Golden Globe Predictions

USER POLL: 2013 Golden Globe Award Winner Predictions

Will there be one big winner or will they be spread out?

2012 Golden Globe Award predictions
Photo: RopeofSilicon / Brad Brevet

The 2013 Golden Globe Awards will be held tomorrow night, Sunday, January 13 and we will be live-blogging the event and if you missed any of our previous award show live blogs just click here for a taste of what it's all about.

Before we begin the festivities, however, I thought I'd take a moment to offer up some predictions for the movie categories. I would try attempting the television categories, but I really have no idea and the movie categories themselves are going to be hard enough.

There are a few things to take into consideration, such as the fact Ben Affleck won Best Director for Argo at the Critics Choice Awards on Thursday and Argo then won Best Picture. As far as the nominations go, Argo tied with Django Unchained with five Golden Globe noms, second to Lincoln, which scored seven. Does this small fraction of information tell us much? No, not really. In fact, it offers more confusion than anything else.

For Best Picture (Drama), the favorite has to be Lincoln, but that doesn't mean I don't see Argo or even Life of Pi having a chance. My prediction is to go with the favorite, but feel free to bet against the house.

For Best Picture (Comedy/Musical) it's a toss-up between Les Miserables and Silver Linings Playbook. I'm going to go with Silver Linings Playbook, but I don't feel confident in the decision, which will be a running theme throughout the majority of these predictions.

Daniel Day-Lewis in LincolnFor Best Actor (Drama) I think it's the only obvious pick on the board and that would be Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln), but for Actress (Drama) I'm going to go with Naomi Watts (The Impossible) over Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) and I don't really feel like I'm taking that much of a risk. This is, after all, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) we're talking about here and The Impossible has so far grossed over $86 million worldwide, $82 million of that from foreign territories.

In the Comedy/Musical acting categories, for Best Actor I'm going with Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables) over Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) and for Actress I'm going with Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook). Cooper could end up taking this and I wouldn't be the least surprised, but Jackman seems like the safer bet to me.

The Supporting categories are tough. In Supporting Actor you have a pair of Django stars competing against one another, The Master hasn't made much of a dent internationally and I just can't see Alan Arkin (Argo) taking it. Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) seems like the only choice, but feel free to disagree. For Supporting Actress, if Daniel Day-Lewis is the #1 sure-thing to win, Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) is #2.

Then there's director. I'm going with Steven Spielberg (Lincoln), but I debated between Ben Affleck (Argo) and Ang Lee (Life of Pi) as well. Wouldn't it be something if Affleck ended up winning Critics Choice and the Golden Globe and yet he doesn't have a shot at an Oscar because he wasn't nominated? What if he ended up winning with the Directors Guild as well? Spielberg seems to be the smart bet, but I'm open to arguments otherwise. Had Life of Pi scored more overall nominations I wouldn't hesitate to agree with an Ang Lee nom...

Screenplay was a tough one. For some reason I just don't see Tony Kushner (Lincoln) winning with the HFPA, but if I don't predict him to win who do I predict? Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained)? Chris Terrio (Argo)? I'm going out on a limb with David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook), but I won't be surprised for a second if Terrio takes it.

Finally, Foreign Language. Amour all but has the Oscar locked up, but I think the Globes are going to go with one of the two contenders not nominated for an Oscar. When The Intouchables wasn't nominated for an Oscar it was a shocker. I also wondered if the French submission committee started kicking themselves for submitting it instead of Rust and Bone. But how do you submit Rust and Bone over the highest grossing French film ever? For that reason, The Intouchables is my Foreign Language pick.

I've also predicted all the other categories being handed out and highlighted all of my predictions in bold red text below. Have a look and offer up your predictions in the comments below. I have added a few polls for the top categories to make it a little more interesting so be sure to vote in those. And for the full list of nominees and winners as they are announced click here.

The 2013 Golden Globe Awards will be broadcast live at 5:00-8:00 p.m. (PST)/8:00-11:00 p.m. EST on January 13, 2013. The festivities will be hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler and just like last year we will be here with a live blog and winners as always. If you've never tuned in for that, just click here to check out last year's coverage.

