunday. I personally think it's a three way race, but yea most people aren't talking about Chastain anymore. I'm rooting for Lawrence, but may the best actress win.

    • Art

      Meant as reply for Manu

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/DArtagnan/ DArtagnan

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
    Best Writing – Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Writing – Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Argo
    Best Production Design: Les Misérables
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Misérables
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Documentary : Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Documentary (Short): Inocente
    Best Live Action Short Film: Death of a Shadow
    Best Animated Short Film: Paperman

    • Thornsy

      Another one predicting Russell for director! Yay!

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Corbin/ Corbin

        Well, that makes 3 of us!

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

          Make that four of us!

  • Dipanjan

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Animated Feature Film: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Director: Steven Spielbery, Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz , Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Life of Pi
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Life of Pi
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: Les Miserables
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Opem Heart
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

  • Newbourne

    I was looking threw my Academy stats which I'm always updating every year. Here are some interesting facts:

    1. Everyone nominated this year for Best Original Song have been nominated for the first time. The last time that happened was the 1981 ceremony, where "Fame" took the award.

    2. Greg P. Russell, one of the Sound Mixers nominated for Lincoln has been nominated 16 times and has yet to win.

    3. Andy Nelson is competing against himself in the Sound Mixing category for Lincoln and Les Miserables. This isn't unheard of. Actually, Andy has competed against himself in 1998 and 2003 as well. Although he's been nominated 18 times, he has only won once.

    4. Dan Hennah has been nominated 4 times as a Set Decorator for what now is called "Production Design" in Peter Jackson's Lord of the Rings and King Kong films. She's nominated for the award for a 5th time for The Hobbit, but this time she's the Art Director.

    5. Bill Westenhoefer and Trevor Wood both won Best Visual Effects in 2007 for The Golden Compass. Now, the ex-partners are up against each other. Bill for Life of Pi and Trevor for The Avengers. May the best digital artist win!

    6. William Goldenberg is competing against himself for Best Editing in Zero Dark Thirty & Argo. Last time this happened was in the 1988 and 1991 ceremonies. Michael Kahn, fellow competing editor for Lincoln actually achieved this feat in 1988 when he competed against himself for Fatal Attraction & Empire of the Sun.

    7. Since 1994, both Thomas Newman and Roger Deakins have been nominated 10 times for Original Score and Cinematography, respectively. They both hold the record in their categories for most nominations without a win. They are now nominated for Skyfall, where they will probably lose again.

    8. Wylie Stateman has been nominated 1 time in 1989 for Sound Mixing and 5 times since 1993 for Sound Editing, but has yet to win. He's nominated for Django Unchained.

    9. Howard Berger and Tami Lane won Best Makeup in 2005 for The Chronicles of Narnia. Now, they're competing against each other for Hitchcock and Hobbit respectively. They'll both probably be losing to Les Miserables' Lisa Westcott, who has been nominated three times for makeup since 1997 and has yet to win.

    10. This is the first time in Academy Awards history where all Supporting Actor nominees are former winners. While the others will be hoping for their second statuettes, Robert DeNiro will be looking to become a 3-time winner Daniel Day-Lewis, Sally Field and Denzel Washington are also looking to become 3-time winners this Sunday.

    • Newbourne

      11. Kathleen Kennedy, who is nominated as a producer for Best Picture, is the person with most nominations without a win, having been nominated 8 times since 1982. Maybe Lincoln will be her first? Steven is also nominated for the 8th time, but he already won once in 1993 without Kathy. This might be her year!

  • http://letterboxd.com/austin/ Austin G.

    Best Picture: Argo
    Director: Steven Spielberg
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Animated Feature Film: Wreck-It Ralph
    Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Cinematography: Skyfall
    Editing: Argo
    Original Song: Skyfall
    Original Score: Life of Pi
    Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Production Design: Les Misérables
    Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Makeup: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Short Film (Live Action): Buzkashi Boys

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Corbin/ Corbin

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: David O' Russell
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Best Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Animated Feature: Wreck-it Ralph
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Argo
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Makeup: Les Miserables
    Best Sound Mixing: Skyfall
    Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Best Live Action Short: Curfew
    Best Animated Short: Paperman

  • Thornsy

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: David O. Russell
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro
    Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Animated Film: Brave
    Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Editing: Argo
    Original Song: Skyfall
    Original Score: Life of Pi
    Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Makeup: Les Miserables

    • Thornsy

      Also, I'm curious as to why people aren't predicting Life of Pi for Production Design? Seems like it should definitely be giving Les Miz and Anna Karenina a run for their money.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

