Oscar Contenders

2011 SAG Award Winners: 'The King's Speech' Takes Home Top Honors

'The Fighter' also took home a pair of awards

Tonight the Screen Actors Guild held their annual awards program and if you were following my live blog you saw that it wasn't exactly an exciting show, but it does help those of us trying to go 100% on our Oscar predictions a little help with our forecasts.

Just to get it out of the way, The King's Speech has pretty much established itself as the undeniable front-runner if you weren't already on board after director Tom Hooper's Directors Guild win last night. Speech took home the expected Best Actor award for star Colin Firth and then took home the Best Ensemble award, besting the predicted winner The Fighter.

I've seen some writers already saying this was a predictable SAG Awards and for the most part they are correct, but I wouldn't say The King's Speech was ever the presumed front-runner for ensemble. But I also wasn't surprised to see it win.

Elsewhere, The Fighter did fare a little better as both Christian Bale and Melissa Leo continued their streaks in the Supporting Actor categories and Natalie Portman won for her performance in Black Swan and I am now on board... Portman will be taking home her first Oscar. I had a week of believing Bening might be able to pull it out, but that belief is now gone.

As far as the rest of the Oscar race is concerned we'll save that conversation for later this week. For now, check out the complete list of nominees directly below and let your thoughts be known in the comments.

Also, tomorrow be sure to be on the look out for the new annual tradition from RopeofSilicon where you, the readers vote for the best films of 2010... The voting begins shortly...

MOTION PICTURE NOMINEES

Actor
  • Jeff Bridges, True Grit
  • Robert Duvall, Get Low
  • Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
  • Colin Firth, The King's Speech
  • James Franco, 127 Hours
Actress
  • Annette Bening, The Kids are All Right
  • Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
  • Natalie Portman, Black Swan
  • Hilary Swank, Conviction
Supporting Actor
  • Christian Bale, The Fighter
  • John Hawkes, Winter's Bone
  • Jeremy Renner, The Town
  • Mark Ruffalo, The Kids are All Right
  • Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
Supporting Actress
  • Amy Adams, The Fighter
  • Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
  • Mila Kunis, Black Swan
  • Melissa Leo, The Fighter
  • Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Ensemble Cast
  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • The Kids are All Right
  • The King's Speech
  • The Social Network
Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
  • Green Zone
  • Robin Hood
  • Inception

The television winners are on the next page...

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  • Colin

    Updated predictions

    Best Picture: King's Speech
    Best Diector: Hooper, King's Speech
    Best Original Screenplay: Seidler, The King's Speech
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Sorkin, Social Network
    Best Actor: Firth, King's Speech
    Best Actress: Portman, Black Swan
    Nest Suppotying Actor: Bale, The Fighter (proud to say that I called that one early on)
    Best Supporting Actress: Leo, The Fighter (homegirl reprezentin!)

    Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3
    Best Foreign Feature: In a Better World
    Documentary Feature: Inside Job

    Best Score: King's Speech
    Best Cinematography: True Grit
    Best Costume Design: King's Speech
    Best Art direction: King's Speech
    Best Make up: The Way Back
    Best Editing: King's Speech
    Best Sound mixing: King's Speech
    Best Sound editing: Inception
    Best visual effects: Inception

    There's your 2011 Oscars folks.

    • Ian

      I only differ with you in two categories...I have True Grit winning sound editing, and Alice winning visual effects, because I really think Inception could get totally shut out. I think it'll be like 2007-2008, when Transformers was an absolute lock to win visual effects...and then it went to The Golden Compass. I think the same thing will happen this year.

      • Desmond

        Except that Transformers was absolute gutter trash and did not deserve to receive any recognition

      • Winchester

        That has absolutely nothing to do with the visual effects.

        Golden Compass looked like it's effects had been done on a home PC and as a film it sucked as well. It was a joke win in that relatively unimportant category.

  • Mike

    I still believe Benning is taking the Oscar. This is one of those situations where the voters in the Academy are going to shy away from what all the other award shows have done. And it wouldn't be the first time, though I admit it will be rare.

    Benning is winning though.

    • Kevin

      Back in 2000, Annette Bening won the SAG Award for "American Beauty" and was considered the heavy favorite for Oscar, then was upset by Hilary Swank for "Boys Don't Cry". Maybe fate will be kinder to her in 2011.