BEST PICTURE (DRAMA)

Nominees
  • Argo
  • Django Unchained
  • Life of Pi
  • Lincoln
  • Zero Dark Thirty

Best Picture (Drama)

  • Lincoln (532 Votes)
  • Argo (249 Votes)
  • Zero Dark Thirty (103 Votes)
  • Django Unchained (83 Votes)
  • Life of Pi (69 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,035

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BEST PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL)

Nominees
  • The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
  • Les Miserables
  • Moonrise Kingdom
  • Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
  • Silver Linings Playbook

Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)

  • Silver Linings Playbook (541 Votes)
  • Les Miserables (397 Votes)
  • Moonrise Kingdom (58 Votes)
  • The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (21 Votes)
  • Salmon Fishing in the Yemen (9 Votes)

Total Voters: 1,026

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BEST ACTOR (DRAMA)

Nominees
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
  • Richard Gere, Arbitrage
  • John Hawkes, The Sessions
  • Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
  • Denzel Washington, Flight

Best Actor (Drama)

  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (868 Votes)
  • Joaquin Phoenix, The Master (76 Votes)
  • Denzel Washington, Flight (24 Votes)
  • John Hawkes, The Sessions (18 Votes)
  • Richard Gere, Arbitrage (10 Votes)

Total Voters: 996

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BEST ACTRESS (DRAMA)

Nominees
  • Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
  • Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
  • Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
  • Naomi Watts, The Impossible
  • Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea

Best Actress (Drama)

  • Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty (683 Votes)
  • Naomi Watts, The Impossible (196 Votes)
  • Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone (59 Votes)
  • Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea (36 Votes)
  • Helen Mirren, Hitchcock (25 Votes)

Total Voters: 999

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BEST ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL)

Nominees
  • Jack Black, Bernie
  • Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
  • Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
  • Ewan McGregor, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
  • Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson

Best Actor (Musical/Comedy)

  • Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables (496 Votes)
  • Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook (436 Votes)
  • Jack Black, Bernie (21 Votes)
  • Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson (20 Votes)
  • Ewan McGregor, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen (16 Votes)

Total Voters: 989

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BEST ACTRESS (COMEDY/MUSICAL)

Nominees
  • Emily Blunt, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
  • Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
  • Maggie Smith, Quartet
  • Meryl Streep, Hope Springs

Best Actress (Musical/Comedy)

  • Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook (863 Votes)
  • Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (41 Votes)
  • Meryl Streep, Hope Springs (40 Votes)
  • Maggie Smith, Quartet (19 Votes)
  • Emily Blunt, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen (18 Votes)

Total Voters: 981

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SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Alan Arkin, Argo
  • Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
  • Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
  • Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Amy Adams, The Master
  • Sally Field, Lincoln
  • Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
  • Helen Hunt, The Sessions
  • Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy

DIRECTOR

  • Ben Affleck, Argo
  • Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
  • Ang Lee, Life of Pi
  • Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
  • Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

ANIMATED FILM

  • Brave
  • Frankenweenie
  • Hotel Transylvania
  • Rise of the Guardians
  • Wreck-It Ralph

SCREENPLAY

  • Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
  • Tony Kushner, Lincoln
  • David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
  • Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
  • Chris Terrio, Argo

FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

  • Amour
  • A Royal Affiar
  • The Intouchables
  • Kon Tiki
  • Rust and Bone

ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Life of Pi
  • Argo
  • Anna Karenina
  • Cloud Atlas
  • Lincoln

ORIGINAL SONG

  • "For You" from Act of Valor
  • "Not Running Anymore" from Stand Up Guys
  • "Safe and Sound" from The Hunger Games
  • "Skyfall" from Skyfall
  • "Suddenly" from Les Miserables
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  • Jesse3232

    Best Actress vote has Best Actor choices

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/ Brad Brevet

      Thank you... fixed

  • Winchester

    In the votable choices I went with:

    Best Picture (drama) - Lincoln

    Best Picture (Musical/Comedy) - Les Miserables

    Best Actor (Drama) - Daniel Day Lewis

    Best Actor (Musical/Comedy) - Hugh Jackman

    Best Actress (Drama) - Marion Cotillard (just to be different really)

    Best Actress (Musical/Comedy)

    Best Director - Steven Spielberg

    And I would also go with Tommy Lee Jones and Sally Field in the supporting categories.