    Best picture: Argo
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Cinematography: Life Of Pi
    Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Director: David O. Russell
    Best Documentary: Searching For Sugar Man
    Best Documentar Short: Inocente
    Best Film Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Makeup And Hairstyling: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Best Original Score: Life Of Pi
    Best Original Song: Everybody Needs A Best Friend
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Animated Short: Paperman
    Best Short Film: Curfew
    Best Sound Editing: Life Of Pi
    Best Sound Mixing: Life Of Pi
    Best Visual Effects: Life Of Pi
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

      I've changed my mind about a few of my predictions.
      Best Makeup And Hairstyling: Les Miserables
      Best Sound Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
      Best Film Editing: Life Of Pi
      Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

        I'm also changing film editing back to Zero Dark Thirty and I'm also changing sound mixing to Les Miserables.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

          I've also changed my mind about best director, I'm going to go with Ang Lee.

          • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

            I'm also changing best original screenplay to Django Unchained.

            • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

              I'm also changing my prediction for best original song to Skyfall, but that's my last change, I'm pretty confident in my other predictions.

  • http://timeforafilm.com Alex Thomas

    We mostly agree Brad, I'll have to strongly disagree with you on Best Supporting Actor. I can't decide if TLJ or Waltz will win, but it won't be DeNiro. I'm going with Jones.

    Same goes for Original Screenplay, I think Django Unchained will just pip ZDT, Amour is still a possibility but I don't think it will win. Sound Editing I'd be putting my money on ZDT - possibly the only category it wins.

    Open Heart is big favourite but I'm also going out on a limb like you and picking Innocente.

    • http://timeforafilm.com Alex Thomas

      Happy with all my commentary there!

  • jake_w

    Best Picture – Argo
    Best Actor – Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress – Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress – Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
    Best Animated Feature – Brave
    Best Makeup & Hairstyling – The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Best Cinematography – Life of Pi
    Best Costume Design – Anna Karenina
    Best Director – Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
    Best Documentary – Searching For Sugar Man
    Best Documentary Short - Inocente
    Best Film Editing - Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film - Amour
    Best Original Score – Life of Pi
    Best Original Song – “Skyfall”, Skyfall
    Best Production Design – Anna Karenina
    Best Animated Short - Paperman
    Best Live Action Short – Henry
    Best Sound Editing - Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing - Skyfall
    Best Visual Effects – Life of Pi
    Best Adapted Screenplay – Chris Terrio, Argo
    Best Original Screenplay – Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/TheMovieGuru/ The Movie Guru

    Best Picture- Argo
    Best Actor- Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress- Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor- Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actress- Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
    Best Director- David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Original Screenplay- Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay- Chris Terrio, Argo
    Best Animated Feature- Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Makeup and Hairstyling- The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
    Best Visual Effects- Life of Pi
    Best Sound Mixing- Les Miserables
    Best Sound Editing- Skyfall
    Best Original Song- Skyfall
    Best Original Score- Life of Pi
    Best Film Editing- Argo
    Best Animated Short- Paperman
    Best Documentary Short- Inocente
    Best Foreign Language Film- Amour
    Best Costume Design- Anna Karenina
    Best Production Design- Anna Karenina
    Best Documentary- Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Live Action Short- Henry

  • Harlem

    Does anyone else feel that if Riva wins that will be only for sympathy?
    I mean I get that her role was fantastic, but she is only coming up because it is her birthday (which is sweet) and she won the BAFTA, but that's it!
    I have a feeling she might win, but I hope Jennifer wins instead just because she's won a Globe, SAG, etc. Just because she didn't win one award doesn't mean she is out completely. But the Academy can do strange things, but I just hope they won't give out an award just because of sympathy rather than performance.

    • Manny

      I agree, Lawrence gave the best performance and should be rewarded as a result.

    • dslacker

      Can't agree that if Riva wins it's only because she's old and it's her birthday. Anyone who's been on call with an elderly sick person probably agrees she gave a great performance. She will also get a few votes for her lifetime of work.

  • http://cinemmaconfessions.blogspot.com Gautam

    Here're my predictions, and below is the link where I explain my choices. Also what I think should win in each of the categories.

    http://www.cinemaconfessions.com/2013/02/oscar-prediction-who-will-win-and-who.html

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Steven Spielbery, Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz , Django Unchained
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Animated Feature Film: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Life of Pi
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: Les Miserables
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

    • Gautam

      One correction: Best Supporting Actor: Robert Di Nero

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/pokerdan/ Daniel S

    Brad - The only big discrepancy that I'm seeing between either your picks or voters' picks with Vegas Odds is Sound Editing. Vegas has Zero Dark Thirty with better-than-even odds with Life of Pi behind at 4-to-1 odds. I'm curious why.