      • Gary

        But even then, Swank won the GG over Benning in the drama category- so while it was an upset, I would say Swank still had some steam going for her. Not sure how all those other precursors turned out that year.

        In terms of this year though, Benning has won a few but the awards have gone to Portman at almost Helen Mirren type numbers. Correct me if I am wrong but I do believe Portman has won the majority of all these precursor awards. I think Benning needed the SAG + a great campaign for the next month to be a viable contender. It could still happen of course but it does seem like Natalie is ahead. For me, I hope she remains ahead.

  • http://joker93.livejournal.com Nick

    It's almost hilarious. After 10 days, the race has got just as boring as it was before... all that happened is that the frontrunner changed in the blink of an eye.

    I still have an inch of hope Fincher would win Director, but I'm still gonna prepare for the worst outcome. (Not necessarily bad, since I might like The King's Speech a lot when I finally see it in the coming days, but the worst out of the two). And in every category. That way, I would at the very least be happy for Sorkin and Toy Story 3.

    Still can't bring myself to call Portman and Bale 100% locks, though they are undeniably way ahead of their opponents. But Bening and Rush still have the smallest chance to upset. Remember when Precious won Best Screenplay pretty much out of nowhere last year and Up in the Air walked away empty-handed? The Academy is all for negative surprises sometimes.

  • Winchester

    Offhand, when it comes to the acting awards does winning the GG and the SAG normally not lock it down for the respective performer?

    Is it normal for someone to win both then lose the Oscar? I didn't think it was frequent for that to happen.

  • Zack

    Martin Scorsese didn't win an Academy Award until he was 70 years old which was for a film in the bottom half of the 10 greatest films he has ever made

    Stanley Kubrick never won an Academy Award

    Alfred Hitchcock never won an academy Award

    Robert Altman never won an Academy Award

    Orson Welles never won an academy Award

    David Lynch has never won an academy award, which will never change because that guy isn't just 10 or even 30 years ahead of his time, he's like 75 years ahead of his time. The closet he got and will ever get was for his most well mannered and narratively traditional film which was about a man with elephantitus

    Those are the huge injustices of the history of annual celebration of American studio filmmaking

    So Raging Bull lost to Ordinary People

    So 2001: A Space Odyssey lost to Oliver

    Hitchcock didn't even get nominated for Vertigo when a shitty musical, not staring Gene Kelly, named Gigi won best picture.

    The Oscars don't always get it wrong, in fact the last 4 years I have been generally ok with the film that won it all

    At least something to the caliber of There Will be Blood, which is the greatest film to be released and made in America since Goodfellas, lost to an amazing Coen Brothers film.At least Jon Huston was able to get an oscar for directing The Treasure of the Sierra Madre.

    Mentioning Sierra Madre I am reminded of There Will be Blood and 2007. 2007 was the best year in film making in a while, but the Oscar ratings for that year were the worst in history because it was all good, dark, and profound movies to be nominated. But none the less, we can all take a sigh of relief that Avatar didn't win jack shit, I mean it doesn't need the money and it doesn't deserve the accolades.

    This is the exact reason the academy is bullshit, It's not about the best film accomplishment in artistry and craft. It's certainly not about the strongest directorial vision and talent. it's definitely not about the films that will hold in time the longest or make the greatest impact. Id argue that a film has a chance of making a greater impact if it doesn't win an academy award. I mean what film is more important and Vidal today?

    The English Patient or Fargo

    Dances With Wolves or Goodfellas

    Driving Miss Daisy or Do The Right Thing

    American Beauty is a film I always think about because it is a good and bad example of the Academy. Great movie ina great year of films that would never win Academy Awards like Fight Club and Eyes Wide Shut and Magnolia. I can respect and understand that even. My favorite film and the best film doesn't have to win best picture, but whichever film wins should be the film that I want that year to be remembered by. So did American Beauty deserve to win? Yes, most definitely. It made a cultural impact, Kevin Spacey cemented himself in film history pantheon, and it was classic type of mike Nichols entry into film making by Sam Mendes. However, like when Nichols introduced himself to the world with The Graduate, there were better films both years(Bonnie and Clyde, Good The Bad and The Ugly), But there were not better films to represent the year by.

    Now im rambling and I need to get to the point.