    • Winchester

      Oops - meant to include Lawrence as Musical/Comedy Best Actress. Hit the submit button by accident.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

    I think Argo will take picture. The HFPA will try to make up for its Oscr snub, and a lot of times, the Globes and the Oscars have disagreed in Picture.

    As for Silver Linings vs Les Mis, I really don't know what to do. The Globes love musicals, but SLP and Les Mis both have the star power that the HFPA loves. I'm going with Les Mis for now

    • Patrick

      Xarnis, the deadline for the Globes was the day before the Oscar nominations. So they wouldn't have known about the Argo snub.

      • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

        Alright then. Maybe Argo has less of a chance than I originally thought I think I will stick with Argo, just because I never really care much about predicting the Globes. Thanks for the info.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

    When it comes to the Globes, BP is tricky. They often differ with the Academy, so it wouldn't surprise me if it went to Argo or ZDT.

    • Chris138

      I agree. If it's not Lincoln then I'd say they will probably go for Argo.

  • Jack

    If Leonardo DiCaprio wins, do you think he'll be there to pick it up?

  • Jack

    Plus, the last few Director winners that win the Globe go onto lose the Oscar. I'm thinking Ang Lee wins. 3D usually wins here like Cameron and Scorsese did.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/MebsM./ Mebil

    The Globes are, more than anything, a show (remember that Robert Downey Jr. win for Sherlock?)... so I wouldn't be surprise if Django sneaks in and win some awards.

  • Kurt

    The Globes won't do any favours for SLP, which is bound to lose out to the showier Les Miserables.
    However, the Oscars are pretty much doing their own thing this year so such a loss might be insignificant.

  • Dale

    Your predictions look right on the money to me, Brad, though I think Jessica Chastain might pull of the best actress drama award.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/RandallPMcMurphy/ Randall P McMurphy

    I hope Django gets some awards...

    Here's what I would like to win:

    B.P. (Drama) - Django
    B.P. (Comedy/Musical) - Silver Linings

    Bradley Cooper and Jennifer Lawrence for acting in comedy/musical

    Naomi Watts for actress in drama

    Either Christoph Waltz or Leonardo DiCaprio for supporting

    Wreck-it Ralph for animated film

    QT for both director and screenplay

    The Intouchables for foreign film

    Cloud Atlas for best score

    And even though I hated the movie (except for Javier Bardem's entrance) Skyfall for best song

    • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

      What did you hate about Skyfall?

      I'm with you on Cloud Atlas for score.

      • DavidG

        Ya, I would love to see Cloud Atlas's score get the recognition it deserves. Still sad that Beast of the Southern Wild's score was overlooked.

      • Randall P McMurphy

        I hated the unnecessary close-ups on Daniel Craig, the way Javier Bardem's villain ended up being just another average Bond villain, the way they cut from Bond dieing to him in bed with a girl, the intro was a little to long, Q's character trying to be comic relief, all the presentation of dull characters, M being a b**ch, the way they turned Bond, a guy who is supposed to get everything right into Johnny English making mistakes all the time, the use of CGI, and the way Bond comes out of freezing water and doesn't appear to be wet or shaking.

        • Jamie

          so, besides that, you liked it?

          • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/RandallPMcMurphy/ Randall P McMurphy

            No, I only liked the song Skyfall by Adele haha.

        • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/AS/ AS

          Hmm. The only thing that bothered me about Skyfall was the first 13-15 minutes. After he gets back to London, it's smooth sailing from there on out (imo of course).

  • Jake

    Bradley cooper all the way to the oscars. Amazing performance and daniel day Lewis doesn't need to make history by having three oscars for a performance far weaker than his previous wins.

    • DavidG

      Haha I am sorry, but you are insane. Look, I loved Bradley Cooper in SLP, but better than Day-Lewis's performance? Not even remotely close. And I truly think his performance was on par with his other two wins. He really embodied Lincoln and brought this American icon to life.

  • jessied44

    If Cooper beats Jackman for BA or for that matter if SLP beats Les Mis, it would be a total travesty and you should follow the money because Harvey took a whole lot of people to lunch.

