Oscar Predictions

2013 Oscar Predictions: First Look at Best Animated Feature

A big field with a lot of question marks

2013 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature

We're off! Last week I offered up five days of first look predictions including Best Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay and Original Screenplay and yet, we aren't even close to done.

There are still 13 more categories to explore. I'll be holding off on categories such as Best Foreign Language Feature and Best Documentary until the Academy announces their short lists, but elsewhere I think it's safe to start taking a look and so I thought I'd begin with Best Animated Feature considering I have discussed it quite a bit already.

About a month ago exactly I presented the following, alphabetical list of contenders, which is probably the best place to begin.

  1. Arjun: The Warrior Prince (Walt Disney Pictures)
  2. Brave (Walt Disney Pictures / Pixar)
  3. Dr. Seuss' The Lorax (Universal Pictures)
  4. Frankenweenie (Walt Disney Pictures)
  5. From Up On Poppy Hill (GKids)
  6. Hotel Transylvania (Columbia Pictures)
  7. Ice Age: Continental Drift (20th Century Fox)
  8. A Liar's Autobiography - The Untrue Story of Monty Python's Graham Chapman (Brainstorm Media)
  9. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted (DreamWorks Pictures)
  10. ParaNorman (Focus Features)
  11. The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Columbia Pictures)
  12. The Rabbi's Cat (GKids)
  13. Rise of the Guardians (DreamWorks Pictures)
  14. Secret of the Wings (Walt Disney Pictures)
  15. Le Tableau (GKids)
  16. Wreck-It Ralph (Walt Disney Pictures)
  17. Zarafa (GKids)

The first thing to note is that with a field this size we are looking at five nominees this year, which certainly gives us a little more wiggle room in our predictions considering this year I haven't been all that impressed with the animated films I've seen. As far as those that have already been released, that I missed, I haven't yet seen The Pirates! Band of Misfits, Hotel Transylvania or Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted. The foreign contenders have also eluded me to this point, but I have recently seen Tim Burton's Frankenweenie so I guess that's one notch in my belt.

I will freely admit I walked out of A Liar's Autobiography after approximately ten minutes at the Toronto Film Festival as I just wasn't feeling it and decided to go see John Dies at the End instead. And, I was also told by another fellow critic in Toronto, they ended up walking out of the movie about ten minutes after me. That isn't to say I have an opinion one way or another on the movie, but is an effort at full disclosure.

Of the animated films I've seen so far this year, Frankenweenie is easily the best and I even liked Ice Age: Continental Drift, but the 38% rating at RottenTomatoes tells me I am in the minority with that opinion. ParaNorman didn't quite work for me and I felt Brave and The Lorax were both terrible while other critics were far more kind to those than me, making this a very hard field to get a handle on early as personal opinion is presenting a clouded viewpoint.

Frankenweenie monster posters
Photo: Walt Disney Pictures

From what I've seen, I feel safe in saying Frankenweenie will be nominated and I have a feeling the similarity in style will see it edging ParaNorman out of the nomination list... for now. I also think Brave is going to squeak in there. Otherwise, I think it's wide open.

I am looking forward to Wreck-It Ralph as it looks like a film that should have Pixar above the title and William Joyce's involvement in Rise of the Guardians gives me hope it will deliver.

Finally, I'm going to put some early stock in Goro Miyazaki's From Up On Poppy Hill and hope he makes up for the troublesome Tales from Earthsea.

Foreign additions to the race include The Rabbi's Cat, Le Tableau, Arjun: The Warrior Prince and Zarafa

Rise of the Guardians, the latest animated Tinkerbell movie Secret of the Wings, Le Tableau, Disney's video game inspired CG feature Wreck-It Ralph and Zarafa and Disney's latest animated Tinkerbell movie Secret of the Wings is also a contender, though I'd argue not likely a strong one.

Of the three films I have missed so far this year, I've heard conflicted opinions of Madagascar 3, most didn't like Hotel Transylvania and Aardman's The Pirates! is one I want to see if only because Aardman makes entertaining movies.

All of this said, here is the top five as I see it today, but this is a race I feel will change with every shift in the wind, especially considering I have three yet-to-be-released titles among the top five.