    My point is, when a culturally boring yet very well executed and acted film win's best picture it insults people that care about how they will be represented in the time they are in. I'd much rather be able to look back in time and see that Citizen Kane won best picture, but at least he lost to a John Ford film. I d love to say that Apocalypse Now beat Kramer vs. Kramer, but at least Coppola won for The Godfather films. Id love for films like Blue Velvet, any John Cassavetes movie, and Black Swan too have a chance, but they don't, I mean the academy has to be able to make money for everyone after all.

    So because the brilliant accomplishment of Inception was left out of the best director race and the academy hates Christopher Nolan, because Blue Valentine is too small and tough for the Academy, and because Black Swan is psychological horror which will never win but can be nomianted if done elgantly

    I have too settle on A great film of Today's time By a director who's voice and technique has grown with every project and is one of the most meticulous, smart, talented, and cool people working.

    Im talking about David Fincher and The Social Network. A film that has so much energy, so much relevance, is so smart, and more importantly is anew presentation of broad and classic story telling with very many weaving of different types of revolutionary story telling.

    Fincher deserves an Oscar, point blank, I mean this is the man that made the signature film on young white males and how fucked up we are(FIGHT CLUB). He has continued in that path with this film, but evolved from it, and added on a little bit too it in terms of narrative ability of story telling. No reliance on a twist or narration this time.

    So if The King's Speech wins the Oscar, I will scream and hate the academy forever. Not that any of this means anything other than disappointment of the system I am given, which is probably good thing to be dissapointed in for me personally. If The Kings Speech wins it means that the ignorant people saying the genralization "I don't want to see the movie about facebook" WIN. People that didn't buy a ticket and didn't see anything let alone everything WON. The funny thing about is that unfortunately we will look back on the Social network for years to come because Facebook and social networks aren't going away, they are just evolving. As much as people don't realize it or just take Facebook as this "whatever" thing on the computer, it's not. It's impact on society and to each of individuals has already made its mark and will continue too. The Social Network is the greatest piece of history to track down what made us create it. Im not going to bag on The King's Speech, in fact I think its very well done and even subtle film, and I love the two male lead performances. It just will never keep the impact, or be the accomplishment, or have the type of thought and talent behind it, that The Social Network does

    • Sean

      Orson Welles did win an Oscar for Citzen Kane, he got one for the screeplay.

      And really? Inception is a more culturally significant film than The Social Network and you'll get over TSN not winning cause in the end it doesn't really matter. Shakespeare in Love won Best Picture over Saving Private Ryan. Am I upset? Yeah, but come on man. Have you even seen The King's Speech? I think it's a very good movie with incredible acting. And what if True Grit were to pull an upset? Did ignorant people win then too?

      The way some people talk about The Social Network, it's like you're being the ignorant ones by thinking that only this film deserves recognition because of how great you think it is.

      • Zack

        I don't think True Grit has a shot to win and I don't think it deserves to win, Coens have aready won and although this is their most accessible film I don't think its in their top 5 films of all time. I wasn't saying that people who like other movies are ignorant, what Im saying is that the ignorant people saying they don't want to see Social network bescause its the facebook movie have won. That stigma by people that haven't even seen the film has won. Look, if you saw Social Network and didn't enjoy it the same degree, that's fine. I don't mind that Inception won't win, I ahve known that for a long time, I just think it's travesty that Nolan is not nomainated, and I would say Inception, Social network, and Black Swan are all tied for the most culturally significant motion pictures of the year for different reasons. Not that cultural revelance is the reason a movie should win completely or anything though.
        Oh, as far as Welles, that Oscar might as well be Herman Mankewitz's, because he wrote the majority of the screenplay with Welles hovering over him to make his vision implanted in the script

    • Amit

      I enjoyed reading your post although i don't agree with all your thoughts on The Social Network...however, i do agree with the point of lack of relevance of King's Speech...but u're considering the academy as a single entity with a specific thought process/ mindset of its own while that is not the case...the voting system has its own merits & flaws which is reflected in the eventual win/loss...i can guarantee you that even if u, me and a couple of my other commentator friends here r part of the academy awards committee & get to vote, chances r the best & the most relevant movie/actor will not win..