  • http://timeforafilm.com Alex Thomas

    SLP is still $8 odds (7-1), I really don't think it will win. However my wallet will be very happy if it does!

  • Rod

    I really loved if Naomi Watts wins for The Impossible,she gave a wonderful real tour de force performance.She gave the best female performance of the year.

  • jessied44

    Skyfall is a showier song and a pop hit since written and sung by Adele, but Suddenly actually does what a movie song is supposed to do since it relates directly to the film content and advances an important plot point in the narrative.

  • Curtis

    Best Film (Drama): Argo (should win)

    Best Film (Comedy or Musical): Silver Linings Playbook (should win: Les Miserables)

    Best Actor (Drama): Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln (should win)

    Best Actress (Drama): Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty (should win: Naomi Watts - The Impossible)

    Best Actor (Comedy or Musical): Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook (should win: Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables)

    Best Actress (Comedy or Musical): Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook (should win)

    Best Supporting Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master (should win: Leonardo DiCaprio - Django Unchained)

    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables (should win)

    Best Director: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln (should win: Ben Affleck - Argo)

    Best Screenplay: Tony Kushner - Lincoln (should win: Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained)

    Best Original Score: John Williams - Lincoln (should win: Mychael Danna - Life of Pi)

    Best Original Song: "Skyfall" - Skyfall (should win) (though I'll be happier if Safe & Sound wins :))

    Best Animated Feature: Brave (should win: Wreck-it-Ralph)

    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour (should win)

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/cmh_580/ Chad

    Picture (Drama): Lincoln
    Picture (Comedy): Silver Linings
    Actor (Drama): Day-Lewis
    Actress (Drama): Chastain
    Actor (Comedy): Cooper
    Actress (Comedy): Lawrence
    Supporting Actor: Jones
    Supporting Actress: Hathaway
    Director: Bigelow
    Animated: Wreck-it Ralph
    Screenplay: Boal
    Foreign Language: Amour
    Original Score: Life of Pi
    Original Song: Skyfall

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Xarnis/ Xarnis

    My Predictions

    Best Picture - Drama
    1.Argo
    2. Lincoln
    3. Zero Dark Thirty
    4. Life of Pi
    5. Django Unchained

    Best Picture - Musical or Comedy
    1. Les Miserables
    2. Silver Linings Playbook
    3. Moonrise Kingdom
    4. The Best Exotic Merigold Hotel
    5. Salmon Fishing in the Yemen

    Best Actor - Drama
    1. Daniel Day- Lewis (Lincoln)
    2. Denzel Washington (Flight)
    3. Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
    4. John Hawkes (The Sessions)
    5. Richard Gere (Arbitrage)

    Best Actress - Drama
    1. Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
    2. Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
    3. Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)
    4. Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)
    5. Rachael Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea)

    Best Director
    1. Ben Affleck (Argo)
    2. Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)
    3. Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)
    4. Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
    5. Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained)

    Best Actor - Comedy or Musical
    1. Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)
    2. Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
    3. Jack Black (Bernie)
    4. Ewan McGreggor (Salmon Fishing in the Yemen)
    5. Bill Murray (Hyde Park on Hudson)

    Best Actress - Comedy or Musical
    1. Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
    2. Judi Dench (The Best Exotic Merigold Hotel)
    3. Meryl Streep (Hope Springs)
    4. Emily Blunt (Salmon Fishing in the Yemen)
    5. Maggie Smith (Quartet)

    Best Supporting Actor
    1. Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
    2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
    3. Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
    4. Alan Arkin (Argo)
    5. Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained)

    Best Supporting Actress
    1. Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
    2. Sally Field (Lincoln)
    3. Amy Adams (The Master
    4. Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
    5. Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy)

    Best Screenplay
    1. Zero Dark Thirty
    2. Lincoln
    3. Django Unchained
    4. Silver Linings Playbook
    5. Argo

    Best Animated Film
    1. Wreck-It Ralph
    2. Brave
    3. Frankenweenie
    4. Rise of the Guardians
    5. Hotel Transylvania

    Best Foreign Language Film
    1. The Intouchables
    2. Amour
    3. Rust and Bone
    4. A Royal Affair
    5. Kon-Tiki