  • Central Ohio

    I can't believe everyone thinks Argo is going to win. There's no way in hell that The Academy is going give Argo that award. First of all, I'm sorry. I loved Argo when I first saw it in the theater back in september but now, after all of the awards it has gotten, I'm starting to believe that it's over-rated. The Academy knows this and has said as much by snubbing Ben Affleck. Plus, this is their chance to give the grand prize to a great American historical figure. They haven't done that in over 40 years, since they awarded Patton best picture. The Academy is a different bunch of eggs and they like to point that out once in a while by voting against the grain. So don't be surprised when Argo doesn't win and Lincoln does.

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

      But what happens if you're wrong?

      • Central Ohio

        If I'm wrong, I will eat crow. If I'm right though, you'll remember what I said and pay attention next year when I tell you who the academy will give best picture to.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

    Wow, 33 people think Django Unchained is going to win Best Picture.... I hope they didn't put any money down on that one.

  • randall gerber

    picture:argo;actor:daniel day-lewis;actress:jennifer lawrence:s.actress:anne hathaway;s. actor:tommy lee jones:director:steven spielberg.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ryguy815/ Ryguy815

    I was just curious, why doesn't anyone think Moonrise Kingdom will win best original screenplay?

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Corbin/ Corbin

      It doesn't have any other nominations and no momentum.

  • Dziga Vertov

    Best Picture: Ben Affleck
    Best Director: #michaelhaneke
    Best Actor: Milkshake McGee
    Best Actress: the old bird
    Best Supporting Actor: De Niro
    Best Supporting Actress: That girl that cried and sang
    Best Original Screenplay: Amour
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Tits
    Best Cinematography: Deakins
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: "...crumbuuuwwlss"
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Tolstoy
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Tolstoy
    Best Makeup: The Hobb
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Open Heart
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/VivaVerhoeven/ VivaVerhoeven

      Changed my mind

      Hoffman for Suporting Actor

  • http://timeforafilm.com Alex Thomas

    Best Picture: Argo
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
    Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Django Unchained
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Animated Film: Brave
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life Of Pi – Mychael Danna
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
    Best Sound Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Production Design: Les Miserables
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: The Hobbit
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

    I’ve played it pretty safe with my picks. I think it’s already hard enough in a few categories that going out on a limb will only hurt you. My main bold pick is Inocente over Open Heart and at $4.50 it’s still worth a bet in my opinion.

    • http://timeforafilm.com Alex Thomas

      BOOOOM! Inocente!

  • Central Ohio

    I feel like i can't say it enough, and if I'm wrong I will never post another message but I'm telling everybody, ARGO IS NOT GOING TO WIN BEST PICTURE! The Academy would never say to the world that Ben Affleck made a better movie than Steven Speilberg. How would that make the Academy look if they let Ben go up there to the podium and accept as a producer after they gave him the middle finger by snubbing him as a director. The Academy doesn't embarrass themselves like that. I know that Argo is winning everything else but the Oscar is not going to happen. Like i said, if I'm wrong, I will never post again.

    • Alex Thomas

      Nice knowing you mate! (Argo ain't losing :) )

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Cordia/ Cordia

    Final Oscar Predictions

    Best Picture:
    Will win: Argo
    What i want to win: Silver Linings Playbook

    Best Director
    Will win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    What i want to win: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

    Best actor
    Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    What i want to win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

    Best Actress
    Will win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
    What i want to win: Emanuelle Riva, Amour

    Best Original Screenplay
    Will win: Amour
    What i want to win: Django Unchained

    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Will win: Argo
    What i want to win: Lincoln

    Best Supporting Actor
    Will win: Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
    What i want to win: : Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

    Best Supporting Actress
    Will win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
    What I want to win: Amy Adams, The Master

    Best Editing
    Will win: Argo
    What I want to win: Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Cinematography
    Will win: Life of Pi
    What I want to win: Skyfall

    Best Animated Feature
    Will win: Wreck-it Ralph
    What I want to win: Wreck-it Ralph

    Best Documentary Feature
    Will win: Searching for Sugar man
    What I want to win: Searching for Sugar man

    Best visual effects
    Will win: Life of Pi
    What I want to win: Life of Pi

    Best production design
    Will win: Les Miserables
    What I want to win: Lincoln

    Best costume design
    Will win: Anna Karenina
    What I want to win: Lincoln

    Best original score
    Will win: Life of Pi
    What I want to win: Argo

    Best original Song
    Will win: Skyfall
    What I want to win: Skyfall

    Best sound editing
    Will win: Life of Pi
    What I want to win: Zero Dark Thirty

    Best Sound Mixing:
    Will win: Les Miserables
    What I want to win: Skyfall

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling
    Will win: Les Miserables
    What I want to win: The Hobbit

    Best Documentary Short
    Will win: Inocente
    What I want to win: Inocente

    Best Live action short
    Will win: Curfew
    What I want to win: Curfew

    Best animated short
    Will win: Paperman
    What I want to win: Paperman

    Best foreign language film
    Will win: Amour
    What I want to win: Amour

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/lalecture/ lalecture

      Im with you on the "will win" and "want to win". Mine are more like Will "probably" win because im a bit less confident in my predictions in a few categories.
      as ive mentioned before, this year is filled with quite a bit of parody in several categories. At least according to some.