  1. Frankenweenie
  2. Rise of the Guardians
  3. Wreck-It Ralph
  4. Brave
  5. From Up On Poppy Hill

You can find the full list of rankings for all 17 contenders right here. You can also find all of my current Oscar predictions here.

Before you go, though, I would love to hear your thoughts on this field. What films have you seen and which ones look most promising to you? Comment below!

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  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Mv11391/ Michael

    1. Wreck-It Ralph
    2. Frankenweenie
    3. Brave
    4. Rise of the Guardians
    5. ParaNorman

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Kessler/ Kessler

    1. Frankenweenie
    2. Wreck-It-Ralph
    3. Rise of the Guardians
    4. Brave
    5. ParaNorman

  • https://cinemaconfessions.com Gautam

    I have seen Arjun: The Warrior Prince and in a just world I see it getting nominated. Animation movies at the end of the day are also telling stories. And Arjun has a great story to tell. Based on mythological Hindu charecter Arjun, the movie runs through his exploits, his courage, and above all it also touches spirituality.
    Though I am not sure how much does the quality of animation matter. Not that, it's bad in Arjun, only it's not as good say, Brave. I have heard that Disney is lobbying hard behind it, so don't be surprised if it finds place in Top 5.

  • mickche

    I've seen From Up On Poppy Hill and it is perhaps better than Tales of Earthsea, but not much. If Arrietty didn't get nominated, this certainly isn't.

  • Sarita

    Frankenweenie for the win. A great boy and his dog story, craftsmanship, b&w painstaking stop-motion animation. Animators vote for this and they can appreciate the work and talent it takes to make a Frankenweenie.

  • Alex Hartsell

    My predications
    From Up on Poppy Hill
    ParaNorman
    The Pirates! Band of Misfits
    The Rabbi's Cat
    Rise of the Guardians

    or
    Frankenweenie
    ParaNorman
    The Pirates! Band of Misfits
    The Rabbi's Cat
    Rise of the Guardians

    or maybe...
    Frankenweenie
    From up on Poppy Hill
    ParaNorman
    The Rabbi's Cat
    Rise of the Guardians

    Also i would love to have Brave on that list but it wasnt one of Pixar's greatest and co-director Brenda Chapman had a issue with it. Also i will keep my eyes open for Zarfa.

  • Christophe

    Based on the movies I've seen and not seen, my 4 almost-sure picks would be:

    Frankenweenie (NS)
    The PIrates! Band of Misfits (S)
    Wreck-it-Ralph (NS)
    Brave (S)

    For the last spot I guess I'd choose either Paranorman (S), Hotel Transylvania (NS), Rise of the Guardians (NS), From up on Poppy Hill (NS) or maybe another foreign title...

  • tombeet

    Le Tableau is actually quite an underdog of Best Animated nominee and could have a spot like A Cat in Paris last year. Out of those films from GKIDS, only Le Tableau and Form Up On Poppy Hill are serious contenders imho.

  • MattMan

    Predictions:
    - Brave
    - Frankenweenie
    - Leafie, a Hen Into the Wild*
    - ParaNorman
    - Rise of the Guardians (??)

    Might put Arjun or Le Tableau in RotG's spot come December, but we pretty much have to wait and see how the critical response is to the films that have yet to be released.

    Really hope Leafie makes it out in time for eligibility this year; if it's released next year, it will probably be ineligible due to Arrietty's rule.

  • The New Guy

    Predictions
    1. Frankenweenie
    2. Wreck-it Ralph
    3. Brave
    4. Rise of the Guardians: The-Not-Sequel to that animated film about owls.
    5. Ajurn the Warrior Prince

  • http://www.facebook.com MARWIN

    MY TOP 5
    1. FRANKENWEENIE (my favorite because im a Tim Burton's FAN!!)
    2. RISE OF THE GUARDIANS ( great score and animation)
    3. BRAVE ( nice story and it was been predicted by most of the people to win.. but for me i hope it will not)
    4. FROM UP ON POPPY HILL ( great story but The Secret World Of Arriety is much better than this)
    5. LE TABLEAU ( very adventurous and full of fantasy even the animation is not relly good)

    POSSIBLE CONTENDERS
    ARJUN( just the same concept like BRAVE)
    THE RABBI'S CAT ( very unique and funny )
    WRECKED IT RALPH ( great concept and nice story)

  • Lily

    Rise of the Guardians for the win