    Best Original Score
    1. Life of Pi
    2. Argo
    3. Lincoln
    4. Cloud Atlas
    5. Anna Karenina

    Best Original Song
    1. "Suddenly" from Les Miserables
    2. "Skyfall" from Skyfall
    3. "Safe and Sound" from The Hunger Games
    4. "Not Running Anymore" from Stand Up Guys
    5. "For You" from Act of Valor

    I've seen 3/5 Drama BP nominees(and I am seeing Life of Pi tomorrow before the awards) and I enjoyed all of them. But I would be the most satisfied if Zero Dark Thirty won.

  • Unknown/Anonymous

    Winner predix:

    Best Film (Drama): Lincoln (possible spoiler: Argo)
    Best Film (M/C): Silver Linings Playbook
    Best Director: Steven Spielberg for Lincoln (possible spoiler: Ben Affleck for Argo)
    Best Actor (Drama): Daniel Day-Lewis (possible spoiler: Joaquin Phoenix)
    Best Actor (M/C): Bradley Cooper
    Best Actress (Drama): Jessica Chastain
    Best Actress (M/C): Jennifer Lawrence
    Best Sup. Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman or Tommy Lee Jones
    Best Sup. Actress: Anne Hathaway (possible spoiler: Sally Field/Amy Adams)
    Best Screenplay: Tony Kushner for Lincoln (possible spoiler: QT)
    Best Animated Film: Frankenweenie (Tim Burton) (possible spoiler: Wreck-It Ralph)
    Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
    Best Original Score: John Williams for Lincoln
    Best Original Song: Skyfall

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/chewbaca38/ Baca

    I feel like Django could sneak in and take best picture. Not sure why. Just feels like this year has been strange enough for that to happen.

  • Andy

    Everyone keeps using the difference between the Oscars and Golden Globes as a reason to bet against Lincoln. Maybe (gasp) the two could agree this year?

  • beam

    I think best choice :Tommy Lee Jones and Sally Field in the supporting categories.

  • http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/profile/Ian/ Ian

    Best Picture Drama: Lincoln
    I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Argo, or even maybe Zero Dark Thirty take this one. But I can't go against Lincoln. Fun fact: in the last ten years, only two Drama winners at the Globes have gone on to win Best Picture. So if Lincoln wins, the odds are actually against it. Hello Silver Linings for Oscar.

    Best Picture Comedy: Les Miserables
    This should have much more appeal in the international realm. Losing here won't derail Silver Linings's co-frontrunner status for the Oscars at all.

    Best Actor Drama: Daniel Day-Lewis

    Best Actor Comedy: Hugh Jackman
    Essentially a tossup between Jackman and Cooper. This is probably my lowest confidence prediction

    Best Actress Drama: Naomi Watts
    I agree with Brad; I think The Impossible's near blockbuster status overseas carries Watts to the win. I also think she could be a dark horse in the Oscar race.

    Best Actress Comedy: Jennifer Lawrence
    A Streep win wouldn't surprise me here, but Lawrence is the formidable favorite.

    Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones
    I could easily see Hoffman taking this one; I think he's the best challenger to Jones moving forward. If Jones wins though, it's much less of a contest.

    Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
    I still think this is a very close race for the Oscar between her and Field, but again, the appeal of Les Mis will rule.

    Best Director: Steven Spielberg
    Another tough category. I could see Affleck or Tarantino taking it easily

    Best Screenplay: Django Unchained
    This could also go a few different ways, but they HFPA clearly likes Django and this is by far its most winnable category.

    Best Animated Film: Wreck It Ralph
    Brave also could easily win.

    Best Score: Lincoln

    Best Song: "Skyfall"

  • Dennis

    original song: Skyfall

    original score: Lincoln

    Foreign: Amour

    Script: Lincoln

    Animated: Brave

    Director: Ben Affleck

    S. Actress: Helen Hunt

    S. Actor: TL Jones

    C. Actress: Jen Lawrence

    C. Actor: Brad Cooper

    D. Actress: Jessica Christian

    D. Actor: DDL

    Comedy: Silver Linings Playbook

    Drama: Lincoln