      Outside of the "locks" my thoughts are:
      Director:
      Ang Li

      Actress:
      Jennifer Lawrence

      Supporting Actor:
      Robert De Niro

      Original Screenplay:
      Django

      Adapted:
      Argo

      Editing:
      Argo

      Sound Mix:
      Les Mis

      Sound Edit:
      Life of Pi

      Cinematography:
      Life of Pi

      I will be here tomorrow for the live blog. "hear" you all there!

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/lalecture/ lalecture

    I want to know any thoughts you guys have on the independent spirit awards? I couldnt find a place to post this other than here!
    (Tonight on IFC at 7pst.)

  • Ritesh Chhabra

    Best Film:Argo,Best Director:Steven Spielberg,Best Actor:Daniel Day-Lewis,Best Actress:Emanuelle Riva

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Will-E/ Will-E

    I line up with Brad on many categories. The biggest differences are Best Pic I feel is going to SLP in a surprise Harvey coup. I also believe Sugar Man will not win Best Doc. I picked Invisible War, although I can see Gatekeepers as well. This category is going for import over popularity. There were a few others but I don't need to justify them here.

  • Central Ohio

    Picture: Lincoln
    Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
    Director: Speilberg
    S. Actor: Robert DeNiro
    S. Actress: Anne Hathaway
    Doc. Feature: The Gatekeepers
    Doc. Short: Inocente
    Foreign: Amour
    Animated: Wreck-it Ralph
    Cinematography: Deakins - Skyfall
    Make-up - Hair: Les Mis
    Prod Design: Lincoln
    O. Screenplay - Tarantino - Django
    A. Screenplay - Kushner - Lincoln
    Animated Short: Paperman
    L.A. Short: Death of a Shadow
    Vis. FX: Life of Pi
    Cost. Design: Anna Karenina
    Film Edit: Lincoln
    Sound Mix: Les Mis
    Sount Edit: Skyfall
    O. Score: Life of Pi
    O. Song: Skyfall

    Take it to the bank

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Anthony_X/ Anthony_X

    No Guts No Glory

    Best Picture: Life of Pi
    Best Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
    Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
    Best Supporting Actor: Tomy Lee Jones, Lincoln
    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
    Best Original Screenplay: Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
    Best Animated Film: Wreck-It Ralph
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
    Best Film Editing: Argo
    Best Original Score: Life of Pi
    Best Original Song: Skyfall
    Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
    Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
    Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
    Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
    Best Costumes: Anna Karenina
    Best Makeup: Les Misérables
    Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente
    Best Short Film (Animated): Paperman
    Best Short Film (Live Action): Curfew

  • Mykael

    My daft predictions -

    (1) BEST PICTURE:Lincoln - Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers.

    (2) BEST DIRECTOR: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln

    (3) BEST ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln

    (4) BEST ACTRESS: Emmanuelle Riva - Amour

    (5) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook

    (6) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables

    (7) BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Michael Haneke - Amour

    (8) BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Tony Kushner - Lincoln

    (9) BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Wreck-It Ralph - Mark Andrews and Brenda Chapman

    (10) BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Amour - Austria

    (11) BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Roger Deakins - Skyfall

    (12) BEST FILM EDITING: Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg - Zero Dark Thirty

    (13) BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Life of Pi - Production Design: David Gropman; Set Decoration: Anna Pinnock

    (14) BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Anna Karenina - Jacqueline Durran

    (15) BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING: Lisa Westcott, Julie Dartnell - Les Miserables

    (16) BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Life of Pi - Mychael Danna

    (17) BEST ORIGINAL SONG: 'Skyfall', Music and Lyric by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth - Skyfall

    (18) BEST SOUND MIXING: Les Misérables - Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes

    (19) BEST SOUND EDITING: Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell, Stuart Wilson - Skyfall

    (20) BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik De Boer, Donald Elliott - Life of Pi

    (21) BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Searching for Sugar Man - Malik Bendjelloul

    (22) BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: Open Heart - Kief Davidson and Cori Shepherd Stern

    (23) BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Paperman - John Kahrs

    (24) BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Curfew - Shawn Christensen

    • Manny

      Like all of your choices except Best Actress; that is going to Lawrence, for her brutally honest performance in SLP.