      • Zack

        Idk, I love colin Firth winning, even though Gosling's wok in Blue Valentine is by far my favorite by a leading actor. But Firth is an actor I like a lot. I just don't think the film desrves anything. And your right, I do think the academy is a single entity because a mojority of the people who vote either conform to the norm or conform to the contrarion

    • Colin

      Cause it is a brilliant film Sean. And it does say something about where we are now and how we've gotten here. Maybe not in the most over-bearingly simplified way that some need to have spoon fed to them, but it does say more to say about real people and successfully achieves it in a way that very few films do anymore. King's Speech, as enjoyable as it is, is winning for one reason...sympathy and sentimentality. There's nothing truly outstanding or staggering about the film outside of a pair of performaces and unique but flawed visual flare for a period film. And as entertaining as Inception is it was a talking for point film for a period of time, not something as permenant or an engraining as social media is at the backdrop of themes that are timless enough to keep the film in cinemtaic memory for decades to come. That's why Social Network is and will continue to be a culturally relevent film despite it's detractors own ignorance.

    • Jack

      You forgot to mention the biggest mistake the Academy made this decade which was awarding all those awards to The Hurt Locker for the sole purpose that a woman directed it.

      I do prefere The Social Network, but I can live with The King's Speech winning because it is a worthy film. I only get angry when a movie that is not worthy to win ends up winning for the sake of politics rather than art.

      The Shawshank Redemption was better than Forrest Gump, but Gump was still a worthy film.

      • Zack

        The Hurt Locker was a good film, and at least it beat Avatar.
        It's not like they would ever give it Tarantino or anything. Look we ahve to settle, and Hurt Locker isn't even that bad of a settle. It's a very wella cted, very raw, and very strong in theme and mood control film. And it tackles a war that hasn't been tackled well yet in fiction.
        That sounds very misogynistic to say she only because she was a woman, although Cameron probably would have had it locked if she wasn't his ex-wife and if she would have made a film that was noticeably made by a woman. That's a shame to say, bbut I don't know if there will ever be a time where a woman wins for a making a film that was clearly made by a woman (like sofia Coppola or Jane Campion)

  • Sara

    I agree with most of your predictions but I hope that the oscars isn't that predictable or it'll be a snoozefest asking us to change the channel. I'm dissapointed you changed your prediction from bening to portman. It's unfortunate that portman doesn't bring the same nuance to the role the way bening does, and disappointing that portmans youth and pretty face will win her the Oscar over bening.

  • Gary

    So pleased with Portman's victory. I love Benning but for me, Moore was the start of that film and Benning deserved her OSCAR for American Beauty. She didn't get it and I wouldn't be pleased with a make up award this year for a film in which she does less superior work. Portman was everything that a leading actress should be this year- completely owning a movie from beginning to end. I am still not entirely convinced she has it in the bag but I sure hope she does.

  • Casper

    do you think that Hailee still has a chance of winning an Oscar?

  • Zack

    Zack... I have never had someone articulate my feelings about the Oscars as well as you did then. And I am with you 100% on Social Network and your reasoning behind it.

    Another great example of an Oscar snub is that Forrest Gump (a great film, but, in my opinion, one that is somewhat Hollywood and formulaic) beat two of the greatest masterpieces of all time: Pulp Fiction and The Shawshank Redemption.

    • Zack

      Zack...You have anawesome name sir. Yeah, there are so many others i could mentiona dnForrest Gump was one of them, this was actually something I posted on Facebook and I was contemplating mentioning it for a while because I completely agree, especially if you look at the shitty filsm Firrest gump influenced, and then look at all the talent that was inspired and helped by Pulp Fiction. Shawshank a masterpiece that was overlooked the year it came out until it came out on VHS and then DVD

  • David

    Speaking of cultural relevance, there's this certain film called THE GHOST WRITER that is both a masterfully crafted film with superb performances and represeration of the political nuances of our time. It did not deserve to be shut out by the Academy, and it's sad to think that it may become a speck of dust or less in the history of film.

    • Zack

      Naw, POlanski is too great and the film si such a well crafted old school genre pick, people will look back on it and analyze it Polanski's career. It just isn't an Oscar type movie at all, I mean they already gave him the oscar for The Pianist, they don't "NEED" to do it again

  • Zack

    I thought Harvey Weinstein was done working his magic, but he's got another nice and good english film again to beat the best films, Fucking Harvey, the man is an evil genius that has done so much good and so many annoying things in the industry. But you got to respect him, even and especially if King's Speech wins, because it won't be about the film, but it will be that he is able to work the system and media better than anyone alive in the industry

  • m1

    Melissa Leo has won the BFCA, the GG, the SAG, and SEVERAL critics' awards...how is she not a lock? What more do you people want?