2012 Oscar Predictions: Art Directors Guild Offer Nominations as a Guide for Best Art Direction
Which sets and production design stand out the most?
Photo: Paramount Pictures
Last night the Art Directors Guild (ADG) announced their nominees for Excellence in Production Design and I felt it's high time I open up my Best Art Direction predictions for the 2012 Oscars. What better time than now considering we have a guide to help us along our way?
To begin, the only film not nominated by the ADG that I would say of the films not nominated by the ADG that may have a shot at an Oscar nomination in this category would be Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows, Albert Nobbs, Jane Eyre, A Dangerous Method, War Horse and potentially Madonna's W.E.. Thing is, the ADG breaks their noms out by genre and you can only fit so many into that Period Film category, but this is also just one of the indicators that just because a film was nominated for the Guild Awards means others won't be considered for the Oscar.
I looked back over the last six years of ADG nominations compared to Oscar's Art Direction nominations and last year and 2005 were the only years where all five films nominated for an Oscar were also nominated by the ADG. Twice three of the noms made it to the Oscars and in 2009 only two.
However, in all six years the winner was one of the nominees, but the ADG winner was not always the Oscar winner. Last year Alice in Wonderland won while Black Swan, Inception and The King's Speech won with the ADG and again in 2008 Sweeney Todd won at the Oscars while There Will be Blood, The Golden Compass and No Country for Old Men won with the ADG.
So what films stand out when it comes to the ADG's noms? Let's take a look at the ADG nominees right now:
Period Film:
- The Artist (Laurence Bennett)
- Hugo (Dante Ferretti)
- The Help (Mark Ricker)
- Anonymous (Sebastian Krawinkel)
- Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (Maria Djurkovic)
Fantasy Film:
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 (Stuart Craig)
- Captain America: The First Avenger (Rick Heinrichs)
- The Adventures of Tintin (TBD)
- Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (John Myhre)
- Cowboys & Aliens (Scott Chambliss)
Contemporary Film:
- The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (Donald Graham Burt)
- The Descendants (Jane Anne Stewart)
- Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (K.K. Barrett)
- Drive (Beth Mickle)
- Bridesmaids (Jefferson Sage)
Well, from what I'm seeing I think we just might end up with all five matching up. My first round of predictions for Best Art Direction look like this:
- Hugo (Dante Ferretti)
- Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (Maria Djurkovic)
- The Artist (Laurence Bennett)
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 (Stuart Craig)
- The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (Donald Graham Burt)
I wish I could say I had some sort of miraculous insight into my predictions, but in large part it comes just based on the attention to detail I noticed in each of these movies, the fact Hugo was already recognized by the Los Angeles (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy was runner-up) and Washington D.C. Film Critics and was also among the nominees at the Critics Choice Awards along with Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 and The Artist. Also nominated by the Broadcast Film Critics Association were War Horse and The Tree of Life.
I included Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 because the franchise has been nominated three times before including last year for Part 1 and I simply find the attention to detail in almost every David Fincher film so exacting I think he opens the door for an Art Direction nod every time he turns on a camera and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, especially with its large number of sets.
You can browse my entire list of contenders for Best Art Direction right here.
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My Predix
Period = Anonymous (Being set in the Elizabethen ere might help it)
Contemporary = Bridesmaids (This wins by default)
Fantasy = Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (18th Century period setting helps)
1. Hugo
2. Tinker Tailer Soldier Spy
3. Anonymous
4. War Horse
5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
I think this could be one area that Hugo has an advantage on. That was a beautifully done series of sets employed.
What about the Midnight in Paris? 1920's Paris…
My predictions:
Period Film
Hugo (though mainly because I haven't seen The Artist)
Fantasy Film
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (it's the only film in the category nominated for the Critic's Choice Award and has been nominated elsewhere, so I automatically assume Potter will win)
Contemporary Film
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (it's the only film in the category that I've seen, but I still thought the art direction was wonderful)
Hugo all the way!
I'm shocked that War Horse isn't nominated; even the terrible reviews of that film have praised the art direction and I think it's one of the candidates to win the Oscar, along with Hugo.
I'd say Hugo, War Horse, and The Artist are locks, and Harry Potter is a pretty sure thing. That probably just leaves Dragon Tattoo and Tinker Tailor battling for the last slot. Unfortunately Anonymous probably doesn't stand much of a chance in what's one of probably two categories where it stands any chance at all. I'm sad that film didn't connect with many people; it was quality.